58th Grammy Awards Winner Predictions   Leave a comment

The biggest night in music comes in two days, and this year is more close than ever. With Kendrick Lamar leading the nods at 11, he’s poised to sweep this year. Then there’s Taylor Swift in her biggest era yet, and The Weeknd also earning seven nominations. The night won’t be shy of memorable performances as well from Adele, to a David Bowie and B.B. King tribute. Now, here are my predictions in 30 different categories among ten different fields.

aoty

ALBUM OF THE YEAR:
Alabama Shakes, Sound and Color
Kendrick Lamar, To Pimp a Butterfly
Chris Stapleton, Traveller
Taylor Swift, 1989
The Weeknd, Beauty Behind the Madness

PREDICTION: Alabama Shakes, “Sound & Color”. While mainstream media is busy painting this as a three-way fightbetween Taylor, Kendrick, and The Weeknd (which also happens to be the three top nomination getter this year), the actual biggest top honor isn’t really among the three. Just like Arcade Fire’s win in 2010, Alabama Shakes will end up with the win here.

ALTERNATE: Chris Stapleton, “Traveller”. If not them, count on the country bloc to support Chris Stapleton all the way to an AOTY victory especially considering that this is his only nod at the General Field this year.

roty

RECORD OF THE YEAR:
D’Angelo and the Vanguard, “Really Love
Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars, “Uptown Funk
Ed Sheeran, “Thinking Out Loud
Taylor Swift, “Blank Space
The Weeknd, “Can’t Feel my Face

PREDICTION: Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars, “Uptown Funk.” Uptown Funk has all the staples of a win here — a song with heavy instruments, relatively huge, a performer they love to nominate. It’s basically pop culture staple that has the respect of the critics as well,. Have you seen how they responded to it during the Superbowl? To say it’s massive is an understatement.

ALTERNATE: The Weeknd, “Can’t Feel My Face.” Only one of the two songs this year to garner both ROTY and SOTY nods, The Weeknd’s homage to Michael is very much in contention to win here.

soty

SONG OF THE YEAR:
Kendrick Lamar, “Alright”
Taylor Swift, “Blank Space”
Little Big Town, “Girl Crush”
Wiz Kahifa feat. Charlie Puth, “See You Again”
Ed Sheeran, “Thinking Out Loud”

PREDICTION: Taylor Swift, “Blank Space”. On her most successful era yet, the Grammys won’t let it pass without giving her a General Field win. AOTY has been achieved five years ago already, it’s time to add another one on the list.

ALTERNATE: Ed Sheeran, “Thinking Out Loud”. This is basically the Academy’s catnip here. Think of white male singer with a heartfelt anthem. They’ve proven their love to Ed by giving him nominations in all Big 4 categories, maybe the next stage is to finally give him wins.

bna

BEST NEW ARTIST:
Courtney Barnett
James Bay
Sam Hunt
Tori Kelly
Meghan Trainor

PREDICTION: Sam Hunt. In a very open race like this, anything can really happen. Count on the country bloc to support their fellow to have their GF win. After all, it’s been six years since a country act has last won in here.

ALTERNATE: James Bay. He;s the only one aside from Hunt to garner multiple nods here. But then again, he’s the type who strikes me as one who got multiple nominations only to lose all of them (see India Arie in 2001, Avril Lavigne in 2002, James Blunt in 2006).

POP FIELD:

pop

POP SOLO PERFORMANCE:
Kelly Clarkson, “Heartbeat Song”
Ellie Goulding, “Love Me Like You Do”
Ed Sheeran, “Thinking Out Loud”
Taylor Swift, “Blank Space”
The Weeknd, “Can’t Feel My Face”

It’s a battle between Taylor and Weeknd again, but expect Taylor to dominate the Pop categories to add to her haul.

PREDICTION: Taylor Swift, “Blank Space”
ALTERNATE: The Weeknd, “Can’t Feel My Face”

POP DUO/GROUP PERFORMANCE:
Florence + The Machine, ” Ship to Wreck”
Maroon 5, “Sugar”
Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars, “Uptown Funk”
Taylor Swift feat. Kendrick Lamar, “Bad Blood”
Wiz Khalifa feat. Charlie Puth, “See You Again”

This seems like an easy win for Mark and Bruno, which I still think will happen unless they want to go one-two punch of a moment between Taylor and Kendrick on stage.

PREDICTION: Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars, “Uptown Funk”
ALTERNATE: Taylor Swift featuring Kendrick Lamar, “Bad Blood”

POP VOCAL ALBUM:
Kelly Clarkson, Piece by Piece
Florence + The Machine, How Big, How Blue, How Beautiful
Mark Ronson, Uptown Special
Taylor Swift, 1989
James Taylor, Before This World

While this is another part of the 1989 sweep that will happen on Grammy night, James Taylor comes a tad close for his first career #1 album. That said, Taylor can breathe as she’s still winning this handily.

PREDICTION: Taylor swift, “1989”
ALTERNATE: James Taylor, “Before This World”

TRADITIONAL POP VOCAL ALBUM:
Tony Bennett & Bill Charlap, The Silver Lining: The Songs of Jerome Kern
Bob Dylan, Shadows in the Night
Josh Groban, Stages
Seth MacFarlane, No One Ever Tells You
Barry Manilow (& Various Artists), My Dream Duets

This has been Bennett’s category for years now, but every now and then there are exceptions. With his hit album,Josh Groban can look at his first Grammy win of his career. Unless they can’t resist rewarding perennial favorite Bob Dylan.

PREDICTION: Josh Groban, “Stages”
ALTERNATE: Bob Dylan, “Shadows in the Night”

DANCE & ELECTRONIC FIELD:

dance recording

DANCE RECORDING:
Above & Beyond feat. Zoë Johnston, :We’re All We Need”
The Chemical Brothers, “Go:
Flying Lotus feat. Kendrick Lamar, “Never Catch Me”
Galantis, “Runaway (U & I)”
Skrillex and Diplo With Justin Bieber, “Where Are Ü Now”

We’re looking at Grammy winner Justin Bieber here. Yup, that’s happening.

PREDICTION: Skrillex, Diplo, Justin BIeber, “Where Are U Now”
ALTERNATE: The Chemical Brothers featuring Q-Tip, “Go”

dance album

DANCE/ELECTRONIC ALBUM:
Caribou, Our Love
The Chemical Brothers, Born in the Echoes
Disclosure, Caracal
Jamie XX, In Colour
Skrillex and Diplo, Skrillex and Diplo Present Jack Ü

At this point, it’s probably a double whammy already for Skrillex, whom they really love in this category. If not them, then maybe critically lauded Jamie xx, can take home the Grammy.

PREDICTION: Skrillex, Diplo,”Skrillex and Siplo Present Jack U”
ALTERNATE: Jamie xx, “In Colour”

ROCK & ALTERNATIVE FIELD:

rock and alternative

ROCK PERFORMANCE:
Alabama Shakes, “Don’t Wanna Fight”
Florence + The Machine,”What Kind Of Man”
Foo Fighters, “Something From Nothing”
Elle King, “Ex’s & Oh’s”
Wolf Alice, “Moaning Lisa Smile”

Consider this the start of Alabama Shakes’ sweep on Grammy night. That said, isn’t it refreshing to have four women vocals in here? I hope this trend continues soon enough to kill the notion that only male artists do know rock.

PREDICTION: Alabama Shakes, “Don’t Wanna Fight”
ALTERNATE: Florence + the Machine, “What Kind of Man”

ROCK SONG:
Alabama Shakes, “Don’t Wanna Fight”
Elle King, “Ex’s & Oh’s”
James Bay, “Hold Back the River”
Highly Suspect, “Lydia”
Florence + the Machine, “What Kind of Man”

File this under another win for Alabama Shakes. That said, James Bay could be the spoiler in this category.

PREDICTION: Alabama Shakes, “Don’t Wanna Fight”
ALTERNATE: James Bay, “Hold Back the River”

ROCK ALBUM:
James Bay, Chaos and the Calm
Death Cab for Cutie, Kintsugi
Highly Suspect, Mister Asylum
Muse, Drones
Slipknot, .5: The Gray Chapter

As mentioned, James Bay is giving me the vibe of that multi-nominated artist who’ll end up with nothing. That plus the narrative of Death Cab for Cutie and their last album makes me think they can pull off the win.

PREDICTION: Death Cab for Cutie, “Kintsugi”
ALTERNATE: James Bay, “Chaos and the Calm”

ALTERNATIVE MUSIC ALBUM:
Alabama Shakes, Sound & Color
Björk, Vulnicura
My Morning Jacket, The Waterfall
Tame Impala, Currents
Wilco, Star Wars

I’m predicting Sound & Color for friggin Album of the Year it just makes sense I’ll predict them here. And before you bring me to Arcade Fire and The Black Keys 2011 upset, I think that’s more of an exception here. If there’s an upset here though, consider Bjork to finally receive her first Grammy.

PREDICTION: Alabama Shakes, “Sound & Color”
ALTERNATE: Bjork, “Vulnicura”

R&B FIELD:

rnb.png

R&B PERFORMANCE
Tamar Braxton, “If I Don’t Have You”
Andra Day, “Rise Up”
Hiatus Kaiyote, “Breathing Underwater”
Jeremih feat. J. Cole, “Planes”
The Weeknd, “Earned It (Fifty Shades of Grey)”

The R&B categories have been difficult to predict the last couple of years, but I think they won’t resist going with The Weeknd in here to officially welcome him to the big leagues. That is unless they reward the more traditional work of Andra Day.

PREDICTION: The Weeknd, “Earned It”
ALTERNATE: Andra Day, “Rise Up”

TRADITIONAL R&B PERFORMANCE:
Faith Evans, “He Is”
Lalah Hathaway, “Little Ghetto Boy”
Jazmine Sullivan, “Let It Burn”
Tyrese, “Shame”
Charlie Wilson, “My Favorite Part of You”

Tyrese has the biggest hit in this group, but will the Academy bite? On the other hand, Lalah Hathaway has been snatching out of nowhere wins the past few years, plus this has the “importance” factor, so maybe count on that to win a new one.

PREDICTION: Lalah Hathaway, “Little Ghetto Boy”
ALTERNATE: Tyrese, “Shame”

R&B SONG:
Miguel, “Coffee”
The Weeknd, “Earned It (Fifty Shades of Grey)”
Jazmine Sullivan, “Let It Burn”
D’Angelo and The Vanguard, “Really Love”
Tyrese, “Shame”

This is really a close one between Abel and D’Angelo, but part of me thinks they’re going with their pal that they’ve known longer. Plus, that ROTY nomination is telling. Never discount a Weeknd sweep though.

PREDICTION: D’Angelo and the Vanguard, “Really Love”
ALTERNATE: The Weeknd, “Earned It”

URBAN CONTEMPORARY ALBUM:
The Internet, Ego Death
Kehlani, You Should Be Here
Lianne La Havas, Blood
Miguel, Wildheart
The Weeknd, Beauty Behind the Madness

Now this one is easier. We’re sure this will be a part of Weeknd’s mini-sweep. No AOTY nominated album has lost this category yet (unless losing to another co-AOTY nominee).

PREDICTION: The Weeknd, “Beauty Behind the Madness”
ALTERNATE: Miguel, “Wildheart”

R&B ALBUM:
Leon Bridges, Coming Home
D’Angelo and the Vanguard, Black Messiah
Andra Day, Cheers to the Fall
Jazmine Sullivan, Reality Show
Charlie Wilson, Forever Charlie

D’Angelo’s comeback comes full circle as he’s surely taking this. Leon Bridges still has a chance, but for some reason, he missed some big nods (including the one many predicted him for… Best New Artist).

PREDICTION: D’Angelo and the Vanguard, “Black Messiah”
ALTERNATE: Leon Bridges, “Coming Home”

RAP FIELD:

rap

RAP PERFORMANCE:
J. Cole, “Apparently”
Drake, “Back to Back”
Fetty Wap, “Trap Queen”
Kendrick Lamar, “Alright”
Nicki Minaj feat. Drake & Lil Wayne, “Truffle Butter”
Kanye West feat. Theophilus London, Allan Kingdom & Paul McCartney, “All Day”

This is the start of Kendrick’s domination at the Grammys on Monday night. Like no one’s even close. Not even Kanye being pals with Paul McCartney.

PREDICTION: Kendrick Lamar, “Alright”
ALTERNATE: J.Cole, “Apparently”

RAP/SUNG COLLABORATION:
Big Sean feat. Kanye West & John Legend, “One Man Can Change the World”
Common & John Legend, “Glory”
Jidenna feat. Roman GianArthur, “Classic Man”
Kendrick Lamar feat. Bilal, Anna Wise & Thundercat, “These Walls”
Nicki Minaj feat. Drake, Lil Wayne & Chris Brown, “Only”

Count on the Oscar-winning duo to repeat a victory here. Unless they’d really go hard for Lamar.

PREDICTION: Common and John Legend, “Glory”
ALTERNATE: Kendrick Lamar featuring Bilal, Anna Wise, and Thundercat, “These Walls”

RAP SONG:
Kanye West feat. Theophilus London, Allan Kingdom & Paul McCartney, “All Day”
Kendrick Lamar, “Alright”
Drake, “Energy”
Common & John Legend, “Glory”
Fetty Wap, “Trap Queen”

Rule of thumb is, count on the SOTY nominee to prevail unless there’s more than one in the group.

PREDICTION: Kendrick Lamar, “Alright”
ALTERNATE: Common and John Legend, “Glory”

RAP ALBUM:
J. Cole, 2014 Forest Hills Drive
Dr. Dre, Compton
Drake, If Youre Reading This Its Too Late
Kendrick Lamar, To Pimp a Butterfly
Nicki Minaj, The Pinkprint

Again, this will be a part of a huge Kendrick sweep. Like it will be the biggest upset ever if Kendrick doesn’t win this. On a distant second though is Dr. Dre who has some sort of a small narrative for him.

PREDICTION: Kendrick Lamar, “To Pimp A Butterfly”
ALTERNATE: Dr. Dre, “Compton”

COUNTRY FIELD:

country

COUNTRY SOLO PERFORMANCE:
Cam, “Burning House”
Chris Stapleton, “Traveller”
Carrie Underwood, “Little Toy Guns”
Keith Urban, “John Cougar, John Deere, John 3:16”
Lee Ann Womack, “Chances Are”

Chris Stapleton is the big name in country music the past year, that you’d know he has this one in the bag. That said, never underestimate Carrie Underwood who’s a favorite both in this category and when they still used to separate them before.

PREDICTION: Chris Stapleton, “Traveller”
ALTERNATE: Carrie Underwood, “Little Toy Guns”

COUNTRY DUO/GROUP PERFORMANCE:
Brothers Osborne, “Stay a Little Longer”
Joey + Rory, “If I Needed You”
Charles Kelley, Dierks Bentley & Eric Paslay, “The Driver”
Little Big Town, “Girl Crush”
Blake Shelton feat. Ashley Monroe, “Lonely Tonight”

The usual suspects are actually MIA here, so expect Little Big Town to easily steamroll in this category.

PREDICTION: Little Big Town, “Girl Crush”
ALTERNATE: Blake Shelton, Ashley Monroe, “Lonely Tonight”

COUNTRY SONG:
Lee Ann Womack, “Chances Are”
Tim McGraw, “Diamond Rings And Old Barstools”
Little Big Town, “Girl Crush”
Brandy Clark, “Hold My Hand”
Chris Stapleton, “Traveller”

It’s Stapleton vs. Little Big Town here, but the SOTY nomination of Little Big Town gives it the edge.

PREDICTION: Little Big Town, “Girl Crush”
ALTERNATE: Chris Stapleton, “Traveller”

COUNTRY ALBUM:
Sam Hunt, Montevallo
Little Big Town, Pain Killer
Ashley Monroe, The Blade
Kacey Musgraves, Pageant Material
Chris Stapleton, Traveller

The AOTY nominee has this one in the bag, especially considering that he’s also in real talk to win the biggest award as well.

PREDICTION: Chris Stapleton, “Traveller”
ALTERNATE: Kacey Musgraves,”Pageant Material”

VISUAL MEDIA:

soundtrack

SONG WRITTEN FOR VISUAL MEDIA:
The Weeknd, “Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey)”
Common & John Legend, “Glory”
Ellie Goulding, “Love Me Like You Do”
Wiz Khalifa feat. Charlie Puth, “See You Again”
Lady Gaga, “Til It Happens to You”

This is a fairly popular group of hits except that Gaga song, and nope the Oscar nod won’t help it win this. It’s between the current Oscar winner or the biggest song in this bunch — both impactful songs, but one has the prestige and importance that the other lacks.

PREDICTION: Common and John Legend, “Glory”
ALTERNATE: Wiz Khalifa featuring Charlie Puth, “See You Again”

COMPILATION SOUNDTRACK:
Empire: Season 1
Fifty Shades of Grey
Glen Campbell: I’ll Be Me
Pitch Perfect 2
Selma

Aside from Selma, I can see a case of the other nominees prevailing in here. That said, Empire was really huge the past year that I see it squeaking a win over its closest competitor, the 50 Shades soundtrack.

PREDICTION: Empire: Season 1
ALTERNATE: 50 Shaes of Grey

SCORE SOUNDTRACK:
Birdman
The Imitation Game
Interstellar
The Theory of Everything
Whiplash

Are we looking at the Grammy category or the Best Picture Oscar category? Oh welp there’s Interstellar spoiling the list. I’d just stick with the one that won the Oscar category.

PREDICTION: The Theory of Everything (Jóhann Jóhannsson)
ALTERNATE: Birdman (Antonio Sanchez)

MUSIC VIDEO/FILM:

short form music video

MUSIC VIDEO:
A$AP Rocky, “LSD”
The Dead Weather, “I Feel Love”
Kendrick Lamar, “Alright”
Taylor Swift feat. Kendrick Lamar, “Bad Blood”
Pharrell Williams, “Freedom”

This usually goes to the biggest song in the bunch even if it has inspired quality of nominees. Either way, Kendrick wins.

PREDICTION: Taylor Swift featuring Kendrick Lamar, “Bad Blood”
ALTERNATE: Kendrick Lamar, “Alright”

music film

MUSIC FILM:
Foo Fighters, Sonic Highways
James Brown, Mr. Dynamite: The Rise of James Brown
Nina Simone, What Happened, Miss Simone
Roger Waters, The Wall
Amy Winehouse, Amy

This one’s between the two Oscar-nominated movies, and let’s just give it to the Oscar frontrunner.

PREDICTION: Amy
ALTERNATE: What Happened, Miss Simone?

Talk to me about the Grammys by tweeting me: @nikowl

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