69th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 3: Comedy   Leave a comment

It’s still Emmys 2017 week here at Tit for Tat! The last two days we’ve discussed both Reality and Variety as well as the TV Movie and Limited Series categories. It’s time to move to the funniest shows of the season: the Comedy genre!

01

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Atlanta, “B.A.N” (Donald Glover)
• I Love Dick, “A Short History of Weird Girls” (Jill Solloway)
• Master of None, “The Thief” (Aziz Ansari)
• Silicon Valley, “Server Error” (Mike Judge)
• Veep, “Groundbreaking” (David Mandel)
• Veep, “Justice” (Dale Stern)

Seventh nominee: Dear White People, “Chapter V” (Barry Jenkins)

It’s noteworthy to mention that Transparent has won this category the last two years, thanks to Jill Solloway, but this year she opted to submit for that and went for I Love Dick instead. I’m really not sure if the risk will pay off for her, but I think she has enough supporters to get her a third bid for the win. Silicon Valley and Veep are likely to get nominated again, and like last year, I’m going with multiple nods for the current Best Comedy Series champ. I’m certain that Master of None will also get nominated, the question though is for which episode? The Thief seems likeliest to get in here in this category. For that last spot, I can see another episode of Master of None getting in or Oscar winner Barry Jenkins for his episode in Dear White People. That said, I’m counting on Donald Glover’s directed Atlanta episode to snag a nom here.

02

OUTSTANDING WRITING IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Atlanta, “B.A.N” (Donald Glover)
• Catastrophe, “Episode 5” (Rob Delaney & Sharon Horgan)
• Fleabag, “Episode 1” (Phoebe Waller-Bridge)
• Master of None, “Thanksgiving” (Aziz Ansari & Lena Waithe)
• Silicon Valley, “Success Failure” (Alec Berg)
• Veep, “Groundbreaking” (David Mandel)

Seventh nominee: Better Things, “Woman is the Something of the Something” (Pamela Adlon & Louis CK)

The writers branch usually is a breath of fresh air and the least likely to join usual consensus when it comes to nominating shows. This category has given nods to shows like Sports Night, Freaks and Geeks, Community, and Catastrophe. This year, I think the recipient of that slot per se, is writer/actor Phoebe Waller-Bridge for the pilot of Fleabag. I’m sensing a bit of an Episodes vibe from Catastrophe after its surprise nod here last year, and with only one episode submitted, I think it’s in. Then there are the usual suspects: Veep, Silicon Valley, and Master of None.  I’m currently predicting that Atlanta will both get in Writing and Directing, but don’t be shocked if the tandem of Pamela Adlon & Louis CK will push Better Things to a nod.

03

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Becky Ann Baker, “Girls”
• Angela Bassett, “Master of None”
• Carrie Fisher, “Catastrophe”
• Melissa McCarthy, “Saturday Night Live”
• Laurie Metcalfe, “The Big Bang Theory”
• Kristen Wiig, “Saturday Night Live”

Seventh nominee: Maya Rudolph, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”

I think there are two surefire contenders here with regular mainstay in this category, Melissa McCarthy for hosting yet another season of Saturday Night Live. I also think Carrie Fisher will net a posthumous nod for Catastrophe and might even contend for a win once nominated. Kristen Wiig has two shows in contention and while it’s her Last Man on Earth that gets more critical acclaim, her SNL hosting is an easy namecheck here. I’m not sure if voters are totally *over* the Big Bang Theory to drop both Christine Baranski and Laurie Metcalfe, so I’m retaining the latter here especially since Emmys tend to love nominating her. Angela Bassett is the standout guest actress mentioned from Master of None, and she’s a multiple Emmy nominee who checks a lot of boxes in terms of pedigree, show stature, and performance so I’m currently predicting her. Last slot is tricky. It can go to either Maya Rudolph in an too out there performance in Kimmy Schmidt, but I’m probably in wishful thinking mode so I’m going with Becky Ann Baker for Girls.

04

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Dave Chapelle, “Saturday Night Live”
• Tom Hanks, “Saturday Night Live”
• Hugh Laurie, “Veep”
• Peter MacNicol, “Veep”
• Lin-Manuel Miranda, “Saturday Night Live”
• Peter Scolari, “Girls”

Seventh nominee: Jon Hamm, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”

With his surprise win last year, I think Peter Scolari will be an easy inclusion this time around inspite of getting a more limited screentime as compared to his winning season. I’m not sure if Girls is strong enough to net multiple nods so I’m ruling both Riz Ahmed and Matthew Rhys out here. Meanwhile, two shows who are strong enough to get multiple nods are current Best Comedy Series winner Veep with Peter MacNicol and Hugh Laurie, as well as the trio of Saturday Night Live hosts: Dave Chapelle, Tom Hanks, and Lin-Manuel Miranda. I’m most cautious about the last one, but he seems to be an it guy who has been nominated at the Oscars and Tonys so he’s literally everywhere the last two years or so.

05

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Anna Chlumsky, “Veep”
• Gaby Hoffmann, “Transparent”
• Judith Light, “Transparent”
• Kate McKinnon, “Saturday Night Live”
• Rita Moreno, “One Day at a Time”
• Allison Williams, “Girls”

Seventh nominee: Kathryn Hahn, “Transparent”

With Allison Janney moving in Lead, this opens up a slot here as well as Niecy Nash leaving with Getting On ineligible this time around. First up, let’s discuss the mainstays: Chlumsky, current winner McKinnon, and Judith Light of Transparent. I wonder if Kathryn Hahn and her good will can overcome possible perennial nominee Gaby Hoffmann but I’ll stay safe and predict the latter. It’s literally been decades since Rita Moreno last got nominated for an Emmy and she was snubbed after being widely predicted for Jane the Virgin, but I see Netflix factor working its charm to net her a welcome back nod. I don’t know what to make of Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt but I feel it’s on a decline in terms of Emmy nods, so I’m not feeling Jane Krakowski this year. Instead, I’m putting Girls’ Allison Williams to snatch an Emmy nod due to the Get Out lovefest and a way to honor and nominate the finale season of Girls.

06

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Alec Baldwin, “Saturday Night Live”
• Tituss Burgess, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
• Ty Burrell, “Modern Family”
• Tony Hale, “Veep”
• Timothy Simons, “Veep”
• Matt Walsh, “Veep”

Seventh nominee: Louie Anderson, “Baskets”

Does it make sense when I say that Alec Baldwin getting in or missing out are both feasible scenario? Baldwin donning Trump is an easy scenario of Hollywood making a statement, but then again Baldwin donning Trump is too easy a scenario to give this multiple Emmy winner another nod. I’m still thinking that Burgess still has at least an Emmy nod in him despite UKS’ decline in buzz. Ty Burrell seems to me is that someone who’ll likely be nominated as long as the show is still on air despite losing all buzz already, so I’m still keeping him in. For a show that is not as praised or acclaimed as the previous ones, we have to keep in mind that Veep is still a 2x winner for the top Emmy plum and it really has a huge recall among voters. Thus, I’m predicting Timothy Simons to join both Tony Hale and Matt Walsh as nominees here…which also means I’m predicting current winner Louie Anderson to miss out. There’s a huge chance he’ll really get in again, but we all had stranger winner to snubee scenarios before (Eric Stonestreet, Julianna Margulies etc), and he seems to fit the bill.

07

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Allison Janney, “Mom”
• Ellie Kemper, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
• Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
• Tracee Ellis Ross, “black-ish”
• Lily Tomlin, “Grace and Frankie”
• Phoebe Waller-Bridge, “Fleabag”

Seventh nominee: Issa Rae, “Insecure”

With Allison Janney moving in Lead, I think she’ll still get in as it’s the same trajectory she had with her The West Wing fate, only that was for a show that’s really loved by the Emmys. of course at this stage, suffice to say, Queen JLD is in and is probably in the hunt for the record breaking sixth consecutive win. Golden Globe winner Tracee Ellis Ross is likely to garner another nomination too this year. I’m still predicting both Ellie Kemper and Lily Tomlin, even if that means I’m more confident in the latter and can see a scenario of the former missing. The last spot seems open for a passion contender, and while I’m torn if it’s Issa Rae or Phoebe Waller-Bridge (maybe both get in and Kemper misses out in the end), I went with the latter.

08

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Anthony Anderson, “black-ish”
• Aziz Ansari, “Master of None”
• Donald Glover, “Atlanta”
• William H. Macy, “Shameless”
• Thomas Middleditch, “Silicon Valley”
• Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent”

Seventh nominee: Will Forte, “The Last Man on Earth”

All six men nominated last year are likely to get in again, but Golden Globe winning Donald Glover (and his show Atlanta) is too buzzy a contender to be snubbed. That means leaving out the weakest contender from the group — Will Forte.

09

OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES:
• Atlanta (FX)
• black-ish (ABC)
• Master of None (Netflix)
• Silicon Valley (HBO)
• Transparent (Amazon)
• Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Netflix)
• Veep (HBO)

Eighth nominee: Modern Family (ABC)

With Atlanta getting really huge buzz and acclaim, it’s path to a series nomination is really likely. I’m torn on who leaves then: is it Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt who’s on a decline buzz-wise? Is it former 5x champ Modern Family especially in the presence of co-ABC sitcom black-ish? Is it Transparent which has been the receiving end of “but it’s not a comedy claim?” I went with Modern Family out only because it seems old news by now.

To complete the predictions, it’s time for the drama category tomorrow!

Let’s discuss on Twitter: @nikowl

Advertisements

Posted July 11, 2017 by Nicol Latayan in Awards, TV

Tagged with , , ,

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: