71st Golden Globe Awards Winner Predictions   Leave a comment

On Sunday (Monday morning here in Manila),  awards season officially begins with the Golden Globe Awards. It’s the first televised awards show of the season and my favorite thus far because everyone just wants to get drunk to give us memorable moments to cherish. This year, Tina Fey and Amy Poehler serve as the hosts for the second consecutive year. Here are my predictions in all 25 categories.

FILM:

film drama pic

BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
“12 Years A Slave”
“Captain Phillips”
“Gravity”
“Philomena”
“Rush”

PREDICTION: GravityFor the biggest award of the night, it’s surprising that we still have a race. Consensus has it that 12 Years a Slave will sweep up all the way, but I think the populist HFPA group can’t resist to reward a box office critically backed up performer like Gravity ala Avatar in 2009.

ALTERNATE: 12 Years a Slave. Like what I said, it’s the more logical option and probably the safe prediction as well.

film actor drama

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
Chiwetel Ejiofor, “12 Years A Slave
Idris Elba, “Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom
Tom Hanks, “Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, “Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, “All Is Lost

PREDICTION: Chiwetel Ejiofor. Regardless if 12YAS sweeps up or not, Ejiofor will start his road to the Oscar podium with a win here.

ALTERNATE: Matthew McConaughey.  HFPA loves ’em stars, and he’s in a totally baity performance. It’s totally right up their alley.

film actress drama
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE –
DRAMA

Cate Blanchett, “Blue Jasmine”
Sandra Bullock, “Gravity”
Judi Dench, “Philomena”
Emma Thompson, “Saving Mr. Banks”
Kate Winslet, “Labor Day”

PREDICTION: Cate Blanchett. On a night that will put a spotlight to Woody Allen, it’s fitting that his latest leading lady will also win on the same night.

ALTERNATE: Sandra Bullock. If the HFPA goes Gravity heavy, then expect this major actress to win her second in this category.

film drama mc

BEST MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
“American Hustle”
“Her”
“Inside Llewyn Davis”
“Nebraska”
“The Wolf Of Wall Street”

PREDICTION: American Hustle. Most nominated film in this category and Oscar’s Best Picture co-frontrunner.

ALTERNATE: Nebraska. HFPA are big Alexander Payne fans with this last two films winning their respective Best Picture categories. It also received five nominations indicating a huge Globes support.

film actor mc

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Christian Bale, “American Hustle”
Bruce Dern, “Nebraska”
Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Wolf of Wall Street”
Oscar Isaac, “Inside Llewyn Davis”
Joaquin Phoenix, “Her”

PREDICTION: Leonardo di Caprio. Leo is someone who HFPA loves to nominate. This is his eighth nod and his film is peaking at the right time, so I won’t be surprised if they let the starfuckers in them shine and give it to him instead.

ALTERNATE:  Bruce Dern. It’s really gonna be close especially since this is a crowded category, but I’m thinking that since they didn’t go gaga for Wolf of Wall Street, while Nebraska was overnominated, and this can be the only place where they can reward it.

film actress mc

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Amy Adams, “American Hustle”
Julie Delpy, “Before Midnight”
Greta Gerwig, “Frances Ha”
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Enough Said”
Meryl Streep, “August: Osage County”

PREDICTION:  Amy Adams. I never thought this day would come that Amy Adams will be giving a speech, but it seems like stars are aligned for this five time but still Globeless actress unless…

ALTERNATE: Meryl Streep. HFPA’s most nominated and most winning actress is up for a Harvey material. This is only Weinstein’s best chance of a major win here. They’ve rewarded her for Adaptation, Angels in America, Devil Wears Prada, Julie and Julia, and The Iron Lady just the last ten years, so she’s always in contention.

film supp actor

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Barkhad Abdi, “Captain Phillips”
Daniel Bruhl, “Rush”
Bradley Cooper, “American Hustle”
Michael Fassbender, “12 Years A Slave”
Jared Leto, “Dallas Buyers Club”

PREDICTION:  Jared Leto. Also the Oscar frontrunner in this category, I see Globes going with the flow here.

ALTERNATE:  Michael Fassbender. He was nominated already once for 2011’s Shame, and he’s a big star in his own right that can be swept up if HFPA shows some 12YAS major love.

film supp actress

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Sally Hawkins, “Blue Jasmine”
Jennifer Lawrence, “American Hustle”
Lupita Nyong’o, “12 Years A Slave”
Julia Roberts, “August: Osage County”
June Squibb, “Nebraska”

PREDICTION: NOPRAH! Loljk. Jennifer Lawrence. Every now and then, there comes an actress that suddenly becomes an HFPA favorite to the point that it doesn’t matter if they just rewarded her years ago. Angelina Jolie, Nicole Kidman, and Renee Zellweger were some of those. J.Law’s about to enter the circle this year.

ALTERNATE: Lupita Nyong’o. She’s the only alternative here and if she manages to win, then she’s looking good at the Oscars.

film director

BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE
Alfonso Cuaron, “Gravity”
Paul Greengrass, “Captain Phillips”
Steve McQueen, “12 Years A Slave”
Alexander Payne, “Nebraska”
David O. Russell, “American Hustle”

PREDICTION:  Alfonso Cuaron. Gravity is such a director’s achievement that even if 12YAS wins best Picture, Cuaron still wins here.

ALTERNATE: Steve McQueen. Okay just in case they really love 12 Years a Slave.

film screenplay

BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE
“12 Years a Slave”
“American Hustle”
“Her”
“Nebraska”
“Philomena”

PREDICTION: American Hustle. After years of getting lots of nominations, David O. Russell is bound to get his first Globe win.

ALTERNATE: Her. If they’re in the mood to spread the wealth, they’d give this film a win.

foreign language film

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
“Blue is the Warmest Color”
“The Great Beauty”
“The Hunt”
“The Past”
“The Wind Rises”

PREDICTION: Blue is the Warmest Color. Despite being ineligible at the Oscars, this Palme d’or winner has gained so much buzz to lead this to a Globe victory.

ALTERNATE: The Past. Sure it was snubbed at the Oscars, but this Iranian French drama is from the same director of the 2011 victor in this category.

film animated

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
“The Croods”
“Despicable Me 2”
“Frozen”

PREDICTIONS: Frozen. Done deal it’s not even a competition anymore.

ALTERNATE: Despicable Me 2. If they find the minions too irresistible, then they’d go for it.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG – MOTION PICTURE
“Atlas,” Coldplay (“The Hunger Games: Catching Fire”)
“Let It Go,” Idina Menzel (“Frozen”)
“Ordinary Love,” U2 (“Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom”)
“Please Mr. Kennedy,” Oscar Isaac, Justin Timberlake and Adam Driver (“Inside Llewyn Davis”)
“Sweeter Than Fiction,” Taylor Swift (“One Chance”)

PREDICTION: Ordinary Love. This win will hit all the right spots: a Harvey victory, a music legend like Bono, and a win for Mandela. This makes sense especially if they pass up on that Frozen song.

ALTERNATE: Let It Go. Frozen wins its second Globe, though this usually marks the kiss of death at the Oscars so maybe it can maintain its frontrunner status.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE – MOTION PICTURE
“All Is Lost”
“Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom”
“Gravity”
“The Book Thief”
“12 Years A Slave”

PREDICTION: Gravity. I personally hated the film’s score, so this probably means it will end up winning.

ALTERNATE: 12 Years a Slave. Just like Best Picture Drama, they can give both categories to the same film or spread the wealth instead. My instinct says Gravity wins both.

TELEVISION:

tv drama

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
“Breaking Bad”
“Downton Abbey”
“The Good Wife”
“House of Cards”
“Masters of Sex”

PREDICTION: Breaking Bad. It took so long for the Globes to give in to the Bad love, but I think they won’t let the chance pass to reward it as well.

ALTERNATE: House of Cards. This is the type of prestige freshman project that Globes fall hard for, so it can sneak up a win as well.

tv drama actor

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Bryan Cranston, “Breaking Bad”
Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan”
Michael Sheen, “Masters of Sex”
Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards”
James Spader, “The Blacklist”

PREDICTION: Kevin Spacey. For all it’s worth, it’s still surprising that Spacey despite many awards on his mantle is still zero at the Globes. This might be his first legit chance to nab one.

ALTERNATE: Bryan Cranston. Unless they go crazy for Breaking Bad. In that case, Cranston will join those complete with the acting trifecta list of Globes, SAG, and Emmy.

tv drama actress

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Julianna Margulies, “The Good Wife”
Tatiana Maslany, “Orphan Black”
Taylor Schilling, “Orange is the New Black”
Kerry Washington, “Scandal”
Robin Wright, “House of Cards”

PREDICTION: Kerry Washington. TV’s current it girl is on her way to pick up her first award as Olivia Pope. This is such a very Globes-y choice I’d really be surprised if she lose.

ALTERNATE: Tatiana Maslany. If there’s only no Kerry Washington in tow, this multiple personality online cult favorite actress is on her way to win her Golden Globe.

tv comedy

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
“The Big Bang Theory”
“Brooklyn 99”
“Girls”
“Modern Family”
“Parks and Recreation”

PREDICTION: Girls.  With basically no competition, the HFPA might show continuous love to this despite a less buzzed sophomore season.

ALTERNATE: Brooklyn 99. Unless the Globes move on from Girls quickly, it’s the only freshman show in the bunch they can reward.

tv comedy actor

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Jason Bateman, “Arrested Development”
Don Cheadle, “House of Lies”
Michael J. Fox, “The Michael J. Fox Show”
Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory”
Andy Samberg, “Brooklyn 99”

PREDICTION: Michael J. Fox. He last won for Spin City more than a decade ago already, plus he loaned his son as mr. Golden Globe last year. This will be his indirect payment for that.

ALTERNATE: Andy Samberg. Technically, he’s the only one who still hasn’t won an individual Globe here. Plus he’s the young budding comedian they want to be the first to reward.

tv comedy actress

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Zooey Deschanel, “New Girl”
Lena Dunham, “Girls”
Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie”
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
Amy Poehler, “Parks and Recreation”

PREDICTION: Julia Louis Dreyfus. You know it’s such a weak year when there’s no newbie nominee in contention. But then again between this and her Actress in a Comedy/Musical nod, Julia Louis Dreyfus is bound to get her second Golden Globe.

ALTERNATE: Lena Dunham. Lena might be their new Sarah Jessica Parker and just sweeps up awards for Girls.

tv movie mini

BEST MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION“American Horror Story: Coven”
“Behind the Candelabra”
“Dancing on the Edge”
“Top of the Lake”
“White Queen”

PREDICTION: Behind the Candelabra. It’s not even close.

ALTERNATE: Top of the Lake. Likely not gonna happen but just for the sake of an alternate.

tv movie mini actor

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Matt Damon, “Behind the Candelabra”
Michael Douglas, “Behind the Candelabra”
Chiwetel Ejiofor, “Dancing on the Edge”
Idris Elba, “Luther”
Al Pacino, “Phil Spector”

PREDICTION: Michael Douglas. He’s so ahead of this game it’s not even funny.

ALTERNATE: Matt Damon. The only way we see this is unless there’s a tie.

tv movie mini actress

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Helena Bonham Carter, “Burton and Taylor”
Rebecca Ferguson, “The White Queen”
Jessica Lange, “American Horror Story: Coven”
Helen Mirren, “Phil Spector”
Elisabeth Moss, “Top of the Lake”

PREDICTION: Elisabeth Moss. This still Globe unrewarded actress might be Top‘s consolation trophy come Sunday night.

ALTERNATE: Helena Bonham Carter. If the HFPA’s hard-on for their movie stars can’t be controlled, then awarding Helena Bonham Carter for a Liz Taylor performance is hitting two birds with one stone.

tv supporting actor

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Josh Charles, “The Good Wife”
Rob Lowe, “Behind the Candelabra”
Aaron Paul, “Breaking Bad”
Corey Stoll, “House of Cards”
Jon Voight, “Ray Donovan”

PREDICTION: Corey Stoll. An actor of his unknown caliber getting in at the Globes mean that they really like this performance, so I guess I’m going with it.

ALTERNATE: Jon Voight. Legendary Oscar winning actor who has won 3 Globes in the past will likely earn his fourth one.

tv supporting actress

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Jacqueline Bisset, “Dancing on the Edge”
Janet McTeer, “White Queen”
Hayden Panettiere, “Nashville”
Monica Potter, “Parenthood”
Sofia Vergara, “Modern Family”

PREDICTION: Monica Potter. Since the Globes are on NBC, they might give this one instead to their most applauded performance among their dramas.

ALTERNATE: Hayden Panettiere. Who would have thought she’d get in the second year? Maybe this once TV it girl will get her first award.

I’m so excited for the Globes, and let the cray cray begin! As always, you can follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

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