Archive for the ‘political animals’ Tag

65th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Miniseries or Movie   Leave a comment

actress miniseries

PAST PREDICTIONS:

2005: S. Epatha Merkerson, “Lackawanna Blues[CORRECT]
2006:
Helen Mirren, “Elizabeth I[CORRECT]
2007:
Helen Mirren, “Prime Suspect: Final Act[CORRECT]
2008:
Judi Dench, “Cranford: Masterpiece[WRONG]
2009:
Drew Barrymore, “Grey Gardens[WRONG]
2010:
Claire Danes, “Temple Grandin[CORRECT]
2011:
Kate Winslet, “Mildred Pierce[CORRECT]
2012:
Julianne Moore, “Game Change” [CORRECT]

And here’s the final cap on the longform acting categories: the coveted Best Actress category. The last three years have been easy wins that’s why it’s quite fun that we have some sort of a competition this year. But first, let’s give a moment to recognize those who were snubbed.  Despite scoring in two other acting nods, Golden Globe nominee Sienna Miller was snubbed for her work in The Girl, as well as Rebecca Hall in Parade’s End. HBO wasn’t powerful enough to put the pair of Oscar nominated (and winning) actresses in Mary and Martha (Brenda Blethyn and Hilary Swank) as well.

Last year’s supporting actress winner Jessica Lange moves to the Lead category now after the sophomore season of American Horror Story: Asylum. While she wasn’t able to win any precursors earlier this year, she hasn’t skipped a beat by picking up nominations from the Golden Globes, SAGs, and the BFCA Critics Choice for TV Awards for her performance as Sister Jude.

Sigourney Weaver is due for any award for anything, so I thought this would have been the avenue to reward her. To be fair, she commanded the short lived series Political Animals and served as the show’s core base, and in any weak year, this would have been a sure winner. Unfortunately for her, this year has been anything but weak in this category.

Elisabeth Moss picked up a second nod for this year, thanks to her lead performance in Jane Campion’s Top of the Lake. This is the perfect consolation to Moss if voters want to reward her with an Emmy already after years of losses for playing Peggy on Mad Men. After all, she already earned a BFCA CCTV in the same category last July. It’s also a different performance from her usual nominated ones, so it shows her range and versatility as an actress.

Then we have Laura Linney. Prior to her 2011 loss to Melissa McCarthy, Linney actually has a perfect Emmy track record reaping in three wins in the past with two victories in this category for 2002’s Wild Iris and 2008’s John Adams. If anything, she’s very competitive here seeing she’s 2/2 for her. On the flip side, her only loss (in Comedy Lead Actress) is for the same role she’s contending now. So odds are, it’s really up in the air when it comes to her actual chances. One thing I’m certain of is that if anybody can pull that upset, it’s definitely her.

Lastly, we have Dame Helen Mirren. Like Linney, Mirren is a force to be reckoned with in this category, as she’s the most rewarded actress here with four wins in the past in 1996, 1999, 2006, and 2007 and having 10 nominations here altogether. With that said, one can count her out for this year as she’s clearly a filler nominee for an HBO movie that stars two big movie stars. If anything, she’s the only one we can safely count here.

I really have no idea on who will win here, so you can ask me and I’ll probably change my answer every other day. However, I’m convinced that all voters will not be watching the whole seasons of American Horror Story: Asylum and Top of the Lake, but it’s between Jessica Lange and Elisabeth Moss. The only deciding factor I have is that Lange was a tour de force by the start of the season while Moss’ better episodes come in the latter part of the series. That plus the fact that voters are probably aware that Lange has won for that horror show and they will continue to vote for her. The only thing on Moss’ favor is if they find her overdue and want to give her a win already. I’d say Lange has the upperhand, but never disregard Elisabeth Moss or a possible upset from Laura Linney here.

Prediction: Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Asylum”
Runner-Up: Elisabeth Moss, Top of the Lake

Full Rankings:
1. Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Asylum”
2. Elisabeth Moss, Top of the Lake
3. Laura Linney, The Big C: Hereafter”
4. Sigourney Weaver, Political Animals
5. Helen Mirren, Phil Spector

To check out other Emmy predictions, you can check them here.

If you like, you can follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

Advertisements

65th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Miniseries or Movie   Leave a comment

movie miniseries

 

PAST PREDICTIONS:

2005: Warm Springs[CORRECT] and “Empire Falls[WRONG]
2006:
The Girl in the Cafe[CORRECT] and “Elizabeth I[CORRECT]
2007:
Bury My Heart at Wounded Knee[CORRECT] and “Prime Suspect: Final Act[WRONG]
2008:
Recount[CORRECT] and “John Adams[CORRECT]
2009:
Grey Gardens[CORRECT] and “Generation Kill[WRONG]
2010:
You Don’t Know Jack[WRONG] and “The Pacific[CORRECT]
2011:
Downton Abbey[CORRECT]
2012:
Game Change” [CORRECT]

Now that we’re done with the three acting categories here (Haven’t made up my mind yet on who’ll win Lead Actress), it’s time to move on with the main program award by discussing the Best Movie or Miniseries category. It’s almost a moot to even tackle each category comprehensively, as there seems to be a clear winner here already. The Steven Soderbergh directed film Behind the Candelabra is obviously winning the top prize. With great reviews, a historic Cannes competition participation, and overwhelming reception, this is one of the easier to predict wins for the night. The closest runner-up I can come up with is Sundance Channel’s Top of the Lake which also received unanimously great reviews and probably the little contender that could.

As for the others, despite American Horror Story: Asylum dominating the nominations with a whooping 17(!) nods and topping all the other programs this year, it will clearly follow the path of its predecessor last year safely winning an acting award (or two). The mere fact that it continues to dominate the noms yet it can’t break through the directing AND writing categories speaks volumes about its actual support in the Academy. Phil Spector is the typical HBO filler category year like what Hemingway & Gellhorn was last year and You Don’t Know Jack was the year before. It contains two movie stars in lead roles, but doesn’t really have anything else in its corner.

After History’s history breaking ratings with Hatfields & McCoys last year, they continue to beat their own record in terms of ratings for miniseries, with The Bible this year. Sadly for them, the nomination for their achievement is their main reward seeing that it only got in two other categories. As for Political Animals, you can use the same analogy to Phil Spector, only replace HBO with USA.

As I’ve mentioned, it will be an easy win for Behind the Candelabra, and may I say deservedly so? J

Prediction: Behind the Candelabra
Runner-Up: Top of the Lake

Full Rankings:
1. “Behind the Candelabra
2. “Top of the Lake
3. “American Horror Story: Asylum
4. “Phil Spector
5. “Political Animals
6. “The Bible

If you want, you can follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

65th Primetime Emmys: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Miniseries or Movie   Leave a comment

supp actress miniseries

PAST PREDICTIONS:

2005: Camryn Manheim, “Elvis[WRONG]
2006:
Kelly MacDonald, “The Girl in the Café[CORRECT]
2007:
Anna Paquin, “Bury My Heart at Wounded Knee[WRONG]
2008:
Laura Dern, “Recount[WRONG]
2009:
Shohreh Aghdashloo, “House of Saddam[CORRECT]
2010:
Susan Sarandon, “You Don’t Know Jack[WRONG]
2011:
Maggie Smith, “Downton Abbey[CORRECT]
2012:
Jessica Lange, “American Horror Story” [CORRECT]

After lead actor in a miniseries, let’s move on to one of the supporting categories. Supporting Actress in a Movie or Miniseries turned out to be an embarrassment of riches in terms of female supporting performances this year. After watching the five nominated works, it’s hard not to see why they all ended up with nominations for their work. Though I guess I’d still reiterate that Holly Hunter in Top of the Lake deserves a spot here (considering she got two nominations for that Saving Grace show), though we should move on to the five nominees now.

Let’s begin with last year’s nominee Sarah Paulson. Last year, she was nommed for the HBO produced Game Change and lost to Jessica Lange in American Horror Story. For this season, she joins the show and ended up nominated for her turn as the curious reporter who ended up finding herself in the same asylum. Her turn here gives her a lot of range to work on, and if we based it on last year’s winner, she’s in good odds to win.

Then we have Mrs. Jim Carter herself, Imelda Staunton (Yes Dolores Umbridge is married to him). Staunton played Alma Ritter, and to give you more familiarity, it’s the role Helen Mirren played in the film Hitchcock. Staunton is mostly Toby Jones’ coattail nominee, but to give her credit, she is a true supporting play to him in The Girl.

Remember 2006’s infamous Emmy nomination? Yes, thanks to Ellen Burstyn, a rule was ultimately made the following year about the screentime needed for supporting players to be eligible in this category. After her 14 second appearance in Mrs. Harris in 2006, she’s now back in the same category, now as Sigourney Weaver’s mother in Political Animals. She plays the level headed cool grandma, and in one of the episodes, she gets high with her grandson’s fiancé. If ever she wins for this, it will be a hundred times deserving.

A surprising but should have been expected nominee this year is Charlotte Rampling for Restless. For one, she surprised us with her SAG nomination earlier this year. Then she was nominated for an Emmy this year as well. Playing the role of a woman who needed to change identities during the War, most of her scenes involve talking with daughter Michelle Dockery. It’s a stand out performance that is justifiably recognized, but I don’t see her winning for it.

Lastly, you have one of the actresses Emmys love to nominate: Alfre Woodard. Winning multiple Emmys in the past before, Woodard is once again recognized for her turn in Lifetime’s remake of Steel Magnolias. Hers is a role that actually stands out in the ensemble. Add the fact that she is Alfre Woodard, and that makes her an easy name to check here.

As for who’s going to win, it depends on who the Emmys like during the voting. If voters are in for a movie star, then no doubt, Ellen Burstyn can siphon the votes in here. Then one can never underestimate the Emmy’s admiration for Alfre Woodard, and in a scene stealing role such as this one, it’s no surprise if ever she ended up winning here. But ultimately, my prediction goes to Sarah Paulson who might end up being Asylum’s lone major win, and a way to recognize the series in the telefilm categories.

Prediction: Sarah Paulson, “American Horror Story: Asylum
Runner-Up: Alfre Woodard, “Steel Magnolias

Full Rankings:
1. Sarah Paulson, “American Horror Story: Asylum
2. Alfre Woodard, “Steel Magnolias
3. Ellen Burstyn, “Political Animals
4. Charlotte Rampling, “Restless
5. Imelda Staunton, “The Girl

If you like, you can follow me on Twitter: @nikowl