Hello there, and welcome to Tit for Tat! I’m in the middle of coming up with my 64th Primetime Emmy Awards nomination predictions that will be revealed by Kerry Washington and Nick Offerman on Thursday morning in Hollywood. This is the third of the four part prediction series that I’m currently doing. The first part covered the reality and variety genres which you can see here, while the second aprt covered the TV movie and miniseries ones that you can see here.
Now we’re off to the more major ones, this time covering the nine major categories in the comedy genre. Ready? Here we go:
OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES:
• Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO)
• Louie (FX)
• Modern Family (ABC)
• Parks and Recreation (NBC)
• 30 Rock (NBC)
• Veep (HBO)
Seventh nominee: The Big Bang Theory (CBS)
Yes, yes, I admit I’m pretty foolish not to predict The Big Bang Theory when it’s a guaranteed to get a nomination. I don’t know, but I’m probably in the mood to be riskier when it comes to my series predictions this year. Frost things first, Modern Family will easily reap its third consecutive nomination (and most likely its third win) and probably the safest bet for a nod. The same can be said for NBC comedies 30 Rock and Parks and Recreation who enjoyed positive critical reaction this past season. Curb Your Enthusiasm is HBO’s most successful comedy to get the most number of Series nominations and with another acclaimed season that has passed, it’s also an easy choice for a nomination. As for the last two spots, I’m thinking that voters will be edgier this year by nominating Louie who surprisingly received lots of Emmy love last year in terms of nominations, so I can see them totally embracing this show with a Series nod. The last one is HBO’s Veep which I’m not as confident as Louie but the star power of creator Armando Iannucci and star Julia Louis Dreyfus combo might be too hard to resist for voters. However, I won’t be shocked if Big Bang Theory replaces Veep, but as for now, I’m sticking with the Selena Myers show.
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock”
• Louis C.K, “Louie”
• Jon Cryer “Two and a Half Men”
• Larry David, “Curb Your Enthusiasm”
• Johnny Galecki, “The Big Bang Theory”
• Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory”
Seventh nominee: Don Cheadle, “House of Lies”
I’ll start this one by saying that I miss predicting Steve Carell here. LELZ. Anyway, this is somnewhat a weak year for lead comedy actors in terms of range of who to nominate so the past two winners Alec Baldwin and Jim Parsons are sure bets for nominations. Past nominees Larry David and Louis CK are also too loved by ATAS so they get easy access to noms as well. I’m predicting Jon Cryer especially since it has been tested how much the Academy loves his Alan Harper role getting nominated the last five times and even netting one upset in 2009. The last spot is up for grabs between House of Lies’ Don Cheadle and Big Bang Theory’s Johnny Galecki, but I’m being safe choosing Galecki since the love for Parsons might extend to his castmate.
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Laura Dern, “Enlightened”
• Lena Dunham, “Girls”
• Tina Fey, “30 Rock”
• Laura Linney, “The Big C”
• Julia Louis Dreyfus, “Veep”
• Amy Poehler, “Parks and Recreation”
Seventh nominee: Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie”
If Lead Actor is pretty limited when it comes to options, Lead Actress is pretty much stacked. There’s literally a plethora of names that can be considered to get nominated here. Good friends and SNL alums Tina Fey and Amy Poehler can be counted to easily reap noms this year for their consistent hilarious performances week in and week out in 30 Rock and Parks and Recreation respectively. Then there’s Emmy favorite Julia Louis Dreyfus in another hilarious and star making performance as the Vice President of the country in Veep. The next pair that I’m predicting is a pair of Laura. Laura Linney can easily gain a repeat nomination as cancer-stricken Cathy in The Big C especially with a good history with the Emmys (her loss last year was a first after a perfect 3/3 Emmy record). I’m pretty skeptical predicting Laura Dern but this batshit type of role is something that Emmys love to nominate, plus her staggering star power might be too hard to resist for them. As for the last spot, I considered current champ Melissa McCarthy but she’s a likelier frontrunner in another category, New Girl’s Zooey Deschanel but it seems too fluff for the typical Emmy voter’s age range, Raising Hope’s Martha Plimpton but she seems to be the victim of the overload of contenders this year, and Nurse Jackie’s Edie Falco who I can still see making it this year. Instead, I took the riskier bait of going with Girl’s Lena Dunham who seems to be enjoying the same amount of critical exposure that Louis CK got last year which might tend to lead with both an acting and a writing nomination.
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Ty Burrell, “Modern Family”
• Jesse Tyler Ferguson, “Modern Family”
• Neil Patrick Harris, “How I Met Your Mother”
• Nick Offerman, “Parks and Recreation”
• Ed O’Neill, “Modern Family”
• Eric Stonestreet, “Modern Family”
Seventh nominee: Max Greenfield, “New Girl”
This is probably the easiest category to predict since the four Modern Family guys seem to be safe again for another year of nominations. Nick Offerman’s buzz seems to gain as each season passes and between Parks and Recreation’s increasing number of noms each year and him being tasked to announce the noms, a nod seems logical the most this year. The last slot can still go to Glee’s Chris Colfer if they really, really love him, or New Girl’s Max Greenfield though I think it’s a tag team between him and Zooey Deschanel meaning if one gets noticed, the other gets in too and vice versa. However, I think Neil Patrick Harris will get in this year especially after another marvelous Tony performance and an increased ratings for How I Met Your Mother this year.
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Julie Bowen, “Modern Family”
• Jane Krakowski, “30 Rock”
• Cloris Leachman, “Raising Hope”
• Sofia Vergara, “Modern Family”
• Betty White, “Hot in Cleveland”
• Kristen Wiig, “Saturday Night Live”
Seventh nominee: Jane Lynch, “Glee”
Another category that seems to be static this year, here’s hoping that we’ll get a surprise nod but so far, I think it’s between the seven ladies. Like in the supporting actor categories, both Modern Family women are easy bets for nominations this year regardless of their season performances. The love for Betty White doesn’t seem to die down so a nod for her is assured. Now Oscar nominee Kristen Wiig who spent her last season in Saturday Night Live not only locked her chances for a nomination, but increased her chances for a win as well. The newbie I predict to be welcomed in this club is the real Emmy queen Cloris Leachman who is Emmy’s most loved comedienne (yes, even more than Betty) and after her Guest Actress nod last year, it is safe to say that she’ll easily land another nod as Maw Maw in Raising Hope. The last spot is between the two Janes: Jane Lynch in Glee and Jane Krakowski in 30 Rock. I’d just base it on the fact that this is Jenna’s best season yet while it is Sue’s worst. With that, I stick with Krakowski for my sixth prediction here.
OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Alan Alda, “The Big C”
• Will Arnett, “30 Rock”
• Matt Bomer, “Glee”
• Jimmy Fallon, “Saturday Night Live”
• Michael J. Fox, “Curb Your Enthusiasm”
• Mick Jagger, “Saturday Night Live”
Seventh nominee: Greg Kinnear, “Modern Family”
Will Arnett is 30 Rock’s perennial nominee in this category, so I’m feeling that he’ll easily get another one this year as Alec Baldwin’s arch rival. Michael J Fox is also one of the most buzzed about guest performances this season, and he seems to be a regular in the guest acting categories the past few years so he might be seeing another nod again this year. Jimmy Fallon has one of the most buzzed about SNL hosting stint this year, and I think the Emmys love him so much so a nod for the past Emmy host is guaranteed as well. Matt Bomer is one of the year’s breakout stars and between Magic Mike, and White Collar, I guess he will receive a nod for his Glee stint especially since Glee does well in the Guest Acting categories. Alan Alda is also another Emmy darling and The Big C is also nominated here last year so that seems such a positive sign for an Alda nod. The last spot is between Modern Family’s Greg Kinnear and Saturday Night Live’s Mick Jagger and I’m giving Jagger the edge since he might receive a Betty White type of easy nom since it’s his first hosting stint and SNL’s season finale together with Kristen Wiig’s departure. That might eb enough for him to be carried with an Emmy nod.
OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Ellen Barkin, “Modern Family”
• Kathy Bates, “Two and a Half Men”
• Blythe Danner, “Up All Night”
• Melissa McCarthy, “Saturday Night Live”
• Maya Rudolph, “Saturday Night Live”
• Elaine Stritch, “30 Rock”
Seventh nominee: Patricia Clarkson, “Parks and Recreation”
Okay let’s start this one by saying that Elaine Stritch probably will get back especially since she’s been nominated four times for this role with one win as Mrs. Donaghy. I’m predicting two Saturday Night Live hostesses this year: the one being current Emmy champ Melissa McCarthy’s tour de force performance and the other one being past alum Maya Rudolph. Tony winner Ellen Barkin seems to be getting a lot of buzz for her Modern Family stint, and that’s the only reason why I’m predicting her. Kathy Bates as the soul of Charlie Harper might be too baity and hard to resist for voters so I’m expecting a nod for her. The last spot is between two Oscar nominated actresses: the first one is Blythe Danner’s performance as Christina Applegate’s mom in Up All Night and the second is Patricia Clarkson as Tammy 1 in Parks and Rec. I went to predict Danner because her role is showier and a past Emmy favorite in this category.
OUTSTANDING DIRECTING IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Curb Your Enthusiasm (Palestinian Chicken)
• Modern Family (After the Fire)
• Modern Family (Aunt Mommy)
• 30 Rock (Live From Studio 6H)
• Veep (Baseball)
Sixth nominee: Louie (Duckling)
Like last year, I’m predicting to have multiple Modern Family episodes in this category, and Aunt Mommy and After the Fire are their two best bets for nominations here. The 30 Rock Live Show episode was nominated last year, and I see the same happening this year with their Live From Studio 6H episode. The Palestinian Chicken episode of Curb Your Enthusiasm won the DGA for Comedy Episode this year, so it seems a safe bet and even the frontrunner for the win. The last prediction I give to Veep’s Baseball since it has the Bush 9/11 reference plus Armando Iannuci’s best shot for a nod though I wouldn’t be totally surprised if they give Louis CK the full treatment with acting, writing, producing, and directing nominations this year. Among those four though, directing is the least likely.
OUTSTANDING WRITING IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Community (Remedial Chaos Theory)
• Girls (Pilot)
• Louie (Pregnant)
• Modern Family (Aunt Mommy)
• Modern Family (Leap Day)
Sixth nominee: Parks and Recreation (The Debate)
Like in the directing category, I think the Modern Family love will lead them to be the only multiple nominated series this year. This year, I’m predicting Aunt Mommy and Leap Day as their entries here based from their writing submissions. Also, I see them rewarding both Louis CK and Lena Dunham writing nods as recognition to their overall performances as the leads in Louie and Girls respectively. The last one is pretty much a longshot as Community is off Emmy’s radar, but the episode is too big to ignore and if ever the show manages to have any breakthrough at the major categories, I’m expecting that the writing branch will be the first one to recognize the show. Once this won’t work though, maybe Amy Poehler can add a writing nomination to her acting one for The Debate episode of Parks and Recreation.
How about you? What are your predictions? Will Girls make a scene in the nominations scene? Can Community really make a breakthrough? And can Chris Colfer gain a third consecutive nod? Pipe them in at the Comments section!