Hi everyone! I’m pretty busy the past few days so I’m really rushing this post in time for Thursday’s nomination announcements. This is the second of my three part prediction series. The first one was about the drama categories (though I forgot to include Writing and Directing predictions as I really have no time to do so) and you can see it here: https://backtothefryingpan.wordpress.com/2011/07/11/63rd-primetime-emmy-awards-nomination-predictions-drama/ If you can, I hope you leave a comment with your reactions and your predictions as well to make it more interactive. 🙂
Anyway, here are my predictions in the comedy categories.
• Glee (FOX)
• Hot in Cleveland (TV Land)
• Modern Family (ABC)
• The Office (NBC)
• Parks and Recreation (NBC)
• 30 Rock (NBC)
Okay first things first, I see that there are four spots already taken in this category. Current winner Modern Family is sure to be back this season. The same goes for three time champ 30 Rock. NBC’s The Office certainly gained some buzz and raves due to the departure of its lead star (and still Emmyless!) Steve Carell plus it has always been nominated since its breakout season. Glee did suffer a sophomore slump but since this is all popularity vote, one cannot deny that the show is still popular among voters so a second consecutive nod is out of the question as well. I sense that NBC is really pushing for Parks and Recreation this year. They’re giving it the same treatment as what they gave 30 Rock and The Office in their sophomore seasons and we all know how it turned out. Plus it is probably the most critically lauded comedy this season so I predict that it will (finally!) get a series nomination this year. Now the last one is tricky: both SHOtime’s dramedies are definitely in the running especially after Nurse Jackie made a surprise nomination last year. This year, Nurse Jackie survived an uneven season, and The Big C wasn’t received as a whole like Jackie’s last year. That leaves us with two traditional sitcoms that will probably battle out for the last spot. CBS highly rating sitcom The Big Bang Theory has a chance to nab the spot this year especially after lead star Jim Parsons won last year. However, I don’t think voters are really in for a series that has nerds on its leads. If anything, it can still be a late nomination for them as people have been predicting the show to get in since the second season. My final pick is TV Land’s breakout show Hot in Cleveland because it has lots of former TV stars on it that includes Emmys favorite it girl, Betty White.
LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
• Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock”
• Steve Carell, “The Office”
• Louie C.K, “Louie”
• Matt Leblanc, “Episodes”
• Matthew Morrison, “Glee”
• Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory”
Like supporting actress in a drama series, I decided to try to be bold with my predictions in this category. Of course, Jim Parsons continue to give solid work on the Big Bang Theory, plus he got the Globe and the Critics Choice Award for TV this year so he is in. Ale Baldwin who has already won three Globes, five SAGs and two Emmys for his work in 30 Rock will also add another nomination as Jack Donaghy. The departure of Steve Carell from the show makes him the early front runner this year and I’m personally wishing he really wins come August. So those are the three locks. Here’s how the rest of m predictions go: Matthew Morrison can certainly get in since he was also nominated last year and damn lazy Emmy voters will check his name automatically. Morrison gives me the Mariska Hargitay feeling. Even though he has only been nodded once, it feels as if he was already overstaying in this category. Then I predict Matt Leblanc as well since he is playing himself and voters have warmed to that kind of roles before (Ricky Gervais pulling an upset) plus it’s Joey from Friends! Now here are the other possible contenders: Joel McHale can get in but I surprisingly left him off my list just hours before because I feel he’ll suffer the Courteney Cox treatment. The first season of his show was totally snubbed by the Emmys and there’s nothing ground breaking on the second that they’ll suddenly nominate him. To be honest, this is one prediction where I’m praying that I’m totally wrong because I think he deserves to get in. Hung’s Thomas Jane hasn’t really got in touch with the voters as he had no buzz and just reaped two Globe nods for his output on the HBO show. Johnny Galecki can also get in but since Jim Parsons gets the flashier role, he gets to be the sacrificial lamb. Rob Lowe who’s not aware that the supporting categories exist can get in this year due to name alone but it depends on how well the Academy embraces Parks and Recreation. I’m going with gut feel here and predict Louis C.K for the last sot. He has been building momentum the past few weeks and as the writer, creator, and actor of his won show, the Emmys will probably nominate him somewhere and I predict it to be here. It doesn’t hurt also that the latest season of his show is currently airing right now.
LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
• Toni Collette, “United States of Tara”
• Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie”
• Tina Fey, “30 Rock”
• Laura Linney, “The Big C”
• Martha Plimpton, “Raising Hope”
• Amy Poehler, “Parks and Recreation”
This category is all about Showtime. First off, Laura Linney who has 3/3 Emmy record fills in for Julia Louis Dreyfus spot as she gets nominated for her turn as the cancer mother in The Big C. Say what you want about the show but Linney will get in no matter what. Then we have another time Showtime lady Edie Falco, who we have already mentioned why she’ll be nominated. Again why? Two words! Edie Falco. Completing the trio of Showtime ladies is past winner Toni Collette who will be nominated one last time as her show gets cancellation this season. Then we have Tina Fey whom voters love to nominate (and reward as well). She’s the perennial nominee in this group. Speaking of Tina, we have her close friend Amy Poehler experiencing the best season of her show so far, and is probably one of the frontrunners in this category. As for the last spot, we have Lea Michele who if nominated will be die to the fact that voters are lazy (see: Morrison, Matthew above). Then nominee announcer Melissa McCarthy just because she is announcing the nominations and to make the announcement nomination more dramatic. Mary Louise Parker can also come back after a critically lauded season of Weeds. Two time champ Patricia Heaton earned raves for her portrayal in The Middle, and Courteney Cox may finally get to hear her name have Emmy nominee title on it. I’m betting on Raising Hope’s white trash mom Martha Plimpton to nab the last spot because Emmys love ’em white trash moms.
SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
• Ty Burrell, “Modern Family”
• Chris Colfer, “Glee”
• Jesse Tyler Ferguson, “Modern Family”
• Neil Patrick Harris, “How I Met Your Mother”
• Ed O’Neill, “Modern Family”
• Eric Stonestreet, “Modern Family”
Last year, the Modern Family guys made a strong showing in this category. For this year, I expect a stronger showing as I predict all four guys to get in. First off, current Emmy champ Eric Stonestreet will have no trouble getting nominated this year though he mgiht have trouble choosing tapes. Then Ty Burrell, who is the most consistent among the MF guys, getting an individual SAG nom and a TCA nom as well is sure in. Veteran Ed O’Neill can finally hear his name called out on Thursday morning as he finally gets his first Emmy nomination for the same show as well. Lastly, I expect Jesse Tyler Ferguson to get a repeat nomination. When he managed to pop up last year as a surprise nominee, I think that already made his mark to the voters and a repeat nomination is highly possible. As for the other two, Globe winner and SAG nominee Chris Colfer had a breakout year, and will probably add another nomination to his name this year. After everything Ryan Murphy did to Kurt for him, he’ll surely have a nervous breakdown if Colfer won’t get in. The last spot goes to perennial nominee Neil Patrick Harris who has two Emmys yet but never for his role as the legen…wait for it..dary Barney Stinson. The only spoiler I see is Nick Offerman for Parks & Recreation but I can’t choose which MF guy will he replace so I’m just choosing him as my seventh nominee.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
• Julie Bowen, “Modern Family”
• Jane Krakowski, “30 Rock”
• Jane Lynch, “Glee”
• Sofia Vergara, “Modern Family”
• Betty White, “Hot in Cleveland”
• Krsiten Wiig, “Saturday Night Live”
the Supporting Actress line up will probably be similar as to what last year looked like except for one woman. First off, Emmy host Jane Lynch despite bewing thrown under the bus by Murphy this season will still hear her name called come Emmy morning as she gets another nomination for her role as Sue Sylvester. Then both Modern Family moms Julie Bowen and Sofia Vergara will have no trouble getting in this year as well. With the breakout of the film Bridesmaids, it helped Kristen Wiig receive major buzz for her performance this year so a third consecutive nomination is justified already. The same applies for Jane Krakowski whose scene-stealing Jenna is still a 30 Rock highlight. Holland Taylor could have made the line up (just like last year) but with all the negative publicity towards Two and Half Men, I feel Emmy voters to stray away from the series this year. The last slot is definitely between two Hot in Cleveland ladies: Wendie Malick who is no stranger in this category can get in for her actress role, but even her starpower can’t beat SAG winner this year Betty White whose role Elka Ostrovsky is pur Emmy bait.
GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
• Alan Alda, “30 Rock”
• Nathan Lane, “Modern Family”
• John Lithgow, “How I Met Your Mother”
• Carl Reiner, “Hot in Cleveland”
• John Slattery, “30 Rock”
• Justin Timberlake, “Saturday Night Live”
This is a very interesting category as we see no repeat nominee from last year. First off, John Slattery follows the footsteps of Mad Men co-star Jon Hamm last year as he’ll be getting in double nominations for this year with Mad Men, and his funny stint in 30 Rock. After winning last year for the killer drama Dexter, John Lithgow changed genres this season as he plays the role of Barney Stinson’s father in How I Met Your Mother. Veteran Carl Reiner easily gets in as Betty White’s lover in Hot in Cleveland as well as Nathan Lane as socialite diva Pepper Saltzman in Modern Family. Former winner in this race Justin Timberlake hosts Saturday Night Live season finale, and thus gives him a frontrunner status in this category. The last spot can go to whole bunch of movie stars: Liam Neeson as the beekeeper in The Big C, 30 Rock’s pilot Matt Damon or the SNL episode where in Jim Carrey hosted. Darren Criss can also get in as Chris Colfer’s boyfriend in Glee but I went with the safe route and chose Alan Alda who was already nominated before for his same stint on 30 Rock.
GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
• Tina Fey, “Saturday Night Live”
• Cloris Leachman, “Raising Hope”
• Cynthia Nixon, “The Big C”
• Gwyneth Paltrow, “Glee”
• Amy Poehler, “Saturday Night Live”
• Elaine Stritch, “30 Rock”
Tina Fey has been a staple in this category already and that will be more solidified by a third consecutive nomination for her hosting stint in Saturday Night Live. Speaking of consecutive, hilarious guest star Elaine Stritch will definitely get a fifth consecutive nom as Mrs. Donaghy in 30 Rock. Gwyneth Paltrow is Glee’s biggest guest star this season and her fun turn as Holly Holliday is something the Emmys won’t fail to nominate. The same applies for Emmy’s biggest winner Cloris Leachman as she gets the scene stealing Maw-maw role in Raising Hope. Even after Sex and the City, Cynthia Nixon continues to rake in both nods and win so her role in The Big C will probably give her another nomination. The last spot is tricky as it can go to one of the Glee women Kristen Chenoweth or Carol Burnett, Modern family women Shelley Long or Celia Weston, 30 Rock’s Sherri Shepherd, Parks and Recreation’s Megan Mullally or Hot in Cleveland’s Mary Tyler Moore. I choose Saturday Night Live’s Amy Poehler though as she gets to have a great year for her, and will probably be nominated for her work here in the same vein as Tina Fey.
So do you agree? Disagree? What do you think? Pipe in your comments below! 🙂 And take the time off to read the first part as well. 🙂
TOMORROW: MINISERIES, REALITY AND VARIETY CATEGORIES.