Author Archive

40th Gawad Urian Winner Predictions   Leave a comment

The Manunuri ng Pelikulang Pilipino, people behind the annual Gawad Urian Awards, is celebrating the awards show’s 40th year. Started back in 1977, the award-giving body has recognized more than 200 Filipino films and 300 actors and actresses in all 12 of its categories. What I like most about the Urian is their complete archiving history and that they’re the only one of the four major award giving bodies to have maintained some sort of credibility. This year is pretty special for the group with Vilma Santos as the recipient of the Natatanging Gawad Urian. Personally wishing that they do some sort of a Gawad Urian Family Album of all the acting winner recipients thus far, ala Oscar family album style. Anyway, as per annual tradition, here are my prediction on who’ll end up as winners in 13 of their categories.

best pic urian

 

BEST PICTURE
“Ang Babaeng Humayo”
“Baboy Halas”
“Ma’Rosa”
“Paglipay”
“Pamilya Ordinaryo”
“Women of the Weeping River”

This year, Women of the Weeping River received the most nominations and what works in it favor is that the Urian is totally open arms when it comes to recognizing regional cinema, as shown by wins of Ang Damgo ni Eleuteria in 2010 and Ang Paglalakbay ng mga Bituin sa Gabing Madilim in 2012. Giving it competition are Cinemalaya breakout Pamilya Ordinaryo which swept last year’s Cinemalaya Awards and is a consistent critical favorite from last year. That said, two films have put our country to world cinema spotlight last year: Cannes entry Ma’Rosa by Brillante Mendoza and Golden Lion recipient Ang Babaeng Humayo by Lav Diaz. It’s victory at Venice makes me think that Diaz is ahead, even by a hair only, in this race.

Prediction: Ang Babaeng Humayo
Alternate:
Ma’Rosa

direction

BEST DIRECTOR
Sheron Dayoc (Women of the Weeping River)
Lav Diaz (Ang Babaeng Humayo)
Zig Dulay (Paglipay)
Bagane Fiola (Baboy Halas)
Avid Liongoren (Saving Sally)
Lem Lorca (Ned’s Project)
Brillante Mendoza (Ma’Rosa)
Eduardo Roy Jr. (Pamilya Ordinaryo)
Paolo Villaluna (Pauwi Na)

In recent years, the Urian doesn’t really care if the same film gets Best Picture and Best Director, as I think they’re more keen on spreading the wealth. That said, Lav Diaz has won this category only twice (in 2001 for Batang Westside and 2014 for Mula sa Kung Ano Ang Noon) that they’d be inclined to give him a third win here. Watch out for Sheron Dayoc as most possible to pull off the upset.

Prediction: Lav Diaz (Ang Babaeng Humayo)
Alternate: 
Sheron Dayoc (Women of the Weeping River)

actor

BEST ACTOR
Tommy Abuel (Dagsin)
Paolo Ballesteros (Die Beautiful)
Garry Cabalic (Paglipay)
Ronwaldo Martin (Pamilya Ordinaryo)
Khalil Ramos (2Cool To B 4gotten)
Bembol Roco (Pauwi Na)
Pepe Smith (Singing in Graveyards)

If we’re going with buzz, then Paolo Ballesteros seems like a shoo-in for this category already. His Tokyo International Film Fest winning performance in Die Beautiful is the stuff of which awards are made of. That said, this somehow reminds me of how Dennis Trillo, only an Urian left to grandslam, suddenly lost his category after being considered as the biggest lock for Aishite Imasu back in 2004. Sometimes, when a winner looks so obvious, the Manunuri tends to go to a different direction. With that, I’m currently predicting Ronwaldo Martin, younger brother of Urian winner Coco Martin, to net the Best Actor trophy for his performance as a street robber in Pamilya Ordinaryo.

Prediction: Ronwaldo Martin (Pamilya Ordinaryo)
Alternate: 
Paolo Ballesteros (Die Beautiful)

actress

BEST ACTRESS
Irma Adlawan (Oro)
Nora Aunor (Hinulid)
Ai-Ai Delas Alas (Area)
Angeli Bayani (Ned’s Project)
Jaclyn Jose (Ma’Rosa)
Hasmine Killip (Pamilya Ordinaryo)
Elizabeth Oropesa (Mrs.)
Cherry Pie Picache (Pauwi Na)
Charo Santos Concio (Ang Babaeng Humayo)
Precious Laila Ulao (Women of the Weeping River)

The Urian surely loves their female acting categories this past year as both categories had 10 nominees each, definitely more than their male counterparts. Nora Aunor, Angeli Bayani, Cherry Pie Picache, and Elizabeth Oropesa have all won before for far stronger vehicles as compared to the ones they’re nominated for this year so I think they’re sitting this one out. Newbie Hasmine Killip would have made sense in a far weaker year, not this one with equally amazing co-nominees (also in line with my narrative, I’m already predicting Ronwaldo Martin, and I don’t see Manunuri loving Pamilya Ordinaryo that much to give it both lead wins). There’s a path for Precious Laila Ulao to win this one (as it reminds me of Fe GinGing Hyde’s win for Sheika in 2010, but again, that was a year with no strong frontrunner, again unlike this year. Both Irma Adlawan and AiAi delas Alas are strong contenders but the fact they they are both their  films’ sole nominations gives me pause (for the record, the last Best Actress winner for a non-Best Picture nominated film was Maja Salvador in Thelma in 2011, but that was the year when they recognized the up and coming teens in the lead acting categories). In the end, I think this one is between Jaclyn Jose and Charo Santos. Jose is an Urian darling with 15 nominations under her name and five previous wins (her last was for Sarong Banggi in 2005) nominated for a role that bagged her the elusive and historic Cannes Best Actress win. Meanwhile, Charo Santos is an iconic figure in the industry in her acting comeback since the 70s in the Best Picture frontrunner. This is the perfect narrative to give her an Urian Best Actress win. I’d love to say that they’d go for a cop-out and give both Jose and Santos a much-talked about tie, but for predictions sake, I’d go safe with the Cannes winner Jaclyn Jose.

Prediction: Jaclyn Jose (Ma’Rosa)
Alternate: 
Charo Santos Concio (Ang Babaeng Humayo)

supp actor

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bables (Die Beautiful)
Nonie Buencamino (Ang Babaeng Humayo)
John Lloyd Cruz (Ang Babaeng Humayo)
Taha Daranda (Weeping of the Weeping River)
Julio Diaz (Ma’Rosa)
Jess Mendoza (Hinulid)

This category loves breakout young actors (unless you’re Dennis Trillo) and I’m more confident with Christian Bables to win here than his onscreen bestfriend Paolo Ballesteros. Bables is a breakout performance that garnered him awards and accolades already, and I see the Urian following suit. That said, it won’t surprise me if they decide to reward Women of the Weeping River and give Taha Daranda a win, or even a second consecutive Urian to John Lloyd Cruz for Ang Babaeng Humayo.

 

Prediction: Christian Bables (Die Beautiful)
Alternate: 
Taha Daranda (Weeping of the Weeping River)

supp actress

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Sharifa Pearlsia Ali-dans (Women of the Weeping River)
Rhed Bustamante (Seklusyon)
Joan Dela Cruz (Paglipay)
Lotlot De Leon (Mrs.)
Barbie Forteza (Tuos)
Janine Gutierrez (Dagsin)
Anna Luna (Paglipay)
Lui Manansala (Ned’s Project)
Mariam Zimadar Haji Caranay Raper (Women of the Weeping River)
Meryll Soriano (Pauwi Na)

First up, apologies for the lack of a Mariam Raper photo. Even Cinema One’s promos for Urian lack her photos so I can’t seem to find one. That said, this is one category where there’s a lack of a clear frontrunner the same way that Paolo Ballesteros, Jaclyn Jose, Charo Santos, and Christian Bables are in their respective categories. Save for Meryll Soriano, none of these women have won an Urian and only Barbie Forteza is a previous nominee prior to this year. In a category as open as this one, I can see them going more adventurous (and by adventurous, I mean a young actress) with their picks leading me to predict a Barbie Forteza win for her role in Tuos. If not her, then Rhed Bustamante’s creepy kid in Seklusyon can join Serena Dalrymple’s 1998 win here as the other child acting performer in this category.

Prediction: Barbie Forteza (Tuos)
Alternate:
Rhed Bustamante (Seklusyon)

Now as for the rest of the categories…

SCREENPLAY:
Prediction:
Lav Diaz, Ang Babaeng Humayo
Alternate:
Eduardo Roy Jr.,Pamilya Ordinaryo

PRODUCTION DESIGN:
Prediction: Ryan Cuatrona & Celine Belino “Hinulid
Alternate: Angel Diesta, “Die Beautiful

CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Prediction: Albert Banzon, “Paglipay
Alternate: Raphael Meting & Mark Limbaga, “Baboy Halas

MUSIC:
Prediction: Kit Mendoza, “Women of the Weeping River
Alternate: Jema Pamintuan, “Tuos

EDITING:
Prediction: Carlo Manatad, “Pamilya Ordinaryo
Alternate: Lav Diaz, “Ang Babaeng Humayo

SOUND:
Prediction: Albert Michael Idioma, “Ma’Rosa
Alternate: Albert Michael Idioma & Immanuel Verona, “Women of the Weeping River

DOCUMENTARY:
Prediction:
Sunday Beauty Queens (Baby Ruth Villarama)
Alternate: Forbidden Memory (Gutierrez Mangansakan)

The 40th Gawad Urian awards will happen on July 20 and will be shown on Cinema One.

Posted July 18, 2017 by Nicol Latayan in Awards, Films

Tagged with , ,

69th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 4: Drama   Leave a comment

And we’re down to the last remaining genre as we predict the #2017Emmys nominees for this year. After tackling Reality and Variety, TV Movies and Limited Series, and Comedy, we’re doing Drama!

01

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• The Crown, “Hyde Park Corner” (Stephen Daldry)
• The Handmaid’s Tale, “Offred” (Reed Morano)
• Homeland, “America First” (Lesli Linka Glatter)
• Stranger Things, “Holly, Jolly” (Shawn Levy)
• Stranger Things, “The Vanishing of Will Byers” (The Duffer Brothers)
• Westworld, “The Bicameral Mind” (Jonathan Nolan)

Seventh nominee: The Americans, “The Soviet Division” (Chris Long)

It’s a tad unusual that I’m predicting five nominees all from freshman shows this year, but then all are very showy directing pieces. I’m currently predicting Stranger Things to go really big this year; thus I’m going with two episodes from that show. For that remaining returning slot, I’m currently going with Homeland‘s “America First” episode directed by Leslie Linka Glater. Homeland has been nominated four of the last five years and three of those were from Glater.

02

OUTSTANDING WRITING IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• The Americans, “The Soviet Division” (Joel Fields & Joe Weisberg)
• Better Call Saul, “Chicanery” (Gordon Smith)
• The Crown, “Assassins” (Peter Morgan)
• The Handmaid’s Tale, “Offred” (Bruce Miller)
• The Leftovers, “The Book of Nora” (Damon Lindelof & Tom Perrotta & Tom Spezialy)
• Stranger Things, “The Vanishing of Will Byers” (The Duffer Brothers)

Seventh nominee: This Is Us, “Memphis” (Dan Fogelman)

If there’s one category that I’m most confident with The Leftovers, it’s for this one. Both The Handmaid’s Tale and The Crown were wise with their submissions, so I’m confident both are getting in too. I feel like the pilot of Stranger Things is a writer’s dream taking in a familiar territory and at the same time, building a mystery for the whole season. The Americans has been nominated for the last two years here, and while this is the least praised season thus far, I still think the show has its fans within the branch. I’m including in Better Call Saul only because this is too familiar of an episode that will appeal to the writers with its court scenes and long monologues and dialogues.

03

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Hank Azaria, “Ray Donovan”
• Beau Bridges, “Masters of Sex”
• Gerald McRaney, “This Is Us”
• Ben Mendelsohn, “Bloodline”
• Lars Mikkelsen, “House of Cards”
• Denis O’Hare, “This Is Us”

Seventh nominee: Glynn Turmann, “Queen Sugar”

Current champ Hank Azaria is eligible once again for his performance in Ray Donovan so it seems likely he’ll get a nod to go for his consecutive win here. Beau Bridges has been nominated twice for this role already and the only reason why he missed last year is because he wasn’t eligible here and instead in the Supporting category. After pulling off an upset win in Supporting last year, Ben Mendelsohn is eligible here this time around so it might be an easy nom for this Aussie actor. A House of Cards actor has been nominated the last three years, and I expect the trend to continue, so I’m betting on Lars Mikkelsen to make it. For the last spot, I’ll go with two This Is Us actors: Gerard McRaney who made an impact in his role in the show, and Denis O’Hare who is a multiple Emmy nominee.

04

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Gillian Anderson, “American Gods”
• Alexis Bledel, “The Handmaid’s Tale”
• Laverne Cox, “Orange is the New Black”
• Cloris Leachman, “American Gods”
• Shannon Purser, “Stranger Things”
• Allison Wright, “The Americans”

Seventh nominee: Ann Dowd, “The Leftovers”

I don’t think the category campaign will confuse voters so I’m a tad certain that Alexis Bledel is getting in here, especially after those raves she received for the performance. Barb is an iconic pop culture figure already, so I’m seeing a scenario of Shnnon Purser getting in as well. Laverne Cox has been nominated once in the guest but it was still when the show was competing in the comedy categories. That said, her narrative and great showcase can get her a second career nod for this role. Since co-star Margo Martindale has been promoted to supporting status already, I’m currently predicting Allison Wright to get in here as she’s also probably helped by the goodwill of starring in Feud. While I was initially tempted to nominate two actresses from American Gods here considering it does not have any Emmy buzz outside of this category, these are Gillian Anderson and Cloris Leachman that we’re talking about here, both who have won and nominated yet again with Emmys.

05

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Jonathan Banks, “Better Call Saul”
• David Harbour, “Stranger Things”
• Jared Harris, “The Crown”
• Ron Cephas Jones, “This Is Us”
• John Lithgow, “The Crown”
• Jeffrey Wright, “Westworld”

Seventh nominee: Jon Voight, “Ray Donovan”

Because I don’t think that this category will have a clean sweep of newbies, then Jonathan Banks make the most sense as a comeback nominee to get his third bid for an Emmy in Better Call Saul. John Lithgow is perceived as the current frontrunner but expect co-star Jared Harris (who was last nominated here for his turn in Mad Men) to join him. I’m a bit cautious with Westworld supporting actors as it reminds me a bit of Boardwalk Empire’s situation in its first season when we’re predicting a star to get in, only for everyone to miss. Thus, I’m going only with Emmy winner Jeffrey Wright to get in here. David Harbour is a hot or miss, but I think he’ll be carried with the Stranger Things love that’s bound to happen. Ron Cephas Jones makes sense as that nominee that can be carried because of the passion for both the actor and the show he’s in.

06

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Millie Bobby Brown, “Stranger Things”
• Vanessa Kirby, “The Crown”
• Chrissy Metz, “This Is Us”
• Thandie Newton “Westworld”
• Winona Ryder, “Stranger Things”
• Maura Tierney, “The Affair”

Seventh nominee: Margo Martindale, “The Americans”

Like in Supporting Actor, I don’t think it’ll be an easy clean slate of nominees, so it’s a choice between Constance Zimmer and Maura Tierney. I went with the latter only because of name reputation. Vanessa Kirby is a scene-stealing name and the main push of the show in this category so Netflix is really serious in snatching her a nod. After getting Globe and SAG nods, Thandie Newton is Westworld‘s biggest chance for an acting nomination. Millie Bobby Brown already made her name in pop culture history, so that’s already an assured nomination. I’m a bit more skeptical about Winona Ryder, but I think she can sneak in and get a welcome nomination. With no co-star to battle with, I think Chrissy Metz is one of the breakout stars of the season and will likely add Emmy nominee in her resumé.

07

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Sterling K. Brown, “This Is Us”
• Rami Malek, “Mr. Robot”
• Bob Odenkirk, “Better Call Saul”
• Matthew Rhys, “The Americans”
• Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan”
• Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards”

Seventh nominee: Justin Theroux, “The Leftovers”

All six nominees are eligible to come back and receive a nomination, so I think Kevin Spacey, Matthew Rhys, and Bob Odenkirk will have no problem getting nominated yet again. Rami Malek can be that current winner only to be snubbed the next year, considering the close to non-existent buzz for Mr. Robot‘s second season, but I think he can sneak in one more nod this year. Since his win last year for People vs. OJ Simpson, Sterling K. Brown is in the hunt again for another Emmy with his great reviews and a surprise SAG nod for This is Us. For that last spot, I’m torn between Liev Schreiber to get a third consecutive nod for Ray Donovan or passion to bring Justin Theroux to land an Emmy nom. With Showtime managing to snatch random nods each year at the Emmys, I’m thinking Schreiber still has it in him to get one more nomination.

08

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Carrie Coon, “The Leftovers”
• Claire Danes, “Homeland”
• Claire Foy, “The Crown”
• Elisabeth Moss, “The Handmaid’s Tale”
• Keri Russell, “The Americans”
• Robin Wright, “House of Cards”

Seventh nominee: Viola Davis, “How to Get Away with Murder”

Two newbies are almost assured to get nominations this year and they’re also the two frontrunners for the win. There’s Claire Foy in The Crown and Elisabeth Moss in The Handmaid’s Tale. After getting in for a more crowded category last year, Keri Russell is still in for a second bid in The Americans. Three actresses who have been mainstays here the past few years were Oscar winner Viola Davis who was the champ here in 2015, Claire Danes who won back to back in 2012 and 2013, and Robin Wright who has been nominated four times now. I don’t think all three will get in this year, so I’m leaving Viola Davis off only because there is literally no buzz for her show anymore. In her place, I think the huge buzz for The Leftovers can net Carrie Coon a surprise nomination in the end.

09

OUTSTANDING DRAMA SERIES:
• The Americans (FX)
• Better Call Saul (AMC)
• The Crown (Netflix)
• The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
• Stranger Things (Netflix)
• This Is Us (NBC)
• Westworld (HBO)

Eighth nominee: The Leftovers (HBO)

With Game of Thrones absence this year, it’s an up for grabs race for everyone. Both The Americans and Better Call Saul can add another nomination for the show in the top race here.  The two Netflix shows have the pop culture buzz and the critical response to both get in so expect The Crown and Stranger Things to be nominated as well. The reception for The Handmaid’s Tale is perfect fit for Hulu to finally join the club and get nominated for the top plum. It’s a tad weird that House of Cards is missing in a post-election season no less, but between Netflix having stronger contenders plus a less buzzy season, I think it will finally miss this year. HBO, on the other hand, has two contenders to replace GoT here: the sci-fi show Westworld and cult favorite The Leftovers. I don’t think there’s room for both to get in, and even if I’m so tempted to go with a NGNG prediction of The Leftovers, I’ll stick with Westworld here. The last network show to be nominated for the top prize is The Good Wife for Season2 back in 2011 and since then, network dramas have find it really hard to get back again. Even huge show Empire missed three years ago and The Good Wife missed for its widely loved fifth season. That said, i think This Is Us will probably do the trick and get in this year.

There you have it! Can’t wait for the Emmy nominations tonight! talk to me on Twitter: @nikowl.

Posted July 13, 2017 by Nicol Latayan in Awards, TV

Tagged with , , ,

69th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 3: Comedy   Leave a comment

It’s still Emmys 2017 week here at Tit for Tat! The last two days we’ve discussed both Reality and Variety as well as the TV Movie and Limited Series categories. It’s time to move to the funniest shows of the season: the Comedy genre!

01

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Atlanta, “B.A.N” (Donald Glover)
• I Love Dick, “A Short History of Weird Girls” (Jill Solloway)
• Master of None, “The Thief” (Aziz Ansari)
• Silicon Valley, “Server Error” (Mike Judge)
• Veep, “Groundbreaking” (David Mandel)
• Veep, “Justice” (Dale Stern)

Seventh nominee: Dear White People, “Chapter V” (Barry Jenkins)

It’s noteworthy to mention that Transparent has won this category the last two years, thanks to Jill Solloway, but this year she opted to submit for that and went for I Love Dick instead. I’m really not sure if the risk will pay off for her, but I think she has enough supporters to get her a third bid for the win. Silicon Valley and Veep are likely to get nominated again, and like last year, I’m going with multiple nods for the current Best Comedy Series champ. I’m certain that Master of None will also get nominated, the question though is for which episode? The Thief seems likeliest to get in here in this category. For that last spot, I can see another episode of Master of None getting in or Oscar winner Barry Jenkins for his episode in Dear White People. That said, I’m counting on Donald Glover’s directed Atlanta episode to snag a nom here.

02

OUTSTANDING WRITING IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Atlanta, “B.A.N” (Donald Glover)
• Catastrophe, “Episode 5” (Rob Delaney & Sharon Horgan)
• Fleabag, “Episode 1” (Phoebe Waller-Bridge)
• Master of None, “Thanksgiving” (Aziz Ansari & Lena Waithe)
• Silicon Valley, “Success Failure” (Alec Berg)
• Veep, “Groundbreaking” (David Mandel)

Seventh nominee: Better Things, “Woman is the Something of the Something” (Pamela Adlon & Louis CK)

The writers branch usually is a breath of fresh air and the least likely to join usual consensus when it comes to nominating shows. This category has given nods to shows like Sports Night, Freaks and Geeks, Community, and Catastrophe. This year, I think the recipient of that slot per se, is writer/actor Phoebe Waller-Bridge for the pilot of Fleabag. I’m sensing a bit of an Episodes vibe from Catastrophe after its surprise nod here last year, and with only one episode submitted, I think it’s in. Then there are the usual suspects: Veep, Silicon Valley, and Master of None.  I’m currently predicting that Atlanta will both get in Writing and Directing, but don’t be shocked if the tandem of Pamela Adlon & Louis CK will push Better Things to a nod.

03

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Becky Ann Baker, “Girls”
• Angela Bassett, “Master of None”
• Carrie Fisher, “Catastrophe”
• Melissa McCarthy, “Saturday Night Live”
• Laurie Metcalfe, “The Big Bang Theory”
• Kristen Wiig, “Saturday Night Live”

Seventh nominee: Maya Rudolph, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”

I think there are two surefire contenders here with regular mainstay in this category, Melissa McCarthy for hosting yet another season of Saturday Night Live. I also think Carrie Fisher will net a posthumous nod for Catastrophe and might even contend for a win once nominated. Kristen Wiig has two shows in contention and while it’s her Last Man on Earth that gets more critical acclaim, her SNL hosting is an easy namecheck here. I’m not sure if voters are totally *over* the Big Bang Theory to drop both Christine Baranski and Laurie Metcalfe, so I’m retaining the latter here especially since Emmys tend to love nominating her. Angela Bassett is the standout guest actress mentioned from Master of None, and she’s a multiple Emmy nominee who checks a lot of boxes in terms of pedigree, show stature, and performance so I’m currently predicting her. Last slot is tricky. It can go to either Maya Rudolph in an too out there performance in Kimmy Schmidt, but I’m probably in wishful thinking mode so I’m going with Becky Ann Baker for Girls.

04

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Dave Chapelle, “Saturday Night Live”
• Tom Hanks, “Saturday Night Live”
• Hugh Laurie, “Veep”
• Peter MacNicol, “Veep”
• Lin-Manuel Miranda, “Saturday Night Live”
• Peter Scolari, “Girls”

Seventh nominee: Jon Hamm, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”

With his surprise win last year, I think Peter Scolari will be an easy inclusion this time around inspite of getting a more limited screentime as compared to his winning season. I’m not sure if Girls is strong enough to net multiple nods so I’m ruling both Riz Ahmed and Matthew Rhys out here. Meanwhile, two shows who are strong enough to get multiple nods are current Best Comedy Series winner Veep with Peter MacNicol and Hugh Laurie, as well as the trio of Saturday Night Live hosts: Dave Chapelle, Tom Hanks, and Lin-Manuel Miranda. I’m most cautious about the last one, but he seems to be an it guy who has been nominated at the Oscars and Tonys so he’s literally everywhere the last two years or so.

05

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Anna Chlumsky, “Veep”
• Gaby Hoffmann, “Transparent”
• Judith Light, “Transparent”
• Kate McKinnon, “Saturday Night Live”
• Rita Moreno, “One Day at a Time”
• Allison Williams, “Girls”

Seventh nominee: Kathryn Hahn, “Transparent”

With Allison Janney moving in Lead, this opens up a slot here as well as Niecy Nash leaving with Getting On ineligible this time around. First up, let’s discuss the mainstays: Chlumsky, current winner McKinnon, and Judith Light of Transparent. I wonder if Kathryn Hahn and her good will can overcome possible perennial nominee Gaby Hoffmann but I’ll stay safe and predict the latter. It’s literally been decades since Rita Moreno last got nominated for an Emmy and she was snubbed after being widely predicted for Jane the Virgin, but I see Netflix factor working its charm to net her a welcome back nod. I don’t know what to make of Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt but I feel it’s on a decline in terms of Emmy nods, so I’m not feeling Jane Krakowski this year. Instead, I’m putting Girls’ Allison Williams to snatch an Emmy nod due to the Get Out lovefest and a way to honor and nominate the finale season of Girls.

06

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Alec Baldwin, “Saturday Night Live”
• Tituss Burgess, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
• Ty Burrell, “Modern Family”
• Tony Hale, “Veep”
• Timothy Simons, “Veep”
• Matt Walsh, “Veep”

Seventh nominee: Louie Anderson, “Baskets”

Does it make sense when I say that Alec Baldwin getting in or missing out are both feasible scenario? Baldwin donning Trump is an easy scenario of Hollywood making a statement, but then again Baldwin donning Trump is too easy a scenario to give this multiple Emmy winner another nod. I’m still thinking that Burgess still has at least an Emmy nod in him despite UKS’ decline in buzz. Ty Burrell seems to me is that someone who’ll likely be nominated as long as the show is still on air despite losing all buzz already, so I’m still keeping him in. For a show that is not as praised or acclaimed as the previous ones, we have to keep in mind that Veep is still a 2x winner for the top Emmy plum and it really has a huge recall among voters. Thus, I’m predicting Timothy Simons to join both Tony Hale and Matt Walsh as nominees here…which also means I’m predicting current winner Louie Anderson to miss out. There’s a huge chance he’ll really get in again, but we all had stranger winner to snubee scenarios before (Eric Stonestreet, Julianna Margulies etc), and he seems to fit the bill.

07

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Allison Janney, “Mom”
• Ellie Kemper, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
• Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
• Tracee Ellis Ross, “black-ish”
• Lily Tomlin, “Grace and Frankie”
• Phoebe Waller-Bridge, “Fleabag”

Seventh nominee: Issa Rae, “Insecure”

With Allison Janney moving in Lead, I think she’ll still get in as it’s the same trajectory she had with her The West Wing fate, only that was for a show that’s really loved by the Emmys. of course at this stage, suffice to say, Queen JLD is in and is probably in the hunt for the record breaking sixth consecutive win. Golden Globe winner Tracee Ellis Ross is likely to garner another nomination too this year. I’m still predicting both Ellie Kemper and Lily Tomlin, even if that means I’m more confident in the latter and can see a scenario of the former missing. The last spot seems open for a passion contender, and while I’m torn if it’s Issa Rae or Phoebe Waller-Bridge (maybe both get in and Kemper misses out in the end), I went with the latter.

08

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Anthony Anderson, “black-ish”
• Aziz Ansari, “Master of None”
• Donald Glover, “Atlanta”
• William H. Macy, “Shameless”
• Thomas Middleditch, “Silicon Valley”
• Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent”

Seventh nominee: Will Forte, “The Last Man on Earth”

All six men nominated last year are likely to get in again, but Golden Globe winning Donald Glover (and his show Atlanta) is too buzzy a contender to be snubbed. That means leaving out the weakest contender from the group — Will Forte.

09

OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES:
• Atlanta (FX)
• black-ish (ABC)
• Master of None (Netflix)
• Silicon Valley (HBO)
• Transparent (Amazon)
• Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Netflix)
• Veep (HBO)

Eighth nominee: Modern Family (ABC)

With Atlanta getting really huge buzz and acclaim, it’s path to a series nomination is really likely. I’m torn on who leaves then: is it Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt who’s on a decline buzz-wise? Is it former 5x champ Modern Family especially in the presence of co-ABC sitcom black-ish? Is it Transparent which has been the receiving end of “but it’s not a comedy claim?” I went with Modern Family out only because it seems old news by now.

To complete the predictions, it’s time for the drama category tomorrow!

Let’s discuss on Twitter: @nikowl

Posted July 11, 2017 by Nicol Latayan in Awards, TV

Tagged with , , ,

69th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 2: TV Movie and Limited Series   Leave a comment

Welcome to Part 2 of our #Emmys2017 week here at Tit for Tat. Before the nomination announcement on July 13, I’ll be sharing my predictions on who’ll get Emmy nominated in the different categories up for this year’s Primetime Emmys. We started with the Reality and Variety categories yesterday, and today’s spotlight is on TV Movies and Limited Series. Personally speaking, this is the most exciting part of this year’s awards as some of the best and most praised shows are competing here for this year.

01

OUTSTANDING TELEVISION MOVIE:
• Black Mirror: San Junipero (Netflix)
• Killing Reagan (National Geographic)
• The Immortal Life Of Henrietta Lacks (HBO)
• Sherlock: The Lying Detective (Masterpiece) (PBS)
• The Wizard Of Lies (HBO)

Sixth nominee: Churchill’s Secret (Masterpiece) (PBS)

It still baffles me how Netflix managed to pull off submitting one episode here instead of the whole show in Limited Series, but they probably took advantage of the relatively weak year for television movies. They went with their most acclaimed episode of the season, the futuristic San Junipero, and I feel like getting the nod is its toughest battle. Once nominated, it will easily sail to a win come September. HBO has two entries to the race this year, both lukewarm in reception and buzz. First, we have the Robert de Niro starrer The Wizard of Lies, and then we have Oprah in The Immortal Life of Henrietta Lacks. While both are shoo-in in terms of getting nominated, only the former stands a chance to actually win here. For its fourth installment, Sherlock submitted The Lying Detective, and there’s no reason to see it getting snubbed considering all previous editions have been nominated here before. For that last spot, there’s a potential of contenders that can snatch that spot: PBS has Churchill, Lifetime has Suite Francaise with Michelle Williams and Matthias Schoenarts, and Custody with Viola Davis.  Netflix has The Most hated Woman in America with Melissa Leo. That said, I’ll go with National Geographic’s Killing Reagan which has a tad of good history here with two of the previous Killing series being nominated as well.

02

OUTSTANDING LIMITED SERIES:
• American Crime (ABC)
• Big Little Lies (HBO)
• Fargo (FX)
• Feud: Bette and Joan (FX)
• The Night Of (HBO)

Sixth nominee: The Young Pope (HBO)

Three slots are already assured here: HBO’s pop culture phenomenon Big Little Lies, the third season of Fargo, and Ryan Murphy’s breakout season of Feud, featuring the infamous rivalry of Bette Davis and Joan Crawford. Sitting safely in fourth I think is HBO’s other series The Night Of, which if snubbed — will only be because it came out really early last year. For the last spot, it can either go to HBO’s third pony in the race, the Jude Law starrer The Young Pope, or Guerilla which stars Emmy nominee Idris Elba. While ABC has pulled off the plug when it comes to American Crime, I think it can still squeak in one last nod just for the pedigree of the show being nominated for the previous two seasons.

03

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Riz Ahmed, “The Night Of”
• Benedict Cumberbatch, “Sherlock: The Lying Detective”
• Robert de Niro, “The Wizard of Lies”
• Jude Law, “The Young Pope”
• Ewan McGregor, “Fargo”
• John Turturro, “The Night Of”

Seventh nominee: Geoffrey Rush, “Genius”

Robert de Niro has never been nominated for an Emmy, so we’re sure he ain’t missing for The Wizars of Lies. Same goes for Ewan McGregor’s double trouble performance in Fargo. Benedict Cumberbatch is a previous Emmy winner for this performance, so I think he’s still getting in a last time for Sherlock. Both Riz Ahmed and John Turturro have been nominated for Golden Globes and SAG for The Night Of; thus I’m predicting the same Emmy fate for them. That last spot is tricky – Emmy winner Geoffrey Rush is in a baity role for the miniseries Genius or Jude Law in a very showy character as well. Toss the con eitherway, I got Law in that last spot.

04

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Carrie Coon, “Fargo”
• Bryce Dallas Howard, “Black Mirror: Nosedive”
• Nicole Kidman, “Big Little Lies”
• Jessica Lange, “Feud: Bette and Joan”
• Susan Sarandon, “Feud: Bette and Joan”
• Reese Witherspoon, “Big Little Lies”

Seventh nominee: Felicity Huffman, “American Crime”

Four spots are already locked in this one. There’s 3x winner Jessica Lange for her portrayal of Joan Crawford in Feud plus the Big Little Lies twosome of Nicole Kidman and Reese Witherspoon. I see a scenario of Susan Sarandon getting snubbed just because of her off show persona, but I think she’s easily getting in. After her surprise SAG nod earlier this year, Bryce Dallas Howard seems likely to follow it up with an Emmy nod for her wickedly outlandish performance in Black Mirror. The last spot is up for grabs between three women – there’s Oprah in her passion project, Emmy favorite Felicity Huffman who was previously nominated twice for this show, and then there’s Carrie Coon. I can see a path for Coon being Patrick Wilson-ed this year due to the subtlety of the role, but between that and her role in The Leftovers, she’ll probably get her overdue obligatory nod here instead.

05

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Hank Azaria, “The Wizard of Lies”
• Bill Camp, “The Night Of”
• Alfred Molina, “Feud: Bette and Joan”
• Alexander Skarsgaard, “Big Little Lies”
• David Thewlis, “Fargo”
• Stanley Tucci, “Feud: Bette and Joan”

Seventh nominee: Michael Stuhlbarg, “Fargo”

The two men of Feud are both veteran actors who have been previously Emmy nominated so expect to see them again this year. Hank Azaria is an Emmy favorite getting in multiple times in the past for a lot of previous projects (both successful and not). I’d like to think that Alexander Skarsgaard is getting in, as carried by the love for Big Little Lies, and he’s the show’s supporting actor who has the biggest chance of getting nominated. Bill Camp is a bit of a risk, but his is a performance I actually think will resonate and will surprise come nomination morning. I don’t think Fargo is that breakout this season to merit two nominees here and while Michael Stuhlbarg is the more predicted name, I think David Thewlis is the one getting in, reminiscent of last year when Ted Danson seems the likely nominee only to be upset by co-star Bokeem Woodbine.

06

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Kathy Bates, “American Horror Story: Roanoke”
• Judy Davis, “Feud: Bette and Joan”
• Laura Dern, “Big Little Lies”
• Regina King, “American Crime”
• Sarah Paulson, “American Horror Story: Roanoke”
• Shailene Woodley, “Big Little Lies”

Seventh nominee: Michelle Pfeiffer, “The Wizard of Lies”

This is probably the most crowded acting category we have at the Emmys for the limited series as it’s a combination of veteran names, breakthrough actresses, Oscar winners and more. So with that, let’s try to dissect them slot per slot. Let’s begin with Regina King. Sure, American Crime has been canceled already but it’s safe to assume that the current champ in this category for the last two years is coming back. Another familiar name is Judy Davis, also a 2x winner here for her flashy performance in Feud. I’d like to believe that both Shailene Woodley and Laura Dern of Big Little Lies are next – both had great reviews, and Dern is a past multi-Emmy nominee, and Woodley is a lead star of their show. The last two slots can be really filled with many Oscar winners – there’s Viola Davis in Custody, Catherine Zeta Jones also from Feud, and Diane Keaton in The Young Pope. It can also go to Fargo‘s Mary Elizabeth Winstead or The Night Of‘s Jeannie Berlin. I’m currently predicting Michelle Pfeiffer to be snubbed on Emmy morning, so my last two slots go to two familiar names who are mainstays here for the last few years – both from American Horror Story: Roanoke: – Sarah Paulson and Kathy Bates.

07

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Big Little Lies (Jean-Marc Vallée)
• Black Mirror, “Nosedive” (Joe Wright)
• Fargo, “The Law of Vacant Places” (Noah Hawley)
• FEUD: Bette and Joan, “And the Winner Is… (The Oscars of 1963)” (Ryan Murphy)
• The Night Of, “The Beach” (Steven Zaillan)
• The Young Pope (Paolo Sorrentino)

Seventh nominee: The Wizard of Lies (Barry Levinson)

I’m just going with really familiar names here. I think Jean-Marc Vallee, Noah hawley, and Ryan Murphy are all assured of nods already. Steven Zaillan is also a familiar enough name in The Night Of‘s only submission here. I also think the pedigree plus the flashy material will also lead Joe Wright to an Emmy nomination for Black Mirror. Paolo Sorrentino is more of an arthouse name than an Emmy household voter one, but that did not stop last year’s Susanne Bier from actually even winning.

08

OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Big Little Lies (David E. Kelley)
• Black Mirror, “San Junipero” (Charlie Brooker)
• Fargo, “The Law of Vacant Places” (Noah Hawley)
• FEUD: Bette and Joan, “And the Winner Is… (The Oscars of 1963)” (Ryan Murphy)
• The Night Of “The Call of the Wild” (Richard Price & Steven Zaillian)
• Sherlock: The Lying Detective (Steven Moffat)

Seventh nominee: Gilmore Girls: A Year in the Life, “Winter” (Amy Sherman-Palladino)

Expect the same group of shows I’m predicting in Directing to get in here as well, only difference would be no The Young Pope here, with Sherlock replacing it here considering it got in for all the previous installments of the show.

It’s the comedy genre predictions tomorrow!

Discuss this with me on Twitter: @nikowl

Posted July 10, 2017 by Nicol Latayan in Awards, TV

Tagged with , ,

69th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 1: Reality and Variety   Leave a comment

The Emmys, considered as television’s highest honor, will reveal their nominees for the 69th Primetime Emmy Awards for the previous television season. Before Anna Chlumsky and Shemar Moore announce the shows and performers that will be up for the Emmy, let’s predict 31 different categories starting with the reality and variety genres:

01

OUTSTANDING REALITY/COMPETITION SERIES:
• The Amazing Race (CBS)
• American Ninja Warrior (NBC)
• Dancing with the Stars (ABC)
• RuPaul’s Drag Race (Logo)
• Top Chef (Bravo)
• The Voice (NBC)

Seventh nominee: Project Runway (Lifetime)

So You Think You Can Dance exited the lineup last year but it was not Survivor who came back. Instead, NBC’s American Ninja Warrior snatched an out of nowhere surprise nomination. While all six shows nominated last year are eligible to come back, I think one will make way for Rupaul’s Drag Race. After RuPaul’s win last year in the host category and its continuously increasing presence in mainstream media and pop culture, it is ripe for a nomination in this category.  My bet is on Project Runway.

02

OUTSTANDING REALITY/COMPETITION HOST:
• Alec Baldwin, “Match Game”
• Tom Bergeron, “Dancing with the Stars”
• Rupaul Charles, “RuPaul’s Drag Race”
• Steve Harvey, “Little Big Shots”
• Heidi Klum and Tim Gunn, “Project Runway”
• Jeff Probst, “Survivor”

Sixth nominee: Martha Stewart and Snoop Dogg, “Martha and Snoop’s Potluck Dinner Party”

Two nominees from last year aren’t eligible for this year: previous champ here Jane Lynch for Hollywood Game Night and Ryan Seacrest for American Idol. Alec Baldwin seems like a prototype of the slot that Jane Lynch left — a previous Emmy winning actor who carries their show, in this case – Match Game. While I’m tempted to say Martha and Snoop will be nominated together, I’d go with a comeback for 4x winner Jeff Probst in a way to acknowledge the renaissance Survivor has been enjoying the past few years.

03

OUTSTANDING SPECIAL CLASS PROGRAM
• Hairspray Live (NBC)
• Madonna: Rebel Heat Tour (Showtime)
• NBC Presents The XXXI Olympiad Opening Ceremony (NBC)
• The Oscars (ABC)
• 70th Annual Tony Awards (CBS)

Sixth nominee: Super Bowl LI Halftime Show Starring Lady Gaga (Fox)

The Oscars and the Tonys are mainstays in this category and between the iconic Best Picture brouhaha at the Oscars and James Corden’s lauded Tony hosting last year, expect them to get nods again. Hairspray Live follows the path of other network specials such as Grease and The Wiz Live so I’m predicting it as well. The last two Olympic specials have garnered wins in this category, so it’s safe to predict the Rio opening NBC special to get in. As for that last spot, it’s a feud between two big superstars who have been compared to each other a lot since the other’s boom to pop music: Madonna’s Rebel Heart Tour which was shown on Showtime, and Lady Gaga who headlined the SuperBowl 51 earlier this year. It can really go both ways, but I’ll say Queen gets in first.

04

OUTSTANDING VARIETY SPECIAL
• 39th Annual Kennedy Center Honors (CBS)
• The Age Of Spin: Dave Chappelle Live At The Hollywood Palladium (Netflix)
• Carpool Karaoke Primetime Special 2017 (CBS)
• Justin Timberlake and the Tennessee Kids (Netflix)
• Louis C.K. 2017 (Netflix)

Sixth nominee: Tony Bennett Celebrates 90: The Best Is Yet To Come (NBC)

The Kennedy Center Honors has won five consecutive times, and has been continuously nominated since, so I won’t be surprised to see it again. Last year, James Corden pulled off the upset over Beyonce’s Lemonade and Adele’s NBC special, so it assures another nod here. Three Netflix specials gives me pause but hear me out – Louis CK has been nominated for all his previous efforts here so there’s that. Dave Chapelle has been the biggest that Netflix promoted a comedy special in quite some time so they’re really giving it the push and attention. I’m the most skeptical about Justin Timberlake, but what makes me predict him is that this can be a way for them to honor the late Jonathan Demme who directed this one.

05

OUTSTANDING VARIETY TALK PROGRAM
• Full Frontal with Samantha Bee (TBS)
• Jimmy Kimmel Live (ABC)
• Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO)
• The Late Late Show with James Corden (CBS)
• The Late Show with Stephen Colbert (CBS)
• The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon (NBC)

Seventh nominee: Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee (Crackle)

After winning last year, Last Week Tonight is an easy call for another round of nomination. Same goes for James Corden and his viral gimmicks and antics. Between his Oscar duties and his heartfelt story about his son, Jimmy Kimmel is on Hollywood’s good graces, so I expect his show to be back as well. After receiving a Writing nod last year, I think this is the year that Full Frontal with Samantha Bee gets recognized for the actual program too. Stephen Colbert is a much-loved name in this category, and I think the Emmys are ready to embrace him again. For that last spot, I could go with wither Real Time with Bill Maher who just missed one time since this category’s inception, but then Maher’s controversy might affect his chances here. Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee surprised everyone with a nod, but I felt it’s a one-time thing. I guess I’ll go with a last time nod for The Tonight Show which will provide balance to the politically themed content of the other late night shows.

06

OUTSTANDING VARIETY SKETCH PROGRAM
• Billy on the Street (IFC)
• Documentary Now! (IFC)
• Drunk History (Comedy Central)
• Portlandia (IFC)
• Saturday Night Live (NBC)
• Tracey Ullman’s Show (HBO)

Seventh nominee: Maya & Marty (NBC)

With Inside Amy Schumer and Key & Peele not eligible this season, we’re bound to get two newbies in this category. I say one goes to Tracey Ullman who has a history with getting nominated at the Emmys, an Billy on the Street who continues to get bigger as each season passes, getting some of the most notable names for the season.

Tomorrow, let’s discuss the TV Movie and Limited Series categories!

Discuss this with me on Twitter: @nikowl

Posted July 9, 2017 by Nicol Latayan in Awards, TV

Tagged with ,

89th Academy Awards Winner Predictions   Leave a comment

It’s that time of the year! The biggest and most prestigious night in Hollywood is coming this weekend. It’s time to hand out Oscars to the most popular and best campaigned films and performances of the previous year. The biggest story this year is all about La La Land and how this musical romance story nabbed 14 nominations tying with Titanic and All About Eve as the most nominated in Academy history. Now, while it stands a really great chance of nabbing that Best Picture win, the real question begs: how many Oscars will it take along with it? Here are my final predictions in all 21 categories.

adapted-screenplay

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

Just a few months ago, the Academy deemed both Moonlight and Loving as adapted screenplays as compared to their initially campaigned original ones. This becomes some sort of the de facto award for Moonlight to win after being the runner-up all season. It even solidified its status as a strong frontrunner here after winning the Best Original Screenplay recognition from the Writers’ Guild Awards, beating stronger frontrunners La La Land and Manchester by the Sea in the process. The only possible spoiler here is BAFTA winning screenplay of Lion. But at this stage, we might even consider it as a distant second to Moonlight.

PREDICTION: Moonlight (Barry Jenkins and Tarell Alvin McCraney)
ALTERNATE: Lion (Luke Davies)

orig-screenplay

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

One of the few remaining up in the air categories is the Original Screenplay category. So far, the rundown is that the Globes went for La La Land while BAFTAs went with Manchester by the Sea. The BFCA didn’t help as it gave a tie to the two aforementioned films. While the WGAs went with Moonlight. What works for Manchester is that it’s a writer’s type of movie — it’s a focused character study and can also serve as a way to reward Manchester by the Sea (more on this later). However, we don’t know what the extent does the Academy adore La La Land because this can simply be a part of the sweep. One can’t also consider the spread the wealth considering Birdman won this one two years ago at the extent of rewarding both Boyhood and The Grand Budapest Hotel. As much as it’s a nailbiter, I guess I’ll have to go with…

PREDICTION: Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan)
ALTERNATE: La La Land (Damien Chazelle)

supp-actress

SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

Before I go to predicting this rather easy category, let’s acknowledge the two achievements this year’s nominees had. First up, it’s the first year ever where an acting category had three black actresses to be nominated (Viola Davis, Naomie Harris, and Octavia Spencer). Speaking of Octavia Spencer, she became the first female black acting Oscar winner to receive a follow up nomination after winning five years ago for The Help.  Anyway, probably the only acting category that we can sign, seal, and deliver, this one is Viola Davis’ to lose! After two turns at being the runner-up finisher (losing to Penelope Cruz in 2008 and to Meryl Streep in 2011), Viola is the latest addition to the winner of the Triple Acting Club with this impending Oscar win as the wife in Fences. Don’t be surprised if she siphons at least 95% of the total votes here, leaving the rest of the nominees with 5% to share apiece. For runner-up, I’d say Michelle Williams (now going 4-0) is the next in line for a win.

PREDICTION: Viola Davis, Fences
ALTERNATE: Nicole Kidman, Lion

supp-actor

SUPPORTING ACTOR:

Given how easy Supporting Actress to predict is, the same can’t be said about its male counterpart. Supporting Actor is a tad of clusterfuck actually. Let’s begin with the Globes where non-nominated Aaron Taylor-Johnson pulled off the upset. Sadly for him, despite BAFTA nomination in his name, it was his co-star Michael Shannon who nabbed the Oscar nod for the film. SAG went by going with Mahershala Ali of Moonlight, which was an easy get for him. Come BAFTA, they went their own way and rewarded British Dev Patel for his turn in the Harvey Weinstein-backed Lion, possibly throwing another curve to Ali’s frontrunner status. Three things: it has to be emphasized that Oscar voting this season started the day after Patel won the BAFTA so that could help things. Second, Dev is also the closest possible contender to continue the trend of ‘winning for a real life person‘ narrative which has continues since 1998. Third, it’s the second consecutive year where Globes (Sylvester Stallone), SAG (Idris Elba), and BAFTA (Mark Rylance) all went different routes and last year, BAFTA prevailed. That said, I think Mahershala Ali is still the frontrunner (albeit a really not strong one), and that he can still pull off the win even by a hair for his turn in Moonlight. Always watch out for Dev Patel until Alicia Vikander opens that envelope.

PREDICTION: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
ALTERNATE: Dev Patel, Lion

lead-actress

LEAD ACTRESS:

It’s probably one of the strongest years for Lead Actress contenders that there isn’t enough room for the likes of Amy Adams in Arrival, or Annette Bening in 20th Century Women, both of whom would be really competitive in any other year that’s not 2016. After her BFCA win, it seems like Natalie Portman went on a different trajectory for Jackie losing further momentum. It also didn’t help that the movie didn’t latch on well enough in terms of picking up above the line nominations. Who replaced her as the alternate? Golden Globe winner Isabelle Huppert for Elle. SPC has really managed to turn an impressive campaign thus far for this French legend, and while others are toying with the idea of a possible upset on Oscar night, she’ll be a strong runner-up. It didn’t help that the British studio didn’t do any efforts to submit Elle in time to be eligible for the BAFTA, and that she was SAG snubbed despite being eligible. This one is Emma Stone’s to lose, as she ticks many of the boxes that fit the winning criteria — young actress, previous nominee, at the peak of her career, very charming and has campaigned well in the Best Picture frontrunner. As much as we want Oscar winner Isabelle Huppert to happen, it’s Emma Stone’s name written in that envelope.

PREDICTION: Emma Stone, La La Land
ALTERNATE: Isabelle Huppert, Elle

lead-actor

LEAD ACTOR:

Up until two weeks ago, it’s all but Casey Affleck’s to lose. He won two of the critics trifecta (and was a runner-up at LAFCA), won over 40 recognition for his performance in Manchester by the Sea including the Gotham, the BFCA. and the Golden Globe (much to the stress of Brie Larson). Then Denzel Washington won the SAG and there’s no turning back. He just stole all the momentum moving forward, and now it’s a nailbiter come Oscar evening. Affleck won the BAFTA afterwards, but it’s a Dezel-less field, and the latter’s snub probably helped him siphon more votes in the end. Affleck’s chances aren’t also helped by the idea that his sexual assault story is popping up during the last stage of the campaign period. You know what this race seems like? The Best Actor 2001 race. Actor A has received all accolades and precursor sweep then, until personal issues against him were brought up. Oscar winning actor B was seen as the alternate, and when the envelope was opened, it was his name written there. Actor A is Russell Crowe and Actor B, as you guessed it, is Denzel Washington. This reeks too much of a coincidence that between the industry love for him, the #OscarsSoWhite, and his legacy, we’ll see a 2001 redux and Denzel goes on to win his third Oscar.

PREDICTION: Denzel Washington, Fences
ALTERNATE: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea

directing

DIRECTOR:

I don’t think there’s any room for upset in this category already, as he literally swept all precursors leading to the Oscars. After all, the movie he’s directed is seen as a directorial achievement above anything else. And his two closest competition will likely be rewarded in the Screenplay category. So I say it’s an easy win for La La Land‘s Damien Chazelle.

PREDICTION: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
ALTERNATE: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

animated-feature

ANIMATED FEATURE:

This year doesn’t really have that strong of a lock contender as compared to let’s say Toy Story 3 in 2010, Finding Nemo in 2003, or Inside Out last year, but Zootopia is a strong frontrunner to say the least. It has the box office performance, the critical backup, as well as the precursor win to go land an Oscar. Its only possible hurdle, albeit a small one, is Kubo and the Two Strings who performed and picked up steam in the latter part of the season. That said, this is still Zootopia‘s to lose.

PREDICTION: Zootopia
ALTERNATE: Kubo and the Two Strings

foreign-language-film

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:

It’s really a strange category if there’s one. The consensus seem to go to Germany’s Toni Erdmann with its critical performance. It might not have won the Globe but it lost to snubee Elle. It did not win BAFTA as well, but it lost to last year’s Oscar winner Son of Saul so it does not count too. However, this category, since its change of winner process determination, has been kinder to crowdpleasers which Toni Erdmann is not. That certainly helps Sweden’s A Man Called Ove to the equation. After all, it also received another nomination for Best Make Up & Hairstyling. Then comes Asghar Farhadi’s ban issue which coincidentally happened during the voting process. Voting for Farhadi’s nominated film The Salesman can be seen as a vote of statement against Trump, and if there’s one thing that Hollywood loves he most, it’s making a statement. I don’t know if that’ll be enough, but it can be a memorable moment in the show.

PREDICTION: The Salesman (Iran)
ALTERNATE: A Man Called Ove (Sweden)

documentary

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:
Here’s another category where I’ll see the voters rallying around and make a statement, so it probably means it will go to either 13th, an exploration of race and justice system in America, or I Am Not Your Negro tackling the history of racism in United States. That said, between the renewed interest with the OJ Simpson case (all thanks to the Emmy winning series “People v. OJ Simpson“), I think the eight-hour documentary event OJ: Made in America will pick up the win in the end.

PREDICTION: OJ: Made in America
ALTERNATE: 13th

Here are the rest of the categories:

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
Consider this as an easy sweep for the that small unknown musical called La La Land
PREDICTION: La La Land
ALTERNATE: Lion

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
There couldn’t have been a more perfect and ideal moment for Hollywood to honor it-man Lin-Manuel Miranda than this year especially after the juggernaut that is called Hamilton. Guess what’s an equally juggernaut piece there is? It’s that small unknown musical called La La Land.
PREDICTION: “City of Stars“, La La Land
ALTERNATE:How Far I’ll Go“, Moana

BEST FILM EDITING:
The flashy war scenes in Hacksaw Ridge can be tempting as hell, but I don’t think there’s stopping La La Land to get that closest precursor tech category to nab with its Best Picture win.
PREDICTION: La La Land
ALTERNATE: Hacksaw Ridge

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Sure, the ASC went with the more natural and outdoor type of cinematography that Lion did, but when it comes to the overall voting body of AMPAS, they might not resist the charm of good old’ Hollywood and include this in the sweep.
PREDICTION: La La Land
ALTERNATE: Lion

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
PREDICTION: La La Land
ALTERNATE: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
Probably the trickiest to predict, it would have been an easy win for La La Land had it not been a modern-set traditional musical in the likes of those huge Broadway sets. it won the Costume Guild, and it’s the only winner that’s a nominee this year. That said, the BAFTAs went for the more traditional ones, with Jackie, a recreation of the iconic fashion that the late Jackie Kennedy left us. BAFTA has a strong correlation in this category correctly predicting the winners since 2007. I’ll probably stick with that stat. But then, you know La La Land is just lurking around the corner.
PREDICTION: Jackie
ALTERNATE: La La Land

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:
I still can’t believe that the make-up branch who have embraced trash time and again resisted to go for baity Deadpool in here. That said, expect the more obvious and flashy make-up and hairstyling of Star Trek: Beyond to dominate here, after winning for the first movie back in 2009.
PREDICTION: Star Trek Beyond
ALTERNATE: Suicide Squad

BEST SOUND MIXING:
Chicago, Ray, Dreamgirls, and Les Miserables are four of the winners in this category’s history. See a pattern there? Add this up to the La La Land train then!
PREDICTION: La La Land
ALTERNATE: Hacksaw Ridge

BEST SOUND EDITING:
If Film Editing can’t do it for Hacksaw Ridge, then maybe Sound Editing can. After all, this is one aspect of La La Land that has really received lots of negative criticisms. That said, you’ll never know with the Academy. How many of the whole body can even distinguish Sound Editing from Sound Mixing? How many will just namec heck the most popular film in the bunch? if it managed to get that nomination (which it surisingly did), then why not make it all the way to a win too?
PREDICTION: Hacksaw Ridge
ALTERNATE: La La Land

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
Remember how this category usually is connected to the Best Picture frontrunner? Much to the surprise of a lot of people, Arrival missed an easy get here. While the flashiest here is Doctor Strange, I think the whole narrative of The Jungle Book being both a commercial and critical success will help it gets its Oscar win in this category.
PREDICTION: The Jungle Book
ALTERNATE: Doctor Strange

And lastly, the big one of the night:

picture

BEST PICTURE:

Unlike the complexity of the past year where it was basically a three-way race between Spotlight, The Big Short, and The Revenant, this one is pretty easy. La La Land is poised to sweep the biggest trophy of the night alongside eight other Oscars. It has basically achieved record after record, winning the most Golden Globes ever, being the first Best Picture winner to miss the SAG ensemble lineup, and joining Titanic and All About Eve as the most nominated films in academy history. As much as people are sick and over it, the movie still written on the envelope will be La La Land.

PREDICTION: La La Land
ALTERNATE: Moonlight

There you have it! The 89th Academy Awards will be on Sunday (Monday morning here in Manila) to be shown on HBO.

89th Academy Awards Nominations Predictions   Leave a comment

fa316e73-6761-4b39-8d58-7fbfcf22ef60

With months and months of speculations, all predictions will finally be decided upon as the Academy unveils its 89th Academy Awards nominations tomorrow night, Manila time. This season, just like the previous one, brought in lots of crazy moments as we progress the past few months. Frontrunners like Ang Lee’s Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk, and Nate Parker’s Birth of a Nation both sizzled mid-way. Viola Davis competed in Supporting after talks of being in Lead a year before, and who knew that Mel Gibson can still do a Hollywood comeback after all these years? Anyway, here we go, I’ll share my predictions in all 24 Oscar categories.

BEST PICTURE

As you may know, Best Picture is a fluid category which can have as many as ten and as low as five nominees. We have a really strong triumvirate heading to Oscar season with Damien Chazelle’s LA-set musical La La Land, Kenneth Lonergan’s small drama Manchester by the Sea, and critically acclaimed Moonlight from Barry Jenkins. All three led the season in terms of critical acclaim and precursor performance. Consider three all set and locked in.

Next up, two films which really overperformed all season, overcoming doubts and possible barriers throughout their campaigns. The Amy Adams-starrer Arrival has managed to sweep both critics, audience, and guilds off its feet, beating possible “genre bias” against it. And despite all the behind the scene shenanigans over The Weinstein Company, Harvey Weinstein proves he still has it in him pushing Lion to a distant but comfortable fifth place spot.

And then it gets tricky. I’d say that Hell or High Water is sixth, with its whirlwind of a performance, getting remembered when it was very low-key, and getting snubbed for guilds when it started to pick up some steam. That said, I think it’s one of the few films that target the dude-bros/majority of the AMPAS membership so I think it’s safely in. next up are two POC led films whose sequel Hidden Fences has been repeated a lot this season (sadly, not in jest). Fences, directed and starred by Denzel Washington is a film adaptation of a Broadway winning play, while Hidden Figures, who defies box office expectation each week peaks at the right time during voting. While I won’t be surprised if one of these two gets snubbed (because these + Moonlight and Lion will mean half of the eight nominees are about POC and as much as Hollywood claims they are embracing, the past two years proved otherwise), I’m still sticking them both in and close my predictions at eight.

In the event that these surpass the eight, I think Mel Gibson’s sorta Hollywood comeback Hacksaw Ridge which surprisingly did well the last few weeks, can fill in the AMPAS membership quota targeted at old, white grandpas. After Clint Eastwood’s Sully sizzled, this can be their feel good movie of the year. Then there’s also Martin Scorsese’s opus Silence which was a victim of Paramount handling three strong films this season; thus coming really late to the party.

Predictions:
• Arrival
• Fences
• Hell or High Water
• Hidden Figures
• La La Land
• Lion
• Manchester by the Sea
• Moonlight

9th (but not predicted): Hacksaw Ridge
10th (but not predicted): Silence

BEST DIRECTOR

It’s really not safe to stick with the DGA five considering that the only time that happened was back in 2000. That said, the last time it also happened was a group of all first-time nominees, which also reflects this year’s batch. Well, it only becomes a problem when you consider that the biggest spoiler to this group is welp… another first timer. I think Damien Chazelle, Kenneth Lonergan, and Barry Jenkins are all safe here, while Denis Villeneuve strikes me as one who’ll finally get his welcome to the club mention. After all, his previous films have been slowly getting Oscar nominations, so it’s just a matter of time to finally get one for him. Last spot I see is between Garth Davis who pulled off that surprise DGA nod (over favorites such as Martin Scorsese, Clint Eastwood, and Mel Gibson) or David Mackenzie (whose film did not submit for the DGAs.) Toss a coin to get your answer and mine right now says Garth Davis.

Predictions:

• Denis Villeneuve, Arrival
• Damien Chazelle, La La Land
• Garth Davis, Lion
• Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
• Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

SPOILER: David Mackenzie, Hell or High Water

BEST ACTOR

Casey Affleck is back nine years after receiving his first nod for The Assassination of Jesse James, but not only is he back as a nominee, moreso a frontrunner to win the Oscar this year for Manchester by the Sea. Two of his closest contenders include Denzel Washington, on his way to pick up his seventh career nod for his role in Fences and Golden Globe winner Ryan Gosling, the effortlessly charming pianist in La La Land, whose only Oscar nod was exactly a decade ago for Half Nelson. With two major films this year, more exposure can only help Andrew Garfield to finally include “Oscar nominee” before his name, but with Silence coming in too late in the game, all his previous mentions were for his role as the lead soldier in Hacksaw Ridge. The last spot can go to Joel Edgerton in Loving, or maybe a late gamechanger Jake Gyllenhaal for Nocturnal Animals, but I’d play safe and predict Viggo Mortensen for Captain Fantastic, as he has earned Globe, SAG, and BAFTA nods for this already.

PREDICTIONS:
• Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
• Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
• Ryan Gosling, La La Land
• Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
• Denzel Washington, Fences

SPOILER: Joel Edgerton, Loving

BEST ACTRESS

If we’re being diplomatic about it, it’s a “good” problem to not figure out the Best Actress lineup this year when it was the easiest to do so the last few years. That means great roles for women in their 20s, 30s, 40s, 50s, and 60s have all been receiving great ink for their memorable performances. But for prediction’s sake, it’s still difficult to pin down how this category will be like. I guess we better start with Emma Stone then, as she’s probably the safest here and the likely recipient of this award come Oscar night. As much as we salivate over the possibility of a Portman snub (after those really career-best notices), it’s not gonna happen. Pencil Natalie’s turn as Jackie Kennedy another sure contender here. After that, I’m tempted to say Meryl Streep is third. This role, in another “transformative” performance is something the members of the Academy will eat up. Add the fact that her iconic Golden Globe speech came right during voting period just surely helps her more. Now this is where it gets tricky. I’d put Isabelle Huppert for Elle in fourth, and while I think it’s the pessimist in me talking, I’m still open to the idea of a possible snub. After all, it’s a movie that’s not a priority watch with an actress in her 60s carrying the film in one of the strongest years of this category. I really should comfort myself with the fact that she earned the critics trifecta, the Drama Globe upset, and SPC’s priority but I;m just preparing myself for the worst here. Then there’s Amy Adams, who’s some sort of a name-check but not in a Meryl or C/Kate level yet. This will be her sixth nod in 12 years and that ratio is good to predict her. That said, we had an extra week of voting which could help Annette Bening in the little and underseen 20th Century Women or Taraji p. Henson as the face of Hidden Figures to spoil the party, and in the event that happens, I’d say Adams is the first one good to go.

PREDICTIONS:
• Amy Adams, Arrival
• Isabelle Huppert, Elle
• Natalie Portman, Jackie
• Emma Stone, La La Land
• Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

SPOILER: Annette Bening, 20th Century Women

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Proving to be the category that provides the clusterfuck, Supporting Actor can either be as easy as 1-2-3 or as confusing as that Math lady meme we’ve all used by now. I feel like Moonlight‘s Mahershala Ali, Hell or High Water‘s Jeff Bridges, and Lion‘s Dev Patel are already sure locks here. Hugh Grant feels like it can go eitherway. He fits the bill of someone nabbing precursor nods only to come short in the end, but then he also fits the bill of a filler, carried over nod. But when the one who drags your nod is none other than Meryl Streep, then I guess he’s in too. Now that last spot is indeed very tricky. The obvious option is Golden Globe winner Aaron Taylor-Johnson who also picked up a BAFTA nod for his turn in Nocturnal Animals. If not him, then maybe Lucas Hedges of Manchester by the Sea. But then this is the category that has provided us Jonah Hill in Wolf of Wall Street and Tom Hardy for The Revenant, so a coattail is very much in talks here. Possible performances that fit the bill are Michael Shannon for Nocturnal Animals, Issei Ogata for Silence, and Ben Foster for Hell or High Water.

Predictions:
• Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
• Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
• Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
• Dev Patel, Lion
• Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals

SPOILER: Ben Foster, Hell or High Water

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Probably the most “boring” of the four acting categories, this one seems like it’s set in stone. Davis, Harris, Kidman, and Williams have appeared in all precursors by far. Critics went for Lily Gladstone whose film isn’t even being campaigned. The BAFTAs went with Haley Squire of I, Daniel Blake which is the BAFTA-est pick they can go to at BAFTAs. Thus, it benefits Oscar winner Octavia Spencer who picked up GG and SAG nods for Hidden Figures. I don’t see a scenario of Greta Gerwig spoiling the race especially considering that her possible coattail Annette Bening is struggling to get hers too. Maybe Spencer’s co-star Janelle Monae is the only alternate here, as she’s helped by starring in both Hidden Figures and Moonlight. That said, Octavia is the more established name here, and a good narrative to boot as the first black actress to receive a nomination after her win.

Predictions:
• Viola Davis, Fences
• Naomie Harris, Moonlight
• Nicole Kidman, Lion
• Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
• Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

SPOILER: Janelle Monae, Hidden Figures

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Count on the Writer’s branch to revive the lesser buzzed films in contention this year, and I think The Lobster has that slot all filled up. Thus, as much as I, Daniel Blake makes sense as an Oscar morning surprise, I’ll stick with the consensus of La La Land, Manchester by the Sea, Hell or High Water, and Captain Fantastic in here.

Predictions:
• Captain Fantastic
• Hell or High Water
• La La Land
• The Lobster
• Manchester by the Sea

SPOILER: I, Daniel Blake

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Yes I’m predicting a Fences snub here which makes sense and doesn’t make sense simultaneously. First up, I think Moonlight, Lion, and Arrival are semi-locks here already. While Hidden Figures surprisingly got in a nice haul of Adapted Screenplay mentions from the BAFTAs to the WGA up to the USC Scripter and BFCAs. The last spot can easily go to Fences (which is the safe choice to be frank about it), or to Silence (which was once perceived as the frontrunner here). I went with Tom Ford’s Nocturnal Animals here instead because the baity adaptation can probably overcome the writers’ judgment of Ford being a writer.

Predictions:
• Arrival
• Hidden Figures
• Lion
• Moonlight
• Nocturnal Animals

SPOILER: Fences

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

I think at this stage it’s already hard to deny that Toni Erdmann is probably winning this one, so a nod is already assured for this FLF frontrunner. Denmark has a successful streak in this category this decade as well, and Land of Mine appeals to such an AMPAS demographic I think it’s getting in. Sweden’s A Man Called Ove strikes the perfect balance between comedy and drama, and is reminiscent of the other nominees in this category the past few years. Paradise is a bit of an  out of the box pick, but I guess they can’t resist another World War II film in contention from the Venice Best Director of last year. And the only reason I had The Salesman in here is because of Asghar Farhadi’s 2011 victory in this category that we’ve had some sort of reception already to his works. That said, don’t be surprise to see Xavier Dolan joining the race as this type of family melodrama and him working with a lot of Hollywood actors can certainly push him to a nom.

Predictions:
• Land of Mine (Denmark)
• A Man Called Ove (Sweden)
• Paradise (Russia)
• The Salesman (Iran)
• Toni Erdmann (Germany)

SPOILER: It’s Only the End of the World (Canada)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Still ahead of this race is Zootopia which had both the critical and audience backing to be one to beat in this race. Hot on its heels though is Kubo and the Two Strings which has overperformed a tad during this previous guilds run. I actually can see a scenario of them pitting it as the non-Zootopia vote. With it hitting both the Foreign Language Film and Best Animated Film shortlist, I expect My Life as a Zucchini to at least nab one, and since I’m not predicting it in FLF, I’ll go ahead and insert it here. Moana, which was supposed to be a last minute challenger to Zootopia just fell short in the end and while its decent box office performance and pop culture impact push me to predict it, I won’t be surprised to see it get snubbed on Oscar morning.Lastly, The Red Turtle seems more of a personal preference than a prediction here, but we’ll be needing the traditional animated representative in this category and I’m leaning to it by a hair over the hit animated film Your Name.

Predictions:
• Kubo and the Two Strings
• Moana
• My Life as a Zucchini
• The Red Turtle
• Zootopia

SPOILER: Sing

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

At the start of the season, O.J.Made in America can suffer a bit of a backlash since its a seven hour documentary feature that originated from TV. But it seems like it has the support now to not only get nominated, but even go all the way to a win. Joining it willbe the foreign documentary Fire At Sea, two films that will probably speak close to the voters due to their “cinematic” themes: Cameraperson and Life, Animated. And in the race (no pun intended) for that last spot are two documentaries that tackle about race — Raoul Peck’s I Am Not Your Negro and Ava Duvernay’s 13th. The latter seems like one who’s bound for a snub so I’m going with the former.

Predictions:
• Cameraperson
• Fire At Sea
• I Am Not Your Negro
• Life, Animated
• O.J.: Made in America

SPOILER: 13th

Now as for the rest of the technical categories…

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
• Arrival
• La La Land
• Lion
• Moonlight
• Silence

SPOILER: Nocturnal Animals

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
• Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
• Florence Foster Jenkins
• Hail, Caesar!
• Jackie
• La La Land

SPOILER: The Dressmaker

BEST EDITING
• Arrival
• Hell or High Water
• La La Land
• Manchester by the Sea
• Moonlight

SPOILER: Lion

BEST HAIRSTYLING & MAKE UP
• Deadpool
• A Man Called Ove
• Star Trek Beyond

SPOILER: Florence Foster Jenkins

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
• The BFG
• Kubo and the Two Strings
• La La Land
• Lion
• Moonlight

SPOILER: Jackie

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
• “Audition” (La La Land)
• “Angel by the Wings” (The Eagle Huntress)
• “City of Stars” (La La Land)
• “How Far I’ll Go” (Moana)
• “A Minute to Breathe” (Before the Flood)

SPOILER:  “Drive It Like You Stole It” (Sing Street)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
• Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
• Hail, Caesar!
• Jackie
• La La Land
• Silence

SPOILER: The Handmaiden

BEST SOUND EDITING
• Arrival
• Deepwater Horizon
• Hacksaw Ridge
• Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
• Sully

SPOILER: Hell or High Water

BEST SOUND MIXING
• Arrival
• Hacksaw Ridge
• La La Land
• Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
• Sully

SPOILER: Silence

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
• Arrival
• Doctor Strange
• Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
• The Jungle Book
• Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

SPOILER: Passengers

MULTIPLE NOMINATIONS:
13: La La Land
9: Arrival
8: Moonlight
7: Lion
6: Manchester by the Sea
4: Hell or High Water
3: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Fences, Florence Foster Jenkins, Hacksaw Ridge, Hidden Figures, Jackie, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
2: Captain Fantastic, Hail Caesar!, Kubo and the Two Strings, A Man Called Ove, Moana, Nocturnal Animals, Silence, Sully