2005: Paul Newman, “Empire Falls” [CORRECT]
2006: Jeremy Irons, “Elizabeth I” [CORRECT]
2007: Thomas Haden Church, “Broken Trail” [CORRECT]
2008: Tom Wilkinson, “John Adams” [CORRECT]
2009: Tom Courtenay, “Little Dorrit” [WRONG]
2010: David Strathairn, “Temple Grandin” [CORRECT]
2011: Guy Pearce, “Mildred Pierce” [CORRECT]
2012: Ed Harris, “Game Change” [WRONG]
Hi, you are still following my 2013 Emmy coverage, and I’m in the middle of doing my Emmy predictions for this year (you can check lead actor in a miniseries and supporting actress in a miniseries). Now it’s time to move the spotlight to the supporting actors of the past year’s miniseries TV movies and miniseries. This is a fairly good bunch of nominees, with John Benjamin Hickey being a pleasant surprise nominee, and with supposed to be 2x Emmy nominee this year (but ended up with 0 nods in total) Jeffrey Tambor for Phil Spector.
This year, we get two actors from American Horror Story: Asylum nominated here. Oscar nominee James Cromwell is up for his turn as the asylum doctor. This is such a departure from his most prominent perceived work in Babe: Pig in the City. Alongside him is movie star Zachary Quinto who already won the Critics Choice TV Award in this category for his performance in the same show. Between this and his summer movie Star Trek, Quinto has the advantage over his co-star.
If there’s one actor who I possibly thought has a shot in getting nominated here for The Big C: Hereafter, it’s three time Emmy nominee Oliver Platt. That’s why I’m surprised (and a great one at that) that it ended up with John Benjamin Hickey getting the nod instead. As the unique and standout brother of Cathy Jameson, Hickey’s performance is very noticeable and easy to warm up to, and it can work in his favor among voters in this category.
Peter Mullan is not a household name in the United States though many here have already heard him before in his previous roles in other Jane Campion production. In Top of the Lake, he takes a role that I can call as a vital supporting one. Think of John Hawkes in Winter’s Bone or Dwight Henry in Beasts of the Southern Wild. With a female lead in tow, he gets the biggest male role and it’s usually one that gets awards. However, with his close to unknown status, I don’t know if Emmys will reward him with the win.
Lastly, there’s Scott Bakula. At first, it’s really surprising how he ended up being the lone supporting actor rewarded with a nomination for Behind the Candelabra (as opposed to more predicted co-stars Rob Lowe and Dan Aykroyd). But one does need to know that he was elected an important position among the Screen Actors Guild just this year, and that usually translates well with Emmy voters. His performance in the Soderbergh directed drama is okay, and if he manages to win, it’s not even the worst among past winning performances here in this category.
With no solid frontrunner in this category, the Emmy could actually go to any of the five nominees. With that said I’ll probably go the safe route and predict the SAG chairperson for the win. This somehow reminded me of the same category in 2009 with then SAG president Ken Howard winning despite not a stand out role for Grey Gardens. I’m using the same argument here in predicting Scott Bakula for the win. If not him, then the buzz for Zachary Quinto might end up with an Emmy win alongside his TV CCA win.
Prediction: Scott Bakula, “Behind the Candelabra”
Runner-Up: Zachary Quinto, “American Horror Story: Asylum”
1. Scott Bakula, “Behind the Candelabra”
2. Zachary Quinto, “American Horror Story: Asylum”
3. John Benjamin Hickey, “The Big C: Hereafter”
4. Peter Mullan, “Top of the Lake”
5. James Cromwell, “American Horror Story: Asylum”
As always, you can follow me on Twitter: @nikowl