72nd Golden Globe Awards Winner Predictions   Leave a comment

It’s awards season again, and there’s no better way to kick off the craziness of each season with the Hollywood Foreign Press Association’s Golden Globe Awards. You literally lock the biggest movie and TV stars (former in the front, latter in the back) in one room, give them unlimited booze and chocolates, and what ensues is three hours of pure fun. This year, Jimmy Fallon takes hosting duties with nominees ranging from Ryan Gosling to Isabelle Huppert in the film categories and Nick Nolte to Mandy Moore in the TV side. Here are my predictions in all 25 categories.

FILM:

film-drama

Best Picture, Drama
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

PREDICTION: Moonlight. The most critically acclaimed film of the year and also one of the year’s most nominated at the Globes could cement its status as an Oscar challenger this year.

ALTERNATE: Manchester by the Sea. It’s the other critically acclaimed film of the bunch and is in a three-way race for the Oscar with Moonlight and La La Land.

film-drama-actor

Best Actor, Drama
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Joel Edgerton, Loving
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences

PREDICTION: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea. This is where they can reward Manchester altogether. After all, Affleck has garnered praises after praises one after the other for this role.

ALTERNATE: Denzel Washington, Fences. He’s the only other feasible challenger to an otherwise easy route of Casey Affleck to a Globe.

film-drama-actress

Best Actress, Drama
Amy Adams, Arrival
Jessica Chastain, Miss Sloane
Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie

PREDICTION: Natalie Portman, Jackie. Regardless of how jackie performed in general, Portman’s raves playing the iconic Jackie Kennedy is set to give her third overall career Globe.

ALTERNATE: Isabelle Huppert, Elle. Critics have basically included this as one of their favorites this year. If the Globes are edgier this year, she’s one who can benefit from it.

film-musical-comedy

Best Picture, Comedy or Musical
20th Century Women
Deadpool
Florence Foster Jenkins
La La Land
Sing Street

PREDICTION: La La Land. Probably the biggest lock of the night, this nomination topnotcher is bound to have a golden night at the Globes. Right now, I’m predicting it for five awards. Book it!

ALTERNATE: Deadpool. La La Land is such a lock already that the rest of the four will have to compete for ample votes. Don’t be surprised if this ends up as distant second.

film-mc-actor

Best Actor, Comedy
Colin Farrell, The Lobster
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Jonah Hill, War Dogs
Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool

PREDICTION: Ryan Gosling, La La Land. Gosling, on his fifth career nomination now, still Globeless, on the best Picture frontrunner. Seems like a perfect timing for a time at the podium to me.

ALTERNATE: Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool. Sure he’s funny, but can we reward his publicist instead? His 2016 is one for the books don’t be surprised if the celebrity fanatics Globes wanted a soon to be viral scenario with him.

film-mc-actress

Best Actress, Comedy
Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
Lily Collins, Rules Don’t Apply
Hailee Steinfeld, The Edge of Seventeen
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

PREDICTION: Emma Stone, La La Land. With 20th Century fading in the background, and Streep getting her due at the Cecil B. DeMille already, consider Oscar frontrunner Emma Stone on her first televised speech this awards season.

ALTERNATE: Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins. She’s already the recipient of the Cecil B. DeMille, but when it comes to Meryl Streep, nothing is impossible. She’s on her 30th nomination already, and it’s a historic night for her.

film-supp-actor

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Simon Helberg, Florence Foster Jenkins
Dev Patel, Lion
Aaron Taylor Johnson, Nocturnal Animals

PREDICTION: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight. While this is the part when the televised precursors start to deviate from critical consensus, I think Ali can be the go-to place to reward Moonlight especially if it Manchester ends up winning the top Drama plum.

ALTERNATE: Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water. For some reason, Bridges ended up as the de facto runner up this season, and he’s the veteran/biggest star in this lineup, so that might play a role.

film-supp-actress

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

PREDICTION: Viola Davis, Fences. Despite her SAGs and Emmy and Tony and BFCAs, one award Viola still hasn’t won is the Golden Globe. She lost to Kate Winslet in 2008, to Meryl Streep in 2011, to Ruth Wilson in 2015, and to Taraji P. Henson last year. Maybe fifth time’s a charm for her…

ALTERNATE: Nicole Kidman, Lion. …unless they really don’t like her. They can resort to a previous favorite who has won three Golden Globes already for her emotional turn as the adoptive mother in Lion. Just think of how Kate Winslet suddenly emerged last year as a contender after her surprise win at the Globes.

film-directing

Best Director
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea

PREDICTION: Damien Chazelle, La La Land. While there are so many possible tempting picks here (hey there, Mel Gibson!), I think I’ll stay safe and predict Damien Chazelle’s flashy directing in La La Land.

ALTERNATE: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight. Or maybe they can make history with their first ever black Best Director winner. After all, Jenkins has been sweeping critics wins left and right for Moonlight.

film-screenplay

Best Screenplay
Taylor Sheridan, Hell or High Water
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals

PREDICTION: Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals. This type of flashy screenplay is the type that usually wins this ridiculously, always competitive Golden Globe category. We can still smell the scent of possible upset here by Ford.

ALTERNATE: Taylor Sheridan, Hell or High Water. Well here’s another place where they can reward Hell or High Water, especially if Bridges fails to upset Ali in Supporting Actor.

foreign-language-film

Best Foreign Language Film
Divines
Elle
Neruda
The Salesman
Toni Erdmann

PREDICTION: Toni Erdmann. Neruda and Elle would have made more sense had they been in the Oscars shortlist because the last time the HFPA deviated from the Oscar nominated film was nine years ago when none of their five nominees made it. I’ll stay safe and predict Toni Erdmann.

ALTERNATE: The Salesman. I told you I’m going safe with the Oscar shortlisted films.

animated-film

Best Animated Feature Film
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
Sing
Zootopia

PREDICTION: Zootopia. A blockbuster, critics’ favorite, and really one of the surprises among the animated films of the previous year, I think Zootopia takes this one rather easily, despite the strong competition it’s up against.

ALTERNATE: Kubo and the Two Strings. For some reason, there’s a low-key talk of this upsetting the race, so I guess it’s safe to consider it as an alternate.

Best Original Score
Moonlight
La La Land
Arrival
Lion
Hidden Figures

PREDICTION: La La LandConsider this as the fifth win for La La Land on Golden Globes night. While I don’t think Justin Hurwitz is winning both Score and Song categories, his chances here are larger than the other.

ALTERNATE: Lion. At the end of the day, the HFPA still loves Harvey no matter what. And this is the place where they can throw him a bone.

Best Original Song
“Can’t Stop the Feeling,” Trolls
“City of Stars,” La La Land
“Faith,” Sing
“Gold,” Gold
“How Far I’ll Go,” Moana

PREDICTION: How Far I’ll Go, Moana. It will definitely be a moment to see Lin-Manuel Miranda on the Golden Globe stage giving an important speech, and I don’t think the Globes will pass on that opportunity.

ALTERNATE: City of Stars, La La Land. If Justin Hurwitz manages to win this one too, then he could just pull off a Sally Field and do a “You like me, you really like me!” moment on stage.

TELEVISION:

tv-drama

Best TV Series, Drama
The Crown
Game of Thrones
Stranger Things
This Is Us
Westworld

PREDICTION: The Crown. In probably the strongest lineup in this category since God knows when, all five of these nominees actually make sense as winners. But don’t ever doubt their love for anything British, royalty, and politics. Hence, I’m going with this.

ALTERNATE: Stranger Things. For cementing its place in pop culture history, resurrecting Wino’s career alive and kicking again, and introducing to the world the greatness that is Millie Bobby Brown.

tv-drama-actor

Best Actor, Drama
Rami Malek, Mr. Robot
Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Matthew Rhys, The Americans
Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan
Billy Bob Thornton, Goliath

PREDICTION: Rami Malek, Mr. Robot. His loss last year was an utter shock considering his co-star Christian Slater won; that said, the HFPA tends to play catch up in this category. It follows the trend of recent winners Damian Lewis and Kevin Spacey who all looked instant winners on their freshmen season only to win on their second bid.

ALTERNATE: Matthew Rhys, The Americans. Well maybe it will follow the trajectory of also winners Michael C. Hall and Bryan Cranston to whom the HFPA rewarded during the later seasons of their shows.

tv-drama-actress

Best Actress, Drama
Caitriona Balfe, Outlander
Claire Foy, The Crown
Keri Russell, The Americans
Winona Ryder, Stranger Things
Evan Rachel Wood, Westworld

PREDICTION: Winona Ryder, Stranger Things. This is a Globe-intended moment if ever there was one. Imagine a previous Golden Globe darling whose career has been marred with scandals, only to comeback for a resurgence, and the HFPA creams with the idea that they’ll be a part of it.

ALTERNATE: Claire Foy, The Crown. While Ryder seems like a pitch-perfect Globes-y choice, it sounds too good a scenario to be true, that they’ll just go ahead with Claire Foy to walk up to the podium.

tv-comedy

Best TV Series, Comedy/Musical
Atlanta
Blackish
Mozart in the Jungle
Transparent
Veep

PREDICTION: Atlanta. The Globes are really more adventurous with their TV picks, usually rewarding the new it-show so that they’ll be ahead of the pack. I don’t think Transparent or current champ Mozart in the Jungle have what it takes to pull off a repeat, and I don’t know but they really just never got Veep. So between the two newer shows, Atlanta seems more right up their alley than family sitcom black-ish.

ALTERNATE: black-ish. Relatively new show who got two lead acting Comedy nods. The last family comedy that won is Modern Family so if there’s one network who could pull it off, it’s ABC.

tv-comedy-actor

Best Actor, Comedy
Anthony Anderson, Blackish
Gael Garcia Bernal, Mozart in the Jungle
Donald Glover, Atlanta
Nick Nolte, Graves
Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent

PREDICTION: Donald Glover, Atlanta. TV Series winners usually carries an acting win with its Series win, and he fits the fresh and hip pick the HFPA rewards here, so I’d say Donald Glover wins this.

ALTERNATE: Anthony Anderson, black-ish. Or then maybe they’d throw a bone so that black-ish won’t end up emptyhanded on Globes night. This is the perfect category to reward it then.

tv-coemdy-actress

Best Actress, Comedy
Rachel Bloom, Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Sarah Jessica Parker, Divorce
Issa Rae, Insecure
Gina Rodriguez, Jane the Virgin
Tracee Ellis Ross, Blackish

PREDICTION: Sarah Jessica Parker, Divorce. Only three performances in Golden Globe history has won at least four times for the same show: Alan Alda in M*A*S*H*, Carol Burnett in The Carol Burnett Show, and Sarah Jessica Parker in Sex and the City.  They love her. Sure this feels more like a welcome nod, but with no strong frontrunner, I’ll go with SJP.

ALTERNATE: Issa Rae, Insecure. That said, maybe it’ll go to the other HBO female lead. Issa Rae is a revelation in Insecure, and I can see a scenario of the Globes rewarding her instead.

tv-movie-mini

Best TV Miniseries or Movie
American Crime
The Dresser
The Night Manager
The Night Of
The People vs. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story

PREDICTION: The People vs. OJ Simpson. I don’t see any show challenging it for thew win tbh, regardless if a lot of these co-nominees also deserve a time or two in the spotlight.

ALTERNATE: The Night Manager. They loved it enough to shower the series with four nods. Somewhere out there, it has its fans inside the HFPA who’ll probably be pushy enough to give it a consolation win.

tv-longform-actor

Best Actor, Mini-Series or TV Movie
Riz Ahmed, The Night Of
Bryan Cranston, All the Way
Tom Hiddleston, The Night Manager
John Turturro, The Night Of
Courtney B. Vance, The People vs. O.J. Simpson

PREDICTION: Riz Ahmed, The Night Of. Last year’s winner Oscar Isaac benefited from his Star Wars gig to end up winning a Golden Globe for his HBO miniseries. While this could really go to many different directions, I can see this being one of the night’s surprise wins.

ALTERNATE: Courtney B. Vance, The People v. OJ Simpson. While he’s comforted with the fact that this Emmy winner already took home the prize, there can be an output of love for this OJ show to give him a win here as well.

tv-longform-actress

Best Actress, Mini-Series or TV Movie
Felicity Huffman, American Crime
Riley Keough, The Girlfriend Experience
Sarah Paulson, The People vs. O.J. Simpson
Charlotte Rampling, London Spy
Kerry Washington, Confirmation

PREDICTION: Sarah Paulson, The People v. OJ Simpson. Among the four OJ acting categories, this one seems like the only sure win in the bunch. She is unstoppable.

ALTERNATE: Riley Keough, The Girlfriend Experience. Keough seems like the only possible challenger to Paulson, but even that train has left already.

tv-supp-actor

Best Supporting Actor
Sterling K. Brown, The People vs. O.J. Simpson
Hugh Laurie, The Night Manager
John Lithgow, The Crown
Christian Slater, Mr. Robot
John Travolta, The People vs. O.J. Simpson

PREDICTION: John Lithgow, The Crown. If Winona Ryder is really unstoppable in Drama Actress, then this is probably the place where they can reward The Crown. The fact that it’s John Lithgow, a previous multiple Globe winner, makes the deal more sealed.

ALTERNATE: Hugh Laurie, The Night Manager. He’s another Globe favorite, knows how to charm his way off a room, and he can be the token The Night Manager victory.

tv-supp-actress

Best Supporting Actress
Olivia Colman, The Night Manager
Lena Headey, Game of Thrones
Chrissy Metz, This Is Us
Mandy Moore, This Is Us
Thandie Newton, Westworld

PREDICTION: Thandie Newton, Westworld. The Globes will probably spread the wealth among the new shows and with Stranger Things and The Crown already looking like they have shoo-in wins already, this is where they can reward Westworld.

ALTERNATE: Chrissy Metz, This Is Us. Sure she’s up against co-star Mandy Moore, but between the two This Is Us actress, Metz seems more like the Globes template pick for a winner here.

The Golden Globe Awards will be on January 8 (January 9 in Manila) to be shown live on Colors.

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Posted January 7, 2017 by Nicol Latayan in Uncategorized

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