Archive for the ‘Emmy predictions 2015’ Tag

67th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series   Leave a comment

drama guest actressLet’s now move on to the Drama Guest Actress contenders for this year. Last year, Allison Janney easily wins one of her two comeback Emmys for her performance in Masters of Sex. And she’s back in the running again. As a matter of fact, three of the nominated performances from last year are back while two are from the same shows with a different actress nominated. Let’s begin.

The best/worst case of name-checking this year happens to be Emmy winner Margo Martindale, who unfortunately continues to be the only acting performance recognized from The Americans. Her submission this year is the episode titled “I Am Abassin Zadran” where she appeared for only two minutes in the whole tape. Sure, Loretta Devine won for a short tape in 2011, but I do’t think that’s even comparable to this really short reel.

Nominated for her guest turn in Scandal is first time Emmy nominee Khandi Alexander who plays Mama Pope. In her tape “Where the Sun Don’t Shine”, we see Maya being held hostage in a room thinking that Olivia will save her. Alexander appears in only three scenes with one of them being a “tape-worthy” moment when she shut down Olivia. I believe Alexander is being helped by the fact that she also appears in TV Movie Bessie this year because her stronger works in Scandal the previous seasons resulted to Emmy snubs.

When Kate Mara was nominated here last year, it’s basically because of that much-talked about train scene in the second season opener of House of Cards. This year, it’s co-star Rachel Brosnahan getting in for her performance as Rachel Posner. Submitting the season finale episode ” Chapter 39″, the tape showcases a complete story arc for the actress which benefits her a lot because it would appeal to voters who don’t even watch the show regularly.

Dame Diana Rigg receives her third consecutive nomination for playing Olenna Tyrell in Game of Thrones. Her tape this year is the episode “The Gift” where we see the fierce matriarch doing many agreements to save her grandkids. She has some confrontation scenes in this one, though I don’t think it’ll be enough to merit her a victory even if the voters are head over heels with Game of Thrones now.

Aiming for back-to-back wins here is current champ Allison Janney, once again nominated for her work as Margaret Scully in Masters of Sex. This year, she submits the season opener “Parallax”  where she had that scene with onscreen partner Beau Bridges confronting about his sexuality and one where she had to conceal what happened to his character. It’s a pretty lackluster tape as confirmed to her winning one last year because she’s mostly relegated to reacting to Bridges (who’s the star of this episode). She still has a chance to win though had this category lacked a specific frontrunner…

…which it didn’t because Cicely Tyson got in for her role as Ophelia in How to Get Away with Murder. Tyson was also the frontrunner last year for her work in The Trip to Bountiful only to lose in an upset by Jessica Lange, but she’s in the most buzzed about show in the group. In her episode “Mama’s Here Now”, she visits and assists daughter Annalise (Emmy nominee Viola Davis) who’s suffering a personal predicament. In here, Tyson was sassy, funny, dominating, and it’s the perfect tape that gets rewarded with an Emmy. I think it’s one of the most buzzed performances of the season, and one who leads the pack both in buzz and in tapes.

Prediction: Cicely Tyson, “How to Get Away with Murder
Alternate: Rachel Brosnahan, “House of Cards

Full Rankings:
01. Cicely Tyson, “How to Get Away with Murder
02. Rachel Brosnahan, “House of Cards
03. Allison Janney, “Masters of Sex
04. Khandi Alexander, “Scandal
05. Diana Rigg, “Game of Thrones
06. Margo Martindale, “The Americans

Check my other 2015 Emmy prediction analysis here.

For more Emmy talk, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

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67th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series   Leave a comment

comedy guest actress

After doing some of the program predictions, let’s shift to the acting categories this time around considering the Creative Emmy Awards ceremony is just around the corner. We’ll practice ladies first, so let’s do the funny ladies of Guest Actress in a Comedy Series. With no Orange is the New Black eligible this year, it freed up half of the slots from last year, though this year’s lineup is a combination of both old and new names.

Tina Fey has been a stable in this category the last few years, mostly for her hosting stint in Saturday Night Live. This time around, she’s finally nominated for a role in the series (albeit one she created) for her turn in Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt. Her role as the incompetent prosecutor Marcia has been highlighted in her episode “Kimmy Goes to Court!” where we see her character mostly just reacting to the court scenes. This isn’t a bad episode per se, but more of an instant name checking considering the snubbed performances.

Gaby Hoffmann enters this year’s Emmys with a bang easily garnering two acting nominations in the comedy genre. One is for her role in the Comedy Series nominee Transparent, but her nomination here is for her role as Caroline Sackler. Submitting the season finale “Home Birth”, the title refers around Hoffmann’s character episode. When Caroline goes a month earlier into her labor, we see her scream in pain. It’s a pretty loud and showy performance — literally — considering that Hoffmann was nude in all scenes but one. Birth episodes have worked well in the past (once, even an easy way to win an Emmy), so the trend could continue with Hoffman.

Previously nominated for this role already, Emmy winner Christine Baranski got another nod for her role as Leonard’s mother, Dr. Beverly Hofstadfer. In her submitted episode “The Maternal Combustion”, she visits her son though this time we’ve seen her clashing with Sheldon’s religious mother. While this role has brought Baranski two previous nominations already, she has yet to win for this one. She’s lucky though that co-star Laurie Metcalfe was snubbed since it’s hard to play the straight role against the showy ones (which hurts her chances), but maybe her overdue factor can help her with the Emmy win.

While Pamela Adlon has an Emmy under her name, it’s her first time to be recognized for her acting in Louie. In her episode “Bobby’s House”, her character, bearing the same name as her, went into a cross dressing adventure with Louie leading to a sex scene until she addressed the state of their relationship. The performance ended on a dramatic note, but the general feel of the episode paints her as an aggressive sexual woman which, not surprisingly, can garner her more votes.

In the five seasons that it has been on air, Modern Family has guested big stars from Tyne Daly to Minnie Driver and Ellen Barkin to Carol Burnett. But none of them managed to receive a nod for their work on the show. History was rewritten this year when Elizabeth Banks finally got Modern Family its first Guest Actress nomination. As the couple Cam and Mitchell’s friend Sal, we see another side of Banks’ character be more responsible than the usual in her submission “Fight or Flight.” However, she’s really lacking on the screentime in this episode only appearing in the early minutes only to come back and wrap up her storyline in the last few. I think the success of Pitch Perfect 2 paved the way for this nomination, and add the fact that Banks is well liked in the community. But I don’t think a path to win is that clear.

Lastly, for her role as Sheila Jackson, Joan Cusack receives her fifth consecutive nomination (and her second in the Comedy field). In her episode this year, the season opener “Milk of the Gods”, we find Sheila finally living with now husband Frank. However, her attention is focused on Sammi and Chuckie. Her highlighted scene in this episode is her discovery that they had sex in the living room and picking up the dildo below the sofa. Cusack has loss for far better episodes before, but then again, there isn’t anyone close to a real frontrunner here so that might work in her favor.

The only ones I don’t see winning here are Tina Fey and Elizabeth Banks. Both Joan Cusack and Christine Baranski might end up with the trophy if we’re talking about overdue in terms of nominated performances. However, I’m leaning to the two bolder performances – that of a crossdressing Pamela Adlon and a nude Gaby Hoffmann to dominate. While I won’t be surprised to see Adlon take the plum, Hoffmann’s one two punch of nominations this year is an indication of support that can lead to the win.

Prediction: Gaby Hoffmann, “Girls
Alternate: Pamela Adlon, “Louie

Full Rankings:
01. Gaby Hoffmann, “Girls
02. Pamela Adlon, “Louie
03. Joan Cusack, “Shameless”
04. Christine Baranski, “The Big Bang Theory”
05. Elizabeth Banks, “Modern Family
06. Tina Fey, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”

Check my other 2015 Emmy prediction analysis.

For more Emmy talk, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

67th Primetime Emmy Awards Nomination Predictions: June 2015   Leave a comment

Hi everyone! In less than a month, John Stamos and Uzo Aduba will be announcing the nominees for this year’s Primetime Emmy Awards. The long list of eligible shows and performances is finally out, so this clears up some placements and submissions from the contenders. This will be the second to the last batch of predictions I’ll be doing because the next one would be the final group of nominee predictions which will be available to the week leading to the announcement. Anyway, let’s get the ball rolling, as I also included guest acting categories, as well as writing, directing, and reality/variety.

drama series

DRAMA SERIES:
1. Mad Men
2. Game of Thrones
3. House of Cards
4. Orange is the New Black
5. Empire
6. Downton Abbey
7. Better Call Saul

Next in line:
8. Homeland
9. Justified
10. The Americans

drama actor

LEAD ACTOR, DRAMA
1. Jon Hamm, “Mad Men”
2. Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards”
3. Jeff Daniels, “The Newsroom”
4. Bob Odenkirk, “Better Call Saul”
5. Hugh Bonneville, “Downton Abbey”
6. Terrence Howard, “Empire”

Next in line:
7. Kyle Chandler, “Bloodline”
8. Steve Buscemi, “Boardwalk Empire”
9. Clive Owen, “The Knick”
10. Michael Sheen, “Masters of Sex”

drama actress

LEAD ACTRESS, DRAMA
1. Viola Davis, “How to Get Away with Murder”
2. Taraji Henson, “Empire”
3. Robin Wright, “House of Cards”
4. Claire Danes, “Homeland”
5. Julianna Margulies, “The Good Wife”
6. Michelle Dockery, “Downton Abbey”

Next in line:
7. Elisabeth Moss, “Mad Men”
8. Kerry Washington, “Scandal”
9. Lizzy Caplan, “Masters of Sex”
10. Taylor Schilling, “Orange is the New Black”

drama supp actor

SUPPORTING ACTOR, DRAMA
1. Peter Dinklage, “Game of Thrones”
2. Jonathan Banks, “Better Call Saul”
3. Mandy Patinkin, “Homeland”
4. Jim Carter, “Downton Abbey”
5. Jon Voight, “Ray Donovan”
6. Ben Mendehlson, “Bloodline”

Next in line:
7. Kit Harrington, “Game of Thrones”
8. John Slattery, “Mad Men”
9. Michael Kelly, “House of Cards”
10. Alan Cumming, “The Good Wife”

drama supp actress

SUPPORTING ACTRESS, DRAMA
1. Maggie Smith, “Downton Abbey”
2. Uzo Aduba, “Orange is the New Black”
3. Lena Headey, “Game of Thrones”
4. Christina Hendricks, “Mad Men”
5. Christine Baranski, “The Good Wife”
6. Lorraine Toussant, “Orange is the New Black”

Next in line:
7. Sissy Spacek, “Bloodline”
8. Carrie Coon, “The Leftovers”
9. Joanne Froggatt, “Downton Abbey”
10. Kate Mulgrew, “Orange is the New Black”

drama guest actor

GUEST ACTOR, DRAMA
1. Beau Bridges, “Masters of Sex”
2. Dylan Baker, “The Good Wife”
3. F. Murray Abraham, “Homeland”
4. Sam Shepard, “Bloodline”
5. Michael J. Fox, “The Good Wife”
6. Courtney B. Vance, “Scandal”

Next in line:
7. Robert Morse, “Mad Men”
8. David Hyde Pierce, “The Good Wife”
9. Pablo Schreiber, “Orange is the New Black”
10. Ed Asner, “The Good Wife”

drama guest actress

GUEST ACTRESS, DRAMA
1. Cicely Tyson, “How to Get Away with Murder”
2. Allison Janney, “Masters of Sex”
3. Diana Rigg, “Game of Thrones”
4. Carrie Preston, “The Good Wife”
5. Kate Burton, “Scandal”
6. Margo Martindale, “The Americans”

Next in line:
7. Patricia Arquette, “Boardwalk Empire”
8. Laura Prepon, “Orange is the New Black”
9. Marcia Gay Harden, “How to Get Away with Murder”
10. Ann-Margret, “Ray Donovan”

drama directing

DIRECTING IN A DRAMA SERIES
1. Boardwalk Empire, “Eldorado”
2. Game of Thrones, “Hardhome”
3. Empire, “Pilot”
4. Better Call Saul, “Uno”
5. Orange is the New Black, “Thirsty Bird”

Next in line:
6. Mad Men, “Person to Person”
7. Downton Abbey, “Episode 9”
8. The Knick, “Pilot”
9. House of Cards, “Chapter 39”
10. Homeland, “The Drone Queen”

drama writing

WRITING IN A DRAMA SERIES:
1. Mad Men, “Person to Person”
2. Game of Thrones, “Mother’s Mercy”
3. Downton Abbey, “Episode 8”
4. Better Call Saul, “Uno”
5. Empire, “Pilot”

Next in line:
6. Orange is the New Black, “We Have Manners, We’re Polite”
7. The Affair, “Pilot”
8. House of Cards, “Chapter 39”
9. The Americans, “Stingers”
10. Mad Men, “The Forecast”

comedy series

COMEDY SERIES:
1. Modern Family
2. Veep
3. Transparent
4. Silicon Valley
5. Louie
6. The Big Bang Theory
7. Episodes

Next in line:
8. Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
9. Parks and Recreation
10. Grace and Frankie

comedy actor

LEAD ACTOR, COMEDY
1. Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory”
2. Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent”
3. Louis C.K., “Louie”
4. William H. Macy, “Shameless”
5. Matt Leblanc, “Episodes”
6. Don Cheadle, “House of Lies”

Next in line:
7. Thomas Middleditch, “Silicon Valley”
8. Will Forte, “The Last Man on Earth”
9. Billy Crystal, “The Comedians”
10. Andy Samberg, “Brooklyn Nine-Nine”

comedy actress

LEAD ACTRESS, COMEDY
1. Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
2. Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie”
3. Amy Poehler, “Parks and Recreation”
4. Ellie Kemper, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
5. Lily Tomlin, “Grace and Frankie”
6. Lisa Kudrow, “The Comeback”

Next in line:
7. Amy Schumer, “Inside Amy Schumer”
8. Jane Fonda, “Grace and Frankie”
9. Jane Rodriguez, “Jane the Virgin”
10. Melissa McCarthy, “Mike and Molly”

comedy supp actor

SUPPORTING ACTOR, COMEDY
1. Ty Burrell, “Modern Family”
2. Tony Hale, “Veep”
3. Jesse Tyler Ferguson, “Modern Family”
4. Hugh Laurie, “Veep”
5. Andre Braugher, “Brooklyn Nine Nine”
6. Fred Armisen, “Portlandia”

Next in line:
7. Tituss Burgess, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
8. TJ Miller, “Silicon Valley”
9. Chris Pratt, “Parks and Recreation”
10. Laurence Fishburne, “Black-ish”

comedy supp actress

SUPPORTING ACTRESS, COMEDY
1. Allison Janney, “Mad Men”
2. Julie Bowen, “Modern Family”
3. Anna Chlumsky, “Veep”
4. Kate McKinnon, “Saturday Night Live”
5. Jane Krakowski, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
6. Judith Light, “Transparent”

Next in line:
7. Mayim Bialik, “The Big Bang Theory”
8. Sofia Vergara, “Modern Family”
9. Merritt Wever, “Nurse Jackie”
10. Carrie Brownstein, “Portlandia”

comedy guest actor

GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
1. Louis C.K., “Saturday Night Live”
2. Bill Hader, “Saturday Night Live”
3. Jon Hamm, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
4. Steve Buscemi, “Portlandia”
5. Bradley Whitford, “Transparent”
6. Nathan Lane, “Modern Family”

Next in line:
7. Martin Short, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
8. Billy Bob Thornton, “The Big Bang Theory”
9. Josh Charles, “Inside Amy Schumer”
10. Mel Brooks, “The Comedians”

comedy guest actress

GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
1. Joan Cusack, “Shameless”
2. Tina Fey, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
3. Christine Baranski, “The Big Bang Theory”
4. Rita Moreno, “Jane the Virgin”
5. Kathy Bates, “Mike and Molly”
6. Elizabeth Banks, “Modern Family”

Next in line:
7. Tyne Daly, “Modern Family”
8. Octavia Spencer, “Mom”
9. Carol Burnett, “Glee”
10. Kyra Sedgwick, “Brooklyn Nine Nine”

comedy directing

DIRECTING IN A COMEDY SERIES:
1. Modern Family, “Connection Lost”
2. Louie, “Sleepover”
3. Glee, “2009”
4. Veep, “Testimony”
5. Silicon Valley, “Two Days of the Condor”

Next in line:
6. Transparent, “Best New Girl”
7. Modern Family, “Won’t You Be Our Neighbor”
8. Parks and Recreation, “One Last Ride”
9. Episodes, “409”
10. Grace and Frankie, “The End”

comedy writing

WRITING IN A COMEDY SERIES
1. Louie, “Bobby’s House”
2. Veep, “Election Night”
3. Episodes, “409”
4. Transparent, “Pilot”
5. Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt, “Kimmy Goes Outside”

Next in line:
6. Silicon Valley, “Two Days of Condor”
7. Parks and Recreation, “One Last Ride”
8. Modern Family, “Connection Lost”
9. Community, “Emotional Consequences of Broadcast Television”
10. Jane the Virgin, “Chapter One”

limited series

LIMITED SERIES
1. Olive Kitteridge
2. The Honorable Woman
3. American Horror Story: Freak Show
4. American Crime
5. Wolf Hall

Next in Line:
6. 24: Live Another Day
7. Texas Rising
8. The Casual Vacancy
9. Houdini
10. The Secret Life of Marilyn Monroe

tv movie

TV MOVIE:
1. Bessie
2. Nightengale
3. Derek: The Final Chapter
4. Killing Jesus
5. Worricker

Next in line:
6. A Poet In New York
7. Grace of Monaco
8. Stockholm, Pennsylvania
9. Curtain: Poirot’s Last Case
10. Foyle’s War

longform actor

LEAD ACTOR, TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES
1. Richard Jenkins, “Olive Kitteridge”
2. David Oyelowo, “Nightengale”
3. Ricky Gervais, “Derek: The Final Chapter”
4. Adrien Brody, “Houdini”
5. Mark Rylance, “Wolf Hall”
6. Kiefer Sutherland, “24: Live Another Day”

Next in line:
7. Timothy Hutton, “American Crime”
8. Bill Paxton, “Texas Rising”
9. Bill Nighy, “Worricker”
10. James Corden, “The Wrong Mans”

longform actress

LEAD ACTRESS, TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES
1. Frances McDormand, “Olive Kitteridge”
2. Maggie Gyllenhaal, “The Honorable Woman”
3. Queen Latifah, “Bessie”
4. Jessica Lange, “American Horror Story: Freak Show”
5. Felicity Huffman, “American Crime”
6. Nicole Kidman, “Grace of Monaco”

Next in line:
7. Frances O’Connor, “The Missing”
8. Helena Bonham Carter, “Worricker”
9. Anna Gunn, “Gracepoint”
10. Kelli Garner, “The Secret Life of Marilyn Monroe”

longform supp actor

SUPPORTING ACTOR, TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES
1. Bill Murray, “Olive Kitteridge”
2. Stephen Rea, “The Honorable Woman”
3. Jonathan Pryce, “Wolf Hall”
4. Michael Chiklis, “American Horror Story: Freak Show”
5. Ralph Fiennes, “Worricker”
6. Michael Kenneth Williams, “Bessie”

Next in line:
7. Damian Lewis, “Wolf Hall”
8. Frank Langella, “Grace of Monaco”
9. Oliver Martinez, “Texas Rising”
10. Tim Roth, “Grace of Monaco”

longform supp actress

SUPPORTING ACTRESS, TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES
1. Sarah Paulson, “American Horror Story: Freak Show”
2. Mo’nique, “Bessie”
3. Kathy Bates, “American Horror Story: Freak Show”
4. Janet McTeer, “The Honorable Woman”
5. Susan Sarandon, “The Secret Life of Marilyn Monroe”
6. Judy Davis, “Worricker”

Next in line:
7. Regina King, “American Crime”
8. Khandi Alexander, “Bessie”
9. Angela Bassett, “American Horror Story: Freak Show”
10. Zoe Kazan, “Olive Kitteridge”

longform writing

WRITING IN A TV MOVIE/MINISERIES
1. Olive Kitteridge
2. Bessie
3. The Honorable Woman
4. Derek: The Final Chapter
5. Wolf Hall
6. Nightingale

Next in line:
7. American Horror Story: Freak Show, “Monsters Among Us”
8. American Crime: Episode One
9. Killing Jesus
10. Texas Rising, Night 1

longform directing

DIRECTING IN A TV MOVIE/MINISERIES
1. Olive Kitteridge
2. The Honorable Woman
3. Bessie
4. Nightengale
5. Wolf Hall
6. 24: Live Another Day

Next in line:
7. American Horror Story: Freak Show, “Monsters Among Us”
8. Derek: The Final Chapter
9. The Casual Vacancy
10. American Crime, “Episode One”

reality comp

REALITY SHOW/COMPETITION:
1. The Amazing Race
2. The Voice
3. Top Chef
4. Dancing with the Stars
5. Project Runway
6. So You Think You Can Dance

Next in line:
7. Rupaul’s Drag Race
8. Hollywood Game Night
9. Survivor
10. American Idol

reality comp host

REALITY SHOW/COMPETITION HOST:
1. Jane Lynch, “Hollywood Game Night”
2. Anthony Bourdain, “The Taste”
3. Heidi Klum, Tim Gunn, “Project Runway”
4. Cat Deeley, “So You Think You Can Dance”
5. Tom Bergeron, “Dancing with the Stars”
6. Phil Keoghan, “The Amazing Race”

Next in line:
7. Rupaul Charles, “Rupaul’s Drag Race”
8. Carson Daly, “The Voice”
9. Padma Lakshmi, Tom Colicchio, “Top Chef”
10. Jeff Probst, “Survivor”

variety talk

VARIETY TALK SERIES:
1. The Colbert Report
2. The Daily Show with Jon Stewart
3. Late Show with David Letterman
4. The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon
5. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver
6. Real Time with Bill Maher

Next in line:
7. Jimmy Kimmel Live!
8. Late Late Show with James Corden

Talk to me about it by tweeting me: @nikowl