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69th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 4: Drama   Leave a comment

And we’re down to the last remaining genre as we predict the #2017Emmys nominees for this year. After tackling Reality and Variety, TV Movies and Limited Series, and Comedy, we’re doing Drama!

01

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• The Crown, “Hyde Park Corner” (Stephen Daldry)
• The Handmaid’s Tale, “Offred” (Reed Morano)
• Homeland, “America First” (Lesli Linka Glatter)
• Stranger Things, “Holly, Jolly” (Shawn Levy)
• Stranger Things, “The Vanishing of Will Byers” (The Duffer Brothers)
• Westworld, “The Bicameral Mind” (Jonathan Nolan)

Seventh nominee: The Americans, “The Soviet Division” (Chris Long)

It’s a tad unusual that I’m predicting five nominees all from freshman shows this year, but then all are very showy directing pieces. I’m currently predicting Stranger Things to go really big this year; thus I’m going with two episodes from that show. For that remaining returning slot, I’m currently going with Homeland‘s “America First” episode directed by Leslie Linka Glater. Homeland has been nominated four of the last five years and three of those were from Glater.

02

OUTSTANDING WRITING IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• The Americans, “The Soviet Division” (Joel Fields & Joe Weisberg)
• Better Call Saul, “Chicanery” (Gordon Smith)
• The Crown, “Assassins” (Peter Morgan)
• The Handmaid’s Tale, “Offred” (Bruce Miller)
• The Leftovers, “The Book of Nora” (Damon Lindelof & Tom Perrotta & Tom Spezialy)
• Stranger Things, “The Vanishing of Will Byers” (The Duffer Brothers)

Seventh nominee: This Is Us, “Memphis” (Dan Fogelman)

If there’s one category that I’m most confident with The Leftovers, it’s for this one. Both The Handmaid’s Tale and The Crown were wise with their submissions, so I’m confident both are getting in too. I feel like the pilot of Stranger Things is a writer’s dream taking in a familiar territory and at the same time, building a mystery for the whole season. The Americans has been nominated for the last two years here, and while this is the least praised season thus far, I still think the show has its fans within the branch. I’m including in Better Call Saul only because this is too familiar of an episode that will appeal to the writers with its court scenes and long monologues and dialogues.

03

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Hank Azaria, “Ray Donovan”
• Beau Bridges, “Masters of Sex”
• Gerald McRaney, “This Is Us”
• Ben Mendelsohn, “Bloodline”
• Lars Mikkelsen, “House of Cards”
• Denis O’Hare, “This Is Us”

Seventh nominee: Glynn Turmann, “Queen Sugar”

Current champ Hank Azaria is eligible once again for his performance in Ray Donovan so it seems likely he’ll get a nod to go for his consecutive win here. Beau Bridges has been nominated twice for this role already and the only reason why he missed last year is because he wasn’t eligible here and instead in the Supporting category. After pulling off an upset win in Supporting last year, Ben Mendelsohn is eligible here this time around so it might be an easy nom for this Aussie actor. A House of Cards actor has been nominated the last three years, and I expect the trend to continue, so I’m betting on Lars Mikkelsen to make it. For the last spot, I’ll go with two This Is Us actors: Gerard McRaney who made an impact in his role in the show, and Denis O’Hare who is a multiple Emmy nominee.

04

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Gillian Anderson, “American Gods”
• Alexis Bledel, “The Handmaid’s Tale”
• Laverne Cox, “Orange is the New Black”
• Cloris Leachman, “American Gods”
• Shannon Purser, “Stranger Things”
• Allison Wright, “The Americans”

Seventh nominee: Ann Dowd, “The Leftovers”

I don’t think the category campaign will confuse voters so I’m a tad certain that Alexis Bledel is getting in here, especially after those raves she received for the performance. Barb is an iconic pop culture figure already, so I’m seeing a scenario of Shnnon Purser getting in as well. Laverne Cox has been nominated once in the guest but it was still when the show was competing in the comedy categories. That said, her narrative and great showcase can get her a second career nod for this role. Since co-star Margo Martindale has been promoted to supporting status already, I’m currently predicting Allison Wright to get in here as she’s also probably helped by the goodwill of starring in Feud. While I was initially tempted to nominate two actresses from American Gods here considering it does not have any Emmy buzz outside of this category, these are Gillian Anderson and Cloris Leachman that we’re talking about here, both who have won and nominated yet again with Emmys.

05

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Jonathan Banks, “Better Call Saul”
• David Harbour, “Stranger Things”
• Jared Harris, “The Crown”
• Ron Cephas Jones, “This Is Us”
• John Lithgow, “The Crown”
• Jeffrey Wright, “Westworld”

Seventh nominee: Jon Voight, “Ray Donovan”

Because I don’t think that this category will have a clean sweep of newbies, then Jonathan Banks make the most sense as a comeback nominee to get his third bid for an Emmy in Better Call Saul. John Lithgow is perceived as the current frontrunner but expect co-star Jared Harris (who was last nominated here for his turn in Mad Men) to join him. I’m a bit cautious with Westworld supporting actors as it reminds me a bit of Boardwalk Empire’s situation in its first season when we’re predicting a star to get in, only for everyone to miss. Thus, I’m going only with Emmy winner Jeffrey Wright to get in here. David Harbour is a hot or miss, but I think he’ll be carried with the Stranger Things love that’s bound to happen. Ron Cephas Jones makes sense as that nominee that can be carried because of the passion for both the actor and the show he’s in.

06

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Millie Bobby Brown, “Stranger Things”
• Vanessa Kirby, “The Crown”
• Chrissy Metz, “This Is Us”
• Thandie Newton “Westworld”
• Winona Ryder, “Stranger Things”
• Maura Tierney, “The Affair”

Seventh nominee: Margo Martindale, “The Americans”

Like in Supporting Actor, I don’t think it’ll be an easy clean slate of nominees, so it’s a choice between Constance Zimmer and Maura Tierney. I went with the latter only because of name reputation. Vanessa Kirby is a scene-stealing name and the main push of the show in this category so Netflix is really serious in snatching her a nod. After getting Globe and SAG nods, Thandie Newton is Westworld‘s biggest chance for an acting nomination. Millie Bobby Brown already made her name in pop culture history, so that’s already an assured nomination. I’m a bit more skeptical about Winona Ryder, but I think she can sneak in and get a welcome nomination. With no co-star to battle with, I think Chrissy Metz is one of the breakout stars of the season and will likely add Emmy nominee in her resumé.

07

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Sterling K. Brown, “This Is Us”
• Rami Malek, “Mr. Robot”
• Bob Odenkirk, “Better Call Saul”
• Matthew Rhys, “The Americans”
• Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan”
• Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards”

Seventh nominee: Justin Theroux, “The Leftovers”

All six nominees are eligible to come back and receive a nomination, so I think Kevin Spacey, Matthew Rhys, and Bob Odenkirk will have no problem getting nominated yet again. Rami Malek can be that current winner only to be snubbed the next year, considering the close to non-existent buzz for Mr. Robot‘s second season, but I think he can sneak in one more nod this year. Since his win last year for People vs. OJ Simpson, Sterling K. Brown is in the hunt again for another Emmy with his great reviews and a surprise SAG nod for This is Us. For that last spot, I’m torn between Liev Schreiber to get a third consecutive nod for Ray Donovan or passion to bring Justin Theroux to land an Emmy nom. With Showtime managing to snatch random nods each year at the Emmys, I’m thinking Schreiber still has it in him to get one more nomination.

08

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Carrie Coon, “The Leftovers”
• Claire Danes, “Homeland”
• Claire Foy, “The Crown”
• Elisabeth Moss, “The Handmaid’s Tale”
• Keri Russell, “The Americans”
• Robin Wright, “House of Cards”

Seventh nominee: Viola Davis, “How to Get Away with Murder”

Two newbies are almost assured to get nominations this year and they’re also the two frontrunners for the win. There’s Claire Foy in The Crown and Elisabeth Moss in The Handmaid’s Tale. After getting in for a more crowded category last year, Keri Russell is still in for a second bid in The Americans. Three actresses who have been mainstays here the past few years were Oscar winner Viola Davis who was the champ here in 2015, Claire Danes who won back to back in 2012 and 2013, and Robin Wright who has been nominated four times now. I don’t think all three will get in this year, so I’m leaving Viola Davis off only because there is literally no buzz for her show anymore. In her place, I think the huge buzz for The Leftovers can net Carrie Coon a surprise nomination in the end.

09

OUTSTANDING DRAMA SERIES:
• The Americans (FX)
• Better Call Saul (AMC)
• The Crown (Netflix)
• The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
• Stranger Things (Netflix)
• This Is Us (NBC)
• Westworld (HBO)

Eighth nominee: The Leftovers (HBO)

With Game of Thrones absence this year, it’s an up for grabs race for everyone. Both The Americans and Better Call Saul can add another nomination for the show in the top race here.  The two Netflix shows have the pop culture buzz and the critical response to both get in so expect The Crown and Stranger Things to be nominated as well. The reception for The Handmaid’s Tale is perfect fit for Hulu to finally join the club and get nominated for the top plum. It’s a tad weird that House of Cards is missing in a post-election season no less, but between Netflix having stronger contenders plus a less buzzy season, I think it will finally miss this year. HBO, on the other hand, has two contenders to replace GoT here: the sci-fi show Westworld and cult favorite The Leftovers. I don’t think there’s room for both to get in, and even if I’m so tempted to go with a NGNG prediction of The Leftovers, I’ll stick with Westworld here. The last network show to be nominated for the top prize is The Good Wife for Season2 back in 2011 and since then, network dramas have find it really hard to get back again. Even huge show Empire missed three years ago and The Good Wife missed for its widely loved fifth season. That said, i think This Is Us will probably do the trick and get in this year.

There you have it! Can’t wait for the Emmy nominations tonight! talk to me on Twitter: @nikowl.

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Posted July 13, 2017 by Nicol Latayan in Awards, TV

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69th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 3: Comedy   Leave a comment

It’s still Emmys 2017 week here at Tit for Tat! The last two days we’ve discussed both Reality and Variety as well as the TV Movie and Limited Series categories. It’s time to move to the funniest shows of the season: the Comedy genre!

01

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Atlanta, “B.A.N” (Donald Glover)
• I Love Dick, “A Short History of Weird Girls” (Jill Solloway)
• Master of None, “The Thief” (Aziz Ansari)
• Silicon Valley, “Server Error” (Mike Judge)
• Veep, “Groundbreaking” (David Mandel)
• Veep, “Justice” (Dale Stern)

Seventh nominee: Dear White People, “Chapter V” (Barry Jenkins)

It’s noteworthy to mention that Transparent has won this category the last two years, thanks to Jill Solloway, but this year she opted to submit for that and went for I Love Dick instead. I’m really not sure if the risk will pay off for her, but I think she has enough supporters to get her a third bid for the win. Silicon Valley and Veep are likely to get nominated again, and like last year, I’m going with multiple nods for the current Best Comedy Series champ. I’m certain that Master of None will also get nominated, the question though is for which episode? The Thief seems likeliest to get in here in this category. For that last spot, I can see another episode of Master of None getting in or Oscar winner Barry Jenkins for his episode in Dear White People. That said, I’m counting on Donald Glover’s directed Atlanta episode to snag a nom here.

02

OUTSTANDING WRITING IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Atlanta, “B.A.N” (Donald Glover)
• Catastrophe, “Episode 5” (Rob Delaney & Sharon Horgan)
• Fleabag, “Episode 1” (Phoebe Waller-Bridge)
• Master of None, “Thanksgiving” (Aziz Ansari & Lena Waithe)
• Silicon Valley, “Success Failure” (Alec Berg)
• Veep, “Groundbreaking” (David Mandel)

Seventh nominee: Better Things, “Woman is the Something of the Something” (Pamela Adlon & Louis CK)

The writers branch usually is a breath of fresh air and the least likely to join usual consensus when it comes to nominating shows. This category has given nods to shows like Sports Night, Freaks and Geeks, Community, and Catastrophe. This year, I think the recipient of that slot per se, is writer/actor Phoebe Waller-Bridge for the pilot of Fleabag. I’m sensing a bit of an Episodes vibe from Catastrophe after its surprise nod here last year, and with only one episode submitted, I think it’s in. Then there are the usual suspects: Veep, Silicon Valley, and Master of None.  I’m currently predicting that Atlanta will both get in Writing and Directing, but don’t be shocked if the tandem of Pamela Adlon & Louis CK will push Better Things to a nod.

03

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Becky Ann Baker, “Girls”
• Angela Bassett, “Master of None”
• Carrie Fisher, “Catastrophe”
• Melissa McCarthy, “Saturday Night Live”
• Laurie Metcalfe, “The Big Bang Theory”
• Kristen Wiig, “Saturday Night Live”

Seventh nominee: Maya Rudolph, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”

I think there are two surefire contenders here with regular mainstay in this category, Melissa McCarthy for hosting yet another season of Saturday Night Live. I also think Carrie Fisher will net a posthumous nod for Catastrophe and might even contend for a win once nominated. Kristen Wiig has two shows in contention and while it’s her Last Man on Earth that gets more critical acclaim, her SNL hosting is an easy namecheck here. I’m not sure if voters are totally *over* the Big Bang Theory to drop both Christine Baranski and Laurie Metcalfe, so I’m retaining the latter here especially since Emmys tend to love nominating her. Angela Bassett is the standout guest actress mentioned from Master of None, and she’s a multiple Emmy nominee who checks a lot of boxes in terms of pedigree, show stature, and performance so I’m currently predicting her. Last slot is tricky. It can go to either Maya Rudolph in an too out there performance in Kimmy Schmidt, but I’m probably in wishful thinking mode so I’m going with Becky Ann Baker for Girls.

04

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Dave Chapelle, “Saturday Night Live”
• Tom Hanks, “Saturday Night Live”
• Hugh Laurie, “Veep”
• Peter MacNicol, “Veep”
• Lin-Manuel Miranda, “Saturday Night Live”
• Peter Scolari, “Girls”

Seventh nominee: Jon Hamm, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”

With his surprise win last year, I think Peter Scolari will be an easy inclusion this time around inspite of getting a more limited screentime as compared to his winning season. I’m not sure if Girls is strong enough to net multiple nods so I’m ruling both Riz Ahmed and Matthew Rhys out here. Meanwhile, two shows who are strong enough to get multiple nods are current Best Comedy Series winner Veep with Peter MacNicol and Hugh Laurie, as well as the trio of Saturday Night Live hosts: Dave Chapelle, Tom Hanks, and Lin-Manuel Miranda. I’m most cautious about the last one, but he seems to be an it guy who has been nominated at the Oscars and Tonys so he’s literally everywhere the last two years or so.

05

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Anna Chlumsky, “Veep”
• Gaby Hoffmann, “Transparent”
• Judith Light, “Transparent”
• Kate McKinnon, “Saturday Night Live”
• Rita Moreno, “One Day at a Time”
• Allison Williams, “Girls”

Seventh nominee: Kathryn Hahn, “Transparent”

With Allison Janney moving in Lead, this opens up a slot here as well as Niecy Nash leaving with Getting On ineligible this time around. First up, let’s discuss the mainstays: Chlumsky, current winner McKinnon, and Judith Light of Transparent. I wonder if Kathryn Hahn and her good will can overcome possible perennial nominee Gaby Hoffmann but I’ll stay safe and predict the latter. It’s literally been decades since Rita Moreno last got nominated for an Emmy and she was snubbed after being widely predicted for Jane the Virgin, but I see Netflix factor working its charm to net her a welcome back nod. I don’t know what to make of Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt but I feel it’s on a decline in terms of Emmy nods, so I’m not feeling Jane Krakowski this year. Instead, I’m putting Girls’ Allison Williams to snatch an Emmy nod due to the Get Out lovefest and a way to honor and nominate the finale season of Girls.

06

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Alec Baldwin, “Saturday Night Live”
• Tituss Burgess, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
• Ty Burrell, “Modern Family”
• Tony Hale, “Veep”
• Timothy Simons, “Veep”
• Matt Walsh, “Veep”

Seventh nominee: Louie Anderson, “Baskets”

Does it make sense when I say that Alec Baldwin getting in or missing out are both feasible scenario? Baldwin donning Trump is an easy scenario of Hollywood making a statement, but then again Baldwin donning Trump is too easy a scenario to give this multiple Emmy winner another nod. I’m still thinking that Burgess still has at least an Emmy nod in him despite UKS’ decline in buzz. Ty Burrell seems to me is that someone who’ll likely be nominated as long as the show is still on air despite losing all buzz already, so I’m still keeping him in. For a show that is not as praised or acclaimed as the previous ones, we have to keep in mind that Veep is still a 2x winner for the top Emmy plum and it really has a huge recall among voters. Thus, I’m predicting Timothy Simons to join both Tony Hale and Matt Walsh as nominees here…which also means I’m predicting current winner Louie Anderson to miss out. There’s a huge chance he’ll really get in again, but we all had stranger winner to snubee scenarios before (Eric Stonestreet, Julianna Margulies etc), and he seems to fit the bill.

07

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Allison Janney, “Mom”
• Ellie Kemper, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
• Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
• Tracee Ellis Ross, “black-ish”
• Lily Tomlin, “Grace and Frankie”
• Phoebe Waller-Bridge, “Fleabag”

Seventh nominee: Issa Rae, “Insecure”

With Allison Janney moving in Lead, I think she’ll still get in as it’s the same trajectory she had with her The West Wing fate, only that was for a show that’s really loved by the Emmys. of course at this stage, suffice to say, Queen JLD is in and is probably in the hunt for the record breaking sixth consecutive win. Golden Globe winner Tracee Ellis Ross is likely to garner another nomination too this year. I’m still predicting both Ellie Kemper and Lily Tomlin, even if that means I’m more confident in the latter and can see a scenario of the former missing. The last spot seems open for a passion contender, and while I’m torn if it’s Issa Rae or Phoebe Waller-Bridge (maybe both get in and Kemper misses out in the end), I went with the latter.

08

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Anthony Anderson, “black-ish”
• Aziz Ansari, “Master of None”
• Donald Glover, “Atlanta”
• William H. Macy, “Shameless”
• Thomas Middleditch, “Silicon Valley”
• Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent”

Seventh nominee: Will Forte, “The Last Man on Earth”

All six men nominated last year are likely to get in again, but Golden Globe winning Donald Glover (and his show Atlanta) is too buzzy a contender to be snubbed. That means leaving out the weakest contender from the group — Will Forte.

09

OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES:
• Atlanta (FX)
• black-ish (ABC)
• Master of None (Netflix)
• Silicon Valley (HBO)
• Transparent (Amazon)
• Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Netflix)
• Veep (HBO)

Eighth nominee: Modern Family (ABC)

With Atlanta getting really huge buzz and acclaim, it’s path to a series nomination is really likely. I’m torn on who leaves then: is it Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt who’s on a decline buzz-wise? Is it former 5x champ Modern Family especially in the presence of co-ABC sitcom black-ish? Is it Transparent which has been the receiving end of “but it’s not a comedy claim?” I went with Modern Family out only because it seems old news by now.

To complete the predictions, it’s time for the drama category tomorrow!

Let’s discuss on Twitter: @nikowl

Posted July 11, 2017 by Nicol Latayan in Awards, TV

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69th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 2: TV Movie and Limited Series   Leave a comment

Welcome to Part 2 of our #Emmys2017 week here at Tit for Tat. Before the nomination announcement on July 13, I’ll be sharing my predictions on who’ll get Emmy nominated in the different categories up for this year’s Primetime Emmys. We started with the Reality and Variety categories yesterday, and today’s spotlight is on TV Movies and Limited Series. Personally speaking, this is the most exciting part of this year’s awards as some of the best and most praised shows are competing here for this year.

01

OUTSTANDING TELEVISION MOVIE:
• Black Mirror: San Junipero (Netflix)
• Killing Reagan (National Geographic)
• The Immortal Life Of Henrietta Lacks (HBO)
• Sherlock: The Lying Detective (Masterpiece) (PBS)
• The Wizard Of Lies (HBO)

Sixth nominee: Churchill’s Secret (Masterpiece) (PBS)

It still baffles me how Netflix managed to pull off submitting one episode here instead of the whole show in Limited Series, but they probably took advantage of the relatively weak year for television movies. They went with their most acclaimed episode of the season, the futuristic San Junipero, and I feel like getting the nod is its toughest battle. Once nominated, it will easily sail to a win come September. HBO has two entries to the race this year, both lukewarm in reception and buzz. First, we have the Robert de Niro starrer The Wizard of Lies, and then we have Oprah in The Immortal Life of Henrietta Lacks. While both are shoo-in in terms of getting nominated, only the former stands a chance to actually win here. For its fourth installment, Sherlock submitted The Lying Detective, and there’s no reason to see it getting snubbed considering all previous editions have been nominated here before. For that last spot, there’s a potential of contenders that can snatch that spot: PBS has Churchill, Lifetime has Suite Francaise with Michelle Williams and Matthias Schoenarts, and Custody with Viola Davis.  Netflix has The Most hated Woman in America with Melissa Leo. That said, I’ll go with National Geographic’s Killing Reagan which has a tad of good history here with two of the previous Killing series being nominated as well.

02

OUTSTANDING LIMITED SERIES:
• American Crime (ABC)
• Big Little Lies (HBO)
• Fargo (FX)
• Feud: Bette and Joan (FX)
• The Night Of (HBO)

Sixth nominee: The Young Pope (HBO)

Three slots are already assured here: HBO’s pop culture phenomenon Big Little Lies, the third season of Fargo, and Ryan Murphy’s breakout season of Feud, featuring the infamous rivalry of Bette Davis and Joan Crawford. Sitting safely in fourth I think is HBO’s other series The Night Of, which if snubbed — will only be because it came out really early last year. For the last spot, it can either go to HBO’s third pony in the race, the Jude Law starrer The Young Pope, or Guerilla which stars Emmy nominee Idris Elba. While ABC has pulled off the plug when it comes to American Crime, I think it can still squeak in one last nod just for the pedigree of the show being nominated for the previous two seasons.

03

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Riz Ahmed, “The Night Of”
• Benedict Cumberbatch, “Sherlock: The Lying Detective”
• Robert de Niro, “The Wizard of Lies”
• Jude Law, “The Young Pope”
• Ewan McGregor, “Fargo”
• John Turturro, “The Night Of”

Seventh nominee: Geoffrey Rush, “Genius”

Robert de Niro has never been nominated for an Emmy, so we’re sure he ain’t missing for The Wizars of Lies. Same goes for Ewan McGregor’s double trouble performance in Fargo. Benedict Cumberbatch is a previous Emmy winner for this performance, so I think he’s still getting in a last time for Sherlock. Both Riz Ahmed and John Turturro have been nominated for Golden Globes and SAG for The Night Of; thus I’m predicting the same Emmy fate for them. That last spot is tricky – Emmy winner Geoffrey Rush is in a baity role for the miniseries Genius or Jude Law in a very showy character as well. Toss the con eitherway, I got Law in that last spot.

04

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Carrie Coon, “Fargo”
• Bryce Dallas Howard, “Black Mirror: Nosedive”
• Nicole Kidman, “Big Little Lies”
• Jessica Lange, “Feud: Bette and Joan”
• Susan Sarandon, “Feud: Bette and Joan”
• Reese Witherspoon, “Big Little Lies”

Seventh nominee: Felicity Huffman, “American Crime”

Four spots are already locked in this one. There’s 3x winner Jessica Lange for her portrayal of Joan Crawford in Feud plus the Big Little Lies twosome of Nicole Kidman and Reese Witherspoon. I see a scenario of Susan Sarandon getting snubbed just because of her off show persona, but I think she’s easily getting in. After her surprise SAG nod earlier this year, Bryce Dallas Howard seems likely to follow it up with an Emmy nod for her wickedly outlandish performance in Black Mirror. The last spot is up for grabs between three women – there’s Oprah in her passion project, Emmy favorite Felicity Huffman who was previously nominated twice for this show, and then there’s Carrie Coon. I can see a path for Coon being Patrick Wilson-ed this year due to the subtlety of the role, but between that and her role in The Leftovers, she’ll probably get her overdue obligatory nod here instead.

05

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Hank Azaria, “The Wizard of Lies”
• Bill Camp, “The Night Of”
• Alfred Molina, “Feud: Bette and Joan”
• Alexander Skarsgaard, “Big Little Lies”
• David Thewlis, “Fargo”
• Stanley Tucci, “Feud: Bette and Joan”

Seventh nominee: Michael Stuhlbarg, “Fargo”

The two men of Feud are both veteran actors who have been previously Emmy nominated so expect to see them again this year. Hank Azaria is an Emmy favorite getting in multiple times in the past for a lot of previous projects (both successful and not). I’d like to think that Alexander Skarsgaard is getting in, as carried by the love for Big Little Lies, and he’s the show’s supporting actor who has the biggest chance of getting nominated. Bill Camp is a bit of a risk, but his is a performance I actually think will resonate and will surprise come nomination morning. I don’t think Fargo is that breakout this season to merit two nominees here and while Michael Stuhlbarg is the more predicted name, I think David Thewlis is the one getting in, reminiscent of last year when Ted Danson seems the likely nominee only to be upset by co-star Bokeem Woodbine.

06

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Kathy Bates, “American Horror Story: Roanoke”
• Judy Davis, “Feud: Bette and Joan”
• Laura Dern, “Big Little Lies”
• Regina King, “American Crime”
• Sarah Paulson, “American Horror Story: Roanoke”
• Shailene Woodley, “Big Little Lies”

Seventh nominee: Michelle Pfeiffer, “The Wizard of Lies”

This is probably the most crowded acting category we have at the Emmys for the limited series as it’s a combination of veteran names, breakthrough actresses, Oscar winners and more. So with that, let’s try to dissect them slot per slot. Let’s begin with Regina King. Sure, American Crime has been canceled already but it’s safe to assume that the current champ in this category for the last two years is coming back. Another familiar name is Judy Davis, also a 2x winner here for her flashy performance in Feud. I’d like to believe that both Shailene Woodley and Laura Dern of Big Little Lies are next – both had great reviews, and Dern is a past multi-Emmy nominee, and Woodley is a lead star of their show. The last two slots can be really filled with many Oscar winners – there’s Viola Davis in Custody, Catherine Zeta Jones also from Feud, and Diane Keaton in The Young Pope. It can also go to Fargo‘s Mary Elizabeth Winstead or The Night Of‘s Jeannie Berlin. I’m currently predicting Michelle Pfeiffer to be snubbed on Emmy morning, so my last two slots go to two familiar names who are mainstays here for the last few years – both from American Horror Story: Roanoke: – Sarah Paulson and Kathy Bates.

07

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Big Little Lies (Jean-Marc Vallée)
• Black Mirror, “Nosedive” (Joe Wright)
• Fargo, “The Law of Vacant Places” (Noah Hawley)
• FEUD: Bette and Joan, “And the Winner Is… (The Oscars of 1963)” (Ryan Murphy)
• The Night Of, “The Beach” (Steven Zaillan)
• The Young Pope (Paolo Sorrentino)

Seventh nominee: The Wizard of Lies (Barry Levinson)

I’m just going with really familiar names here. I think Jean-Marc Vallee, Noah hawley, and Ryan Murphy are all assured of nods already. Steven Zaillan is also a familiar enough name in The Night Of‘s only submission here. I also think the pedigree plus the flashy material will also lead Joe Wright to an Emmy nomination for Black Mirror. Paolo Sorrentino is more of an arthouse name than an Emmy household voter one, but that did not stop last year’s Susanne Bier from actually even winning.

08

OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Big Little Lies (David E. Kelley)
• Black Mirror, “San Junipero” (Charlie Brooker)
• Fargo, “The Law of Vacant Places” (Noah Hawley)
• FEUD: Bette and Joan, “And the Winner Is… (The Oscars of 1963)” (Ryan Murphy)
• The Night Of “The Call of the Wild” (Richard Price & Steven Zaillian)
• Sherlock: The Lying Detective (Steven Moffat)

Seventh nominee: Gilmore Girls: A Year in the Life, “Winter” (Amy Sherman-Palladino)

Expect the same group of shows I’m predicting in Directing to get in here as well, only difference would be no The Young Pope here, with Sherlock replacing it here considering it got in for all the previous installments of the show.

It’s the comedy genre predictions tomorrow!

Discuss this with me on Twitter: @nikowl

Posted July 10, 2017 by Nicol Latayan in Awards, TV

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69th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 1: Reality and Variety   Leave a comment

The Emmys, considered as television’s highest honor, will reveal their nominees for the 69th Primetime Emmy Awards for the previous television season. Before Anna Chlumsky and Shemar Moore announce the shows and performers that will be up for the Emmy, let’s predict 31 different categories starting with the reality and variety genres:

01

OUTSTANDING REALITY/COMPETITION SERIES:
• The Amazing Race (CBS)
• American Ninja Warrior (NBC)
• Dancing with the Stars (ABC)
• RuPaul’s Drag Race (Logo)
• Top Chef (Bravo)
• The Voice (NBC)

Seventh nominee: Project Runway (Lifetime)

So You Think You Can Dance exited the lineup last year but it was not Survivor who came back. Instead, NBC’s American Ninja Warrior snatched an out of nowhere surprise nomination. While all six shows nominated last year are eligible to come back, I think one will make way for Rupaul’s Drag Race. After RuPaul’s win last year in the host category and its continuously increasing presence in mainstream media and pop culture, it is ripe for a nomination in this category.  My bet is on Project Runway.

02

OUTSTANDING REALITY/COMPETITION HOST:
• Alec Baldwin, “Match Game”
• Tom Bergeron, “Dancing with the Stars”
• Rupaul Charles, “RuPaul’s Drag Race”
• Steve Harvey, “Little Big Shots”
• Heidi Klum and Tim Gunn, “Project Runway”
• Jeff Probst, “Survivor”

Sixth nominee: Martha Stewart and Snoop Dogg, “Martha and Snoop’s Potluck Dinner Party”

Two nominees from last year aren’t eligible for this year: previous champ here Jane Lynch for Hollywood Game Night and Ryan Seacrest for American Idol. Alec Baldwin seems like a prototype of the slot that Jane Lynch left — a previous Emmy winning actor who carries their show, in this case – Match Game. While I’m tempted to say Martha and Snoop will be nominated together, I’d go with a comeback for 4x winner Jeff Probst in a way to acknowledge the renaissance Survivor has been enjoying the past few years.

03

OUTSTANDING SPECIAL CLASS PROGRAM
• Hairspray Live (NBC)
• Madonna: Rebel Heat Tour (Showtime)
• NBC Presents The XXXI Olympiad Opening Ceremony (NBC)
• The Oscars (ABC)
• 70th Annual Tony Awards (CBS)

Sixth nominee: Super Bowl LI Halftime Show Starring Lady Gaga (Fox)

The Oscars and the Tonys are mainstays in this category and between the iconic Best Picture brouhaha at the Oscars and James Corden’s lauded Tony hosting last year, expect them to get nods again. Hairspray Live follows the path of other network specials such as Grease and The Wiz Live so I’m predicting it as well. The last two Olympic specials have garnered wins in this category, so it’s safe to predict the Rio opening NBC special to get in. As for that last spot, it’s a feud between two big superstars who have been compared to each other a lot since the other’s boom to pop music: Madonna’s Rebel Heart Tour which was shown on Showtime, and Lady Gaga who headlined the SuperBowl 51 earlier this year. It can really go both ways, but I’ll say Queen gets in first.

04

OUTSTANDING VARIETY SPECIAL
• 39th Annual Kennedy Center Honors (CBS)
• The Age Of Spin: Dave Chappelle Live At The Hollywood Palladium (Netflix)
• Carpool Karaoke Primetime Special 2017 (CBS)
• Justin Timberlake and the Tennessee Kids (Netflix)
• Louis C.K. 2017 (Netflix)

Sixth nominee: Tony Bennett Celebrates 90: The Best Is Yet To Come (NBC)

The Kennedy Center Honors has won five consecutive times, and has been continuously nominated since, so I won’t be surprised to see it again. Last year, James Corden pulled off the upset over Beyonce’s Lemonade and Adele’s NBC special, so it assures another nod here. Three Netflix specials gives me pause but hear me out – Louis CK has been nominated for all his previous efforts here so there’s that. Dave Chapelle has been the biggest that Netflix promoted a comedy special in quite some time so they’re really giving it the push and attention. I’m the most skeptical about Justin Timberlake, but what makes me predict him is that this can be a way for them to honor the late Jonathan Demme who directed this one.

05

OUTSTANDING VARIETY TALK PROGRAM
• Full Frontal with Samantha Bee (TBS)
• Jimmy Kimmel Live (ABC)
• Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO)
• The Late Late Show with James Corden (CBS)
• The Late Show with Stephen Colbert (CBS)
• The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon (NBC)

Seventh nominee: Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee (Crackle)

After winning last year, Last Week Tonight is an easy call for another round of nomination. Same goes for James Corden and his viral gimmicks and antics. Between his Oscar duties and his heartfelt story about his son, Jimmy Kimmel is on Hollywood’s good graces, so I expect his show to be back as well. After receiving a Writing nod last year, I think this is the year that Full Frontal with Samantha Bee gets recognized for the actual program too. Stephen Colbert is a much-loved name in this category, and I think the Emmys are ready to embrace him again. For that last spot, I could go with wither Real Time with Bill Maher who just missed one time since this category’s inception, but then Maher’s controversy might affect his chances here. Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee surprised everyone with a nod, but I felt it’s a one-time thing. I guess I’ll go with a last time nod for The Tonight Show which will provide balance to the politically themed content of the other late night shows.

06

OUTSTANDING VARIETY SKETCH PROGRAM
• Billy on the Street (IFC)
• Documentary Now! (IFC)
• Drunk History (Comedy Central)
• Portlandia (IFC)
• Saturday Night Live (NBC)
• Tracey Ullman’s Show (HBO)

Seventh nominee: Maya & Marty (NBC)

With Inside Amy Schumer and Key & Peele not eligible this season, we’re bound to get two newbies in this category. I say one goes to Tracey Ullman who has a history with getting nominated at the Emmys, an Billy on the Street who continues to get bigger as each season passes, getting some of the most notable names for the season.

Tomorrow, let’s discuss the TV Movie and Limited Series categories!

Discuss this with me on Twitter: @nikowl

Posted July 9, 2017 by Nicol Latayan in Awards, TV

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68th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 4: Drama   Leave a comment

Before Emmy nominee Anthony Anderson and Lauren Graham announce the 68th Primetime Emmy Awards nominations tomorrow, we’ll finish our four-part predictions series over here at Tit for Tat. Since we’re already done with reality and variety, TV movie and limited series, as well as comedy yesterday, we’re left with the TV dramas.

Last year, Game of Thrones swept last year, and while that’s bound to happen again, let’s see who can expect some nominations for themselves.

drama directing

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Better Call Saul, “Klick” (Vince Gilligan)
• Game of Thrones, “Battle of the Bastards” (Miguel Sapochnik)
• Game of Thrones, “The Door” (Jack Bender)
• Homeland, “The Tradition of Hospitality” (Lesli Linka Glatter)
• Horace and Pete, “Episode 10” (Louis C.K.)
• Vinyl, “Pilot” (Martin Scorsese)

Seventh nominee: Game of Thrones, “Home” (Jeremy Podeswa)

It’s a tad surprising that Game of Thrones hasn’t won yet for any of their Episode 9, but they have been nominated for it, so expect at least two nominations for the show again. Then there’s legendary director Martin Scorsese in contention again after winning for the Boardwalk Empire pilot back in 2011. Sure Vinyl is dead by now and was also canceled by HBO already, but that won’t stop them from name-checking and recognizing it here. Vince Gilligan hasn’t won for Directing for any Breaking Bad episode, maybe Better Call Saul can seal the deal for him. I also think Louis C.K. can also pull off his usual directing and writing nominations he usually does in the Comedy genre. Lastly, Homeland has been nominated thrice in its last four seasons, but with a resurgence, I expect that it will be a mainstay here the same way Boardwalk Empire was during its run.

drama writing

OUTSTANDING WRITING IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• The Americans, “Persona Non Grata” (Joe Weisberg & Joel Fields)
• Better Call Saul, “Klick” (Heather Marion & Vince Gilligan)
• Game of Thrones, “Battle of the Bastards” (David Benioff & D.B. Weiss)
• Horace and Pete, “Episode 3” (Louis C.K.)
• The Leftovers, “International Assassin” (Damon Lindelof & Nick Cuse)
• Mr. Robot, “eps1.0_hellofriend.mov” (Sam Esmail)

Seventh nominee: Downton Abbey, “August 1925” (Julian Fellowes)

As we all know, the writers branch are the most experimental and least sheepy when it comes to nominations; thus nominations for shows like Battlestar Galactica, The Wire, and The Americans the previous years. Speaking of The Americans, I think they’ll get a consecutive nomination here again for this year. Another out of the box pick I trust them to do is The Leftovers‘ much-buzzed episode “International Assassin.” Both Better Call Saul and Game of Thrones are also poised to return here with nominations for their prominent episodes this season. I expect them to welcome new shows such as Mr. Robot and Horace and Pete with nominations too.

drama guest actress

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Ellen Burstyn, “House of Cards”
• Allison Janney, “Masters of Sex”
• Natasha Lyonne, “Orange is the New Black”
• Laurie Metcalfe, “Horace and Pete”
• Margo Martindale, “The Americans”
• Cicely Tyson, “How to Get Away with Murder”

Seventh nominee: Stockard Channing, “The Good Wife”

Previous winners Allison Janney and Margo Martindale are likely bound to return as long as they’re still eligible, so those are two slots taken already. Then there are those previous nominees such as Natasha Lyonne of Orange is the New Black and Cicely Tyson for How to Get Away with Murder to come back as well. As mentioned yesterday in the Comedy Guest Actress, I think Ellen Burstyn will also pick up a second Guest Actress nomination for her turn in House of Cards. This is the same actress they nominated for a 15-second appearance back in 2006 and a win for the short-lived small show Political Animals. To complete the list, expect another Emmy favorite Laurie Metcalfe to earn another nomination for her much talked about episode in Horace & Pete. The talks are even about her winning this category.

drama guest actor

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Beau Bridges, “Bloodline”
• Reg E. Cathey, “House of Cards”
• Josh Charles, “The Good Wife”
• Michael J. Fox, “The Good Wife”
• Pablo Schreiber, “Orange is the New Black”
• Max von Sydow, “Game of Thrones”

Seventh nominee: David Strathairn, “The Blacklist”

As for starters, there’s current Emmy champ Reg E. Cathey who’s eligible again this year for House of Cards.  The rest is a mix of previous nominated performances and familiar faces that are usually nominated. There’s 2x nominee Josh Charles who comes back on The Good Wife‘s final episode, as well as thrice-nominated Michael J. Fox for the same show as well. Last year’s nominee Pablo Schreiber can also expect to hear his name called again for his infamous Pornstache role in Orange is the New Black. With Dame Diana Rigg moving to Supporting now, Oscar nominee Max von Sydow can be the Guest acting nominee from Game of Thrones this year. And lastly, there’s Beau Bridges, who has been a mainstay in the guest actor categories, previously for shows such as Desperate Housewives, Brothers & Sisters, The Closer and Masters of Sex to score another nomination, this time for Bloodline.

drama supp actress

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Uzo Aduba, “Orange is the New Black”
• Christine Baranski, “The Good Wife”
• Emilia Clarke, “Game of Thrones”
• Edie Falco, “Horace and Pete”
• Lena Headey, “Game of Thrones”
• Maggie Smith, “Downton Abbey”

Seventh nominee: Rhea Seehorn, “Better Call Saul”

Five of last year’s nominees are all eligible again this year, and I expect current champ Uzo Aduba to be nominated as the representative of Orange is the New Black. Christine Baranski has been nominated all previous six years of The Good Wife that it would be weird if she missed out on the last year of the show’s eligibility. I don’t see Game of Thrones slowing down for this year at least, so expect the pair of Lena Headey and Emilia Clarke to get in too. Dame Maggie Smith was surprisingly snubbed last year and was replaced by co-star Joanne Froggatt, but I expect the reverse results for them this year, especially on Downton Abbey‘s final season. As for the newbie in the group, maybe they’d welcome 4x winner Edie Falco in her first drama since The Sopranos.

drama supp actor

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Alan Alda, “Horace and Pete”
• Jonathan Banks, “Better Call Saul”
• Jim Carter, “Downton Abbey”
• Peter Dinklage, “Game of Thrones”
• Michael McKean, “Better Call Saul”
• Christian Slater, “Mr. Robot”

Seventh nominee: Michael Kelly, “House of Cards”

Welp, Peter Dinklage will be a mainstay in this category as long as Game of Thrones is on air, so that’s one slot for him. There’s also Jonathan Banks of Better Call Saul and Jim Carter of Downton Abbey to return as well. Joining them as newbies of the group are Alan Alda of Horace & Pete who last won nine years ago for the final season of The West Wing. There’s also Golden Globe winner Christian Slater of Mr. Robot, and while I see a scenario that they give him the obvious snub, I still think he’d get in. The last spot I think is a battle of the Michaels — House of Cards‘ Michael Kelly vs. Better Call Saul‘s Michael McKean, though I expect the latter to get in instead.

drama lead actress

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Claire Danes, “Homeland”
• Viola Davis, “How to Get Away with Murder”
• Taraji P. Henson, “Empire”
• Julianna Margulies, “The Good Wife”
• Keri Russell, “The Americans”
• Robin Wright, “House of Cards”

Seventh nominee: Michelle Dockery, “Downton Abbey”

It’s a boring category this year, as we all know Viola Davis will easily score her second consecutive Emmy for the role of Annalise Keating in How to Get Away with Murder. We can also expect both Robin Wright and Claire Danes to get nominated for the respective seasons of their shows too. In a more stacked group, someone like Taraji P. Henson can be snubbed after Empire lost its buzz, but we think she can squeeze in another year for a nomination. 2x Emmy winner for this performance, Julianna Margulies can either get one last nod or just be completely forgotten, but I guess she has the clout enough to pull off. Last slot can be between three different women: there’s Michelle Dockery who will also come back after sitting out for a year, there’s Tatiana Maslany who got the surprise inclusion last year. However, I’m going out on a limb and predict that the Emmys will finally realize The Americans do exist and nominate Keri Russell.

drama lead actor

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES:
• Steve Buscemi, “Horace and Pete”
• Paul Giammatti, “Billions”
• Rami Malek, “Mr. Robot”
• Bob Odenkirk, “Better Call Saul”
• Matthew Rhys, “The Americans”
• Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards”

Seventh nominee: Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan”

Aside from returning nominees Kevin Spacey of House of Cards, and Bob Odenkirk of Better Call Saul, the rest can be a lineup of new names in this category. As for starters, there’s the men of Horace & Pete. While both Louis C.K. and Steve Buscemi can get in, I guess the former will get his due in the writing and directing categories while multiple acting nominee Buscemi gets in solely here. Then there’s another Emmy favorite Paul Giammatti who was just nominated for his guest stint in Inside Amy Schumer last year. While Billions has the option to go with him or Emmy winner Damian Lewis, we’re going with the more familiar name between the two. Rami Malek of Mr. Robot can be seen as too much of an outlier here, but we’re holding on the idea that the Emmys will embrace the show somehow; thus I’m including him. To round up the list, Bloodline‘s Kyle Chandler and Ray Donovan‘s Liev Schreiber can easily score another nod, same goes for Hugh Bonneville of Downton Abbey, but just like my risk in the Lead Actress, I’ll go on a limb and predict Matthew Rhys of The Americans to score a nomination too.

drama series

OUTSTANDING DRAMA SERIES:
• Better Call Saul (AMC)
• Downton Abbey (PBS)
• Game of Thrones (HBO)
• Homeland (Showtime)
• House of Cards (Showtime)
• Mr. Robot (USA)
• Orange is the New Black (Netflix)

Eighth nominee: Horace and Pete (louisck.net)

Now this one can see a lot of movements to maybe really limited ones. Game of Thrones, Better Call Saul. Downton Abbey, House of Cards, and Homeland are sure nominations, I think. three shows are competing however for the last two slots. There’s Orange is the New Black who happened to be the subject of many of ATAS’ weird rule changes which makes you think they’re sabotaging it. That said, it has survived last year despite four nods, and the love for Season 4 can overcome the Season 3 blah-ness. Then there’s Mr. Robot, which I’m still somehow pessimistic that the Emmys will embrace. It’s a USA show, and the title might make voters think it’s about a techy show and they won’t touch it (true story). Then there’s Horace & Pete, a show made and starred by a group of Emmy winners. It has all the factors of a shoo-in nomination really, but the question is, with aggressive campaigning and all, will voters really acknowledge such? Any of the three missing is a feasible scenario, and since there are only two slots, I’ll go crazy and predict a Horace & Pete snub even if it gets multiple acting nominations.

There you have it! Watch out for the Primetime Emmy announcement nomination tomorrow night, July 14 (Manila time).

68th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 3: Comedy   Leave a comment

After the reality and variety, plus TV movie and limited series, we continue our 2016 Emmy prediction series with the hilarious shows and performances from our comedy shows. Last year, Veep dominated winning Series, Actress, Supporting Actor, and Writing. Will they pull off the same feat again this year? Can Jim Parsons come back in the race? And will they finally give up on Modern Family?

comedy directing

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• black-ish, “Any Given Saturday” (Gail Mancuso)
• Master of None, “Parents” (Aziz Ansari)
• Silicon Valley, “Founder Friendly” (Mike Judge)
• Transparent, “Man on the Land” (Jill Solloway)
• Veep, “Kissing Your Sister” (David Mandel)
• Veep, “Mother” (Dale Stern)

Seventh nominee: Silicon Valley, “Daily Active Users” (Alec Berg)

Let’s begin by me saying that I think black-ish would have a huge Emmy breakout this season. I mean, sure maybe Anthony Anderson’s surprise nod last year was maybe due to a tie, but whatever. The improved quality of the second season had the critics pushing for it. It’s also somehow of a statement show, and it says a lot that Emmy winner Gail Mancuso decided to submit for this show instead of 4x winner Modern Family here. I’ll also probably predict a lot of Master of None here, and maybe Aziz Ansari follows Lena Dunham and Louis C.K. to pick up nods for their directing and writing efforts too. Silicon Valley, Transparent, and Veep are mainstays here and it’s just a matter of choosing which show will pick up multiple nominations. Thus, bet on current Emmy champ Veep to be it.

comedy writing

OUTSTANDING WRITING IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• black-ish, “Hope” (Kenya Barris)
• Lady Dynamite, “Pilot” (Pam Brady & Mitch Hurwitz)
• Master of None, “Parents” (Aziz Ansari & Alan Yang)
• Silicon Valley, “The Uptick” (Alec Berg)
• Transparent, “Man on the Land” (Ali Liebegott)
• Veep, “Mother” (Alex Gregory & Peter Huyck)

Seventh nominee: Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt, “Kimmy Finds Her Mom!” (Tina Fey & Sam Means)

It’s unfortunate that Lady Dynamite didn’t have an explosion in terms of reception, but it’s the writers we’re talking about here, and they’re more reactive to quality as compared to the other branches; thus, a pilot written by multiple Emmy winner Mitch Hurwitz does stand a chance to get nominated. After that, we have the same five shows I’m predicting for Directing, though if there’s a spoiler here, maybe Tina Fey gets back in the race, her first since 30 Rock.

comedy guest actor

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:

• Fred Armisen, “Saturday Night Live
• Larry David, “Saturday Night Live”
• Peter MacNicol, “Veep”
• Tracy Morgan, “Saturday Night Live”
• Martin Mull, “Veep”
• Bradley Whitford, “Transparent”

Seventh nominee: Bob Newhart, “The Big Bang Theory”

Three SNL men have competed here in the past, so it’s not as if it’s something new. After all, they’re working on three entirely different narratives. Fred Armisen is a past SNL member, and we all know how much they love to nominate those previous members even in the past years alone (there’s Tina and Amy and Jimmy (winning twice) and Kirsten and Maya and Bill)! Tracy Morgan has a comeback narrative. I mean have you seen the reception to him when he presented at the Emmys last year? They LOVE him! As for Larry David, this is his first bid at an acting Emmy and him playing Bernie Sanders will help him further. Last year’s winner Bradley Whitford is back at it again, so you can pencil a nomination for him again. Then for the last two spots, I went with two Veep men: Martin Mull who played Bob Bradley, and previous Emmy nominee Peter MacNicol who I’d say is the non-SNL actor frontrunner in here.

comedy guest actress

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Christine Baranski, “The Big Bang Theory”
• Ellen Burstyn, “Mom”
• Claire Danes, ”Master of None”
• Tina Fey and Amy Poehler, “Saturday Night Live”
• Anjelica Huston, “Transparent”
• Melissa McCarthy, “Saturday Night Live”

Seventh nominee: Lisa Kudrow, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”

I have mixed reactions with Tina Fey and Amy Poehler competing as one especially since this is likely Amy Poehler’s first actual legit bid at an Emmy. But hey, if that’s what it’ll take for her to finally win, then let’s go for it. Joining her is Melissa McCarthy who got nominated for all the times she hosted SNL too, Christine Baranski who’s also a multi-guest nominee for this role. Then there’s Ellen Burstyn who’ll Allison Janney her way to both Guest Comedy and Drama nominations. Oscar winner Anjelica Huston had a much-buzzed stint on Transparent, so I think she’ll be in. Last spot is up for grabs, we have lots of contenders from Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt, that maybe we can get in a second Guest nod for a solo Tina Fey, or the much-buzzed Lisa Kudrow, but I’ll go on a limb and say that Claire Danes gets in for Master of None. It has that Louie guest stint vibes for me, though that show is infallible as well (Sarah fuckin Baker, everyone).

comedy supp actor

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Tituss Burgess, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
• Ty Burrell, “Modern Family”
• Adam Driver, “Girls”
• Laurence Fishburne, “black-ish”
• Tony Hale, “Veep”
• Hugh Laurie, “Veep”

Seventh nominee: Andre Braugher, “Brooklyn Nine Nine”

Tony Hale is a given at this point, especially after winning twice for that role already. Congratulations Ty Burrell, you’re the last man standing from Modern Family, and I think he’s here to stay for the next few years. It would be such an Emmy thing to do to finally stop nominating Adam Driver since he finally made it big as a movie star, but if he can survive last year’s almost Girls shut-out, then maybe he can still squeeze in a nod or two. Tituss Burgess also seems like a possible consecutive nod. His is a role that this category loves if we’re to base it on the history of this. Andre Braugher can easily score another nod, but I think voters are already over Brooklyn Nine Nine by now, and while it is Andre Braugher we’re talking about, there’s a lot of other veterans they can nominate here… which leads me to Laurence Fishburne in black-ish. It’s a tad surprising that even after so many years, Hale has been the only Veep supporting actor nominated but maybe winning Series last year can finally score them an additional acting nod. Since there’s no consensus on who the second actor might be (Tim Simons is probably what critics will push, but Gary Cole is the only other male nominated performance from this show), so go the easy route and predict the most prominent one in the group; thus it’s Hugh Laurie.

comedy supp actress

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Anna Chlumsky, “Veep”
• Gaby Hoffmann, “Transparent”
• Allison Janney, “Mom”
• Jane Krakowski, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
• Judith Light, “Transparent”
• Kate McKinnon, “Saturday Night Live”

Seventh nominee: Julie Bowen, “Modern Family”

It’s hilarious that all eight(!) women from last year are still eligible to be nominated again this year, but since I don’t think we’re going eight here again, I’d say Mayim Bialik and Niecy Nash are the first to go. Allison Janney is definitely back and in contention for a third straight win here, and so is Anna Chlumsky. Jane Krakowski is someone they love to nominate (however, winning is a different story), so I think she’ll be back as well. And it’s safe to say that they won’t be cutting Kate McKinnon in an election season of all years, so there’s four. The last two slots are between 2x previous Emmy champ Julie Bowen of Modern Family and the two Transparent ladies — last year’s nominee Gaby Hoffmann and Judith Light. All three make sense as nominees, but I feel Modern Family is going on a decline here, thus cutting Bowen off in the process.

comedy lead actor

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Anthony Anderson, “black-ish”
• Aziz Ansari, “Master of None”
• Gael Garcia Bernal, “Mozart in the Jungle”
• Will Forte, “The Last Man on Earth”
• William H. Macy, “Shameless”
• Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent”

Seventh nominee: Don Cheadle, “House of Lies”

Let’s begin with those that will surely be back. Of course, there’s no better way to start this than with Jeffrey Tambor who’ll even probably win this again (and deservedly so). After his surprise nod last year, I think Anthony Anderson will be back too, as well as perennial Emmy favorite William H. Macy. Will Forte scooped three major surprise nods last year, so I feel like in a relatively empty category like this one, he has the industry support and clout to pull off another one.Now this is where it gets tricky — sure Louis C.K. and Matt Leblanc aren’t eligible this time around so it’s opening up a free slot (since there are seven nominees last year). I’m currently predicting Aziz Anzari, as mentioned above already, to have his Louis C.K. (or Lena Dunham or Will Forte or whatever) moment, but I won’t be surprised if he gets Ellie Kemeper-ed in the end, meaning lead star of the nominated show snubbed. For now, I’d keep him in. As for that last slot, we can have a Jim Parsons come back again (yes as much as we’re sick of him and his show now) and Don Cheadle has been nominated all seasons his show was eligible (and this is the final season so there’s that), but I’mma go risky and put in Golden Globe winner Gael Garcia Bernal here only because I think Amazon’s really, really aggressive campaigning will at least bear one good result for them.

comedy lead actress

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Lena Dunham, “Girls”
• Ellie Kemper, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
• Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
• Gina Rodriguez, “Jane the Virgin”
• Tracee Ellis Ross, “black-ish”
• Lily Tomlin, “Grace and Frankie”

Seventh nominee: Amy Schumer, “Inside Amy Schumer”

The question here basically is who are the five other women Julia Louis Dreyfus is beating for that fifth consecutive Emmy? As for starters, there’s Lily Tomlin who got in last year for Grace and Frankie without her partner Jane Fonda. Maybe both of them gets nominated this year, who knows? Then there’s Ellie Kemper who missed last year, but then again, last year is the most competitive category of the race since whenever so maybe it’s safe to say she’s in this year (or is she?) To continue my black-ish breakout year narrative, there’s also Tracee Ellis Ross who’ll be the first black woman to be nominated since Phylicia Rashad exactly 30 years ago (talk about narrative)! With a clear resurgence in quality, I think Lena Dunham will also be back after a year of absence. This can be a way to reward her and her season since Girls feels like an afterthought already. Now I’m definitely crazy for excluding Amy Schumer out. Sure, she doesn’t have a breakthrough big year like last year because not all years can be like that, but the lukewarm reception of this Inside Amy Schumer season feels like it’s ripe for a possible miss. Think of the other one time-nominated performances here (Teri Hatcher and Marcia Cross in Desperate Housewives, Zooey Deschanel in New Girl, Laura Linney in The Big C, Sarah Silverman in The Sarah Silverman Program, Lea Michele in Glee, Taylor Schilling in Orange is the New Black) — all those in really huge breakout seasons that they snubbed after. After all, I think she can get her due in the Variety Sketch category. Now this is where it gets crazier — I’m removing Amy Schumer for a CW actress. The Emmys are so allergic of CW they don’t even nominate their guest actresses (not even when they’re as legendary as Rita Moreno). But I think that sooner or later they’ll cave in. This year, they have two in contention: Globe winner this year Rachel Bloom for Crazy Ex-girlfriend and Globe winner last year Gina Rodriguez for Jane the Virgin. Now I don’t think both are getting in, and while Bloom is the more current one, I’d say the Emmys will be y’know.. like the Emmys and be a year late in acknowledging Gina Rodriguez just like when they nominated Tatiana Maslany when no one’s predicting her anymore.

comedy series

OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES:
• black-ish (ABC)
• Master of None (Netflix)
• Modern Family (ABC)
• Silicon Valley (HBO)
• Transparent (Amazon)
• Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Netflix)
• Veep (HBO)

Eighth nominee: Mozart in the Jungle (Amazon)

As for the Series categories, we have two slots freed up this year because of Louie having no season this year and Parks and Recreation‘s departure. While people are toying around with the idea of Modern Family missing already, I’m not sure that will happen yet for this year, at least. They probably have one or two years in them before they get dropped off. Meanwhile all the other four nominees are guaranteed to be back as well – current winner Veep, Transparent, Silicon Valley, and Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt. Considering that Netflix is really great when it comes to campaigning their own shows, I’d say Master of None gets in in a category with seven spots. And lastly, I began my mention of it and end with it too –Black-ish seems like its poised for an Emmy breakout. Not only will it be the remaining network representative (especially since Modern Family is on its way out), but it’s about family too, so expect it to be there.

Tomorrow, to complete the list, the cream of the crop among the television dramas!

Talk to me about this one on Twitter: @nikowl

68th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 2: TV Movie and Limited Series   Leave a comment

Before Anthony Anderson and Lauren Graham announce the 68th Primetime Emmy Awards nominees on July 14, here’s a preview on who can get nominated come Thursday. Yesterday, we tackled the Reality and Variety Series, this time the focus is on the TV Movies and the Limited Series. The past few years saw the rise in the limited series genre, now even eclipsing the acclaim of the current dramas on the boob tube. This year, we can have a rehash of the 2013 race when it’s Ryan Murphy vs. Fargo. Here are my predictions in all eight longform series categories.

tv movie

OUTSTANDING TELEVISION MOVIE:
• All the Way (HBO)
• Confirmation (HBO)
• The Dresser (Starz)
• Sherlock: The Abominable Bride (BBC)
• A Very Murray Christmas (Netflix)

Sixth nominee: Luther (BBC America)

While the Jay Roach political drama has this Emmy wrapped up already, let’s discuss which ones will join it as co-nominees. As for starters, there’s the other HBO political film Confirmation, which is basically the runner-up HBO TV movie of the year. We always have those (Hemingway & Gellhorn to Game Change, Taking Chance to Grey GardensYou Don’t Know Jack to Temple Grandin.. you get the point). After its surprise win haul back in 2013 taking home three major Emmys, they’ll surely nominate the new Sherlock special too. Expect the Emmys to fall in love with The Dresser, albeit it being on Starz; after all, it stars two acting veterans, an Oscar-winning material, and it’s British. As for that last spot, considering how much Netflix is great at campaigning, I’m going with that A Very Murray Christmas from Emmy winner Bill Murray.

miniseries

OUTSTANDING LIMITED SERIES:
• American Crime (ABC)
• Fargo (FX)
• The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story (FX)
• The Night Manager (AMC)
• Roots (History Channel)

Sixth nominee: Show Me A Hero (HBO)

As mentioned, the big story here is The People v. O.J. Simpson, which I expect to dominate the nominations. It was critically acclaimed, it had Ryan Murphy in a very prominent case in Murica, and it’s star-studded. Considering how much Ryan Murphy’s pilot seasons always go well with Emmy nods, expect this to be a shoo-in here. Not to be left behind of course is another FX gem, Fargo, whose first season won the Emmy of this category too. It premiering last year and being more subtle than the showy OJ showcase could cost it wins, but not nominations. ABC’s American Crime (not to be confused with American Crime Story — we saw what you did there, Ryan Murphy) is also poised to come back. After all, it’s ABC’s only push here and had a decent showing with the nods last year. Roots is one of the most iconic and memorable shows in TV history and is still an Emmy record holder, so expect the new version to at least be acknowledged with a nom. That last spot is tricky — there’s HBO’s Show Me A Hero which feels like an afterthought at this stage, but it’s HBO’s only shot here plus it stars one of Hollywood’s current it boys Oscar Isaac. But there’s also AMC’s The Night Manager which they are campaigning aggressively, stars Tom Hiddleston and multiple Emmy nominee Hugh Laurie. I can see it both go ways, but for now let’s stick with the latter.

longform lead actor

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Bryan Cranston, “All the Way”
• Benedict Cumberbatch, “Sherlock: The Abominable Bride”
• Cuba Gooding Jr., “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”
• Ian McKellen, “The Dresser”
• Courtney B. Vance, “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”
• Patrick Wilson, “Fargo”

Seventh nominee: Oscar Isaac, “Show Me A Hero”

Talk about an insanely competitive category. You literally can fill this group with at least a dozen names. To be frank, I think only Bryan Cranston is a lock here. His LBJ performance which previously netted him a Tony will likely join an Emmy as well (will Oscar follow?). To a certain extent, I think Courtney B. Vance is also safe considering he’s the breakout performer among the lads in the show. Benedict Cumberbatch pulled off an upset in an equally strong category back in 2013 (against Mark Ruffalo, Idris Elba, and Fargo guys) so it’s not impossible for him to pull one off again this time. Then this is where it gets tricky. Patrick Wilson is probably my fourth, though the passive, subtle role can somehow hurt him especially in an insane category like this one. That said, I’m sticking with him. I also think they won’t let the opportunity of nominating any of The Dresser actors pass by. It’s tough between Oscar winner Anthony Hopkins and Sir Ian McKellen, so you can just go eitherway (maybe even both get in?), and for now I went with McKellen. Cuba Gooding Jr. just feels like he’ll be a part of the OJ lovefest, and considering he’s playing the titular character, I’d go predict him as well. Watch out for Oscar Isaac though considering how much he’s an in-demand actor now. Other notable names to consider are The Night Manager‘s Tom Hiddleston, Bill Murray in A Very Murray Christmas, Idris Elba in Luther, and even Sir Ben Kingsley in Tut.

longform lead actress

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Kirsten Dunst, “Fargo”
• Felicity Huffman, “American Crime”
• Rachel McAdams, “True Detective”
• Audra McDonald, “Lady Day at Emersons Bar and Grill”
• Sarah Paulson, “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”
• Kerry Washington, “Confirmation”

Seventh nominee: Blythe Danner, “Madoff”

Unlike its male counterpart, the Lead Actress category is wider than usual. Of course, one expects that Confirmation‘s Kerry Washington, Fargo‘s Kristen Dunst, and People v. OJ Simpson‘s Sarah Paulson are all but sure now. After that, there’s Emmy winner Audra McDonald for her HBO special too. We can also see two American Crime actresses in this category, but it’s safer to go with Emmy  winner Felicity Huffman. As for that last spot, there’s her co-star Lili Taylor, and Emmy favorite Blythe Danner in Madoff, but let’s go daring a bit and predict that her Oscar luck would extend here so I say Rachel McAdams for True Detective. longform supp actor

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Sterling K. Brown, “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”
• Ted Danson, “Fargo”
• Martin Freeman, “Sherlock: The Abominable Bride”
• Hugh Laurie, “The Night Manager”
• David Schwimmer, “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”
• Bokeem Woodbine, “Fargo”

Seventh nominee: John Travolta, “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”

What it it with male acting categories that they are really jampacked this year? The Supporting one is full of potential categories, and there’s a chance that it can go The Normal Heart way with four bids in it. That said, I’ll go predictable and include only two: Sterling K. Brown, and David Schwimmer’s TV comeback. That said, if they go star heavy, there’s John Travolta and Nathan Lane, both of whom can benefit from name-checking from voters. Martin Freeman won this category too back in 2013 against The Normal Heart group, so unless the lukewarm reviews for The Abominable Bride catches on, then he’s safe here. Ted Danson is a TV veteran, but he’s no easy bid as well, though being the veteran among Fargo supporting actors might help him. I might also be personally bias here with my prediction of Bokeem Woodbine, also from Fargo, but they nominated Alison Tolman two years ago, so there’s a precedent. Lastly, if The Night Manager is indeed a successful campaign, still Emmyless Hugh Laurie can sneak in a nomination for this as well. That said there’s also Forest Whitaker for Roots, Frank Langella for All the Way, and Denis O’Hare of AHS: Hotel to consider.

longform supp actress

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• Kathy Bates, “American Horror Story: Hotel”
• Connie Britton, “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”
• Regina King, “American Crime”
• Melissa Leo, “All the Way”
• Sarah Paulson, “American Horror Story: Hotel”
• Jean Smart, “Fargo”

Seventh nominee: Olivia Colman, “The Night Manager”

I might be underestimating American Horror Story: Hotel this year, but not in this category. I’ve dismissed it in previous years only for it to come back stronger, though Jessica Lange’s absence really hurt it. That said, double nods for Kathy Bates and Sarah Paulson are still safe bets. Speaking of safe bets, Emmy veteran Jean Smart’s cold, conniving matriarch in Fargo might even be competitive for the win. Meanwhile, a lesser known actress would definitely not be in contention considering the small of the role, but it’s Oscar and Emmy winner Melissa Leo in a supportive wife role in All the Way so it’s safe to say she’s getting in. Lastly, to continue my narrative of strong OJ Simpson love, I’m predicting that the scene-chewing performance of Connie Britton will give her another nod (I mean she got in for Nashville).

longform directing

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• All the Way (Jay Roach)
• Fargo, “Loplop” (Keith Gordon)
• The Night Manager (Susanne Bier)
• The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story, “From The Ashes of Tragedy” (Ryan Murphy)
• The People V. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story, “The Race Card” (John Singleton)
• Roots, “Night Four” (Bruce Beresford)

Seventh nominee: Sherlock: The Abominable Bride (Douglas MacKinnon)

I went safe with my predictions here — only two OJ episodes, one by Ryan Murphy and one by John Singleton, then Jay Roach will surely get in as well. There’s a Fargo episode in between, from the same one who pulled off the upset win back in the first season, and then there’s Oscar winner Susanne Bier in a well-campaigned British program. Last one is between a Sherlock episode and a Roots finale from a popular 80s movie director, and since I think Sherlock won’t go as perfectly lucky as the last time, I give the edge to Roots.

longform writing

OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:
• All the Way (Robert Schenkkan)
• American Crime, “Episode Seven” (John Ridley)
• Fargo, “Palindrome” (Noah Hawley)
• The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story, “From The Ashes of Tragedy” (Scott Alexander & Larry Karaszewski)
• The People V. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story, “Marcia, Marcia, Marcia” (D.V. DeVincentis)
• Sherlock: The Abominable Bride (Steven Moffat & Mark Gatiss)

Seventh nominee: The Night Manager (David Farr)

Like in Directing, went safe here by including only two OJ Simpson episodes, All the Way, and a Fargo one too. But instead of The Night Manager, I replaced it with another British series — Sherlock considering it won this category the last time it contended. And instead of Roots,  we have Oscar winner John Ridley’s penned American Crime episode to round up the group.

Next up, the LOL shows of the comedy categories as we continue our 68th Emmy nomination prediction series tomorrow.

Talk to me about it on Twitter: @nikowl