63rd Primetime Emmy Awards Nomination Predictions (Drama)   9 comments

Happy Sunday everyone! It has been raining crazy the past few days. Is there any typhoon that is currently approaching the country? I really hope not. While I’ve always been vocal about my preference of rainy days (just because it makes me sleep more, LOL), I don’t want anyone to be stressed by the massive effects of heavy rains.

Anyway, it’s Emmy season once again! So I’ gonna offer my predictions on whose names will be called out this Thursday morning (Thursday night here in the Philippines) by Joshua Jackson and Melissa McCarthy. Mind you though, the Emmy nominations (and the Emmys in general) are the hardest to predict. There’s no specific formula on which shows and what actors will they favor this year, so I highly recommend that you take these predictions with a grain of salt.

Here we go:

OUTSTANDING DRAMA SERIES

• Boardwalk Empire (HBO)
• Dexter (SHOtime)
• Friday Night Lights (DirecTV)
• Game of Thrones (HBO)
• The Good Wife (CBS)
• Mad Men (AMC)

Three-time Emmy champ Mad Men is definitely coming back for a fourth nod. The Good Wife is probably network’s only chance at a Series nomination, and with a better received second season, it definitely is assured of a spot again. HBO, Emmys most loved network, won’t miss a spot here with its grandiose 1920s drama Boardwalk Empire. Dexter, surviving its weakest season to date, is still in for a filler slot though I wouldn’t be shocked if it misses this year. I’m not too brave to predict it though. The last two spots are tricky though as I think there are lots of shows that can make it: AMC’s combo of new shows, the zombie drama The Walking Dead though the fact that it has only six episodes, and mixed reviews can hurt its chances. The Killing can easily make it but if you think about it, who will vote for it across the Emmy voters? There’s no specific panel that will put it in as the leading contender. Add the fact that the season finale received mixed to negative reviews impacts the overall perception of the show. Justified received lots of good reviews this year but will likely suffer from too much competition. Methinks that HBO will get two Drama Series noms this year but which will be the other one? Past series nominees True Blood got lucky to be the HBO representative last year, and Big Love two years ago and In Treatment didn’t do itself any favored when it was canceled earlier this year. That leaves me with Game of Thrones which just finished its season so it’s still fresh on voters’ minds, and was received well on its freshman season. For the last spot, with DirecTV finally making a good campaign strategy of sending the whole season, I expect Friday Night Lights to finally breakthrough the Series nomination for its swansong season.

LEAD ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

• Steve Buscemi, “Boardwalk Empire”
• Kyle Chandler, “Friday Night Lights”
• Michael C. Hall, “Dexter”
• Jon Hamm, “Mad Men”
• Hugh Laurie, “House”
• Timothy Olyphant, “Justified”

With Bryan Cranston ineligible this year, and Matthew Fox out in the running, these open two slots as I expect Kyle Chandler, Michael C. Hall, Jon Hamm, and Hugh Laurie to maintain their nominee status this year. After winning both the Golden Globe, and SAG this year, there’s no doubt that past Emmy winner Steve Buscemi will rake in another nomination, this time for Boardwalk Empire. William H. Macy could get in for Shameless due to the pedigree of his name alone but Showtime wasn’t lucky enough with male lead characters (even Michael C Hall was snubbed the first year) for him to enter the final six. Sean Bean of Game of Thrones can also get in though the ensemble nature of the show can hurt his chances. Another one who can make it in  through name alone is Jeremy Irons though period dramas like The Borgias hasn’t found the proper footing yet in terms of acting nominations (The Tudors and Rome come to mind). It all boils down to Gabriel Byrne who is perfect 2/2 for In Treatment, but my own prediction is Timothy Olyphant will get add Emmy nominee on his resume now for his magnificent work in Justified.

LEAD ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES

• Kathy Bates, “Harry’s Law”
• Connie Britton, “Friday Night Lights”
• Mariska Hargitay, “Law and Order: SVU”
• Juliana Margulies, “The Good Wife”
• Elisabeth Moss, “Mad Men”
• Kyra Sedgwick, “The Closer”

Glenn Close is the only one who’s not coming back this year so that opens up a guaranteed one new contender this year. But before that, let’s give a breakdown of the rest: Current Emmy champ Kyra Sedgwick hasn’t skipped a beat in terms of Emmy nominations (even with Globe and SAG actually) and will continue it for the sixth season of The Closer. With The Good Wife finding its proper footing this season, lead actress Juliana Margulies can expect to score her sixth overall nomination in this category. If I predict Kyle Chandler, and FNL then I predict Connie Britton to get in as well especially since it’s their last season for the show. God knows it has been years that I’ve been praying Mariska Hargitay to miss the nomination but it still won’t happen, so it’s pretty unlikely that I’ll exclude her this year. I’ll personally jump for joy though if she gets snubbed this year. Mad Men star Elisabeth Moss can expect her third consecutive nomination for Mad Men this year with standout reviews and a possible winning tape already. Now as to who will replace Close? Last year’s nominee January Jones can get nominated again though Betty taking a back seat this year gave her not much to do. Mirielle Enos can see a nomination this year but I wouldn’t count on it. I would love to see Katey Sagal finally get some Emmy love for Sons of Anarchy but I’m afraid that her Globe win wouldn’t do anything for it (See: Chloe Sevigny last year). That leaves me with Emmyless Kathy Bates whose show was panned but her Emmy calibre can give her a nomination for Harry’s Law.

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

• Josh Charles, “The Good Wife”
• Alan Cumming, “The Good Wife”
• Peter Dinklage, “Game of Thrones”
• John Noble, “Fringe”
• Michael Pitt, “Boardwalk Empire”
• John Slattery, “Mad Men”

Okay this is more of a wishful thinking list than a prediction I guess so I expect to be horribly horribly wrong with my predictions in this category. John Slattery hasn’t skipped a bit in terms of getting an Emmy nomination, and with a complete wipeout from last year, I expect him to be the last man standing. Boardwalk Empire will most likely get a Michael nomination and I’m betting my money on Michael Pitt as he gets to be the standout among all the other Michaels in the show. For the past four years, drama supporting actor always has one show with multiple nominations and I expect The Good Wife to fit the bill this year. Last year’s Guest Actor nominee Alan Cumming is the most certain among all TGW men, so I’m putting him there. I personally prefer Josh Charles over Chris Noth thus I’m predicting for the former. I don’t feel that the Academy really liked Noth in general as he has been predicted multiple times before and he still can’t get a nomination. As for the last two, there’s Andre Braugher who managed a surprise nom last year but I think he’ll get lost in the shuffle this year, there’s also Brent Sexton of The Killing but it seems very unlikely. I actually feel that Michael Shannon will also get nominated but I can;t resist not putting my long shots Peter Dinklage who managed to be the scene stealer in an ensemble driven show such as Game of Thrones and John Noble since co-star Joshua Jackson is presenting… kidding! John Noble because I feel this is the right moment for him to be recognized.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES

• Christine Baranski, “The Good Wife”
• Sharon Gless, “Burn Notice”
• Christina Hendricks, “Mad Men”
• Kelly McDonald, “Boardwalk Empire”
• Margo Martindale, “Justified”
• Archie Panjabi, “The Good Wife”

Current winner Archie Panjabi and co-star Christine Baranski will have no problems reaping a second nomination for their performances in The Good Wife. Same goes for the sexytary Christina Hendricks in Mad Men. Emmy winner Kelly MacDonald got a Globe nom for her turn in Boardwalk Empire, and probably the show’s best shot for a female performer nomination so I see her getting in. Wishful thinking here that after her Broadcast Choice win, and TCA nomination, Margo Martindale has maintained enough buzz for voters to check off her name so we can finally see her getting nominated for Justified. The last one can go to Michelle Forbes who is The Killing’s best shot for a nomination, In Treatment’s duo Debra Winger, and Amy Ryan, or Mad Men’s Kiernan Shipka who’ll be one of the youngest nominees if ever. I’ll predict Emmy favorite Sharon Gless though to get her second nomination for Burn Notice. Emmys love ‘e some veterans and Gless managed to breakthrough last year so I can see her repeating a nomination.

GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

•Michael J. Fox, “The Good Wife”
• Hal Holbrook, “Sons of Anarchy”
• Jeremy Irons, “Law and Order: SVU”
• Robert Morse, “Mad Men”
• Bob Newhart, “NCIS”
• Peter Weller, “Dexter”

There’s no point in actually discussing who the nominees here as we already know that the trophy has Michael J. Fox’s name on it. However, for fun here’s who’ll probably join him: In the tradition of Law and Order: SVU greedily taking guest acting nominations, I expect Oscar winner Jeremy Irons to be on the list like what happened to Robin Williams a few years ago. Robert Morse of Mad Men is a frequent visitor in this category for his performance in the Emmy winning drama so he’s in as well. Emmyless but very respected veteran Bob Newhart can make it due to name fame alone even though his performance is for a show that Emmy doesn’t give a damn with. Meanwhile, multiple Emmy champ Hal Holbrook can add another nomination this year for his performance in Sons of Anarchy regardless of regular Katey Sagal makes it in. Bruce Dern is in the running as well for Big Love especially since he made the top 10 in the popular vote in 2008 for the same performance. However, after Jimmy Smiths, and John Lithgow, I expect one Dexter guy to enter the nomination list. I’m actually clueless on who to choose between Peter Weller and Jonny Lee Miller so you can just pick a name out of a hat, and by doing such, I got Peter Weller to complete the list.

GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES

• Shohreh Aghdashloo, “Law and Order: SVU”
• Candice Bergen, “House”
• Ellen Burstyn, “Big Love”
• Jennifer Love Hewitt, “Law and Order: SVU”
• Debra Messing, “Law and Order: SVU”
• Julia Stiles, “Dexter”

Okay, Dexter’s high profile guest star of the season always gets free entrance at the guest acting categories (Jimmy Smits, John Lithgow) so that gives Season 5’s Julia Stiles an instant nomination. Past winner Ellen Burstyn is no stranger in this race as she is nominated twice in the last three years, and I expect that she will be back here again for her performance in Big Love. I’m so tempted to remove Candice Bergen seeing that House doesn’t really do well with Guest categories (David Strathairn, Sela Ward, Cynthia Nixon, James Earl Jones) but I’m sticking her in just because she’s Emmy royalty Candice Bergen. I expect her to be snubbed though. Now this is where the real game begins, the past four years has been dominated by guest actressses from Law and Order: SVU (Leslie Caron, Cynthia Nixon, Ellen Burstyn, Ann Margret in that order) and even with nominations (Marcia Gay Harden, Brenda Blethyn, Carol Burnett) so I expect a Law & Order domination again this year. First, Emmy winner Debra Messing is the frontrunner in this category so I expect her to see her first nomination in the drama categories this year. Second, past winner Shohreh Aghdashloo gets major buzz for her performance this season, and Emmys are suckers for past winners so I see her getting in. Joan Cusack shot herself in the foot as she gets to split votes for both Shameless and Law and Order so I see her missing. The same goes for Marcia Gay Harden whose performance isn’t something to be nominated for this year. True Blood’s Alfre Woodard can get that nomination seeing that she manages to get one for Desperate Housewives in 2006. Then there’s the other Law and Order women such as Elizabeth Mitchell and Kathy Griffin. However, with a good year she had, I predict that the last spot will go to Jennifer Love Hewitt for her buzzed about performance in the same procedural as well.

What can you say about this? Please do comment comment comment! 🙂

NEXT: COMEDY CATEGORIES AND THE REALITY & VARIETY ONES.

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Posted July 11, 2011 by Nicol Latayan in Awards, TV

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9 responses to “63rd Primetime Emmy Awards Nomination Predictions (Drama)

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  1. Papasok yan si Alfre Woodard, nanominate sya napakablah na role sa DH eh haha.

    Anyway, sana ma snub nga si Hargitay para may new face naman. Sayang talaga si Sandra Oh. Wish ko makabalik sya sa nominations man lang

  2. Wish ko lang talaga na makapasok si Noth. Wala lang. Para silang JTF-Eric Stonestreet combination ni Cumming eh. Pero Cumming vs Slattery na lang talaga yang Supporting Actor. It would really shock me kung hindi isa sa dalawang yan ang manalo.

    Hemingways, I couldn’t agree more with your predictions. GoT is the new True Blood sa list. HAHAHA.

  3. forg: Hay nako antagal ko ng pinagdarasal si Hargitay na matanggal na. Actually the year after she won sana natanggal na siya. And yes mukhang pasok talaga si Alfre. Mukhang si Jennifer Love Hewitt ang papalitan niya kaso napanood ko episode niya, baity as hell.

    Carl: Napaisip kasi ako na ang Lost hindi man lang nakatatlong Supporting Acting nominations, so mukhang hindi din kaya ng The Good Wife. Hehe. Actually IMO, parang as each day passes, nawawala ang frontrunner status ni Slattery, swerte lang siya na lagi siyang nominated pero walang “overdue” feeling. Hehe.

  4. Eh. Sa Lost naman si Emerson at O’Quinn na lang talaga ang deserving.

    Saka nasa panahon na tayo na kayang tumatlong nods ang isang show for acting (Modern Family). I think they will do the same to drama. And TGW ang unang example.

    Based on the tape Slattery should submit (I already forgot), he should win. Feel ko ito na ang best chance niyang manalo. Or else, di na siya mananalo or kahit manonominate ulit. May isa pa akong bet for Mad Men S. Actor.. Jared Harris.

  5. Actually naka 4 out of 6 ang The West Wing nung 2002 pero The West Wing is Emmy’s most loved drama so medyo expected yun. Hehe. Feeling ko wala pa sa level ng pagmamahal nila sa Modern Family last year yung The Good Wife this year. Mukhang may magsasuffer dun sa 3 and si Noth ang weakest, pero posible pa rin naman. 🙂

    As for winning, Slattery is still the frontrunner pero baka we’ll get a surprise out of nowhere winner in Supporting Actor this year. Hope he wins an Emmy, though.

  6. Ah. Forgot about West Wing!

    Ako, more on Cumming FTW ako.

  7. I’ll wait for the tapes. pero so far, benta sakin si Peter Dinklage. Haha. Feeling ko may laban tong si Michael Pitt eh. Haha. Sana mali ang feeling ko eh. And I’m happy foe either Margulies and/or Moss kapag sila nanalo. 😉 Though Jon Hamm na sana for Mad Men’s 1st acting win!

  8. Alam mo naman ang pinaglalaban ko.

    Jon Hamm and Ty Burrell. HAHAHA.

  9. Tama! Haha! To be honest though, as much as I appreciate Elisabeth Moss’s greatness, if Mad Men were to receive any acting award, there’s no one more fitting than Jon Hamm. He carries the whole show perfectly.

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