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69th Primetime Emmy Awards Nominations Predictions Part 3: Comedy   Leave a comment

It’s still Emmys 2017 week here at Tit for Tat! The last two days we’ve discussed both Reality and Variety as well as the TV Movie and Limited Series categories. It’s time to move to the funniest shows of the season: the Comedy genre!

01

OUTSTANDING DIRECTING IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Atlanta, “B.A.N” (Donald Glover)
• I Love Dick, “A Short History of Weird Girls” (Jill Solloway)
• Master of None, “The Thief” (Aziz Ansari)
• Silicon Valley, “Server Error” (Mike Judge)
• Veep, “Groundbreaking” (David Mandel)
• Veep, “Justice” (Dale Stern)

Seventh nominee: Dear White People, “Chapter V” (Barry Jenkins)

It’s noteworthy to mention that Transparent has won this category the last two years, thanks to Jill Solloway, but this year she opted to submit for that and went for I Love Dick instead. I’m really not sure if the risk will pay off for her, but I think she has enough supporters to get her a third bid for the win. Silicon Valley and Veep are likely to get nominated again, and like last year, I’m going with multiple nods for the current Best Comedy Series champ. I’m certain that Master of None will also get nominated, the question though is for which episode? The Thief seems likeliest to get in here in this category. For that last spot, I can see another episode of Master of None getting in or Oscar winner Barry Jenkins for his episode in Dear White People. That said, I’m counting on Donald Glover’s directed Atlanta episode to snag a nom here.

02

OUTSTANDING WRITING IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Atlanta, “B.A.N” (Donald Glover)
• Catastrophe, “Episode 5” (Rob Delaney & Sharon Horgan)
• Fleabag, “Episode 1” (Phoebe Waller-Bridge)
• Master of None, “Thanksgiving” (Aziz Ansari & Lena Waithe)
• Silicon Valley, “Success Failure” (Alec Berg)
• Veep, “Groundbreaking” (David Mandel)

Seventh nominee: Better Things, “Woman is the Something of the Something” (Pamela Adlon & Louis CK)

The writers branch usually is a breath of fresh air and the least likely to join usual consensus when it comes to nominating shows. This category has given nods to shows like Sports Night, Freaks and Geeks, Community, and Catastrophe. This year, I think the recipient of that slot per se, is writer/actor Phoebe Waller-Bridge for the pilot of Fleabag. I’m sensing a bit of an Episodes vibe from Catastrophe after its surprise nod here last year, and with only one episode submitted, I think it’s in. Then there are the usual suspects: Veep, Silicon Valley, and Master of None.  I’m currently predicting that Atlanta will both get in Writing and Directing, but don’t be shocked if the tandem of Pamela Adlon & Louis CK will push Better Things to a nod.

03

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Becky Ann Baker, “Girls”
• Angela Bassett, “Master of None”
• Carrie Fisher, “Catastrophe”
• Melissa McCarthy, “Saturday Night Live”
• Laurie Metcalfe, “The Big Bang Theory”
• Kristen Wiig, “Saturday Night Live”

Seventh nominee: Maya Rudolph, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”

I think there are two surefire contenders here with regular mainstay in this category, Melissa McCarthy for hosting yet another season of Saturday Night Live. I also think Carrie Fisher will net a posthumous nod for Catastrophe and might even contend for a win once nominated. Kristen Wiig has two shows in contention and while it’s her Last Man on Earth that gets more critical acclaim, her SNL hosting is an easy namecheck here. I’m not sure if voters are totally *over* the Big Bang Theory to drop both Christine Baranski and Laurie Metcalfe, so I’m retaining the latter here especially since Emmys tend to love nominating her. Angela Bassett is the standout guest actress mentioned from Master of None, and she’s a multiple Emmy nominee who checks a lot of boxes in terms of pedigree, show stature, and performance so I’m currently predicting her. Last slot is tricky. It can go to either Maya Rudolph in an too out there performance in Kimmy Schmidt, but I’m probably in wishful thinking mode so I’m going with Becky Ann Baker for Girls.

04

OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Dave Chapelle, “Saturday Night Live”
• Tom Hanks, “Saturday Night Live”
• Hugh Laurie, “Veep”
• Peter MacNicol, “Veep”
• Lin-Manuel Miranda, “Saturday Night Live”
• Peter Scolari, “Girls”

Seventh nominee: Jon Hamm, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”

With his surprise win last year, I think Peter Scolari will be an easy inclusion this time around inspite of getting a more limited screentime as compared to his winning season. I’m not sure if Girls is strong enough to net multiple nods so I’m ruling both Riz Ahmed and Matthew Rhys out here. Meanwhile, two shows who are strong enough to get multiple nods are current Best Comedy Series winner Veep with Peter MacNicol and Hugh Laurie, as well as the trio of Saturday Night Live hosts: Dave Chapelle, Tom Hanks, and Lin-Manuel Miranda. I’m most cautious about the last one, but he seems to be an it guy who has been nominated at the Oscars and Tonys so he’s literally everywhere the last two years or so.

05

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Anna Chlumsky, “Veep”
• Gaby Hoffmann, “Transparent”
• Judith Light, “Transparent”
• Kate McKinnon, “Saturday Night Live”
• Rita Moreno, “One Day at a Time”
• Allison Williams, “Girls”

Seventh nominee: Kathryn Hahn, “Transparent”

With Allison Janney moving in Lead, this opens up a slot here as well as Niecy Nash leaving with Getting On ineligible this time around. First up, let’s discuss the mainstays: Chlumsky, current winner McKinnon, and Judith Light of Transparent. I wonder if Kathryn Hahn and her good will can overcome possible perennial nominee Gaby Hoffmann but I’ll stay safe and predict the latter. It’s literally been decades since Rita Moreno last got nominated for an Emmy and she was snubbed after being widely predicted for Jane the Virgin, but I see Netflix factor working its charm to net her a welcome back nod. I don’t know what to make of Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt but I feel it’s on a decline in terms of Emmy nods, so I’m not feeling Jane Krakowski this year. Instead, I’m putting Girls’ Allison Williams to snatch an Emmy nod due to the Get Out lovefest and a way to honor and nominate the finale season of Girls.

06

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Alec Baldwin, “Saturday Night Live”
• Tituss Burgess, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
• Ty Burrell, “Modern Family”
• Tony Hale, “Veep”
• Timothy Simons, “Veep”
• Matt Walsh, “Veep”

Seventh nominee: Louie Anderson, “Baskets”

Does it make sense when I say that Alec Baldwin getting in or missing out are both feasible scenario? Baldwin donning Trump is an easy scenario of Hollywood making a statement, but then again Baldwin donning Trump is too easy a scenario to give this multiple Emmy winner another nod. I’m still thinking that Burgess still has at least an Emmy nod in him despite UKS’ decline in buzz. Ty Burrell seems to me is that someone who’ll likely be nominated as long as the show is still on air despite losing all buzz already, so I’m still keeping him in. For a show that is not as praised or acclaimed as the previous ones, we have to keep in mind that Veep is still a 2x winner for the top Emmy plum and it really has a huge recall among voters. Thus, I’m predicting Timothy Simons to join both Tony Hale and Matt Walsh as nominees here…which also means I’m predicting current winner Louie Anderson to miss out. There’s a huge chance he’ll really get in again, but we all had stranger winner to snubee scenarios before (Eric Stonestreet, Julianna Margulies etc), and he seems to fit the bill.

07

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Allison Janney, “Mom”
• Ellie Kemper, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
• Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
• Tracee Ellis Ross, “black-ish”
• Lily Tomlin, “Grace and Frankie”
• Phoebe Waller-Bridge, “Fleabag”

Seventh nominee: Issa Rae, “Insecure”

With Allison Janney moving in Lead, I think she’ll still get in as it’s the same trajectory she had with her The West Wing fate, only that was for a show that’s really loved by the Emmys. of course at this stage, suffice to say, Queen JLD is in and is probably in the hunt for the record breaking sixth consecutive win. Golden Globe winner Tracee Ellis Ross is likely to garner another nomination too this year. I’m still predicting both Ellie Kemper and Lily Tomlin, even if that means I’m more confident in the latter and can see a scenario of the former missing. The last spot seems open for a passion contender, and while I’m torn if it’s Issa Rae or Phoebe Waller-Bridge (maybe both get in and Kemper misses out in the end), I went with the latter.

08

OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES:
• Anthony Anderson, “black-ish”
• Aziz Ansari, “Master of None”
• Donald Glover, “Atlanta”
• William H. Macy, “Shameless”
• Thomas Middleditch, “Silicon Valley”
• Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent”

Seventh nominee: Will Forte, “The Last Man on Earth”

All six men nominated last year are likely to get in again, but Golden Globe winning Donald Glover (and his show Atlanta) is too buzzy a contender to be snubbed. That means leaving out the weakest contender from the group — Will Forte.

09

OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES:
• Atlanta (FX)
• black-ish (ABC)
• Master of None (Netflix)
• Silicon Valley (HBO)
• Transparent (Amazon)
• Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Netflix)
• Veep (HBO)

Eighth nominee: Modern Family (ABC)

With Atlanta getting really huge buzz and acclaim, it’s path to a series nomination is really likely. I’m torn on who leaves then: is it Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt who’s on a decline buzz-wise? Is it former 5x champ Modern Family especially in the presence of co-ABC sitcom black-ish? Is it Transparent which has been the receiving end of “but it’s not a comedy claim?” I went with Modern Family out only because it seems old news by now.

To complete the predictions, it’s time for the drama category tomorrow!

Let’s discuss on Twitter: @nikowl

Posted July 11, 2017 by Nicol Latayan in Awards, TV

Tagged with , , ,

Final 65th Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions   Leave a comment

Photo courtesy of ontheredcarpet.com

Now that everything has been said and done, it’s time to recap all the predictions for Sunday’s Primetime Emmy Awards. Here are my complete predictions (and alternates) in 28 categories:

Note: You can click the category and it will lead to my comprehensive analysis of it. 🙂

Drama Series: Homeland (Showtime)
Alternate: Breaking Bad (AMC)

Lead Actor, Drama Series: Damian Lewis, Homeland 
Alternate: Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad

Lead Actress, Drama Series: Claire Danes, Homeland 
Alternate: Vera Farmiga, Bates Motel

Supporting Actor, Drama Series: Bobby Cannavale, Boardwalk Empire
Alternate: Mandy Patinkin, Homeland

Supporting Actress, Drama Series: Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad
Alternate: Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey

Guest Actor, Drama Series: Rupert Friend, Homeland
Alternate: Dan Bucatinsky, Scandal (ACTUAL WINNER)

Guest Actress, Drama Series: Jane Fonda, The Newsroom
Alternate: Carrie Preston, The Good Wife (ACTUAL WINNER)

Writing, Drama Series: Homeland, Q&A
Alternate: Game of Thrones, Rains of Castamere

Directing, Drama Series: House of Cards, Episode 1
Alternate: Breaking Bad, Gliding Over All

Comedy Series: Modern Family(ABC)
Alternate: 30 Rock (NBC)

Lead Actor, Comedy Series: Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Alternate: Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

Lead Actress, Comedy Series: Julia Louis Dreyfus, Veep
Alternate: Laura Dern, Enlightened

Supporting Actor, Comedy Series: Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Alternate: Ed O’Neill, Modern Family

Supporting Actress, Comedy Series: Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Alternate: Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock

Guest Actor, Comedy Series: Bob Newhart, The Big Bang Theory (ACTUAL WINNER)
Alternate: Louis CK, Saturday Night Live

Guest Actress, Comedy Series: Elaine Stritch, 30 Rock
Alternate: Melissa McCarthy, Saturday Night Live

Writing, Comedy Series: 30 Rock Last Lunch
Alternate: Louie, Daddy’s Girlfriend

Directing, Comedy Series: Modern Family, Arrested
Alternate: Louie, New Year’s Eve

Movie/TV Minsieries: Behind the Candelabra(HBO)
Alternate: Top of the Lake (Sundance Channel)

Lead Actor, Movie or Miniseries: Michael Douglas, Behind the Candelabra
Alternate: Matt Damon, Behind the Candelabra

Lead Actress, Movie or Miniseries: Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Asylum
Alternate: Elisabeth Moss, Top of the Lake

Supporting Actor, Movie or Miniseries: Scott Bakula, Behind the Candelabra
Alternate: Zachary Quinto, American Horror Story: Asylum

Supporting Actress, Movie or Miniseries: Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story: Asylum
Alternate: Alfre Woodard, Steel Magnolias

Writing, Movie or Miniseries: Top of the Lake
Alternate: Behind the Candelabra

Directing, Movie or Miniseries: Steven Soderbergh, Behind the Candelabra
Alternate: Jane Campion, Top of the Lake

Reality/Competition Series: The Amazing Race
Alternate: The Voice

Variety Series: Daily Show with Jon Stewart
Alternate: Jimmy Kimmel Live

There you have it! What are you predicting on Emmy night? Any shows you are rooting for? Have a happy Emmy ceremony everyone!

Also, I’ll be live tweeting the Emmys, so if you’d like to be updated, you can follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

65th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series   Leave a comment

actor comedy

PAST PREDICTIONS:

2005: Jason Bateman, “Arrested Development[WRONG]
2006:
Steve Carell, “The OfficeWRONG]
2007:
Steve Carell, “The Office[WRONG]
2008:
Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock” [CORRECT]
2009:
Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock[CORRECT]
2010:
Larry David, “Curb Your Enthusiasm[WRONG]
2011:
Steve Carell, “The Office” [WRONG]
2012: Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory” [WRONG]

Now it’s time to dissect the last acting category of the year, and at the forefront are the six funny men of comedy. This is a fairly weak category, though I love the inclusions of Jason Bateman who managed to get in despite the lacking presence of Arrested Development this season and Matt LeBlanc since I’m a big Friends fanboy, and I love seeing them rewarded for anything post-show. Sadly though, there’s not enough space left for New Girl‘s Jake Johnson who was lauded for his career best work last season. Anyway, ;et’s go to the nominees.

Alec Baldwin is in for the last time for his stint in 30 Rock. After winning in 2008 and 2009, he stopped submitting competitive episode (at times because he want co-nominees to win or maybe he stopped bothering at all). The same can be said for his submission this year A Goon’s Deed in a Weary World, where in he’s in the B storyline of the episode. With that said, Baldwin is still a force of a name in television and he’s the only person who won seven straight years at the SAGs. So that might account to something.

Oscar nominee Don Cheadle receives a second consecutive nod for House of Lies. Truth be told, I’m not the biggest fan of the show, as its humor simply doesn’t stick with me. However, I have to give him credit for coming up with a submission that at least made me chuckled. It’s a vast improvement from his submission last year. I’d still put him dead last though and stick by the idea that he just got in for his movie star status.

Surviving the Arrested Development snub is lead star Jason Bateman. Bateman benefits from the character-centric nature of the season, as he shines with the most screentime in this category. As for his submission Flight of the Phoenix, I think it did not do him any favors that his Michael is far from the typical Michael that we’ve seen from the past season. In this one, he’s clingy, desperate and unlikable which does not work well in his favor.

Aside from Alec Baldwin, Jim Parsons  is also gunning for his third Emmy win in this category. But unlike Jack Donaghy, Parsons clearly knows what to submit. He went for a throwback drunk episode which puts him the win n this category in 2010 for The Pants Alternative. By submitting The Habitation Configuration, that makes him an easy frontrunner in this category.

Matt LeBlanc is in a different situation altogether. Despite gaining no buzz for the show, they still manage to reap nods for writing and acting the same way they did two years ago. That says something with how popular the show is towards the people that matter (the nominating and voting people).  In his submission, he was in a conflicted situation as he force to give his agent a car, until the secret behind his act was revealed. LeBlanc played this role well, and I think it’s unwise to underestimate him.

And then there’s Louis CK. As each year passes, the love for his show Louie increases. Just for this year alone, he collected a total of nine nominations. With that said, I don’t know how big of a hard on the Emmys has on him since the nature of his show has a history of not winning for acting. If another Emmy favorite Larry David can’t snatch one for Curb Your Enthusiasm, then I’m adamant that they’ll lean to Louis CK’s performance. I really can’t think of a solid way to describe his chances.

I guess in the end it’s a battle of the first one to enter the three time category winners. On one hand, there’s Alec Baldwin who’s on his last shot to do so. I don’t think Baldwin can be stopped by a weak submission especially since this is their last shot to reward him. However, Jim Parsons is enjoying an all time high of critical and commercial love for the show. If anything, he can be the token recognition of Emmys acknowledging the show. But then again, I’m pretty sure 30 Rock is bound to win something, and since it did not happen with Stritch, and I’m thisclose to moving Louis CK as my winner in Writing, then this category makes sense. I go back and forth with the two, but I guess I’d go with Baldwin.

Prediction: Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock
Runner-Up: Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory

Full Rankings:
1. Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock
2. Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory
3. Louis CK, “Louie
4. Matt LeBlanc, “Episodes”
5. Jason Bateman, “Arrested Development
6. Don Cheadle, “Louie

You can see my other Emmy predictions here.

Meanwhile, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

65th Primetime Emmy Awards Nomination Predictions: May 2013   4 comments

Now that most eligible shows already wrapped up their respective seasons, it’s fitting to start the monthly predictions once again. This time, I added five more categories and covered the miniseries/TV movie as well. What do you think? Enjoy!

drama series

actor drama

actress drama

supp actor drama

supp actress drama

comedy series

actor comedy

actress comedy

supp actor comedy

supp actress comedy

tv movie miniseries

actor tv movie mini

actress tv movie mini

supp actor tv movie mini

supp actress tv movie mini

Any reactions? Pipe them in at the comments below. :-)

And as always, you can follow me on Twitter: @nikowl