65th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series   3 comments

supp actor drama

PAST PREDICTIONS:

2005: Terry O’Quinn, “Lost[WRONG]
2006:
Alan Alda, “The West Wing[CORRECT]
2007:
Michael Imperioli, “The Sopranos[WRONG]
2008:
Zeljko Ivanek, “Damages[CORRECT]
2009:
Christian Clemenson, “Boston Legal[WRONG]
2010:
Andre Braugher, “Men of a Certain Age[WRONG]
2011:
Peter Dinklage, “Game of Thrones[CORRECT]
2012:
Jared Harris, “Mad Men” [WRONG]

Now off to the supporting female counterparts, let’s shift the moment on to the men’s side. Last year, Aaron Paul made history by being the first supporting actor who won a second Emmy in this category in fourteen years. This year, he can continue to beat his own record by winning a third one. Let’s see his possible competition.

Jim Carter surprisingly received another nomination for his work in Downton Abbey. Though the love for his show has somewhat cooled down, it still has fire enough in it to pull off some major wins. With that said, it is good on his part to submit he first episode of the third season which runs for almost two episodes already. But with that said, I guess the best part of his nomination this year is that he and his wife Imelda Staunton (nominated for Supporting Actress in a Movie or Miniseries) are both nominated.

2011 winner in this category Peter Dinklage received his third straight nomination for Game of Thrones. It is luck for his part that he won on the season with no Breaking Bad, as he competed in a weaker competition that year. Otherwise, I think he might have joined the ranks of other consistent but no Emmy win nominated guys such as Mad Men’s John Slattery. While he submitted Second Sons as his episode submission, I think there are far and away more frontrunners for him to scoop a second Emmy win.

Last year, Claire Danes invented a funny catchphrase when she mentioned in her speech “MANDY.PATINKIN. Holllaaa!” The same can be said now in this category, as Mandy Patinkin finally gets an overdue nomination for Homeland. This year, he made a terrific submission by going with The Choice, which is the show’s season finale. Add the fact that he is an Emmy veteran with previous wins and is nominated for what is Emmy’s most recent drama champ, and then it’s safe to say he’s in contention this year.

Two time nominee this year is Bobby Cannvale for his work in Nurse Jackie and Boardwalk Empire. Cannavale is one of those subtle favorites of the Emmys. He won one before for his Will & Grace stint, and he continues to rake in nods years after. It is surprising to note that he is the first Boardwalk actor to get nominated in this category, so that might factor in. He only has almost ten minutes of screentime in his submission Sunday Best, but each of his scenes leaves enough impact. His is the tape that does not need enough screentime, as he owns it every time he appears. Sadly though, the Academy has quite moved on from the show, so that can affect his chances.

Lastly, we’re off to two Breaking Bad guys again. Jonathan Banks is a first time nominee here, and it is very great of him to submit Say My Name. it is his best episode of the scene, and the show is a hoot among Emmy voters this year. In fact, it makes him very competitive for the win especially if they want to spread the wealth since co-star Aaron Paul has two Emmys already but…

… it’s Aaron Paul he’s contending with. The same narrative could have propelled Giancarlo Esposito for the win last year, but they decided to give Paul a second win instead. Not that he deserves it since he has a winning tape last year, but the past season of Breaking Bad is definitely one (if not THE) weakest season of Paul in the show. It also didn’t help Banks that Paul submitted Buyout instead. Let’s see if Paul wins a third one or they reserve it for next year.

In my opinion, the consensus in this race is now between Mandy Patinkin who s a respected veteran in a competitive role vs. Aaron Paul who, as proven last year, is loved by the Emmys in his own way. Between the two, I’d give the advantage over at Patinkin. With that said, I think I’m quite going crazy but I guess I have to go with Bobby Cannavale for a surprise win. I really can’t put a solid argument why (that’s why maybe he’ll lose), but I can sense his tape will lead some votes on his way.

Prediction: Bobby Cannavale, “Boardwalk Empire
Runner-Up: Mandy Patinkin, “Homeland

Full Rankings:
1. Bobby Cannavale, “Boardwalk Empire
2. Mandy Patinkin, “Homeland
3. Aaron Paul, “Breaking Bad
4.Jonathan Banks, “Breaking Bad”
5. Peter Dinklage, “Game of Thrones
6. Jim Carter, “Downton Abbey

My predictions in the other Emmy acting categories are available here.

Meanwhile, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

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3 responses to “65th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

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  1. Great post! I’m doing a similar series over at my blog, if you’d like to check it out. Anyway, keep it up.

    • Thank you! I’m checking yours now, and I love your picks for the Actress. Yay for Maslany and Rossum who were both underrated! And of course to the always reliable Danes. 🙂

      • No problem! Yeah, all three are really wonderful actresses. Anyway, the rest of the categories are in “2013 Emmys” and I’ll probably have the last 3 out soon (best drama, best comedy, best lead actor drama). Thanks for reading.

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