Tomorrow is the 69th edition of the Golden Globe Awards, and while their intention of giving awards has been questionable for some (Are they awarding who they think is the best? Or are they awarding who they think has a shot at the Oscars?), it is still one of the more prominent stops on an actor’s road to the Oscar.
Best Motion Picture, Drama
The Ides of March
PREDICTION: The Descendants. It was the perceived frontrunner all along.
SPOILER: Hugo. With sudden late surge of love, HFPA might want to be the first to honor it.
Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
Midnight in Paris
My Week With Marilyn
PREDICTION: The Artist. Oscar frontrunner and likely Best Picture winner.
SPOILER: Bridesmaids. The breakout comedy of the year, and the HFPA might can’t resist giving it a win. After all, The Hangover won two years ago.
Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
PREDICTION: George Clooney, The Descendants. He is nominated for four categories this year. They love him. He hasn’t won in this category before, and it will complete his Film Acting Globe trophies.
SPOILER: Brad Pitt, Moneyball. The only one who can beat Clooney. Overdue for a Best Actor win, and this is the place where the Globes can reward Moneyball.
Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
Jean DuJardin, The Artist
Brendon Gleeson, The Guard
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, 50/50
Ryan Gosling, Crazy Stupid Love
Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris
PREDICTION: Jean DuJardin, The Artist. Hands down, the frontrunner in this one.
SPOILER: Ryan Gosling, Crazy Stupid Love. A consolation for having a good year and a good body to boot. This is his 4th nomination, so he’s kinda overdue as well.
Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
PREDICTION: Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady. They can’t resist Meryl playing Thatcher. This is the type of performance they usually recognize.
SPOILER: Viola Davis, The Help. Meryl has seven Globes already, and they haven’t rewarded any black actress in this category so far. This might be the next in Viola’s train of awards.
Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
Jodie Foster, Carnage
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
Kate Winslet, Carnage
PREDICTION: Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn. No question, the automatic winner in this category.
SPOILER: Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids. Unless they want to spread the wealth and they want to reward a true comedic performance this year. Slim chance of happening though.
Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
PREDICTION: Christopher Plummer, Beginners. A simple stop on his way to the Oscars. Globe-less still.
SPOILER: Albert Brooks, Drive. The only possible spoiler, yet he has been awarded y the Globes before.
Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
PREDICTION: Octavia Spencer, The Help. Like Plummer, it’s just one of those simple stops on her way to the Kodak Theater.
SPOILER: Berenice Bejo, The Artist. The Artist seems to be the type of movie they’ll go batshit crazy for, so Bejo can be along the love train.
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
George Clooney, The Ides of March
Michael Hazanavicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
PREDICTION: Michael Hazanavicius, The Artist. Like others, a simple stop on his way to the Oscars.
SPOILER: Martin Scorsese, Hugo. They’ve awarded Scorsese only once before, and it’s almost a decade since his last win (for Gangs of New York).
Best Screenplay, Motion Picture
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
George Clooney, Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon, The Ides of March
Michael Hazanavicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxwon and Jim Rash, The Descendants
Steve Derian and Aaron Sorkin, Moneyball
PREDICTION: Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris. The only place where they can honor Midnight in Paris.
SPOILER: Alexander Payne, Nat Faxwon and Jim Rash, The Descendants. When all else fails for The Descendants, they can always count on a Screenplay mention. Payne is somewhat a favorite here.
Best Foreign Language Film
The Flowers of War, China
In the Land of Blood and Honey, USA
The Kid With the Bike, Belgium
A Separation, Iran
The Skin I Live In, Spain
PREDICTION: A Separation, Iran. They can’t resist giving it to the multi-awarded film of the year. It will match them with the Oscars, which is good for their track record.
SPOILER: In the Land of Blood and Honey, USA. Angie Jolie thanking Brad Pitt onstage. ‘nuff said.
Best Animated Feature Film
The Adventures of Tintin
Puss in Boots
PREDICTION: The Adventures of Tintin. Possible place where they can award both Peter Jackson and Steven Spielberg. Globes might think this it an opportunity they can’t resist.
SPOILER: Rango. The more well received film can still sneak in and get the Globe.
Best Original Song, Motion Picture
“Hello, Hello,” Elton John and Bernie Taupin; Gnomeo & Juliet
“The Keeper,” Chris Cornell; Machine Gun Preacher
“Lay Your Head Down,” Brian Byrne and Glenn Close; Albert Nobbs
“The Living Proof,” Mary J. Blige, Thomas Newman, Harvey Mason Jr. and Damon Thomas, The Help
“Masterpiece,” Madonna, Julie Frost, Jimmy Harry; W.E.
PREDICTION: “Lay Your Head Down,” Brian Byrne and Glenn Close; Albert Nobbs. This is the only place where they can reward Glenn Close, so they might take their chance.
SPOILER: “Masterpiece,” Madonna, Julie Frost, Jimmy Harry; W.E. HFPA loves Madonna to the point that they chose her over eventual Oscar winner Frances McDormand in 1997.
Best Original Score, Motion Picture
The Artist, Ludovic Bource
W.E., Abel Korzeniowski
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo, Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
Hugo, Howard Shore
War Horse, John Williams
PREDICTION: The Artist, Ludovic Bource. Perceived frontrunner in this category.
SPOILER: The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo, Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross. Current winners in this category. They can easily do a repeat.
Best TV Movie or Miniseries
Too Big to Fail
PREDICTION: Downton Abbey. I think the Globes cannot resist to follow Emmy’s suit with this choice.
SPOILER: Mildred Pierce. But then again, Globes TV = HBO. They can easily choose this just for pedigree of the people involved.
Best TV Series, Drama
American Horror Story
Game of Thrones
PREDICTION: Homeland. Fits in the category of new acclaimed series that the HFPA loves to award.
SPOILER: Game of Thrones. Breakout critical and commercial success of the year. However, new season hasn’t aired yet, and last season ended almost eight months ago.
Best TV Series, Comedy
PREDICTION: Modern Family. HFPA’s chance to redeem themselves after awarding Glee twice. They won’t let this opportunity just pass by.
SPOILER: New Girl. Breakout comedy that fits the mold of HFPA’s picks.
Best Actor in a TV Series, Drama
Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Kelsey Grammer, Boss
Jeremy Irons, The Borgias
Damian Lewis, Homeland
PREDICTION: Kelsey Grammer, Boss. TV legend into his first drama foray. They nominated it to Series as well, so they might honor it with a win here.
SPOILER: Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad. Every now and then, HFPA loves to play catch up (Mariska Hargitay and Michael C. Hall), Cranston fits that bill.
Best Actor, TV Series Comedy
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
David Duchovny, Californication
Johnny Galecki, The Big Bang Theory
Thomas Jane, Hung
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
PREDICTION: Matt LeBlanc, Episodes. In a process of elimination, the one whose show is nominated for Comedy Series and is still Globeless can easily win here. After all, they nominated him for Joey.
SPOILER: Johnny Galecki, The Big Bang Theory. They chose him over Jim Parsons. That might indicate solid support from the HFPA.
Best Actress in a TV Series, Drama
Claire Danes, Homeland
Mireille Enos, The Killing
Julianna Marguiles, The Good Wife
Madeleine Stowe, Revenge
Callie Thorne, Necessary Roughness
PREDICTION: Claire Danes, Homeland. Danes will get in 3/3 for all her Globe noms. Young actress who is in a critical and commercial hit show. Easy repeat win for Danes.
SPOILER: Madeleine Stowe, Revenge. Former A+ movie star who got in over eventual lead of her series. This can be another case of a Katey Sagal win.
Best Actress in a TV Series, Comedy
Laura Dern, Enlightened
Zooey Deschanel, New Girl
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Laura Linney, The Big C
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
PREDICTION: Zooey Deschanel, New Girl. In the veins of America Ferrera and Mary Louise Parker, lead actress getting acclaim on a show that she headlines. Easy win for Deschanel.
SPOILER: Laura Dern, Enlightened. Same reasons as Deschanel, only disadvantages were she’s on cable, and the show isn’t as well received as New Girl, plus she already has two Globe wins.
Best Actor in a Miniseries or TV Movie
Hugh Bonneville, Downton Abbey
Idris Elba, Luther
William Hurt, Too Big to Fail
Bill Nighy, Page Eight
Dominic West, The Hour
PREDICTION: William Hurt, Too Big to Fail. Veteran that can win because there’s no place to reward Too Big To Fail which got three noms. Plus, weak competition.
SPOILER: Idris Elba, Luther. The only other viable contender who was also nominated last year. They can give him a win for both noms.
Best Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie
Romala Garai, The Hour
Diane Lane, Cinema Verite
Elizabeth McGovern, Downton Abbey
Emily Watson, Appropriate Adult
Kate Winslet, Mildred Pierce
PREDICTION: Kate Winslet, Mildred Pierce. Easy pick. There’s not even a spoiler here. Now watch her get shocked as if she didn’t see her coming.
SPOILER: Diane Lane, Cinema Verite. Just pick a random name out of the remaining nominees, and her name is what I got.
Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Mini-Series or TV Movie
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Paul Giamatti, Too Big to Fail
Guy Pearce, Mildred Pierce
Tim Robbins, Cinema Verite
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
PREDICTION: Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones. Respected character actor who will likely give a wonderful speech. This is also the only place where they can honor Game of Thrones. His Emmy helps him also to win here.
SPOILER: Guy Pearce, Mildred Pierce. The type of role that wins award. He has a larger chance of winning if Kate Winslet is not in the running.
Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Miniseries, or TV Movie
Jessica Lange, American Horror Story
Kelly MacDonald, Boardwalk Empire
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
Evan Rachel Wood, Mildred Pierce
PREDICTION: Jessica Lange, American Horror Story. Certified scene stealer in a Ryan Murphy show? Check. Respected veteran actress who has won in a long time already? Check. Easy win for Lange.
SPOILER: Evan Rachel Wood, Mildred Pierce. Every now and then, Globes prefer their hot young thing (think of Kate Hudson, Natalie Portman, Jennifer Garner). Evan Rachel Wood fits that category, and can easily sail to a win especially if Globes have a Mildred Pierce hard on.
What about you? What are your Globe predictions?