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67th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series   Leave a comment

drama supp actress

Prediction: Lena Headey, “Game of Thrones”
Alternate: Uzo Aduba, “Orange is the New Black”

Full Rankings:
01. Lena Headey, “Game of Thrones”
02. Uzo Aduba, “Orange is the New Black”
03. Christine Baranski, “The Good Wife”
04. Christina Hendricks, “Mad Men
05. Joanne Froggatt, “Downton Abbey
06. Emilia Clarke, “Game of Thrones

Check my other 2015 Emmy prediction analysis here.

For more Emmy talk, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

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66th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series   Leave a comment

Emmy Drama Supp Actress

And we’re back with the Emmy coverage! After a ten day hiatus, here’s the second half of the Emmy analysis process over here at Tit for Tat. After doing the guest acting and longform categories last week, let’s move on by doing the supporting ones this week. And we begin with the drama supporting actresses of the year.

Earning her fifth consecutive nomination, Christina Hendricks survives another year of getting nominated for Mad Men. This year, she submitted The Strategy, which isn’t a totally bad submission given how she’s really not much of a non-factor this season. Hendricks surely seems to be one of those affected by the Emmys lack of enthusiasm over giving Mad Men an acting award because she has submitted great episodes before (Guy Walks into an Advertising Agency, The Other Woman) to no avail. I don’t think her fate will change this year though.

Coming off a one year-snub, Joanne Froggatt gets in for a second time for her role as Anna Bates in Downton Abbey. She surely nailed her submission by going with Episode 2 in which her character was raped by the end of the episode. It’s truly a competitive storyline and one that has worked wonders before in the past for other actresses. However, the main detriment to Froggatt’s episode is that her scene comes during the last five minutes of the episode, and I don’t know if it will be impactful enough to be anyone’s top ranked performance.

Then there’s Froggatt’s co-star, 2012 winner Dame Maggie Smith. At this point, Smith is probably a prominent case of name-checking. I really don’t think she herself even bothers anymore, and I won’t be surprised if people involved with the show are the ones submitting for her. That said, I have to say that they did a terrible job this year by submitting for her Episode 8. In this one and a half hour long submissions, Smith rarely appears and is mostly relegated to reacting a thing or two with the other characters. It’s really not worthy to watch the whole episode especially if you’re not the show’s fan.

Speaking of winners, current champ Anna Gunn is in the running for a consecutive win. And that makes that possibility closer because she submitted Ozymandias which is basically one (if not the) of the finest hours of television the past season. Gunn gave a very complex performance here that started with her being calm and quiet and she gets more intense as the episode progressed. She has a breakdown scene, a confession scene, and it has all the makings of a winning tape it’s not even close with how the rest of these women submitted.

Like Hendricks, Christine Baranski is also on her fifth consecutive nomination for The Good Wife. Season wise, it really is an outstanding season for Baranski with everything that has happened to Diane Lockhart from the firm separation and her supposed promotion at the beginning of the season to her dealing with Will Gardner at the bottom end of the show. She has lots of tapes to choose from so it is quite controversial that she went with The Last Call as this is an episode where it’s mostly an ensemble piece. Is it her best submission? I don’t think so. But is it a bad submission? I don’t think so as well. While she’s not the far standout in it, she was given lots to do and showcased an icy Diane at the beginning with the intern scene, vulnerable with her scenes with Alicia, and commanding with the firing of the client. It’s an underrated good tape in hindsight, and a competitive one.

And lastly, replacing her co-star Emilia Clarke last year, Lena Headey is the fourth Game of Thrones actor to receive an individual Emmy nod after Peter Dinklage, Dame Diana Rigg, and Clarke. Headey submitted one of the most buzzed episode of the season The Lion and the Rose. While not as debatable as Baranski’s submission, Headey gets to have that breakdown scene at the end. Hell hath no fury like a mother scorned indeed, and I can see this channeling votes for her.

In the end, Anna Gunn is so far and away this competition it’s not even funny. It seems like stars are written for her to win a second Emmy as the token farewell Emmy acting win, and so she can join multiple Emmy winning co-stars Aaron Paul and Bryan Cranston. While this category has been notoriously a venue for these out of the field wins from mid 2000s to 2010, the past three years all went with the frontrunner (Margo Martindale, Maggie Smith, Anna Gunn). Baranski is competitive as well, and she’s the only show’s chance to continue the trend of rewarding one Good Wife female actress per season (Archie Panjabi in 2010, Julianna Margulies in 2011, Martha Plimpton in 2012, and Carrie Preston in 2013). Joanne Froggatt would have had more chance to upset had Maggie Smith’s submission helped her here, but she was non-existent in the latter’s episode that it did not increase her chances at all. But for now, I’m sticking with the thought of 2x Emmy winner Anna Gunn.

Prediction: Anna Gunn, “Breaking Bad
Alternate: Christine Baranski, “The Good Wife

Full Rankings:
01. Anna Gunn, “Breaking Bad
02. Christine Baranski, “The Good Wife
03. Joanne Froggatt, “Downton Abbey
04. Lena Headey, “Game of Thrones
05. Maggie Smith, “Downton Abbey
06. Christina Hendricks, “Mad Men

Check my other 2014 Emmy prediction analysis here.

For more Emmy talk, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

65th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series   Leave a comment

supp actress drama

PAST PREDICTIONS:

2005: Blythe Danner, “Huff[CORRECT]
2006:
Sandra Oh, “Grey’s Anatomy[WRONG]
2007:
Sandra Oh, “Grey’s Anatomy[WRONG]
2008:
Rachel Griffiths, “Brothers and Sisters[WRONG]
2009:
Rose Byrne, “Damages[WRONG]
2010:
Sharon Gless, “Burn Notice[WRONG]
2011:
Margo Martindale “Justified[CORRECT]
2012:
Joanne Froggatt, “Downton Abbey[WRONG]

And boy does I suck in this category. LOL. However, it’s really the most bizarre acting category every year. If you want to find a WTF winner that wins out of nowhere, this category is the one you’re looking for. Though the past two years were from the undeniable frontrunners, so that probably says something with regards to how this category is changing. For this category, Archie Panjabi of The Good Wife finally bids goodbye as she misses for the first time. However, the biggest snub here goes to Monica Potter who definitely was so close to the nod, and I’m still sad that she failed to get one. Off to the contenders.

After three seasons, Game of Thrones finally managed to get a supporting actress nod. However, it’s sad that it went to Emilia Clarke, as a.) this is not her best season and b.) she is not the best supporting actress for the last one. The lack of a solid submission speaks so much about her chances this year. Nevertheless, submitting And Now His Watch is Ended is a good choice, since it has her money scene at the end, but for a 58 minute tape, appearing in the last five minutes won’t do you any favors.

Current champ Maggie Smith is back, and despite winning the last two years for the show, she still hasn’t appeared in any of the recent telecasts.  This can push the voters to look for other direction. But then again, it’s Maggie Smith. Maybe they just don’t care enough. After all, her team submitted the first episode of the third season where she has the interactions with Shirley Maclaine. That might be too irresistible for voters to pass up on.

Morena Baccarin closed out the Homeland acting love this year, as she completes the foursome of acting categories for the show. Judging by her episode State of Independence, I think she’s in contention for the win, as this gives her the big speech scene in the end about how a devotes wife she is to her husband. With that said, as much as Homeland can easily sweep this year, this category is the last of all the four acting ones that can win the trophy. I don’t think the Emmys will really show THAT much love to the show itself.

After losing last year for The Other WomanChristina Hendricks is probably just not destined for that Emmy. Maybe it’s the role, maybe it’s the show, but clearly, she’s not the type that voters want to reward. With that said, it’s still good to see her submit her best possible work of the season, and that’s A Tale of Two Cities. She gets the crying drama and confrontational scene in the end. It might be a consolation prize for losing last year, but then again, the show still hasn’t produced any acting win yet for its past five seasons. Who knows?

Anna Gunn is perceived to be the frontrunner this year especially since she has that slam dunk tape with Fifty-One. And boy did she really deliver; however, I’m worried that increasing expectations with her tape can possibly result to a disappointment as it’s not the showy histrionic type of tape that usually ends up winning Emmys. But then again, Breaking Bad is enjoying an immense amount of love for the show, and if they love it more, she might be the next one after co-stars Bryan Cranston and Aaron Paul to clutch an Emmy.

Lastly, despite not having a co-star anymore, Christine Baranski adds another nomination as she’s 4/4 for The Good Wife. I actually am surprised that she still hasn’t won an Emmy yet, hers is the type of role that usually lands instant wins. As for her tape The Seven Day Rule, I think she has other better submissions this year, but I guess she’s going for impact more than screentime, as her episode ends with a confrontational talk to Juliana Margulies’ character. If she can push her veteran status more, then maybe she still has that little chance.

All in all, the huge amount of buzz can bring Anna Gunn to the top with a win this year. After all, she’s still urnewarded, and the show will definitely end up with at least a major win come Emmy night. Of course, it’s still not right to dismiss Maggie Smith at all, as she can sashay this role to a third win with no sweat. I guess I just have to give in to with my personal thoughts, and pick Gunn for the win.

Prediction: Anna Gunn, “Breaking Bad
Runner-Up: Maggie Smith, “Downton Abbey

Full Rankings:
1. Anna Gunn, “Breaking Bad
2. Maggie Smith, “Downton Abbey
3. Morena Baccarin, “Homeland
4. Christina Hendricks, “Mad Men”
5. Christine Baranski, “The Good Wife
6. Emilia Clarke, “Game of Thrones” 

You can see my other Emmy predictions by clicking them here.

Meanwhile, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

If I’m an Emmy Voter…   4 comments

Photo courtesy of emmys.com

Now that I’m done making my predictions for the Emmys tomorrow, I’ll try to fill the shoes of those who were tasked to judge the actual Emmy categories and be in a voter mood just this time. If I happen to vote on all the categories that will be presented tomorrow (plus the four guest acting awards), here’s how my ballot will look like:

DRAMA SERIES: Homeland (Showtime)

Mad Men has four already, and while they indeed had a great season again, I’d rather spread the wealth this year. Downton Abbey and Game of Thrones’s first seasons were better than the second one, I’ll wait for Breaking Bad’s series to end, and I think Homeland just brings the good week in and week out that I don’t see them topping this perfectly balanced first season; thus I’m throwing Homeland my vote.

LEAD ACTOR, DRAMA: Damian Lewis, “Homeland”

This is pretty much a non contest. Both Cranston and Lewis deliver Emmy winning performance. The only difference is Cranston was rewarded thrice already, yet Lewis has none. I’m giving Lewis my vote.

LEAD ACTRESS, DRAMA: Claire Danes, “Homeland”

I’m happy Danes is getting the surge in her career post-Temple Grandin, and that her wonderful acting abilities is put into good use. She might have won just two years ago, but she deserves this quick of a follow up.

SUPPORTING ACTOR, DRAMA: Aaron Paul, “Breaking Bad”

This was tough. Esposito was the villain of the season and he was actually good in Breaking Bad. This is also the last chance to reward Harris for years of consistent performance, but I can’t resist to vote for Aaron Paul who perfectly compliments Bryan Cranston every single time in Breaking Bad.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS, DRAMA: Christina Hendricks, “Mad Men”

It’s really a bull that Mad Men is still Emmyless in terms of acting categories. Holloway owned this season like no other, so I’m giving my vote to her. Christine Baranski is a close second, but I’m totally voting for Miss Holloway.

GUEST ACTOR, DRAMA: Dylan Baker, “The Good Wife”

After watching his episode, he totally gave me Hannibal Lecter creeps. That’s enough to give him my vote.

GUEST ACTRESS, DRAMA: Joan Cusack, “Shameless”

What is she even doing in this category? I think she’s a solid supporting actress in her show. With that said, I’ve loved how she embraced this character perfectly and that tape just rocks on so many level.

WRITING FOR A DRAMA SERIES: Julian Fellowes, “Downton Abbey” (Episode 7)

After Homeland’s The Weekend shoutout here, I’m going with Fellowes Oscar-worthy screenplay for the Christmas episode. This is totally the saving grace of an uneven second season.

DIRECTING FOR A DRAMA SERIES: Vince Gilligan, “Breaking Bad” (Face Off)

From start to finish, the episode is riveting. Simply riveting.

COMEDY SERIES: Modern Family (ABC)

No Louie and Parks and Recreation on the list. I like both Girls and Veep, but I think they still ahsn’t developed the highest points of their series runs. Big Bang was more of a Big Blah this season. 30 Rock has had its shares of a threepeat here. Curb is a hit or miss for me. Easy vote goes to Modern Family.

LEAD ACTOR, COMEDY: Larry David, “Curb Your Enthusiasm”

It’s between Louis CK and Larry David, but the perennial nominee deserves it based on the long pedigree of consistent performance in his show. It’s actually too overdue to happen, but I would’ve voted for him in a heartbeat.

LEAD ACTRESS, COMEDY: Julia Louis Dreyfus, “Veep”

I love you Amy Poehler, and I’m happy you won the Pawnee elections, but the Veep had my vote.

SUPPORTING ACTOR, COMEDY: Jesse Tyler Ferguson, “Modern Family”

By a mile, the only consistent and still refreshing cast member for the third season. He really deserves the Emmy.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS, COMEDY: Kristin Wiig, “Saturday Night Live”

Bleh batch of nominees. Where’s Jane Krakowski? She should have been winning this thing. Srsly. With that, I’ll go for our favorite bridesmaid.

GUEST ACTOR, COMEDY: Jimmy Fallon, “Saturday Night Live”

It’s not even a competition. Fallon owned everybody in his category, and I’m ecstatic he actually won.

GUEST ACTRESS, COMEDY: Maya Rudolph, “Saturday Night Live”

I love you Kathy Bates, and I’m happy you can now call yourself an Emmy winner, but the moment Beyonce did Maya Rudolph is already a win worthy in my book. Distant second is Melissa McCarthy’s dress tasting skit.

WRITING FOR A COMEDY SERIES: Chris McKennan, “Community” (Remedial Chaos Theory)

I’m still over the moon with this nomination, and this only comes once in a blue moon, so why waste your time to not vote for it. This is the best nomination this whole Emmy season.

DIRECTING FOR A COMEDY SERIES: Louis CK, “Louie” (Duckling)

A.K.A a vote for all of his work for the show.

REALITY COMPETITION PROGRAM: The Voice (NBC)

I have three favorite reality/competition shows: The Amazing Race, Top Chef, and The Voice. The first two ahve Emmys on their mantle already. It’s time to add a third companion on the list.

REALITY HOST: Cat Deeley, “So You Think You Can Dance” 

Only Deeley shows enough personality that sets her apart from being just the “instruction giver.” Other hosts should really take notes.

OUTSTANDING MINISERIES/TV MOVIE: Sherlock: A Scandal in Belgravia (PBS)

I really don’t have any vote here. So anything other than American Mess Story is fine by me.

LEAD ACTOR, MINISERIES/TV MOVIE: Benedict Cumberbatch, “Sherlock”

This is the perfect Sherlock performance that’s less mainstream and more convincing. Iron Man, take notes.

LEAD ACTRESS, MINISERIES/TV MOVIE: Nicole Kidman, “Hemingway & Gellhorn”

Say what you want about the quality of the whole TV movie but Kidman stand out front and center in this enriching performance that shows why she’s one of her generation’s top actresses.

SUPPORTING ACTOR, MINISERIES/TV MOVIE: Martin Freeman, “Sherlock”

Meh batch of nominees. Don’t think Harris is the stand out at all, and the others aren’t even close. Give O’Hare some props though.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS, MINISERIES/TV MOVIE: Sarah Paulson, “Game Change”

We all know Lange is winning and she deserves it, but Paulson is the real definition of a supporting actress in Game Change. She gets my vote.

How about you? Who will you be voting for if you were an Emmy voter? I’d love to hear your thoughts. 🙂

ANALYSIS: Emmy Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series 2012   Leave a comment

EPISODE SUBMISSIONS:

• Christine Baranski, “The Good Wife” (Alienation of Affection)
• Joanne Froggatt, “Downton Abbey” (Episode 7: Christmas Episode)
• Anna Gunn, “Breaking Bad” (Cornered)
• Christina Hendricks, “Mad Men” (The Other Woman)
• Archie Panjabi, “The Good Wife” (The Dream Team)
• Maggie Smith, “Downton Abbey” (Episode 1)

Christine Baranski is on her third consecutive nomination and is still Emmyless for this role. What I particularly like about her submission is how vital her character and storyline is on the whole episode. She has a very huge amount of screentime that focuses not only on the case, but on her Diane’s personal struggles as well. This is also her best season on the show, and if The Good Wife fans want to spread the wealth between her and Panjabi, they might opt to go with her this time. First time nominee Joanne Froggatt is an unknown actress in terms of Emmy radar, but after viewing her tape, I’d say she’s every inch in this race considering how much baity her tape is. She gets to have a breakdown scene, trial scenes, and crying moments throughout her whole episode. If the Christmas episode of Downton Abbey is a motion picture, I’d even dare say that she’ll get notices for an Oscar. These are the stuff that awards are made of, and it also helps her that Smith’s tape showcases her as well. The only thing she needs to overcome is her being unknown but Archie Panjabi made it happen two years ago. The other first time nominee, Anna Gunn, finally gets an overdue nomination, but it’s sad that it was not one of her better seasons on the show, and she doesn’t even have the slam dunk tape to submit this year. In her episode, she gets to have a confrontation with husband Walter, and goes on a major decision by the end of the episode. I actually like this tape for her; but I don’t think this showcases her acting talents the most. Now that she’s in the club already, I think they might wait another season before finally rewarding her with that elusive Emmy. After all, she already has a winning tape this season and for next year’s eligibility. One can argue that this is Christina Hendricks‘ best season on the show so far. She gets to have more moments, and we get to know more about Joan as the season progresses. For this year, she submitted “The Other Woman” which is one of the show’s top episodes this season. It was a strong episode altogether and it was a highlight for the main cast… which is also the problem. Hendricks gets to share the episode with both Hamm and Moss (which also submitted these episodes), so she does not get to own this episode as one could hope for. While her moments are certainly effective in here, there are other equally impressive storylines that can drown hers. If voters manage to overcome all of those and focus on Hendricks’ instead, then she might have a chance. 2010 champ Archie Panjabi is also on her third nod for the show, and this year, she submitted the season finale. It involves a mysterious bank check and a cliff hanger confrontation scene in the end. She was not given a lot to do in this episode, though her scenes are memorable, but it can also drown with the other storyline re: The Dream Team. I don’t think Panjabi has what it takes to reap a second win, but everyone also underestimated her during the year when she won her Emmy, so one can not really tell what her chances are. Last year, Dame Maggie Smith already took home an Emmy for this role beating three actresses from Mildred Pierce in the Miniseries/TV movie category. This year, I don’t think it’s as slam dunk as one thinks when it comes to her chances. Her submitted episode (the season opener) does not require her to do much, but it contains her trademark reactionary ice queen conversations. If voters still dig that, then she can win this one in a cakewalk. After all, she’s Dame Maggie Smith. She also has a “second” tape this year via Froggatt’s so that increases her chances, but if viewers focus on tapes this year, I don’t feel she’ll be gaining majority of those number ones.

This category has been the one that provides the upset of the night for the past few years (except Martindale last year), so the person who’s usually ranked last or second to the last wins this race. If viewers based it on season long performance, I’d say expect Hendricks to win it. If they solely based it on name factor, Smith wins it easily. If they want to reward another veteran, then Baranski might be what they’re looking for. But if they focus on tapes, maybe Joanne Froggatt has a chance. I’m actually risking the fact that they’re basing it on the tapes and pushing unknown Froggatt for the win.

Prediction: Joanne Froggatt, “Downton Abbey
Dark Horse: Christine Baranski, “The Good Wife

Complete Rankings:
1. Froggatt
2. Baranski
3. Hendricks
4. Smith
5. Gunn
6. Panjabi