72nd Golden Globe Awards Winner Predictions   2 comments

And we have officially hit awards season! On Sunday night (Monday morning to us here in The Philippines), the Hollywood Foreign Press Association will steamroll the televised awards season derby when they hand out the trophies for the 72nd Golden Globe Awards. The Golden Globes remains to be the biggest Hollywood party every year with booze and Godiva chocolates flowing, as stars of both film and television rub elbows with one another (which translates to movie stars in front and TV stars onn the back) at the Beverly Hilton Hotel. The fantastic duo of Tina Fey and Amy Poehler will host the show for the third consecutive year, and with the Sony hacking and the Amy Adams/Today Show controversy, plus George Clooney now present to receive the Cecil B. DeMille award, we bet he’ll make a reference to that infamous Gravity joke last year. And since the Globes are still about handing recognition, I’ll go on and predict the winners in all 25 categories on who will win (and not who I think should win).

FILM:

drama pic

Best Picture, Drama

“Boyhood”
“Foxcatcher”
“The Imitation Game”
“Selma”
“The Theory of Everything”

PREDICTION: Boyhood. While the Globes try to do their own thing every once in a while, this seems an undeniable frontrunner that its biggest hurdle was if it will get some nomination love. Once it did, it’s Globe Drama Picture win was already signed with a ribbon.

ALTERNATE: Selma. The film is still making some last minute traction, and if there’s one thing the Globes love to honor, it’s a celebration of unity that this seems fitting as an alternate choice for the top prize.

drama lead actor

Best Actor, Drama
Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher”
Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game”
Jake Gyllenhaal, “Nightcrawler”
David Oyelowo, “Selma”
Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything”

PREDICTION: Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything.” Eddie played Stephen Hawking, staying true to his method acting. But his biggest advantage is he has campaigned the most appearing literally everywhere. I’m certain the Globes would bite.

ALTERNATE: Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game.”  Welp it will certainly end up with a relatively young Brit. Let’s see if Harvey had his way with this one.

drama lead actress

Best Actress, Drama
Jennifer Aniston, “Cake”
Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything”
Julianne Moore, “Still Alice”
Rosamund Pike, “Gone Girl”
Reese Witherspoon, “Wild”

PREDICTION: Julianne Moore, “Still Alice.” Sure she ended up having zero wins from the Big 3 critics, but it’s the televised precursors that count, and her double acting nominations this year indicate strong support if anything else.

ALTERNATE: Jennifer Aniston, “Cake.” This would be such a Globe-sy pick to happen. I mean if they bit the “cake”, then might as well go all the way, right HFPA?

musical comedy pic

Best Picture, Musical or Comedy
“Birdman”
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“Into the Woods”
“Pride”
“St. Vincent”

PREDICTION: Birdman. Sure Budapest is slowly catching up and while Birdman’s buzz sizzled a bit, it has been rewarded with multiple nominations to squeak out a win here.

ALTERNATE: The Grand Budapest Hotel. In any other year. I’m certain Into the Woods would have factored in. But with two stronger comedy films in the mix, Budapest seems likelier to unseat Birdman in the event that actually happens.

musical comedy lead actor

Best Actor, Musical or Comedy:
Ralph Fiennes, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Michael Keaton, “Birdman”
Bill Murray, “St. Vincent”
Joaquin Phoenix, “Inherent Vice”
Christoph Waltz, “Big Eyes”

PREDICTION: Michael Keaton, “Birdman.” The HFPA won’t pass up a chance to give a comeback moment to this previous Batman playing a washed up actor in his own film. That’s too meta that the Globes are already creaming in their pants.

ALTERNATE: Ralph Fiennes, “The Grand Budapest Hotel.” Fiennes is one who the Globes love to nominate (remember his double nods in 2009?), though he, along with his film, suffers with competing directly against Birdman.

musical comedy lead actress

Best Actress, Musical or Comedy:
Amy Adams, “Big Eyes”
Emily Blunt, “Into the Woods”
Helen Mirren, “The Hundred-Foot Journey”
Julianne Moore, “Maps to the Stars”
Quvenzhané Wallis, “Annie”

PREDICTION: Emily Blunt, “Into the Woods.” If the Globes nominated you for a film entitled “Salmon Fishing in the Yemen”, you pretty much can pencil in that they love you. Plus, Blunt is a previous winner (albeit for TV), and this could be the place where they can reward Into the Woods.

ALTERNATE: Amy Adams, “Big Eyes.” HFPA voters be like “Screw it, I can’t choose let’s just go with one who’s probably still campaigning for the Oscar.”

film supp actor

Best Supporting Actor
Robert Duvall, “The Judge”
Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood”
Edward Norton, “Birdman”
Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher”
J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash”

PREDICTION: J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash.” He’s the overwhelming favorite for this tour-de-force performance that I’d say he’s pretty much safe in this category…

ALTERNATE: Edward Norton, “Birdman.” …unless they go with one of their usual favorites. Norton has won this category almost two decades ago. I won’t be surprised if there’s some reunion coronation that tips his favor.

film supp actress

Best Supporting Actress
Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood”
Jessica Chastain, “A Most Violent Year”
Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game”
Emma Stone, “Birdman”
Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods”

PREDICTION: Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood.” Another overwhelming favorite, Arquette better prepare her speech for the rest of the season with the sweep that she’s gonna bring.

ALTERNATE: Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods.” The Golden Globes have nominated and awarded Meryl Streep more times than any other actor ever. If that didn’t indicate support, then I don’t know what did.

film director

Best Director
Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Ava DuVernay, “Selma”
David Fincher, “Gone Girl”
Alejandro G. Iñárritu, “Birdman”
Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”

PREDICTION: Richard Linklater, “Boyhood.” Alongside his actress Patricia Arquette, this is an overdue and deserving wait, so let him bask in the spotlight for the rest of the season.

ALTERNATE: Ava Duvernay, “Selma.” This would be a historic win in the making. I don’t think we can easily count her out yet. Both she and the film have the passion to pull off a competition.

film screenplay

Best Screenplay
Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Nicolas Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo, “Birdman”
Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”
Gillian Flynn, “Gone Girl”
Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Graham Moore, “The Imitation Game”

PREDICTION: Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel.” And this is the place where Budapest finally gets it due.

ALTERNATE: Gillian Flynn, “Gone Girl.” Translating your own novel to film is no easy feat, and Flynn makes it much more impressive since hers received great reviews.

foreign language film

Best Foreign Language Film
“Force Majeure,” Sweden
“Gett: The Trial of Viviane Amsalem Gett,” Israel
“Ida,” Poland/Denmark
“Leviathan,” Russia
“Tangerines (Mandariinid),” Estonia

PREDICTION: Ida. For what its worth, it’s also the Oscar frontrunner so just go with the flow.

ALTERNATE: Force Majeuere. This one has been showing up solidly in precursors and critics list. If the HFPA tries to go to a different direction, this would likely be it.

animated film

Best Animated Feature
“Big Hero 6”
“The Book of Life”
“The Boxtrolls”
“How to Train Your Dragon 2”
“The Lego Movie”

PREDICTION: The LEGO Movie. The one two punch of critical and commercial appeal would make this the easy frontrunner in this category.

ALTERNATE: Big Hero 6. While its buzz is still there, it really didn’t hold up string enough to make it at least a competitive race.

Best Original Score
Alexandre Desplat, “The Imitation Game”
Johann Johannsson, “The Theory of Everything”
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, “Gone Girl”
Antonio Sanchez, “Birdman”
Hans Zimmer, “Interstellar”

PREDICTION: Alexandre Desplat, “The Imitation Game.” And this is the place where I can see Imitation Game getting its due. Oh, plus Harvey’s obligatory annual token win.

ALTERNATE: Johann Johannsson, “The Theory of Everything.” Unless they really go in love with Theory  which is the likelier Oscar winner of the two.

Best Original Song
“Big Eyes,” “Big Eyes”
“Glory,” “Selma”
“Mercy Is,” “Noah”
“Opportunity,” “Annie”
“Yellow Flicker Beat,” “The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1″

PREDICTION: “Glory,” “Selma.” This is the place where they could reward Selma a Golden Globe win. Plus, the song’s own merit is universal that it’s right up HFPA’s alley. See U2’s upset here last year over Let It Go.

ALTERNATE: “Big Eyes,” “Big Eyes.” Well when you have three other non-factor nominated songs, this makes it an easy alternate pick. Oh, and let’s not forget that this can also be a part of Harvey Weinstein’s power (See again: U2’s upset here last year over Let It Go.)

TELEVISION:

tv drama

Best Drama Series
“The Affair” (Showtime)
“Downton Abbey” (PBS)
“Game of Thrones” (HBO)
“The Good Wife” (CBS)
“House of Cards” (Netflix)

PREDICTION: The Affair. The lack of multiple new shows here is totally new for the Globes, so I guess let’s just stick with the sole freshman debut series in the line up.

ALTERNATE: House of Cards. And of course we’d also go with the second newest show when it comes to alternates.

tv drama actor

Best Actor, Drama
Clive Owen, “The Knick”
Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan”
Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards”
James Spader, “The Blacklist”
Dominic West, “The Affair”

PREDICTION: Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards.”Despite winning two Oscars and lots of other trophies in his career, Spacey still hasn’t won a Golden Globe. This weak competition can finally change that.

ALTERNATE: Clive Owen, “The Knick.”Oscar nominated actor making his TV transitions? That sounds like an impending Globe win.

tv drama actress

Best Actress, Drama
Claire Danes, “Homeland”
Viola Davis, “How to Get Away With Murder”
Julianna Margulies, “The Good Wife”
Ruth Wilson, “The Affair”
Robin Wright, “House of Cards”

PREDICTION: Viola Davis, “How to Get Away with Murder.” Like really, they should be shipping the trophy at her doorstep already. Besides, Danes, Wright, and Margulies have won already.

ALTERNATE: Ruth Wilson, “The Affair.” Lol even I’m not convinced an alternate exists.

tv comedy

Best Comedy Series
“Girls” (HBO)
“Jane the Virgin” (CW)
“Orange Is the New Black” (Netflix)
“Silicon Valley” (HBO)
“Transparent” (Amazon)

PREDICTION: Orange is the New Black. It’s the critical pop culture staple hit of the bunch. The Globes are dying to reward this new “it”show.

ALTERNATE: Transparent. Welp I think they’re done with rewarding Girls, and Silicon Valley has no other nomination. Maybe they’d go with Jane the Virgin, but this one seems like more alienating.

tv comedy actor

Best Actor, Comedy
Louis C.K., “Louie”
Don Cheadle, “House of Lies”
Ricky Gervais, “Derek”
William H. Macy, “Shameless”
Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent”

PREDICTION:Ricky Gervais, “Derek.” Gervais is a past winner and a notorious Globes name. This smells like an easy win to me.

ALTERNATE: Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent.” Meanwhile, Jeffrey Tambor is the veteran here doing a really challenging gender bender role. That and his show being nominated in series, I think he at least has a chance.

tv comedy actress

Best Actress, Comedy
Lena Dunham, “Girls”
Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie”
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
Gina Rodriguez, “Jane the Virgin”
Taylor Schilling, “Orange Is the New Black”

PREDICTION: Julia Louis Dreyfus, “Veep.” In a surprising twist last year and despite being nominated twice, she still hasn’t won a Globe for this performance. With no Amy Poehler in the mix, this is the perfect scenario for a catch-up win.

ALTERNATE: Gina Rodriguez, “Jane the Virgin.” Sure you’re probably going “whaaaattt” right now but young, hot it girl is a staple for the Globes.

tv movie miniseries

Best Television Movie or Miniseries
“Fargo” (FX)
“The Missing” (Starz)
“The Normal Heart” (HBO)
“Olive Kitteridge”(HBO)
“True Detective” (HBO)

PREDICTION: The Normal Heart. Welp this seems like an HBO dominated one, even if Julia Roberts missed a nod, but the theme of the show will probably make it a bit ahead of the win.

ALTERNATE: True Detective. While this has felt a bit stale already, there’s no denying the impact of the first season, casting coup of the second one be damned.

longform actor

Best Actor, Television Movie or Miniseries
Martin Freeman, “Fargo”
Woody Harrelson, “True Detective”
Matthew McConaughey, “True Detective”
Mark Ruffalo, “The Normal Heart”
Billy Bob Thornton, “Fargo”

PREDICTION:Matthew McConaughey. “True Detective.”Alright alright alright. This is a packed category, but their current Best Actor winner seems like he has the upperhand.

ALTERNATE: Mark Ruffalo, “The Normal Heart.” Between his two nominations, they might throw him a bone especially for this performance.

longform actress

Best Actress, Television Movie or Miniseries
Maggie Gyllenhaal, “The Honorable Woman”
Jessica Lange, “American Horror Story: Freak Show”
Frances McDormand, “Olive Kitteridge”
Frances O’Connor, “The Missing”
Allison Tolman, “Fargo”

PREDICTION: Frances McDormand, “Olive Kitteridge.” Remember when she lost to Madonna for Evita in 1996 only to end up with the actual Oscar? The Globes might play a two-decade catch up. Oh and of course, she was fantastic in the show.

ALTERNATE: Maggie Gyllenhaal, “The Honourable Woman.” This is such a juicy role in the vein of a Claire Danes in Homeland plus she’s an Oscar nominated actress, so that might do the trick.

tv supp actor

Best Supporting Actor, Television
Matt Bomer, “The Normal Heart”
Alan Cumming, “The Good Wife”
Colin Hanks, “Fargo”
Bill Murray, “Olive Kitteridge”
Jon Voight, “Ray Donovan”

PREDICTION: Matt Bomer, “The Normal Heart.” Good looking actor that gives a career-best performance in a role close to his heart? consider all boxes checked.

ALTERNATE: Bill Murray, “Olive Kitteridge.” His is a scene-stealing performance plus he’s double nominated this year as well so might spread the wealth.

tv supp actress

Best Supporting Actress
Uzo Aduba, “Orange Is the New Black”
Kathy Bates, “American Horror Story: Freak Show”
Joanne Froggatt, “Downton Abbey”
Allison Janney, “Mom”
Michelle Monaghan, “True Detective”

PREDICTION: Uzo Aduba, “Orange is the New Black.” The role! The actress! This fits right to the scene-stealer character that usually prevails in this category.

ALTERNATE: Kathy Bates. “American Horror Story: Freak Show.” Well unless they can’t resist the beard lady whose last Globe victory was back in 1998.

The 72nd Golden Globe Awards will be on Sunday, January 11 (Monday morning, January 12 here in Manila.) You can follow me on Twitter for more awards conversation: @nikowl

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2 responses to “72nd Golden Globe Awards Winner Predictions

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  1. We’re almost on every single same page here!

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