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Final 67th Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions   2 comments

emmy predictions 2015

Drama Series: Game of Thrones (alternate: Mad Men)
Drama Lead Actor: Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards” (alternate: Jon Hamm, “Mad Men”
Drama Lead Actress: Viola Davis, “How to Get Away with Murder” (alternate: Taraji P. Henson, “Empire”)
Drama Supporting Actor: Jonathan Banks, “Better Call Saul” (alternate: Ben Mendelsohn, “Bloodline)
Drama Supporting Actress: Lena Headey, “Game of Thrones” (alternate: Uzo Aduba, “Orange is the New Black)
Drama Directing: Game of Thrones, “Mother’s Mercy” (alternate: Homeland, “From A to B and Back Again”)
Drama Writing: Mad Men, “Person to Person” (alternate: Game of Thrones, “Mother’s Mercy”)

Comedy Series: Veep (alternate: Modern Family)
Comedy Lead Actor: Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent” (alternate: Will Forte, “The Last Man on Earth”)
Comedy Lead Actress: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep” (alternate: Amy Schumer, “Inside Amy Schumer”)
Comedy Supporting Actor: Tituss Burgess, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” (alternate: Ty Burrell, “Modern Family”)
Comedy Supporting Actress: Allison Janney, “Mom” (alternate: Anna Chlumsky, “Veep”)
Comedy Directing: The Last Man on Earth, “Alive in Tucson” (alternate: Veep, “Testimony”)
Comedy Writing: Veep, “Election Night” (alternate: Transparent, “Pilot”)

Limited Series: Olive Kitteridge (alternate: Wolf Hall)
Limited Series or Movie Lead Actor: Mark Rylance, “Wolf Hall” (alternate: Richard Jenkins, “Olive Kitteridge”)
Limited Series or Movie Lead Actress: Frances McDormand, “Olive Kitteridge” (alternate: Maggie Gyllenhaal, “The Honourable Woman”)
Limited Series or Movie Supporting Actor: Damian Lewis, “Wolf Hall” (alternate: Bill Murray, “Olive Kitteridge”)
Limited Series or Movie Supporting Actress: Kathy Bates, “American Horror Story: Freak Show” (alternate: Sarah Paulson, “American Horror Story: Freak Show”
Limited Series or Movie Directing: Olive Kitteridge (alternate: Wolf Hall)
Limited Series or Movie Writing: Wolf Hall (alternate: Olive Kitteridge)

Reality/Competition Show: The Amazing Race (alternate: The Voice)
Variety Talk Show: The Colbert Report (alternate: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver)
Variety Sketch Show: Saturday Night Live (alternate: Inside Amy Schumer)
Variety Directing: Inside Amy Schumer, “12 Angry Men Inside Amy Schumer” (alternate: Late Show with David Letterman, “Episode Show 2414”)
Variety Writing: Inside Amy Schumer (alternate: The Colbert Report)

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67th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Drama Series   Leave a comment

drama series

Prediction: “Game of Thrones”
Alternate:Mad Men”

Full Rankings:
01. “Game of Thrones
02. “Mad Men”
03. “House of Cards
04. “Better Call Saul
05. “Homeland
06. “Orange is the New Black
07. “Downton Abbey

Check my other 2015 Emmy prediction analysis here.

For more Emmy talk, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

67th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series   Leave a comment

drama lead actor

Prediction: Kevin Spacey “House of Cards”
Alternate: Jon Hamm, “Mad Men”

Full Rankings:
01. Kevin Spacey “House of Cards”
02. Jon Hamm, “Mad Men”
03. Kyle Chandler, “Bloodline
04. Bob Odenkirk, “Better Call Saul
05. Jeff Daniels, “The Newsroom
06. Liev Schreiber., “Ray Donovan”

Check my other 2015 Emmy prediction analysis here.

For more Emmy talk, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

67th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series   Leave a comment

drama lead actress

Prediction: Viola Davis, “How to Get Away with Murder”
Alternate: Taraji P. Henson, “Empire”

Full Rankings:
01. Viola Davis, “How to Get Away with Murder”
02. Taraji P. Henson, “Empire”
03. Robin Wright, “House of Cards
04. Tatiana Maslany, “Orphan Black
05. Claire Danes, “Homeland
06. Elisabeth Moss., “Mad Men

Check my other 2015 Emmy prediction analysis here.

For more Emmy talk, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

67th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series   Leave a comment

drama supp actor

Prediction: Jonathan Banks, “Better Call Saul”
Alternate: Ben Mendelsohn, “Bloodline”

Full Rankings:
01. Jonathan Banks, “Better Call Saul”
02. Ben Mendelsohn, “Bloodline”
03. Michael Kelly, “House of Cards”
04. Peter Dinklage, “Game of Thrones
05. Alan Cumming, “The Good Wife
06. Jim Carter, “Downton Abbey

Check my other 2015 Emmy prediction analysis here.

For more Emmy talk, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

67th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series   Leave a comment

drama guest actressLet’s now move on to the Drama Guest Actress contenders for this year. Last year, Allison Janney easily wins one of her two comeback Emmys for her performance in Masters of Sex. And she’s back in the running again. As a matter of fact, three of the nominated performances from last year are back while two are from the same shows with a different actress nominated. Let’s begin.

The best/worst case of name-checking this year happens to be Emmy winner Margo Martindale, who unfortunately continues to be the only acting performance recognized from The Americans. Her submission this year is the episode titled “I Am Abassin Zadran” where she appeared for only two minutes in the whole tape. Sure, Loretta Devine won for a short tape in 2011, but I do’t think that’s even comparable to this really short reel.

Nominated for her guest turn in Scandal is first time Emmy nominee Khandi Alexander who plays Mama Pope. In her tape “Where the Sun Don’t Shine”, we see Maya being held hostage in a room thinking that Olivia will save her. Alexander appears in only three scenes with one of them being a “tape-worthy” moment when she shut down Olivia. I believe Alexander is being helped by the fact that she also appears in TV Movie Bessie this year because her stronger works in Scandal the previous seasons resulted to Emmy snubs.

When Kate Mara was nominated here last year, it’s basically because of that much-talked about train scene in the second season opener of House of Cards. This year, it’s co-star Rachel Brosnahan getting in for her performance as Rachel Posner. Submitting the season finale episode ” Chapter 39″, the tape showcases a complete story arc for the actress which benefits her a lot because it would appeal to voters who don’t even watch the show regularly.

Dame Diana Rigg receives her third consecutive nomination for playing Olenna Tyrell in Game of Thrones. Her tape this year is the episode “The Gift” where we see the fierce matriarch doing many agreements to save her grandkids. She has some confrontation scenes in this one, though I don’t think it’ll be enough to merit her a victory even if the voters are head over heels with Game of Thrones now.

Aiming for back-to-back wins here is current champ Allison Janney, once again nominated for her work as Margaret Scully in Masters of Sex. This year, she submits the season opener “Parallax”  where she had that scene with onscreen partner Beau Bridges confronting about his sexuality and one where she had to conceal what happened to his character. It’s a pretty lackluster tape as confirmed to her winning one last year because she’s mostly relegated to reacting to Bridges (who’s the star of this episode). She still has a chance to win though had this category lacked a specific frontrunner…

…which it didn’t because Cicely Tyson got in for her role as Ophelia in How to Get Away with Murder. Tyson was also the frontrunner last year for her work in The Trip to Bountiful only to lose in an upset by Jessica Lange, but she’s in the most buzzed about show in the group. In her episode “Mama’s Here Now”, she visits and assists daughter Annalise (Emmy nominee Viola Davis) who’s suffering a personal predicament. In here, Tyson was sassy, funny, dominating, and it’s the perfect tape that gets rewarded with an Emmy. I think it’s one of the most buzzed performances of the season, and one who leads the pack both in buzz and in tapes.

Prediction: Cicely Tyson, “How to Get Away with Murder
Alternate: Rachel Brosnahan, “House of Cards

Full Rankings:
01. Cicely Tyson, “How to Get Away with Murder
02. Rachel Brosnahan, “House of Cards
03. Allison Janney, “Masters of Sex
04. Khandi Alexander, “Scandal
05. Diana Rigg, “Game of Thrones
06. Margo Martindale, “The Americans

Check my other 2015 Emmy prediction analysis here.

For more Emmy talk, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

67th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series   Leave a comment

drama guest actor

After the guest ladies of comedy, we’re moving halfway into our guest acting Emmy predictions and move to the drama guest actors for this year. With two consecutive wins from Scandal (for Dan Bucatinsky and Joe Morton), it’s a surprise that Courtney B. Vance suddenly missed the boat even for a nomination. If anything, the Emmys really know how to pull off those surprising nominations and snubs.

Speaking of surprise, Orange is the New Black‘s Pablo Schreiber finally receives his Emmy nomination, albeit a season late for his turn as Officer Mendez a.k.a Pornstahcer. In his episode “40 Oz. of Furlough”, we see Schreiber coming back to the prison after his suspension. Schreiber’s opening scene is literally an entrance seeing that infamous pornstache leading the way. However, in an hour long episode, he only appears in three scenes (all not more than a minute). To be fair, in a short span of minutes, he had shown classic Mendez with a range in his final scene, but that scene (and his nomination) is a year late.

Oscar Best Actor F. Murray Abraham receives his very first Emmy nomination for his role as CIA Agent Dar Adal in Homeland. Submitting the season finale “Long Time Coming”, Abraham’s storyline dealt with him building an arrangement with Saul in order to accomplish the mission he had with Haqqani. Abraham’s scenes were mostly talking pieces both with Claire Danes and Mandy Patinkin’s characters, and I can see this appealing to a certain batch of voters.It’s not that much of a slam dunk episode though but a competitive enough given this race,

On the other hand, Beau Bridges, receiving his second consecutive nomination playing the role of Barton Scully in Masters of Sex, submitted season opener “Parallax.” It’s an emotional episode all around, particularly given his character undergoing electroshock therapy to cure his homophobia. It also features an encounter with his wife (Guest Actress nominee Allison Janney) facing their marital problems. The cherry on top of the cake is his final scene where he attempted to hang himself. This is baity stuff all throughout and his loss last year certainly helps his chances this time around.

After missing last year’s race (due to not being submitted by the show), Michael J. Fox is back for his fourth nomination as Louis Canning for The Good Wife. Up to now, it still is a surprise that this performance, let alone his this character, hasn’t received a win yet. This year he went with the episode “Red Zone”, where his character’s worsening health condition was on full display. The episode ends with him talking to Alicia and giving her final words in the event that he dies. It’s a touching tape, no doubt about that, but one wonders if the character is seriously touching or just one of Canning’s antics.

One of perennial Emmy favorites Alan Alda is back in the race this year playing the character of Alan Fitch in The Blacklist. This is his first drama acting nomination since his victory in the Supporting Actor race in 2006 for The West Wing. His tape “The Decembrist” probably contains the most memorable scene in this category combined as it had his character exploding — literally, that is — on screen. Most of his scenes had him  with a bomb attached on his neck as he gets empathetic and emotional about his impending demise. He gets confrontation scenes, drama scenes, and confession scenes in it which coul be added by the strength of his name.

Last year, I predicted House of Cards’ Reg E. Cathey for the win because of his great tape submission as Freddy Hayes. Sadly, the same can’t be said this year because despite having a decent enough closing scene in his tape “Chapter 34”, it’s not showy enough. Surely, we root for the character of Freddy, but that wouldn’t be enough to net a win this time around.

I think the race can be boiled down between the character who died (Alan Alda) and the character who tried to die in his episode (Beau Bridges). Both are multiple Emmy winners, both have great tapes, and both have the road to a win. Bridges can be helped by the fact that he was nominated last year as well, and while they have already rewarded on-screen partner Allison Janney, he has yet to win for it. However, this is also the last time to reward Alda’s character (matched with a really “explosive” exit), so I’ll give the edge to him.

Prediction: Alan Alda, “The Blacklist”
Alternate: Beau Bridges, “Masters of Sex

Full Rankings:
01. Alan Alda, “The Blacklist”
02. Beau Bridges, “Masters of Sex
03. Michael J. Fox, “The Good Wife
04. F. Murray Abraham, “Homeland
05. Pablo Schreiber “Orange is the New Black
06. Reg E. Cathey, “House of Cards”

You can check my other 2015 Emmy prediction analysis here.

For more Emmy talk, you can also follow me on Twitter: @nikowl