Tit for Tat continues its 66th Primetime Emmy coverage by discussing the winners predictions for this year’s awards ceremony. Over the past week, we have discussed all the rest of the Longform categories from TV Movie to the four acting ones up to yesterday’s Miniseries. That said, it’s enough to finally close this part by completing it with the Writing and Directing ones. Unlike the pas few years though, this year isn’t much of an easy guess. But here’s what I think will happen starting in the Writing categories.
For the Writing category, it’s really The Normal Heart‘s to lose. Larry Kramer is a well known name, and it was one of the more consistently praised parts when it comes to the reviews. This can turn into some sort of a career honor, but a very deserving one indeed. However, there are two more names that can challenge him for the win. First up, there’s Noah Hawley. If the voters prove that they are really head over heels crazy with Fargo, then I can see it sweeping both the directing and writing ones alongside its impending Miniseries win. I think it’s also wise to keep Treme in the conversation. Sure the miniseries hasn’t received much love during its whole course, but I can see this win validating a late apology from the Academy. After all, this category just surprised us last year with the direction it went to, so no frontrunner is really safe here. While less possibility of snatching the win, Sherlock received both directing and writing nods as well and what worked in its favor is that it only focused on one part of the series. Coven finally enters the race, but I think the nomination is its reward even if it has Ryan Murphy on the writing credits. After all, his other project is the one poised to win awards. Lastly, Luther scoops up its second Writing nod, but I feel it’s a filler more than anything else. That said, this category is really ripe for upset that I’m going to take a risk and predict Sherlock to win in the end.
Prediction: Steven Moffat, “Sherlock: His Last Vow”
Alternate: Noah Hawley, “Fargo (The Crocodile’s Dilemma)”
01. Steven Moffat, “Sherlock: His Last Vow”
02. Noah Hawley, “Fargo (The Crocodile’s Dilemma)”
03. Larry Kramer, “The Normal Heart”
04. David Simon, Eric Overmyer, “Treme”
05. Ryan Murphy, Brad Falchuk, “American Horror Story: Coven (Bitchcraft)”
06. Neil Cross, “Luther”
Now while The Normal Heart is what I’m predicting for Writing, I think the voters will spread the love and give Fargo the advantage here. After all, it received two nominations in this category, but then again it can vote split its possibilities granted there are two options for them to reward to. The safer choice, of course, is The Crocodile’s Dilemma since it’s the pilot episodes of the series. But then, Buridan’s Ass has that very big climax gun scene that , in my opinion, is the better directed of the two nominees. I’m sticking with the pilot though. In the event of a vote splitting, then watch out for Ryan Murphy to win this one too. I mean I really won’t be shocked if he does win this since I think there’s a large part of the voting bloc that will just go crazy with The Normal Heart and check it in all their ballots, so watch out for him. Oscar nominee Stephen Frears is also nominated for Muhammad Ali’s Greatest Fight, but I think his name won’t manage to bring him all the way to a victory, but it’s more than enough to natch himself a nomination. The flashy aspect of Bitchcraft might be appealing for some, though the nature of the episode might still be hard to overcome for voters. After the surprise overperformance at the Creative Emmys, I tend to think that Sherlock can be a dark horse in here.
Prediction: Colin Bucksey, “Fargo (The Crocodile’s Dilemma)”
Alternate: Nick Hurran, “Sherlock: His Last Vow“
01. Colin Bucksey, “Fargo (The Crocodile’s Dilemma)”
02. Nick Hurran, “Sherlock: His Last Vow“
03. Ryan Murphy, “The Normal Heart”
04. Adam Bernstein, “Fargo (Buridan’s Ass)”
05. Stephen Frears, “Muhammad Ali’s Greatest Fight”
06. Alfonso Gomez-Rejon, “American Horror Story: Coven (Bitchcraft)”
Now that I’m done with the longform series categories, it’s time to move on to the other areas. I originally intended to discuss Reality/Competition and Reality/Competition Host next, but since the submissions aren’t publicized yet, I’m gonna go ahead and tackle the four guest acting categories starting next week! Don’t forget to see the other 2014 Emmy prediction analysis here.
For more Emmy talk, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl