Archive for the ‘65th emmy awards predictions’ Tag

65th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 4: Drama   Leave a comment

Hi everybody. I’m here to post the missing piece of my Emmy predictions this year. As what I already mentioned, the nominations for the 65th edition of TV’s highest honor will be revealed on Thursday by Kate Mara of House of Cards and Aaron Paul of Breaking Bad. If you have been following this blog, I have been slowly revealing my predictions during the past few days as I already covered reality and variety, the TV movie and miniseries, and comedy genres. To finally complete it, here are my predictions in the drama categories:

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING IN A DRAMA SERIES:

drama directing

• Boardwalk Empire, Two Imposters (Allen Koutler)
• Breaking Bad, Fifty One (Rian Johnson)
• Game of Thrones, The Rains of Castamere (David Nutter)
• Homeland, Q&A (Lesli Link Glater)
• House of Cards, Chapter 1 (David Fincher)

Sixth nominee: Downton Abbey, Episode 4 (Jeremy Webb)

After last year’s surprising Directing upset, it is not safe to dismiss Boardwalk Empire at all in this category. While both the finale Magrate Sands and Two Imposters are very competitive, I’d go with Allen Koutler’s directed episode as their nomination. Breaking Bad really finds it difficult to penetrate the Writing series, but the same can’t be said in the Directing ones. The Rian Johnson (yes, of Looper) helmed episode is also their most buzzed eligible contender, so Fifty One is a good bet for the nod. After the Blackwater snub last year, one can say for sure that Game of Thrones  is no shoo-in here, but the critical and overwhelming buzz for the Rains of Castamere episode will definitely do the trick for the show. Current series champ Homeland can expect a nom here too, and Q&A is their safest submission. And to close this one out, Oscar nominee David Fincher can welcome an Emmy nomination for his direction of the pilot episode of House of Cards.

OUTSTANDING WRITING IN A DRAMA SERIES:

drama writing

• The Americans, Pilot (Joe Weisberg)
• Homeland, New Car Smell (Meredith Stiehm)
• Homeland, Q&A (Henry Bromell)
• Mad Men, In Care Of (Matthew Weiner, Carly Wray)
• Thew Newsroom, We Just Decided To (Aaron Sorkin)

Sixth nominee: Downton Abbey, Episode 4 (Julian Fellowes)

There are two types of episodes that click well in the writing categories: pilot shows and episodes of Emmy drama series champs. With that said, favorite Aaron Sorkin is back in contention for penning the pilot episode of The Newsroom. While the series is a hit or miss, the pilot episode is enough to seal the nomination in this category. The same can be applied to Joe Weisberg and his pilot of The Americans which is one of the lauded pilots the past television season. Perennial favorite nominee Matthew Weiner can still sneak in another nomination despite Mad Men slowly fading away from Emmy radar. I’m going with the season finale, though any Weiner episode can actually fill its place.  As for the remaining two spots, after their surprise win in this category last year, I’m predicting a one two punch of nods for the back to back episodes of New Car Smell and Q&A from Homeland to complete this category.

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES:

drama guest actor

• Dylan Baker, “The Good Wife
• Michael J. Fox, “The Good Wife
• Rupert Friend, “Homeland
• Harry Hamlin, “Mad Men
• Nathan Lane, “The Good Wife
• Ray Romano, “Parenthood

Seventh nominee: Jim Beaver, “Justified

Drama guest actor is one of the most difficult categories. You don’t know if the Emmys want to reward character actors or movie stars in it. Sometimes they prefer the former, and the other times, they’re in the mood to reward the latter. With that said, I’m sensing that The Good Wife will once again dominate this category. Michael J. Fox and Dylan Baker are nominees from last year that can easily repeat (Specifically Fox). I also see Nathan Lane’s upstaging role to give him another Guest Actor nod this year, only this time in the drama genre. Rupert Friend is one of the most memorable additions to Homeland the past season, and with the show definitely expanding its acting nomination, I can see him getting in along the ride. A Mad Men actor has always been present too since the show’s inception in 2007, and I feel the tradition will continue this year as Harry Hamlin gets nominated. The last slot is between three actors: Matthew Perry in The Good Wife,  though four guys from the same show is overload here, Jim Beaver in Justified though let’s see how the reception for that show is. I guess I’ll stick with multiple Emmy winner Ray Romano for his turn in Parenthood to get the last nom.

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES:

drama guest actress

• Stockard Channing, “The Good Wife
• Joan Cusack, “Shameless
• Jane Fonda, “The Newsroom
• Shirley Maclaine, “Downton Abbey
• Martha Plimpton, “The Good Wife
• Diana Rigg, “Game of Thrones

Seventh nominee: Linda Cardellini, “Mad Men

This category is full of big names this year, and they can easily fill up the list for the final nominations here. As for starters, Oscar winners Jane Fonda and Shirley Maclaine will easily get in for their turns in The Newsroom and Downton Abbey respectively. Last year’s winner Martha Plimpton is in for another round of nomination in this category, and the same is predicted for Shameless’ Joan Cusack. Stockard Channing is too much of an Emmy favorite for her to get snubbed in an actors show such as The Good Wife so I can see her easily getting in. The last spot is for past Emmy winner Dame Diana Rigg who is one of the most lauded parts of the third season of Game of Thrones.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES:

drama supp actor

• Jonathan Banks, “Breaking Bad
• Rob James-Collier, “Downton Abbey
• Peter Dinklage, “Game of Thrones
• Mandy Patinkin, “Homeland
• Aaron Paul, “Breaking Bad
• Corey Stoll, “House of Cards

Seventh nominee: Sam Waterston, “The Newsroom

This is a category that I see can go to many directions, so it’s really difficult to come up with a final list here. Aside from the past two winners in this category Aaron Paul and Peter Dinklage, I think everyone is possibly vulnerable to be snubbed. Mandy Patinkin, who was surprisingly snubbed last year, benefits from Homeland winning the top drama category, so he can easily get in this year. Like last year with Giancarlo Esposito, I think another character actor from Breaking Bad will get in alongside Aaron Paul, and this year seems poised for a Jonathan Banks nomination. Corey Stoll is a scene stealer in House of Cards and if the Emmys throw a lot of support to the show, then you can expect him to be nominated too. As for the last spot, I can easily see it to TV veteran Sam Waterston since his name alone can easily attract buzz, but with the WTF results this category gave last year, I guess they’ll still nominate one of Downton actor, and Rob James-Collier’s is the type of role that they love to reward. and thus, I’m going with my guts and predicting him.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES:

drama supp actress

• Christine Baranski, “The Good Wife”
• Anna Gunn, “Breaking Bad”
• Christina Hendricks, “Mad Men”
• Elizabeth McGovern, “Downton Abbey”
• Monica Potter, “Parenthood”
• Maggie Smith, “Downton Abbey”

Seventh nominee: Archie Panjabi, “The Good Wife”

Dame Maggie Smith, Christine Baranski, and Anna Gunn are all safe bets for nominations this year. I actually think Christina Hendricks is safe for another nomination, though the real issue is if her season long performance merits it. But then again, it did not prevent others from getting extended Emmy nos for their shows. I also think that Elizabeth McGovern’s shift in the supporting categories will do her favors and receive her second Emmy nod for the show for this season. I’m skipping 2010 winner Archie Panjabi for the mere fact that her storyline this season received unanimous negative criticisms, and I think it will instead open up a slot for another actress. I predict that the final slot will g to Monica Potter as her arc this season received major waves of buzz, and with critical support to push her in, she can be the face of network shows in this category. I do think though that getting the nomination is her biggest hurdle, but once she gets in, she can be very competitive for the win. With this as NBC’s only shot in the drama categories, I see them doing all the means for her to get in.

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES:

drama lead actor

• Steve Buscemi, “Boardwalk Empire
• Bryan Cranston, “Breaking Bad
• Jeff Daniels, “The Newsroom
• Jon Hamm, “Mad Men
• Damien Lewis, “Homeland
• Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards

Seventh nominee: Matthew Rhys, “The Americans

Lead Actor doesn’t seem to have much of a shake up as compared to the other drama acting categories this year. After all, Steve Buscemi, Bryan Cranston, Jon Hamm, and Damian Lewis are all sure bets to be nominated again this year. As for the last two spots, I’m expecting the movie star factor plus the juicy role makes Kevin Spacey a shoo-in to be nominated for his House of Cards performance. As for the last spot, while Downton Abbey’s Hugh Bonneville or Dexter’s Michael C. Hall are both eligible, they might go with veteran Jeff Daniels who already reaped Golden Globe and SAG nods for his performance in The Newsroom. If not him, then watch Matthew Rhys of The Americans to be the other newbie here.

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES:

drama lead actress

• Glenn Close, “Damages
• Claire Danes, “Homeland
• Michelle Dockery, “Downton Abbey
• Juliana Margulies, “The Good Wife
• Elisabeth Moss, “Mad Men
• Kerry Washington, “Scandal

Seventh nominee: Keri Russell, “The Americans

Now this one has a plethora of contenders that all have legit chances of making it in the final line up. But since only six will be nominated, I’ll probably start filling them up with current champ Claire Danes who will likely end up with the win here as well. Aside from her, I expect another past winner Julianna Margulies to come back again for her fourth bid in this category. Then we have perennial nominee Elisabeth Moss as another sure bet to hear her name being called here. Michelle Dockery has benefited a lot since her nomination last year, and she’s likely to be in here as well. Kerry Washington’s big narrative on how a black woman leads a primetime network show is too big to ignore, and I can’t imagine the outcry and backlash that will happen if she fails to get nominated this year. That’s why I think she will get in. Then there’s Tatiana Maslany. Maslany is really in a weird position; the nature of the show hurts her as others can see it as too gimmicky and the network isn’t big enough to push her. However, she certainly has the buzz and is making rounds of mentions among different pundits. As for the last spot, the trio of newcomers Keri Russell in The Americans, Robin Wright in House of Cards, and Oscar nominee Vera Farmiga in Bates Motel is really too tempting to predict, but expect the voters to throw a bone to 2x winner here and consistent nominee Glenn Close for her final season in Damages.

OUTSTANDING DRAMA SERIES:

drama series

Breaking Bad (AMC)
Downton Abbey (PBS)
• Game of Thrones (HBO)
Homeland (Showtime)
House of Cards (Netflix)
Mad Men (AMC)

Seventh nominee: The Americans (FX)

There isn’t much of a stiff competiton in this race as compared to its comedy counterpart. Five nominees from last year are sure to be back with only Boardwalk Empire in mixed position. To be fair, Boardwalk Empire did solidly well in the different television guilds earlier this year that if it gets in for a third time, it’s not something that will shock us. However, there are two strong competitors for that last slot. First, we have the FX show The Americans. The difficult thing with The Americans is that no one can gauge how the reception of Emmys will be to the show. I can see a scenario where it gets in for Series, Lead Actor, and Lead Actress, but at the same time, I can also see a picture where in it miss all three. If only they made a more aggressive campaign, then they can easily reserve a slot here. Maybe next year? Or in a seven show race? In the end, I’m giving my last slot to Netflix’s House of Cards. I think at least one Netflix show will be in contention for the top genre award and while both Arrested Development and this one can get in, I think House of Cards has more things going for it such as the star power of the people involved and the overall reception to the season. That factor pushes it over both Boardwalk Empire and The Americans for that elusive sixth slot.

Finally done! Whew! Who are you rooting for in the drama categories? Can The Americans actually penetrate the main categories? How many The Good Wife actors will be nominated in Guest Actor? And can Vera Farmiga, Keri Russell, or *gasp* Tatiana Maslany actually happen? :)

As always, you can follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

Advertisements

65th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 3: Comedy   Leave a comment

Hi everyone! It is still Emmy season over here at Tit for Tat, and I’m currently doing a four part blog post on who can find themselves nominated for TV’s top honor. As you may all know, the nominations will be revealed on Thursday, July 18 by Emmy winner Aaron Paul and Kate Mara. Since we’re done tackling the reality and variety, as well as the TV movie and miniseries genres, it’s time to move to the two biggest ones: comedy and drama. For this part, we’ll be focusing on the funny antics of television’s comedies.

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING IN A COMEDY SERIES:

comedy directing

• Arrested Development, Off the Hook (Mitchell Hurwitz, Troy Miller)
• Girls, On All Fours (Lena Duham)
• Louie, New Year’s Eve (Louis CK)
• Modern Family, Goodnight Gracie (Steven Levitan)
• 30 Rock, Hogcock!/Last Lunch (Beth McCarthy-Miller)

Sixth nominee: Modern Family, Party Crasher (Fred Savage)

Last year’s nominees Lena Dunham and Louis CK can find themselves nominated again this year for both of their directorial efforts in their respective shows. Louie has the advantage of submitting only one episode, but while the same cannot be said about Girls, Lena’s only directing submission can tower their show’s other submission. The finale episode of 30 Rock is also a safe bet for a nomination; after all, Beth McCarthy-Miller, despite 0 wins here, has been nominated multiple times already. Like Louie, Arrested Development only submitted one episode here, which makes them a shoo-in already. As for the last spot, it is the director’s branch that continuously loves to embrace Modern Family giving the show six nods in its first three seasons. I feel the lovefest will be continued as its season finale will reap up a nod for creator Steven Levitan.

OUTSTANDING WRITING IN A COMEDY SERIES:

comedy writing

• Arrested Development, Blockheads (Mitchell Hurwitz, Jim Vallelly)
• Girls, One Man’s Trash (Lena Duham)
• Louie, Daddy’s Girlfriend Part 1 (Louis CK)
• Modern Family, Goodnight Gracie (Steven Levitan, Jeffrey Richman)
• 30 Rock, Last Lunch (Tina Fey & Tracey Wigfield)

Sixth nominee: 30 Rock, Hogcock! (Jack Burditt & Robert Carlock)

Surprise, surprise. But I’m predicting the same five shows to be nominated for both Writing AND Directing Emmys this season. This means that my prediction is off base already. But then again, it seems like the Academy will be going for the same mindset as well. After being snubbed last year, I expect current winner Modern Family to be back in this race with their season finale episode, which is reminiscent of their stronger seasons. The pair of actor slash director slash write combo of Lena Dunham and Louis CK is still hot in Emmy’s eyes, and that results to at least a piece of Writing nods for their shows Girls and Louie respectively. Following their strategy in the Directing category, Arrested Development only submitted one episode here too, which makes it a shoo-in among its fans in the community. The last spot I give to the series finale of 30 Rock as the show is well loved by the writing block giving it lots of nominations and wins over the course of the show.

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:

comedy guest actor

• Will Arnett, “30 Rock
• Matthew Broderick, “Modern Family
• Bob Newhart, “The Big Bang Theory
• Martin Short, “Saturday Night Live
• Justin Timberlake, “Saturday Night Live
• Patrick Wilson, “Girls

Seventh nominee: Ben Stiller, “Arrested Development

Will Arnett is the definition of a staple in this category. Over the years, he has been nominated multiple instances already for his role in 30 Rock, and I see them giving him one last nod for the show’s final season. There’s always an SNL performer nominated in this category ever since they start including them here, and for this year, alum Martin Short and 2x Emmy winner in this category Justin Timberlake are their best shots. Aside from SNL, Modern Family does really good with their guest actors in the show with the likes of Nathan Lane and Greg Kinnear getting nominated. This year, I expect Matthew Broderick to be the show’s rep in one of their most memorable episode this season. Still Emmyless TV legend Bob Newhart is finally in contention to have his first Emmy for his scene stealing role in The Big Bang Theory. The last slot I usually reserve for a movie star who does some buzz worthy memorable TV performance of the past season, and this year it’s Patrick Wilson for his controversial turn in Girls.

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:

comedy guest actress

• Kate Hudson, “Glee
• Melissa McCarthy, “Saturday Night Live
• Liza Minnelli, “Arrested Development
• Sarah Jessica Parker, “Glee
• Elaine Stritch, “30 Rock
• Kristen Wiig, “Saturday Night Live

Seventh nominee: Elizabeth Banks, “Modern Family

I’m warning you now. This is one big mess of a prediction in this category. But let’s try to digest. First, just like last year, Melissa McCarthy’s SNL hosting duties is a shoo-in for a nomination. Add the fact that she might be snubbed for Comedy Lead Actress, and this is the perfect venue to nominate her. Joining her last year was SNL alumna Maya Rudolph, but this year it is four time nominee Kristen Wiig. Then we have Elaine Stritch. Yes, she was snubbed last year, but with how empty this category is, they might go back to one of its previous winners. Then we’d have Liza Minnelli. It’s interesting to note that the show has never garnered any Guest Acting nom. Yes, you’re reading it right. So the likes of Henry Winkler and Charlize Theron and Julia Louis Dreyfus have all been snubbed. But why am I predicting her? Lucille is a staple character in the show, and this might be Emmy’s way of correcting that past mistake. I’m not predicting any Louie actresses because I don’t know if the Emmys love the show to the point of nominating someone else whose name is not Louis CK. I’m not predicting Elizabeth Banks as well because of the fact that while Modern Family does great with their guest actors, the same can’t be said about their guest actresses: Shelley Long, Ellen Barkin, Minnie Driver. So if Elizabeth Banks didn’t make it during her first eligible year, then I don’t know how she’ll make it this year. That leaves me with… Glee. I know, I know. But this is the only category that loves that show the last few years and they always have a nominee in this category for its first three seasons. This year, I’m going with Kate Hudson’s buzzworthy turn as the NYADA instructor Cassandra July, and Sarah Jessica Parker’s comeback Emmy nod after her 2004 win.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:

comedy supp actor

• Will Arnett, “Arrested Development
• Ty Burrell, “Modern Family
• Jesse Tyler Ferguson, “Modern Family
• Max Greenfield, “New Girl
• Ed O’Neill, “Modern Family
• Eric Stonestreet, “Modern Family

Seventh nominee: Bill Hader, “Saturday Night Live”

Probably the most crowded category this year, I can name five or more actors that can still find their names in the final list. As for starters, there’s Simon Helberg in The Big Bang Theory, Jeffrey Tambor in Arrested Development, Tony Hale in Veep, Adam Driver in Girls,  and even host Neil Patrick Harris  in How I Met Your Mother. However, I’m sticking with the four Modern Family men in this category. The Emmys are always a season or two late when they do category overhaul, and last year proved that the show still has its clout in the Academy. The only thing that will convince me to remove any of them is when the Emmy start to actually do so. Until then, all of them are predicted here. Max Greenfield continues to be filling the scene-stealing over the top character that Neil Patrick Harris once filled, so it is safe to say he’ll be back again. And with many Arrested Development guys in contention, I’d be sticking with the one that has the flashiest performance in the group, and that happens to be Will Arnett.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:

comedy supp actress

• Mayim Bialik, “The Big Bang Theory
• Julie Bowen, “Modern Family
• Kaley Cuoco, “The Big Bang Theory
• Sofia Vergara, “Modern Family
• Jessica Walter, “Arrested Development
• Alison Williams, “Girls

Seventh nominee: Jane Krakowski, “30 Rock

We all know by now that the two Modern Family women are safe, so there’s no point in discussing that. With The Big Bang Theory getting even bigger as each season passes, I’m expecting last year’s surprise nominee Mayim Bialik to retain, and fan favorite Kaley Cuoco to finally be nominated along the ride. Jessica Walter is a past nominee for her performance in Arrested Development and she can fill in the TV veteran slot of the group. The last spot I give to newbie Alison Williams. it is pretty much destined that Girls will expand their acting noms in their succeeding seasons (just like how the other HBO female comedy Sex and the City did), so for now, I’m adding one Girls star and I think it’ll be Williams. I don’t know what to make of Krakowski’s chances, especially since they snub her strongest season last year for the likes of Merritt Wever, so while even if this is the show’s final season, the Emmys have a habit of forgetting you completely once they’re over you.

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES: 

comedy lead actor

• Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock
• Jason Bateman, “Arrested Development
• Don Cheadle, “House of Lies
• Louis C.K, “Louie
• Jon Cryer “Two and a Half Men
• Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory

Seventh nominee: Matt Leblanc, “Episodes

For this one, past Emmy winners in this category Alec Baldwin and Jim Parsons can be counted as locks already. The same can actually be said about Jon Cryer. I have come to the conclusion that maybe the Emmy voters really see something in his performance that they keep on nominating him year after year after year after year. Once they finally drop him is when I’ll start to drop him in my predictions too. If you have been reading this blog from the beginning, you’ve noticed that I keep on reiterating that Louis CK is very much loved by the Academy, so that makes him a shoo-in as well. The last two slots can either go to any of three past nominees. The strange thing about it is that they’re all one time nominee only, so it’s hard to gauge how the Emmys will respond to them. But I’m going with Jason Bateman with the Arrested Development residual love, and movie star confidence vote in Don Cheadle. If all else fails, see Matt LeBlanc reap up his second nod for Episodes.

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:

comedy lead actress

• Zooey Deschanel, “New Girl
• Lena Dunham, “Girls
• Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie
• Tina Fey, “30 Rock
• Julia Louis Dreyfus, “Veep
• Amy Poehler, “Parks and Recreation

Seventh nominee: Melissa McCarthy, “Mike and Molly

Basically, if there’s anything that our seven women lineup last year taught us, it’s the fact that you just have to choose who to drop here.  The triumvirate of SNL alumnae of current winner Julia Louis Dreyfus, Tina Fey, and Amy Poehler are sure bets here. The same can be said for the “female Louis CK” Lena Dunham. Then you have Edie Falco, who’s like the perennial Emmy favorite, and I don’t see her being dropped by the Academy this year. That leaves us with Zooey Deschanel and Melissa McCarthy. It’s actually easy to say that McCarthy has the upper hand since she’s a past winner in this category and she’s the only representative of the traditional comedy set up. However, they can also reward her in Comedy Guest Actress. With that said, I’m sticking with it girl Zooey Deschanel whose show received major buzz for its second season.

OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES:

comedy series

• The Big Bang Theory (CBS)
Girls (HBO)
Louie (FX)
Modern Family (ABC)
30 Rock (NBC)
Veep (HBO)

Seventh nominee: Arrested Development (Netflix)

First, let me say that I’m expecting that the final line up will actually consist of seven nominees. But I’m sticking to six just because it’s really the actual number of nominations here. Okay so where do I even begin? Let’s go with current champ Modern Family. I don’t see a scenario of it getting snubbed. Period. The same can be said for CBS’ The Big Bang Theory. With its huge ratings, it is very much expected that it’ll also get in. 3x Emmy champ 30 Rock is another sure contender. After all, it is the final season of a once Emmy favorite. You can’t go wrong with that. Then you’d have Girls. As much as it is a very polarizing and divisive show, the Emmys has showered it with love last year, and as HBO’s watercooler show, I expect it to be in the final six too. Now here’s the part where it gets confusing. On one hand. there’s Arrested Development. It’s 2004’s Best Comedy Series winner, has a cult following, and the Emmys are one of the firsts who basically embraced it. However, its Netflix airing plus its puzzling critical reception makes it vulnerable for the top slot. On the other, you have Veep. It is a current nominee with high caliber Emmy magnet names that surround it. With that said, one can’t avoid seeing it as the Julia Louis Dreyfus show. If it gets nominated, I can’t see where it expands its nominations. It’s not a top contender for writing, directing, and not even acting. Where will the support come from then? Then you have Louie. Everything Louis CK touches makes it an Emmy contender. Everything that is, except getting in the Comedy Series category. Last year, we saw it even win Writing and getting nominated in Directing and Acting, and it has the critics on its side but it still failed to grab a Series nod. With no current season buzz to help it, I can’t help but think that it can follow the same trajectory as Roseanne. A show where in they love everything Roseanne related, but it still wasn’t able to get that Comedy Series nod. In the end, I dropped Arrested Development, as it’s the only show where I can see a scenario where in it gets a lot of nods but barely missing the top category.

Ooh that was long! Who are you rooting for in the comedy categories? Can Bob Newhart finally win an Emmy? Will all Modern Family guys make it in Supporting Actor? And what do you think among Arrested Development, Louie, and Veep will get the boot? 🙂

As always, you can follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

65th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 2: TV Movie and Miniseries   Leave a comment

Hi there! As what you have previously read, this is the Emmy week celebration for Tit for Tat. With nominations on the cusp of being unveiled by Breaking Bad‘s Aaron Paul and House of Cards’ Kate Mara, it’s time to guess who will end up being nominated on Thursday. I already posted the first part which covered the reality and variety categories here. This part, however, will focus on the TV Movie and Miniseries categories.

OUTSTANDING TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:

movie miniseries
American Horror Story: Asylum (FX)
Behind the Candelabra (HBO)
The Bible (History)
Parade’s End (HBO)
Phil Spector (HBO)
Top of the Lake (Sundance Channel)

Seventh nominee:  Political Animals (USA)

There are four shoo-in contenders in this category: Cannes entry Behind the Candelabra, Sundance series Top of the Lake, FX’s American Horror Story and The Bible from History. They are also the top priority contenders of each of their networks. As for the two remaining slots, it can either go to USA’s canceled Political Animals though there have been no canceled series that made it in this category since they were allowed to do that. The same can be said for Showtime’s The Big C  finale. So two slots will likely be between four HBO contenders: Mary and Martha, the Hitchcock related The Girl, but I guess I’ll go with Phil Spector just for the names involved in the project, and Parade’s End which seems to be right up their alley.

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:

movie mini lead actor

• Benedict Cumberbatch, “Parade’s End
• Matt Damon, “Behind the Candelabra
• Michael Douglas, “Behind the Candelabra
• Toby Jones, “The Girl
• Al Pacino, “Phil Spector

Sixth nominee: Kenneth Branagh, “Wallander

This is a pretty empty category in general, though four slots are already reserved in this category. The pair of Oscar winners Michael Douglas and Matt Damon are sure to find themselves nominated here for their work in Behind the Candelabra. The Same can be said for 2x Emmy champ in this category, Al Pacino, for Phil Spector. Toby Jones deglammed look as Alfred Hitchcock in The Girl will also be nominated. The last spot leaves us with Kenneth Branagh who has been nominated before for a previous Wallander performance, but I’m going with last year’s nominee Benedict Cumberbatch to latch on a consecutive nod, only this time for Parade’s End from HBO.

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:

movie mini lead actress

• Jessica Lange, “American Horror Story: Asylum
• Laura Linney, “The Big C
• Helen Mirren, “Phil Spector
• Elisabeth Moss, “Top of the Lake
• Sigourney Weaver, “Political Animals

Sixth nominee: Hilary Swank, “Mary and Martha

After her win in Supporting last year, Jessica Lange movies in this category this year for her role as the crazy nun in American Horror Story: Asylum. Biggest winner in this category Helen Mirren is also back with another bid this year alongside Al Pacino for Phil Spector. Elisabeth Moss can find herself double nominated this year, aside from her Best Actress Drama nod, as the lead in Jane Campion’s Top of the Lake. Sigourney Weaver already reaped Globe and SAG nods for her performance in Political Animals, so this Emmy nod is already expected. For the last spot, a vote splitting between Mary and Martha co-stars Brenda Blethyn and Hilary Swank can result to 3x Emmy winner Laura Linney benefiting for a last shot for The Big C.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:

movie mini supp actor

• James Cromwell, “American Horror Story: Asylum
• Rob Lowe, “Behind the Candelabra
• Peter Mullan, “Top of the Lake
• Zachary Quinto, “American Horror Story: Asylum
• Jeffrey Tambor, “Phil Spector

Sixth nominee: Dan Aykroyd, “Behind the Candelabra

As the scene stealing supporting actor of the show, Peter Mullan is already expected to receive a nomination for his Top of the Lake performance. The same can be said for multiple nominee Rob Lowe in his role in Behind the Candelabra. If Arrested Development won’t give him the nod in Supporting Actor: Comedy this year, Jeffrey Tambor can still end up as a nominee as he’s a shoo-in for his Phil Spector role. The last two spots go to a pair of American Horror Story: Asylum contenders: James Cromwell for his role as former Nazi Dr. Arthur Arden, and with his current movie success, Zachary Quinto a.k.a Dr. Oliver Thredson.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE OR MINI SERIES:

movie mini supp actress

• Ellen Burstyn, “Political Animals
• Frances Conroy, “American Horror Story: Asylum
• Holly Hunter, “Top of the Lake
• Sarah Paulson, “American Horror Story: Asylum
• Alfre Woodard, “Steel Magnolias

Sixth nominee: Imelda Staunton, “The Girl

The Supporting Actress line up will likely be composed of Oscar and Emmy veterans this year. First we have the controversial Ellen Burstyn who makes her comeback in the same category that gave her major controversy seven years ago. This year though, she’s really competitive for her performance in Political Animals. Two of last year’s nominees here can find their way as consecutive nominees this year, and both are from American Horror Story: Asylum. Frances Conroy sneaked in a nod last year, and I expect the same to happen this year. Meanwhile, Sarah Paulson’s scene-stealing journalist is also a shoo-in nomination. Oscar and Emmy winner Holly Hunter is deglammed in pal’s Jane Campion’s Top of the Lake,  and that already equates to nomination. Closing the category is Emmy favorite Alfre Woodard, who gets in for almost anything, and an empty category like this just gives her another nod in her resume.

There you have it! Who are you predicting to get nominated in the movie/miniseries categories? Can we see a Jessica Lange really steamroll her way to another win or is Elisabeth Moss finally destined for Emmy gold? Is Michael Douglas really unbeatable? And can The Bible really make its way to the nominations? What do you think?

As always, you can follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

65th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 1: Reality and Variety   1 comment

Hey everybody! How are you all doing? It’s time again to reward the best of the best in the small screen, as the Emmy nomination announcement take place five days from now. Come July 18, House of Cards‘ Kate Mara and 2x Emmy winner Aaron Paul of breaking Bad will have the honors of unveiling this year’s nominees. Last year was really a sucky year for me in terms of my nominee prediction results, so I don’t know what’s in store for me this year. My prediction for the predictions will, once again, be divided into four parts: reality and variety, TV movie and miniseries, comedy, and drama. For now, let’s begin with reality and variety.

OUTSTANDING REALITY/COMPETITION SERIES:

reality competition

 

The Amazing Race (CBS)
Dancing with the Stars (ABC)
Project Runway (Lifetime)
So You Think You Can Dance (Fox)
Top Chef (Bravo)
The Voice (NBC)

Seventh nominee: Survivor (CBS)

There’s a big chance that we’ll be getting the same set of nominees as last year in this category. 9x winner The Amazing Race is still safe for another nom (and perhaps a win too). The same can be said for the only other winner in this category, Top Chef, perennial nominees Dancing with the Stars and Project Runway. Nigel Lythgoe’s American Idol seems settled on being not nominated again, but worry not as his So You Think You Can Dance can easily reap a thrid consecutive nom. The Voice, which is the biggest singing show in TV nowadays, is also poised to receive another nod and even a bid for the win. If any of these choices falter, then maybe another Mark Burnett show can sneak in, as Survivor is a past nominee in this category too.

OUTSTANDING REALITY/COMPETITION HOST:

reality competition host

 

• Carson Daly, “The Voice
• Tom Bergeron, “Dancing with the Stars
• Cat Deeley, “So You Think You Can Dance
• Phil Keoghan, “The Amazing Race
• Ryan Seacrest, “American Idol

Sixth nominee: Betty White, “Betty White: Off the Rockers

Current winner Tom Bergeron, Cat Deeley, and Phil Keoghan are all safe for the nomination now. American Idol might have fallen off the ATAS’ radar, but Ryan Seacrest is still a big TV personality, and I can still see him sticking in for another nomination, at least this year. As for the last spot, I won’t be shocked if it goes to Betty White. After all, Betty White is still a household name that they can easily check, or to Jeff Probst after snubbing him last year. However, I’m going with Carson Daly. While the coaches grab the buzz in the show, I’m expecting an increase in nomination for The Voice, and it might carry Carson Daly to a nod.

OUTSTANDING VARIETY SERIES

variety comedy series

• The Colbert Report (Comedy Central)
• The Daily Show with Jon Stewart (Comedy Central)
• Jimmy Kimmel Live (ABC)
• Late Night with Jimmy Fallon (NBC)
• Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)
• Saturday Night Live (NBC)

Seventh nominee:  Conan (TBS)

I’ve learned my lesson. Never ever predict a Real Time with Bill Maher snub until it actually happens. Until then, sorry Conan, you have to sit this one out.

OUTSTANDING VARIETY SPECIAL

variety special

 

• Betty White’s Second Annual 90th Birthday: A Tribute to America’s Golden Girl (NBC)
• Kathy Griffin: Kennedie Center On-Hers (Bravo)
• Kennedy Center Honors (CBS)
• Louis CK: Oh My God (HBO)
• Rod Stewart: Merry Christmas, Baby (Great Performances) (PBS)

I just patterned this year’s batch of nominees from last year. You know they’ll reward Betty White somewhere, and this might be it. Kathy Griffin is a staple here, as well as the Kennedy Center Honors. Louis CK has been an Emmy darling the past few years, and you know they’ll find this way to nominate him some more. For the last spot, I’m predicting one of PBS” Great Performances this year, though a Mel Brooks nomination is also expected if one of them falters.

That’s it! First batch of predictions over. Next part will consist of the TV movie and miniseries categories. You can also write your predictions in the Comments section. 🙂

As always, you can follow me on Twitter: @nikowl