After doing some of the program predictions, let’s shift to the acting categories this time around considering the Creative Emmy Awards ceremony is just around the corner. We’ll practice ladies first, so let’s do the funny ladies of Guest Actress in a Comedy Series. With no Orange is the New Black eligible this year, it freed up half of the slots from last year, though this year’s lineup is a combination of both old and new names.
Tina Fey has been a stable in this category the last few years, mostly for her hosting stint in Saturday Night Live. This time around, she’s finally nominated for a role in the series (albeit one she created) for her turn in Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt. Her role as the incompetent prosecutor Marcia has been highlighted in her episode “Kimmy Goes to Court!” where we see her character mostly just reacting to the court scenes. This isn’t a bad episode per se, but more of an instant name checking considering the snubbed performances.
Gaby Hoffmann enters this year’s Emmys with a bang easily garnering two acting nominations in the comedy genre. One is for her role in the Comedy Series nominee Transparent, but her nomination here is for her role as Caroline Sackler. Submitting the season finale “Home Birth”, the title refers around Hoffmann’s character episode. When Caroline goes a month earlier into her labor, we see her scream in pain. It’s a pretty loud and showy performance — literally — considering that Hoffmann was nude in all scenes but one. Birth episodes have worked well in the past (once, even an easy way to win an Emmy), so the trend could continue with Hoffman.
Previously nominated for this role already, Emmy winner Christine Baranski got another nod for her role as Leonard’s mother, Dr. Beverly Hofstadfer. In her submitted episode “The Maternal Combustion”, she visits her son though this time we’ve seen her clashing with Sheldon’s religious mother. While this role has brought Baranski two previous nominations already, she has yet to win for this one. She’s lucky though that co-star Laurie Metcalfe was snubbed since it’s hard to play the straight role against the showy ones (which hurts her chances), but maybe her overdue factor can help her with the Emmy win.
While Pamela Adlon has an Emmy under her name, it’s her first time to be recognized for her acting in Louie. In her episode “Bobby’s House”, her character, bearing the same name as her, went into a cross dressing adventure with Louie leading to a sex scene until she addressed the state of their relationship. The performance ended on a dramatic note, but the general feel of the episode paints her as an aggressive sexual woman which, not surprisingly, can garner her more votes.
In the five seasons that it has been on air, Modern Family has guested big stars from Tyne Daly to Minnie Driver and Ellen Barkin to Carol Burnett. But none of them managed to receive a nod for their work on the show. History was rewritten this year when Elizabeth Banks finally got Modern Family its first Guest Actress nomination. As the couple Cam and Mitchell’s friend Sal, we see another side of Banks’ character be more responsible than the usual in her submission “Fight or Flight.” However, she’s really lacking on the screentime in this episode only appearing in the early minutes only to come back and wrap up her storyline in the last few. I think the success of Pitch Perfect 2 paved the way for this nomination, and add the fact that Banks is well liked in the community. But I don’t think a path to win is that clear.
Lastly, for her role as Sheila Jackson, Joan Cusack receives her fifth consecutive nomination (and her second in the Comedy field). In her episode this year, the season opener “Milk of the Gods”, we find Sheila finally living with now husband Frank. However, her attention is focused on Sammi and Chuckie. Her highlighted scene in this episode is her discovery that they had sex in the living room and picking up the dildo below the sofa. Cusack has loss for far better episodes before, but then again, there isn’t anyone close to a real frontrunner here so that might work in her favor.
The only ones I don’t see winning here are Tina Fey and Elizabeth Banks. Both Joan Cusack and Christine Baranski might end up with the trophy if we’re talking about overdue in terms of nominated performances. However, I’m leaning to the two bolder performances – that of a crossdressing Pamela Adlon and a nude Gaby Hoffmann to dominate. While I won’t be surprised to see Adlon take the plum, Hoffmann’s one two punch of nominations this year is an indication of support that can lead to the win.
Prediction: Gaby Hoffmann, “Girls“
Alternate: Pamela Adlon, “Louie“
01. Gaby Hoffmann, “Girls“
02. Pamela Adlon, “Louie“
03. Joan Cusack, “Shameless”
04. Christine Baranski, “The Big Bang Theory”
05. Elizabeth Banks, “Modern Family”
06. Tina Fey, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
Check my other 2015 Emmy prediction analysis.
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