87th Academy Awards: Best Picture Rankings   2 comments

 

bp 2015

Before the Oscars bestow their list of winners on Monday, it’s time to rank the Oscar Best Picture nominees for film year 2014. Unlike in 2012 and 2013 though though, it’s the first time that the Academy nominated only eight films for the top award. It’s a pretty good batch as a whole, though I have lots of reservations with the films in it, and how I wish Gone Girl made it over some of these clunkers in this batch. Anyway, here are my rankings:

IMITATION

08. THE IMITATION GAME
Director: Morten Tyldum

In first of the two British Oscar-contending films this year, this one is about one of Britain’s uncelebrated heroes of his time. Alan Turing has a very interesting story to tell; his team was able to crack the “unbreakable” Enigma leading to a World War II victory. The achievement would be of no value though as he was prosecuted for his homosexuality. What could have been a narration of such story was put to waste with the film’s very pedestrian treatment to it. Hackneyed dialogue, cliched treatment, and uneven focus on the story made the whole film totally disengaging. As if that’s not offensive yet, Benedict Cumberbatch’s campy portrayal is equally eye-roll worthy. With subtlety not existing in his dictionary, Cumberbatch spits every syllable of every word in every line as if it’s his last. Leave it to the sublime Keira Knightley to save the film, together with Alexander Desplat’s score. What might be the biggest missed opportunity here was the film just glossing over a part of Turing’s life that deserved the most attention. Oh well.

2.5/5

theory of everything

07. THE THEORY OF EVERYTHING
Director: James Marsh

The second of the two British-Oscar contending films this year, this one is about celebrated science figure Stephen Hawking. His name, probably more known because of The Big Bang Theory above many other reasons, has an equally compelling story to tell, and director James Marsh milked it for all its worth. Theory completed the handbook of how to do an Oscar-baity movie 101 highlighting the romance and the disease and the drama in succession. I have to say that I was initially hooked but easily worn out by the film’s cinematography using endless filters that really doesn’t offer much except to inform us that hey they really do have lots of filters. The film does a successful job of reminding us that it’s the British cousin of A Beautiful Mind, and if you digged that one, chances are you’d really enjoy this as well. Unlike Cumberbatch in Imitation Game, the only thing I appreciated about the film is Eddie Redmayne’s completely dedicated performance as Hawking. There is more than just the physicality of the role that he embraced which made it work. He might not be my pick for Best Actor at the Oscars, but one can’t deny that he did justice with his character.

2.5/5

american sniper

06. AMERICAN SNIPER
Director: Clint Eastwood

Clint Eastwood, except for that Best Director nomination, is back to Oscar’s good graces with his latest effort. American Sniper is based on the life story of Chris Kyle — known as the deadliest marksman in the US military with 255 bodies credited under his name. Aided by Bradley Cooper’s intense performance of Kyle, he manages to carry the whole film in his shoulders in spite of the noticeable flaws in the writing. While Eastwood delivered on the technical aspects further escalating the tension and making us feel the nitty gritty of it all (the whole sandstorm part in particular), the film weakens every time it shifts to Kyle’s own personal dilemma of dealing with his PTSD. I wasn’t even bothered by its by the numbers approach nor Eastwood’s political (or apolitical, depending on how you view it) favoring of his own take on militarism in the film. American Sniper could have been a more affecting film had it managed to strike the balance of both, but where one aspect Eastwood delivered, the other lacked. For what its worth, it’s still a solid, if not a bit pedestrian, and decent tribute to someone others consider as a figure of their American hero.

3/5

birdman

05. BIRDMAN
Director: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu

There’s a lot of things I loved about Inarritu’s Birdman. As for starters, there’s Michael Keaton’s comeback performance. And Edward Norton’s larger than life character. Then there’s the dark absurdity of the whole film which easily grabs your attention. Plus, the one long take approach of it. Lubezki’s cinematography and Antoio Sanchez’ underrated scoring are also top notch. While all of these seem to mesh out well to create a masterpiece, it still feels a bit underwhelming and not that exhilarating cinematic treat for me. The film has been too self-absorbed to the point that its ‘mocking’ of portraying Hollywood is as foolish as its portrayal of such. Birdman for me is a case of the individual parts being better than its sum where the gimmick hasn’t really stayed that much for me.

3.5/5

selma

04. SELMA
Director: Ava Duvernay

What makes the experience of cinema fascinating is when you witness a story, that in no way, shape, or form involves you, but touches your heart with what it presented to you. That is what Ava Duvernay did with Selma. On the outside, one might consider it as another general biopic advocating the human triumph, but what makes Selma much more sophisticated is that there is a raw sincerity with the lines, and the portrayals, and the technical peaks that it is definitely on a higher pedestal. What Duvernay accomplished here is to flaunt her cinematic potential while retelling a story whose effect aligned with the personal journey of the people during its time. Also, David Oyelowo’s snub will easily go down as one of the worst ever in Academy history. Selma is sensible and sincere that you can’t help but be affected by it.

4/5

the grand budapest hotel

03. THE GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL
Director: Wes Anderson

It’s really difficult to pin down Wes Anderson films since there’s a lot that we can discuss about his efforts, but I guess let’s start with the obvious. In true Anderson fashion, this one is probably his most deliciously looking film ever. One thing I’ve always appreciated about him is how he builds his own world and that it elevates the whole movie watching experience. In here, the Budapest hotel isn’t merely a background because it’s a star of its own with its use of wide space and set. And can we talk about Milena Canonero’s costume design here? ASTONISHING. With that said, the real deal here is Anderson’s storytelling. I’ve felt that it was his own homage to arts in general. His take on loyalty, passionate love, death, first love, and friendship among others was written with both poignancy and silly humor. Plus, of course that ever reliable ensemble with Ralph Fiennes front and center. Budapest is funny yet tragic, charming and whimsical, and a very delightful movie experience. 

4.5/5

WHIPLASH

02. WHIPLASH
Director: Damian Chazelle

A year after his short film of the same title won the Short Film Jury Prize award at last year’s Sundance, Damien Chazelle translated “Whiplash” into a full length feature film and has made the festival rounds from Sundance to Cannes and Toronto the past few months. The film tells the story of aspiring jazz drummer Andrew Neyman (Miles Teller) who undergoes training under notorious jazz conductor Terence Fletcher (J.K. Simmons) who has an atypical way of mentoring his students. The film did not waste any opportunity to build the intensity as we’ve seen from the interaction of Andrew and Terence in the opening scene. And there’s no stopping from there. Well crafted for the most part, particularly its creative, albeit really showy, editing and the musical score which heightens the tension further. Chazelle directs this with such precision making his audience feel the same discomfort that his characters feel, and his screenplay did not box the people as simply black and white; instead he composed them as larger than life ones — probably juxtaposed with the characters’ ambitions. J.K Simmons was every inch scary as the foul mouthed, no holds barred perfectionist maestro and there’s a level of brutality that his presence exudes. Rhythmically in sync though was Miles Teller, who should be given equal credit as he plays to Simmons’ level letting his Andrew be intimidated yet inspired with his verbal abuse. Whiplash is a painful reminder that greatness is no easy feat and that it literally takes blood, sweat, and tears to be achieved.

4.5/5

boyhood

01. BOYHOOD
Director: Richard Linklater

Richard Linklater’s 12 year in the making masterpiece is as ambitious as one can get, but the simple and organic approach in its depiction of a slice (is it even just a slice?) of life is certainly one of the most emotionally affecting movie watching experience I’ve ever had. This film follows the life of a kid, Mason, for 12 years as he experiences the highs and lows of his life. It wasn’t really alienating per se since Linklater is very much self-aware that Mason and everyone around him are as ordinary as us or the people around us. Its depiction of “life just going by” is probably one of the least pretentious yet most effective I have ever seen not because of the statement that it leaves, but by refusing to dictate such. There’s a line in the film mentioned by Patricia Arquette where she said “I just thought there would be more…”, and that perfectly sums up the film for me – that the experiences and the time that already passed by can either be a memory of what we were before and a reminder of what have become. Despite running for 165 minutes, I would have been more than fine to see two to three more hours of it. Its use of pop culture references (Pokemon! Harry Potter! Lady Gaga!) and music (Coldplay! Aaliyah! Family of the Year!) is a highlight to this experience as well. In the end, more than the achievement of such a “stunt” project (if one can even call it that), what makes Linklater’s Boyhood every inch effective and memorable is that it was able to capture the accuracy of one’s growing up beyond its literal meaning. The feelings you invested in these characters are too much and too deep that you just don’t want it to end. Well in my case, I really don’t.

5/5

How many have you seen from this year’s batch? Which are your favorites? And who would you be rooting for come Oscar night? Talk to me about it by tweeting me: @nikowl

 

 

57th Grammy Awards Winner Predictions   Leave a comment

On Sunday (Monday morning here in Manila), music’s biggest night is about to happen. Well that’s an exaggeration of some sort truth be told, but hey despite what we rant about the Grammys 100+ categories or how there are more performances than awards every single year, we still give them a free pass when they give us moments like that of Daft Punk’s cool performance that had everyone bopping, or the reggae tribute two years ago with Sting, Bruno Mars, and Rihanna. So before we watch this year’s telecast that will feature performances from Kanye West, Rihanna, and Sir Paul McCartney to the Selma tribute of John Legend, Beyonce, and Common, we predict those who will be ending the night as Grammy winners in nine different fields.

roty

RECORD OF THE YEAR:
Iggy Azalea ft. Charli XCX, “Fancy”
Sia, “Chandelier”
Sam Smith, “Stay With Me (Darkchild Version)”
Taylor Swift, “Shake It Off”
Meghan Trainor, “All About That Bass”

PREDICTION: “Shake It Off” (Taylor Swift) Shake It Off doesn’t really fit the mold of a ROTY winner, but then again this is a pretty weak lineup. I don’t see Fancy or All About That Bass winning this and Chandelier is more of a SOTY mold. You know we’re bound to get a Taylor ROTY now or in the future right? So let’s just keep this one off the Grammy’s bucket list already.

ALTERNATE: “Stay With Me (Darkchild Version)”  (Sam Smith) I don’t know if the Darkchild version will confuse voters or not, but if they love Sam Smith and will shower him with Grammys on that night, then expect at least an Adele type of winning for this ballad.

aoty

ALBUM OF THE YEAR:
“Morning Phase”, Beck
“Beyonce”, Beyonce
“X”, Ed Sheeran
“In the Lonely Hour”, Sam Smith
“GIRL”, Pharrell Williams

PREDICTION: Beyonce, “Beyonce” This whole Beyonce era has been life-giving in so many ways that I think this is the perfect coronation night for Grammy’s most-nominated woman.

ALTERNATE: Beck, “Morning Phase” But hold on that weave, Bey. Sometimes, not because you’re the biggest artist means you’re taking the biggest award easily (see Arcade Fire over Eminem in 2010?). Beck has the respect and the critics to back him up. Either way, we’re getting a fantastic winner with these two.

soty

SONG OF THE YEAR
“All About That Bass,” (Meghan Trainor)
“Chandelier,” (Sia)
“Shake It Off,” (Taylor Swift)
“Stay with Me,” (Sam Smith)
“Take Me To Church,” (Hozier)

PREDICTION: Chandelier (Sia). I think Sia becoming a go-to songwriter of the biggest popstars gives her a bit of an advantage here. And not to discredit the song itself, it’s an equally deserving SOTY material.

ALTERNATE: Stay with Me (Sam Smith). That said, Stay with Me is such a Grammy catnip here that I won’t be surprised if they go with the straight ballad in this group.

bna

BEST NEW ARTIST
Iggy Azalea
Bastille
Brandy Clark
HAIM
Sam Smith

PREDICTION: Sam Smith. They could have mailed him the actual Grammy since the announcement for all I know.

ALTERNATE: Brandy Clark. Never underestimate the country bloc especially someone who has been churning out hits for some of the biggest country names right now.

POP FIELD:

pop

POP SOLO PERFORMANCE:
John Legend, “All of Me (Live Version)”
Sia, “Chandelier”
Sam Smith, “Stay With Me”
Taylor Swift, “Shake It Off”
Pharrell Williams, “Happy (Live Version)”

This one would be an easy win for Sam Smith regardless if he goes home with many Grammys or not. Maybe he’s shoo-in category after Best New Artist. Watch out for Oscar nominee John Legend though in one of the year’s biggest hits and vocal venues.

PREDICTION: “Stay with Me” (Sam Smith)
ALTERNATE: “All of Me (Live Version)” (John Legend)

POP PERFORMANCE BY A DUO OR GROUP:
Iggy Azalea feat. Charli XCX, “Fancy”
Coldplay, “A Sky Full of Stars”
A Great Big World and Christina Aguilera, “Say Something”
Jessie J, Ariana Grande, and Nicki Minaj, “Bang Bang”
Katy Perry feat. Juicy J, “Dark Horse”

What an absurd category. It seems like except for Bang Bang, you can make a case for any of these songs. Fancy has the General Field nomination, but somehow it’s not a guarantee here. Let’s just go with the AC catnip here of Say Something.

PREDICTION: “Say Something” (A Great Big World & Christina Aguilera)
ALTERNATE: “Fancy” (Iggy Azalea ft. Chrali XCX)

POP VOCAL ALBUM:
Coldplay, Ghost Stories
Miley Cyrus, Bangerz
Ariana Grande, My Everything
Katy PerryPrism
Ed Sheeran, x
Sam Smith, In the Lonely Hour

With two Album of the Year nominees here, it’s definitely between these two Brits. I give the advantage to Ed Sheeran though, as I see it is a consolation for his great year. Plus you know they’re dying to reward him with a Grammy already.

PREDICTION: “X” (Ed Sheeran)
ALTERNATE: “In the Lonely Hour” (Sam Smith)

TRADITIONAL POP ALBUM:
Tony Bennett and Lady Gaga, Cheek to Cheek
Annie Lennox, Nostalgia
Barry Manilow, Night Songs
Johnny Mathis, Sending You a Little Christmas
Barbra Streisand, Partners

This one’s a bit tricky. The easiest name-checking would definitely be Bennett and Gags especially since Bennett is a regular winner here. But don’t underestimate Barbra Streisand’s strong narrative on her successful comeback album. I can see this one getting really close.

PREDICTION: “Cheek to Cheeck” (Tony Bennett and Lady Gaga)
ALTERNATE: “Partners” (Barbra Streisand)

DANCE/ELECTRONICA FIELD

dance recording

DANCE RECORDING
“Never Say Never,” Basement Jaxx
“Rather Be,” Clean Bandit featuring Jess Glynne
“F For You,” Disclosure featuring Mary J. Blige
“I Got U,” Duke Dumont featuring Jax Jones
“Faded,” Zhu

Again, this one is a two-way race. Rather Be is the biggest hit in the lineup, but F for You has the name recognition. I give the slight edge to Rather Be,

PREDICTION: “Rather Be” (Clean Bandit feat. Jess Glynne)
ALTERNATE: “F For You” (Disclosure feat. Mary J. Blige)

dance electronica album

DANCE ELECTRONICA ALBUM
“Syro”, Aphex Twin
“while(1<2)”, deadmau5
“Nabuma Rubberband”, Little Dragon
“Do It Again”, Royksopp & Robyn
“Damage Control”, Matt Zo

PREDICTION: “Syro” (Aphex Twin)
ALTERNATE: “while(1<2)” (deadmau5)

ROCK AND ALTERNATIVE FIELD

rock alternative

ROCK PERFORMANCE:
“Gimme Something Good”, Ryan Adams
“Do I Wanna Know?”, Arctic Monkeys
“Blue Moon”, Beck
“Fever”, The Black Keys
“Lazaretto”, Jack White

The logical choice is Beck, but if they’ll spread the wealth, this is the place where I can see them giving the win to another contender via Arctic Monkeys.

PREDICTION: “Do I Wanna Know?” (Arctic Monkeys)
ALTERNATE: “Blue Moon” (Beck)

ROCK SONG:
Paramore, “Ain’t It Fun”
Beck, “Blue Moon”
The Black Keys, “Fever”
Ryan Adams, “Gimme Something Good”
Jack White, “Lazaretto”

This one is an easy Beck win though regardless of competing against other familiar names and pop(!) hits.

PREDICTION: “Blue Moon” (Beck)
ALTERNATE: “Lazaretto” (Jack White)

ROCK ALBUM:
Ryan Adams, Ryan Adam
Beck, Morning Phase
The Black Keys, Turn Blue
Tom Petty and the Heartbreakers, Hypnotic Eye
U2, Songs of Innocence

’tis a part of the Beck’s deserved Rock field sweep, so there ‘ya go.

PREDICTION: “Morning Phase” (Beck)
ALTERNATE: “Songs of Innocence” (U2)

ALTERNATIVE MUSIC ALBUM:
“This is All Yours”, alt-J
“Reflektor”, Arcade Fire
“Melophobia”, Cage the Elephant
“St. Vincent”, St. Vincent
“Lazaretto”, Jack White

St. Vincent has the most critical backing in this group, but I think that would be put into the sidelines when competing against two favorites. Thus, I gave the edge to Jack White here.

PREDICTION: “Lazaretto” (Jack White)
ALTERNATE: “Reflektor” (Arcade Fire)

R&B FIELD

rnb

R&B PERFORMANCE
“Drunk In Love,” Beyoncé featuring Jay Z
“New Flame,” Chris Brown featuring Usher & Rick Ross
“It’s Your World,” Jennifer Hudson featuring R. Kelly
“Like This,” Ledisi
“Good Kisser,” Usher

Bey and Jay easily.

PREDICTION: “Drunk in Love” (Beyonce feat. Jay-Z)
ALTERNATE: “Good Kisser” (Usher)

TRADITIONAL R&B PERFORMANCE:
“As,” Marsha Ambrosius & Anthony Hamilton
“I.R.S,” Angie Fisher
“Jesus Children,” Robert Glasper Experiment feat. Lalah Hathaway & Malcolm Jamal Warner
“Nobody,” Kem
“Hold Up (Wait a Minute),” Antonique Smith

Robert Glasper pulled off an upset two years ago, so he’s definitely on the radar. Add the fact that Lalah also did last year, so maybe this is one underrated powerful collab?

PREDICTION: “Jesus Children” (Robert Glasper Experiment feat. Lalah Hathaway & Malcolm Jamal Warner)
ALTERNATE: “As” (Marsha Ambrosius & Anthony Hamilton)

R&B SONG
“Drunk In Love,” Beyonce ft. Jay Z
“Good Kisser,” Usher
“New Flame,” Chris Brown ft. Usher & Rick Ross
“Options (Wolfjames Version),” Luke James ft. Rick Ross
“The Worst,” Jhené Aiko 

Again, thanks for trying everyone but no one comes close to Bey and Jay.

PREDICTION: “Drunk in Love” (Beyonce feat. Jay-Z)
ALTERNATE: “Good Kisser” (Usher)

R&B ALBUM:
Islander, Bernhoft
Lift Your Spirit, Aloe Blacc
Love, Marriage & Divorce, Toni Braxton & Babyface
Black Radio 2, Robert Glasper Experiment
Give The People What They Want, Sharon Jones & The Dap-Kings

I think the throwback to these two 90s R&B names would be enough to give them comeback Grammys since their last wins over a decade ago. Watch out for Aloe Blacc though just because he has the crossover appeal of The Man.

PREDICTION: “Love, Marriage & Divorce” (Toni Braxton & Babyface)
ALTERNATE: “Lift Your Spirit” (Aloe Blacc)

URBAN CONTEMPORARY ALBUM:
Jhene Aiko, Sail Out
Beyonce, Beyonce
Chris Brown, X
Mali Music, Mail Is
Pharrell Williams, G I R L

Sorry Pharrell, but Beyonce has this one locked.

PREDICTION: “Beyonce” (Beyonce)
ALTERNATE: “GIRL” (Pharrell Williams)

RAP FIELD:

rap

RAP PERFORMANCE
“3005,” Childish Gambino
“0 To 100/ The Catch Up,” Drake
“Rap God,” Eminem
“i,” Kendrick Lamar
“All I Need Is You,” Lecrae

Rap God. End of discussion. EMinem might just steamroll to another Rap field Grammy domination.

PREDICTION: “Rap God” (Eminem)
ALTERNATE: “i” (Kendrick Lamar)

RAP/SUNG COLLABORATION:
“Blak Majik,” Common ft. Jhené Aiko
“The Monster,” Eminem ft. Rihanna
“Tuesday,” I Love Makonnen ft. Drake
“Studio,” ScHoolboy Q ft. BJ The Chicago Kid
“Bound 2,” Kanye West & Charlie Wilson

Let’s just go with the biggest hit in the group. And maybe a consolation since they lost for Love the Way You Lie in 2010. Otherwise, Kanye is the other big name here so maybe him.

PREDICTION: “The Monster” (Eminem and Rihanna)
ALTERNATE: “Bound 2″ (Kanye West feat. Charlie Wilson)

RAP SONG
“Anaconda,” Nicki Minaj
“Bound 2,” Kanye West & Charlie Wilson
“i,” Kendrick Lamar
“We Dem Boyz,” Wiz Khalifa
“0 to 100/The Catch Up,” Drake

After his shutout last year, and with no Eminem in competition this year, then maybe it’s finally bound for a Kendrick Lamar Grammy win… unless they give Kanye another one.

PREDICTION: “i” (Kendrick Lamar)
ALTERNATE: “Bound 2″ (Kanye West)

RAP ALBUM:
The Marshall Mathers LP 2, Eminem
Because The Internet, Childish Gambino
The New Classic, Iggy Azalea
Blacc Hollywood, Wiz Khalifa
Oxymoron, Schoolboy Q
Nobody’s Smiling, Common

Eminem has the biggest album of the bunch, and this field loves to rubberstamp winners so there ‘ya go. Imagine the pandemonium among the people and the rap community though if Iggy Azalea wins this. LMAO.

PREDICTION: “The Marshall Mathers LP 2″ (Eminem)
ALTERNATE: “The New Classic” (Iggy Azalea)

COUNTRY FIELD:

country

COUNTRY SOLO PERFORMANCE
“Give Me Me Back My Hometown,” Eric Church
“Invisible,” Hunter Hayes
“Automatic,” Miranda Lambert
“Something In the Water,” Carrie Underwood
“Cop Car,” Keith Urban

Miranda has the biggest hit of the bunch, and her only Grammy is for a vocal performance, so I’m quite complacent with this one. Carrie poses a big threat, but last year proved she still loses (and even gets snubbed!) in this category.

PREDICTION: “Automatic” (Miranda Lambert)
ALTERNATE: “Something in the Water” (Carrie Underwood)

COUNTRY DUO/GROUP COLLABORATION:
“Gentle On My Mind,” The Band Perry
“Somethin’ Bad,” Miranda Lambert with Carrie Underwood
“Day Drinking,” Little Big Town
“Meanwhile Back At Mama’s,” Tim McGraw ft. Faith Hill
“Raise ‘Em Up,” Keith Urban ft. Eric Church

These are two of their favorite vocalists, so I say easy win for Team Girl Power?

PREDICTION: “Something’ Bad” (Miranda Lambert & Carrie Underwood)
ALTERNATE: “Raise ‘Em Up” (Keith Urban & Eric Church)

COUNTRY SONG
“American Kids,” Kenny Chesney
“Automatic,” Miranda Lambert
“Give Me Back My Hometown,” Eric Church
“I’m Not Gonna Miss You,” Glen Campbell
“Meanwhile Back at Mama’s,” Tim McGraw ft. Faith Hill

I think they’ll throw Eric Church a bone for having a great year as well so either this and/or Album would be the place to reward it.

PREDICTION: “Give Me Back My Hometown” (Eric Church)
ALTERNATE: “Automatic” (Miranda Lambert)

COUNTRY ALBUM:
Riser, Dierks Bentley
The Outsiders, Eric Church
The Way I’m Livin’, Lee Ann Womack
12 Stories, Brandy Clark
Platinum, Miranda Lambert

Miranda Lambert seems to be the default frontrunner, but she always seems to be sidetracked at the Grammys, so I’m going with either Eric Church or Brandy Field who has the General Field support.

PREDICTION: “The Outsiders” (Eric Church)
ALTERNATE: “12 Stories” (Brandy Clark)

SOUNDTRACK ALBUM:

soundtrack

SONG WRITTEN FOR MOTION PICTURE
“Everything is Awesome,” (Tegan & Sara with The Lonely Island) from The LEGO Movie
“I See Fire,” (Ed Sheeran) from The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
“I’m Not Gonna Miss You” (Glen Campbell) from Glen Campbell: It’ll Be Me
“Let It Go” (Idina Menzel) from Frozen
“The Moon Song,” (Karen O) from Her

To the other nominees, let it go. There’s no way you’re winning this over the instant fairy tale classic.

PREDICTION: “Let It Go” (Idina Menzel) from Frozen
ALTERNATE: “I’m Not Gonna Miss You” (Glen Campbell) from Glen Campbell: It’ll Be Me

COMPILATION ALBUM:
American Hustle 
Guardians of the Galaxy
Frozen 
Get On Up: The James Brown Story 
The Wolf of Wall Street

Being one of the most-selling albums in this day and age would be enough to assure that this is another Frozen win, unless the sympathy is really high for the late James Brown.

PREDICTION: “Frozen” (Various Artists)
ALTERNATE: “Get On Up: The James Brown Story” (James Brown)

SCORE SOUNDTRACK:
Frozen (Christopher Beck)
Gone Girl (Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross)
The Grand Budapest Hotel (Alexander Desplat)
Gravity (Steven Price)
Saving Mr. Banks (Thomas Newman)

At this point, I’m just predicting they’re gonna continue the Frozen love. But Steven Price must be considered as well as he’s the only other one with no wins in this category yet.

PREDICTION: “Frozen” (Christophe Beck)
ALTERNATE: “Gravity” (Steven Price)

MUSIC VIDEOS:

music video

MUSIC VIDEO
“We Exist,” Arcade Fire
“Turn Down for What,” DJ Snake & Lil Jon
“Chandelier,” Sia
“Happy,” Pharrell Williams
“The Golden Age,” Woodkid ft. Max Richter

This one seems like an easy win for Sia especially if she doesn’t win in her other nominations. Consider this as the template place to reward her.

PREDICTION: “Chandelier” (Sia)
ALTERNATE: “Happy” (Pharrell Williams)

music film

MUSIC FILM:
Beyoncé & Jay Z: On The Run Tour, Beyoncé & Jay Z
Ghost Stories, Coldplay
20 Feet From Stardom, Darlene Love, Merry Clayton, Lisa Fischer & Judith Hill
Metallica: Through The Never, Metallica
The Truth About Love Tour: Live From Melbourne, Pink

Sorry Jay and Bey, but you have to sit this one out. You’re competing against the Oscar winner for Best Documentary Feature. I’m sure one Grammy less won’t hurt your shelf.

PREDICTION: “20 Feet From Stardom” (Darlene Love, Merry Clayton, Lisa Fischer & Judith Hill)
ALTERNATE: “On The Run Tour” (Beyonce)

Talk to me about the Grammys by tweeting me: @nikowl

 

 

 

21st Screen Actors Guild Awards Winner Predictions   Leave a comment

After the Golden Globes two weeks ago, let’s go to the other awards ceremony that awards both TV and movie performances, the Screen Actors Guild. With thousand of members that comprise the SAG-AFTRA group, the SAG Awards is an award given to actors by their own peers. This year, let’s see who’d end up winning the nude Actor trophy in 13 different categories.

THEATRICAL MOTION PICTURES

film ensemble

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
Birdman
Boyhood
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
The Theory of Everything

PREDICTION: Boyhood. This one is quite tricky. There are years when the SAG goes their own way and award the most ensemble-y nominee of the group (see: Sideways, American Hustle, The Help) but then there are years where the default Best Picture frontrunner just skates by (see: Argo, Slumdog Millionaire, No Country for Old Men), I think this year we’d get the latter and have the four-member cast of Boyhood take the top trophy.

ALTERNATE: Birdman. But still, we can see a scenario where Birdman emerges as the top winner here. After all, it’s a film about actors, and that might resonate well in this branch. With three individual acting nominations and an ensemble full of many prominent Hollywood names in it, a case can be made for them winning.

film actor

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
STEVE CARELL / John du Pont – “FOXCATCHER” (Sony Pictures Classics)
BENEDICT CUMBERBATCH / Alan Turing – “THE IMITATION GAME” (The Weinstein Company)
JAKE GYLLENHAAL / Louis Bloom – “NIGHTCRAWLER” (Open Road Films)
MICHAEL KEATON / Riggan – “BIRDMAN” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
EDDIE REDMAYNE / Stephen Hawking – “THE THEORY OF EVERYTHING” (Focus Features)

PREDICTION: Michael Keaton, Birdman. Keaton fits the veteran bill that this category loves to reward. He plays a struggling has-been which a lot would surely find relate-able. Plus, him getting this break at the state of his career is every actor’s inspiring story. This is very crucial to Keaton. If he loses this on Sunday, then it’s over for him at the Oscars.

ALTERNATE: Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything. He has BAFTA wrapped around his little finger already, so if he wins this one, then he’d surely be ahead of Keaton as Oscar comes in. This game is closer than what we probably think, and he’s very much into the race. Remember that his film scored an Ensemble nod even if it’s basically him and co-star Jones on the forefront.

film actress

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
JENNIFER ANISTON / Claire Bennett – “CAKE” (Cinelou Films)
FELICITY JONES / Jane Hawking – “THE THEORY OF EVERYTHING” (Focus Features)
JULIANNE MOORE / Alice Howland – “STILL ALICE” (Sony Pictures Classics)
ROSAMUND PIKE / Amy Dunne – “GONE GIRL” (20th Century Fox)
REESE WITHERSPOON / Cheryl Strayed – “WILD” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

PREDICTION: Julianne Moore, Still Alice. Let’s just stick with the veteran who hasn’t won this category yet. It’s basically a smooth train ride all the way to the Oscar so just prepare your speeches, Jules.

ALTERNATE: Jennifer Aniston, Cake. Bleh who cares if she was Oscar snubbed. When half of the voters are from the TV actors guild, Rachel Green can surely still rake ‘em votes.

film supporting actor

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
ROBERT DUVALL / Joseph Palmer – “THE JUDGE” (Warner Bros. Pictures)
ETHAN HAWKE / Mason, Sr. – “BOYHOOD” (IFC Films)
EDWARD NORTON / Mike – “BIRDMAN” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
MARK RUFFALO / Dave Schultz – “FOXCATCHER” (Sony Pictures Classics)
J.K. SIMMONS / Fletcher – “WHIPLASH” (Sony Pictures Classics)

PREDICTION: J.K. Simmons, Whiplash. After working the circuit during majority of his career, a coronation of some sort for this long time hardworking character actor at the SAG is very much fitting.

ALTERNATE: Edward Norton, Birdman. Maybe a lot of these voters can remember a thing or two from Norton’s character no? He’s the alternate, albeit a very weak one.

film supporting actress

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
PATRICIA ARQUETTE / Olivia – “BOYHOOD” (IFC Films)
KEIRA KNIGHTLEY / Joan Clarke – “THE IMITATION GAME” (The Weinstein Company)
EMMA STONE / Sam – “BIRDMAN” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
MERYL STREEP / The Witch – “INTO THE WOODS” (Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures)
NAOMI WATTS / Daka – “ST. VINCENT” (The Weinstein Company)

PREDICTION: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood. There isn’t even any competition anymore for this longtime working actress as she’ll just glide all the way to Oscar night.

ALTERNATE: Emma Stone, Birdman. Just because she’s the biggest name and the only possibility for a surge of Birdman love in the guilds.

TELEVISION PROGRAMS

actor tv movie

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
ADRIEN BRODY / Harry Houdini  – “HOUDINI” (History)
BENEDICT CUMBERBATCH / Sherlock Holmes – “SHERLOCK: HIS LAST VOW” (PBS)
RICHARD JENKINS / Henry Kitteridge – “OLIVE KITTERIDGE” (HBO)
MARK RUFFALO / Ned Weeks – “THE NORMAL HEART” (HBO)
BILLY BOB THORNTON / Lorne Malvo – “FARGO” (FX)

PREDICTION:Billy Bob Thornton, Fargo. He’s the only Fargo acting nomination this year so that might be a bit of a reach, but there seems to be passion for Thornton’s Lorne Malvo, and this is a pretty weak competition he has this year.

ALTERNATE: Mark Ruffalo, The Normal Heart. After losing the Emmy and the Golden Globe, the whole of Normal Heart simply isn’t just resonating well with voters. But who knows, maybe this can be a substitute award since he’s not winning Film Supporting Actor.

actress tv movie

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
ELLEN BURSTYN / Olivia Foxworth – “FLOWERS IN THE ATTIC” (Lifetime)
MAGGIE GYLLENHAAL / Nessa Stein – “THE HONORABLE WOMAN” (SundanceTV)
FRANCES McDORMAND / Olive Kitteridge – “OLIVE KITTERIDGE” (HBO)
JULIA ROBERTS / Dr. Emma Brookner – “THE NORMAL HEART” (HBO)
CICELY TYSON / Carrie Watts – “THE TRIP TO BOUNTIFUL” (Lifetime)

PREDICTION: Frances McDormand, Olive Kitteridge. I’m really not sure with this one as I had her pegged for the Globe only to see her lose, but she’s a respected veteran who has won Best Actress for Fargo in 1997 so there’s at least a precedent.

ALTERNATE: Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Honorable Woman. Or it can just be like the Globes where Maggie does a repeat making her a strong case at the Emmys this year.

tv drama actor

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series
STEVE BUSCEMI / Enoch “Nucky” Thompson – “BOARDWALK EMPIRE” (HBO)
PETER DINKLAGE / Tyrion Lannister – “GAME OF THRONES” (HBO)
WOODY HARRELSON / Martin Hart – “TRUE DETECTIVE” (HBO)
MATTHEW McCONAUGHEY / Rust Cohle – “TRUE DETECTIVE” (HBO)
KEVIN SPACEY / Francis Underwood – “HOUSE OF CARDS” (Netflix)

PREDICTION: Matthew McConaughey, True Detective. So I’ve predicted McConaighey for the Emmy only to see him lose to Bryan Cranston. Then I’ve predicted him for the Golden Globe where he then lost to Billy Bob Thornton. I don’t even know why I’m predicting him for a third time. Maybe I’m jinxing him actually.

ALTERNATE: Kevin Spacey, House of Cards. After his Golden Globe win two weeks ago, is SAG following suit? If the voters aren’t really up for some McConaughey crowning, expect 2x Oscar winner Kevin Spacey to benefit from it.

tv drama actress

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series
CLAIRE DANES / Carrie Mathison – “HOMELAND” (Showtime)
VIOLA DAVIS / Annalise Keating – “HOW TO GET AWAY WITH MURDER” (ABC)
JULIANNA MARGULIES / Alicia Florrick – “THE GOOD WIFE” (CBS)
TATIANA MASLANY / Sarah/Coxima/Alison/Rachel/Helena/Tony/Jennifer and Various Others – “ORPHAN BLACK” (BBC America)
MAGGIE SMITH / Violet, Dowager Countess of Grantham – “DOWNTON ABBEY” (PBS)
ROBIN WRIGHT / Claire Underwood – “HOUSE OF CARDS” (Netflix)

PREDICTION: Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder. I’m really shocked by her nomination considering how newer performances don’t easily get nominated that quick here, but she seems to be an actor’s actor type of performer who generate command and passion from her peers.

ALTERNATE: Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey. Or might as well just stick with the current (still a no show) winner.

tv drama ensemble

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series
Boardwalk Empire
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones
Homeland
House of Cards

PREDICTION: Downton Abbey. None of these really strikes to me as a winner. Boardwalk has won twice before and isn’t winning here for sure. Homeland hasn’t but it has ran past its course. Game of Thrones doesn’t necessarily scream a best ensemble winner template even if it has a large ensemble. Thus I’m sticking with the Brits who pulled off this upset win in 2012.

ALTERNATE: House of Cards. If not them, then let’s just go with the only new  nominee from the bunch, even if it’s basically the Kevin and Robin show.

tv comedy actor

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series
TY BURRELL / Phil Dunphy – “MODERN FAMILY ” (ABC)
LOUIS C.K. / Louie – “LOUIE” (FX)
WILLIAM H. MACY / Frank Gallagher – “SHAMELESS” (Showtime)
JIM PARSONS / Sheldon Cooper – “THE BIG BANG THEORY” (CBS)
ERIC STONESTREET / Cameron Tucker – “MODERN FAMILY” (ABC)

PREDICTION: Ty Burrell, Modern Family. With no strong frontrunner here plus the fact that they love repeat winners in their TV categories, let’s just stick with the only man who gave Alec Baldwin in 30 Rock his only SAG loss.

ALTERNATE: William H. Macy, Shameless. Macy is the veteran of this group, and if there’s a lot of name checking here, he’d be one who’d benefit the most.

tv comedy actress

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series
UZO ADUBA / Suzanne “Crazy Eyes” Warren – “ORANGE IS THE NEW BLACK” (Netflix)
JULIE BOWEN / Claire Dunphy – “MODERN FAMILY” (ABC)
EDIE FALCO / Jackie Peyton – “NURSE JACKIE” (Showtime)
JULIA LOUIS-DREYFUS / Vice President Selina Meyer – “VEEP” (HBO)
AMY POEHLER / Leslie Knope – “PARKS AND RECREATION” (NBC)

PREDICTION: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep. This doesn’t scream to me as a one-time winner only so an easy repeat win for the current champ.

ALTERNATE: Uzo Aduba, Orange is the New Black. When a striking scene-stealer makes some pop culture waves, the SAG usually bites (see Sandra Oh and Chandra Wilson in Grey’s Anatomy), but if the Globes didn’t even bite to the Aduba bandwagon, it would take more than that to overcome Julia’s run.

tv comedy ensemble

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series
The Big Bang Theory
Brooklyn Nine Nine
Modern Family
Orange is the New Black
Veep

PREDICTION: Orange is the New Black. For some reason, this seems like the Matthew McConaughey thing again. I predicted it at the Emmys only to lose to Modern Family, then I went with it at the Globes because it’s such a Globes-y thing to do to reward it and they went with Transparent. Maybe the 40 group ensemble would be enough to finally secure a major win for the show?

ALTERNATE: Modern Family. Say what you want, but this ensemble still works six seasons after. They have a perfect 5/5 record at the SAGs and if there’s one show who’ll break that record, it’s this.

You can talk to me about this on Twitter: @nikowl

 

87th Academy Awards Nominations Predictions: How Did I Fare?   4 comments

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So you’ve been reading my posts all-year long on who’s gonna get nominated and how Actor A or Movie B will get in and how Director C is missing and Movie D will underperform when it comes to Oscar nominations. Thus, it’s necessary to call me out on how I did with my final Oscar predictions.

BEST PICTURE: 8/8

Welp, make that 8/9 as I predicted nine films to get it (with that unfortunate film being Gone Girl.) I refused to go beyond or below 9 considering that since the 5-10 rule was introduced in 2011, nine films consistently make it in here. This year proved that nope, nine is not the standard number. But who cares? I predicted all 8 films so points for me.

BEST DIRECTOR: 3/5

So this one is trickier. I did not see Bennett Miller coming at all. Last September, sure go ahead. But not now when you have Ava Duvernay or Clint Eastwood (both of whom I predicted) in the mix. But you can throw your eggs (real eggs if it needs some specifying) directly at me for being timid about Morten Tyldum. I was certain he won’t make it considering he missed literally everything except DGA, but it seemed like that’s the one that counted. My heart still goes out to Ava though.

BEST ACTOR: 4/5

I never bought Jake Gyllenhaal despite his precursor overperformance. His is simply not the type that this category rewards. And considering how this is closely knitted to Best Picture, that made my suspicions stronger. In hindsight, I should have never underestimated Steve Carell (he got in at Globe + SAG + BAFTA after all) plus it’s a very physical performance, but I asumed that David Oyelowo playing MLK would be too irresistible for voters. Oh well, at least I called out that Bradley Cooper is happening despite no precursors.

BEST ACTRESS: 4/5

My heart says go Jennifer Aniston, but my mind stick with Amy Adams. This is probably one of the best mistakes (cue: Ariana Grande) I had though especially since it was Marion friggin Cotillard made it.  I think that’s the best surprise in this category since what? Michelle Williams in Blue Valentine perhaps. beware of Jen though. if she can end up with that strong precursor haul with a film seen by close to no one, what more if she goes to Harvey? When it happens, you’ll shit bricks.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: 5/5

Snooze. Next.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: 4/5

So I missed Laura Dern for Jessica Chastain. I never considered Dern here and thought the last spot was between Jessica Chastain and Rene Russo. But never underestimate the power of the Derns when it comes to campaigning. Laura did one heck of a job for his father Bruce last year, you’d be foolish to think she won’t do the same for herself. I’m happy for her nomination though, Wild still unseen, because she’s one of the few actresses who continuously pursues interesting projects.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: 4/5

My alternate Foxcatcher ended up happening. I was ready to predict it over Mr. Turner,  but I bailed out the last minute thinking the Academy would still name check Mike Leigh in spite. Bad call.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: 4/5

Probably one of the worst snubs this season is Gillian Flynn’s Gone Girl miss. I don’t know if this misogyny thing is really to be blamed, and I understand that the story of Gone Girl is indeed close to ridiculous, but the idea of adapting your own novel to the big screen and getting raves for such is nomination worthy regardless of one’s gender. I still don’t know what happened there, but I predicted it over Paul Thomas Anderson in Inherent Vice.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: 4/5

My only confusion when predicting here is that there’s only one room for a film title that begins with T. So is it gonna be Tangerines or Timbuktu? The correct answer is that both happened and the marvelous film Force Majeuere was snubbed instead. That’s a real WTF moment there. Either way, I would have gotten 4/5 as I didn’t see that Force Majeuere miss happening.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: 4/5

Same with Foreign Language Film, I had my alternate “Song of the Sea” but in the event that I include it, I’ll be moving The Boxtrolls instead. I did not see that The Lego Movie would miss, and I still don’t understand the reason why it did.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: 3/5

So while I got FindingVivian Maier correct, I should have moved Last Days in Vietnam in my actual prediction and left The Overnighters there. I never considered The Salt of the Earth (up to now I still don’t know what that one’s about), but I’m a bit bummed that Life Itself, a documentary about the late Roger Ebert missed the category. A nomination would have sufficed as a tribute to a person who loved cinema like no other.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: 5/5

Two words: DICK POOP. Oh and yay me!

BEST COSTUME DESIGN: 3/5

Just when you thought they’re gonna go safe and boring with the period pieces; thus, I went with The Imitation Game and Selma, they go inspired with something like Inherent Vice. Missing Maleficent was my bad though; this is the same branch that nominated two Snow White films in one year, so I should have seen that coming.

BEST EDITING: 4/5

So I missed my alternate American Sniper for Birdman here. I thought American Sniper was an editing catnip, but if they nominated Gravity for Editing last year despite its lack of well… actual editing, I thought Birdman would get a pass then. Bad call on my part.

BEST MAKE UP & HAIRSTYLING: 2/3

The nose! It really should have been about the nose. It was a battle between making Eddie Redmayne as Stephen Hawking or Steve Carell in that horrible look. To quote Denzel Washington when he announced the Best Actress Oscar back in 2003, the winner here wins “by a nose.” And by nose, I mean Steve Carell’s.

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: 5/5

Yay me again! I’m confused by the Birdman predictions here though? There wasn’t much production design there? It’s like Black Swan in 2010, and that one missed the nomination as well.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: 4/5

After awarding Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross the win in 2010 and nominating them a year after for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, it’s quite surprising they suddenly threw them to the curb this time around. What’s even more surprising? Off the consensus, Gone Girl missed in favor of Mr. Turner whose musical composer is a newbie, something this branch isn’t totally fond of.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG: 4/5

Knowing how shit storm this category is (a year later, and I still can’t get over Alone Yet Not Alone‘s a nom yet not a nom), the fact that I did 4/5 here is a surprise and way better than what I expected. I did not expect Beyond the Lights to get a nom here, so I really don’t give much fucks that I missed that one. I do hope Rita Ora asks on her Twitter though that she’ll perform at the Oscars only if she gets a million retweets.

BEST SOUND EDITING: 4/5

So I pegged Guardians of the Galaxy here as an easy nominee only for it to be my only miss as Birdman made it instead which is a surprise since it’s really not the type of film here that gets nominated.

BEST SOUND MIXING: 4/5

Apparently, I got the wrong “In” as I had Into the Woods when it Interstellar ended up as my miss here. It’s quite astonishing to see how Into the Woods missed here especially since this category loves musicals. And when I say love, I really mean.. love. The likes of Ray and Dreamgirls and Les Miserables and Chicago all won this with Walk the Line and Moulin Rouge getting nominated.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: 3/5

Holy hell what happened to Godzilla? I thought for sure it would be a shoo-in nominee. And LMAO at The Hobbit which can’t even break this category anymore. In their place though that ended up nominated were my alternate X-Men: Days of Future Past (I have to say that Evan Peters’ time stopping scene alone deserves the nod already), and Captain America: The Winter Soldier (which made me giggle with glee considering how I loved that film, so an Oscar nominated film before its title is a nice bonus).

So all in all, I did really well I think. No total disasters. In the top eight, I got 36/43 nominees correct or a 84% average.  And in all 21 categories, I got a total of 85 correct predictions out of 106 which translates to an 80%  average. Not too shabby for someone like me, I must say!

Next up: Winners predictions which is an altogether different battlefield!

If you want to talk to me about this on Twitter, just tweet me: @nikowl

 

Posted January 17, 2015 by Nicol Latayan in Awards, Films

87th Academy Awards Nominations Predictions   Leave a comment

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After almost a year of doing monthly predictions, all prayer circles come to this. Tonight, Academy president Cheryl Isaac Boones together with actor Chris Pine, current Best Director winner Alfonso Cuaron, and J.J. Abrams will finally reveal the 2014 class of Oscar nominees. And as per tradition, I’ll be offering my short thoughts in all 21 races.

Ready? Here we go!

BEST PICTURE
• American Sniper
• Birdman
• Boyhood
• The Grand Budapest Hotel
• Gone Girl
• The Imitation Game
• Selma
• The Theory of Everything
• Whiplash

10th (but not predicted): Nightcrawler

With 10 slots up for grabs, it’s easy to identify those that would make it in a field of five. As for starters, there’s clear frontrunner Boyhood ahead of the pack. Along with it is the meta comedy Birdman, Harvey Weinstein’s biggest push The Imitation Game, the Stephen Hawking biopic The Theory of Everything,  and this season’s biggest surprise The Grand Budapest Hotel.  Selma is a clear victim of campaign mishandling and bad timing which led to its bad guild and precursor performance, but if they’re such on a limited time, it’s indeed wise to focus their eyes to Oscar which I think will pay off with a nomination. Whiplash has indeed been an overperformer this season managing to overcome obstacles one after the other, and a nod is assured at this point. American Sniper fits the bill of that late game-changing contender who’ll usually do well on the big day despite being under the radar for the most part. It’s eliciting real passion which would be enough in a tricky category such as this one. The last two slots clear go to Gone Girl and Nightcrawler — the former being that box office hit representative from an auteur that commands respect among his peers while the latter is a debut feature that hits all the right notes in terms of campaigning. If they decide to nominate ten films, then count on both making it, but since the 6-10 rule change in 2011, the median number of nominees here is 9. I’d give the advantage to Gone Girl making it in then.

BEST DIRECTOR
• Clint Eastwood, “American Sniper”
• Alejandro G. Inarritu, “Birdman”
• Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”
• Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
• Ava Duvernay, “Selma”

SPOILER: Damien Chazelle, “Whiplash”

The consensus three is composed of Linklater, Anderson, and Inarritu, and they all seem safe and guaranteed for slots already. Despite the Academy being cold to his more recent works, Clint Eastwood never gives up finally hitting the right notes again for the first time in 8 years; thus, I see an Oscar nod accompanying his DGA mention. Like her movie, I’m expecting Globe nominee Ava Duvernay to hit it right at the Osccars despite underwhelming at the precursors. She has the narrative and the passion to make a case in getting nominated. Don’t count out Damien Chazelle though who managed to get a BAFTA nod for Whiplash, or Morten Tyldum who showed up at DGA despite literally missing everywhere.

BEST ACTOR
• Bradley Cooper, “American Sniper”
• Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game”
• Michael Keaton, “Birdman”
• David Oyelowo, “Selma”
• Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything”

SPOILER:  Ralph Fiennes, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”

What a category. You have nine names battling out for five slots it’s not even funny thinking the possibilities here. Well whatever happens though, two names are assured already. The two Golden Globe Best Actor winners, Michael Keaton and Eddie Redmayne for comedy and drama respectively, are likely to happen no matter what. Benedict Cumberbatch is in a safe albeit lower position than the two frontrunners for his turn as Alan Turing. The rest, to put it easily, is a clusterfuck. Despite missing some big precursors, David Oyelowo playing MLK seems too odd to miss especially since the Academy, unlike other guilds, has ample time to see Selma, so I’m sticking with him here. The last spot I go back and forth between two men whose names isn’t Jake Gyllenhaal sadly. While Jake seems logical after hitting all precursors, I think he somehow is affected that the two names are from far stronger films overall. First, there’s Ralph Fiennes who picked up Globe and BAFTA nods as part of a Top 5 finisher. Then there’s Bradley Cooper who’s hot on the heels of AMPAS with two consecutive nods under his belt, and with a really baity role this time around and lots of people campaigning for him. I guess one of those two makes it, and I won’t even be surprised if both Cooper and Fiennes make it in with Oyelowo missing.

BEST ACTRESS
• Amy Adams, “Big Eyes“
• Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything”
• Julianne Moore, “Still Alice”
• Rosamund Pike, “Gone Girl”
• Reese Witherspoon, “Wild”

SPOILER: Jennifer Aniston, “Cake”

In probably the most boring race for Lead Actress in a long time, we have four names likely making it in already: Julianne Moore, Reese Witherspoon, Rosamund Pike, and Felicity Jones. The last spot is between two ladies with equally both pros and cons. First up, you have perennial nominee Amy Adams in Harvey Weinstein backed-up film Big Eyes.  She just won the Golden Globe last Sunday eve increasing her chances of a nom. While it seemed like her snub is impending, the Today Show controversy made her such a headline again. And she got in at the BAFTAs which sealed her last two nominations despite both times missing at SAG. Then there’s Jennifer Aniston in that film that no one probably knew about: Cake. While pundits are rallying about it, plus her getting in at Globe + SAG, would that be enough for her to have that elusive Oscar nod? Me thinks that it’s better to be safe and stick with a name the Academy has nominated five times in nine years.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
• Robert Duvall, “The Judge”
• Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood”
• Edward Norton, “Birdman”
• Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher”
• J.k. Simmons, “Whiplash”

SPOILER: Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher”

This is as barren as one can possibly get, so it’s either we retain that same line up, or we have a totally out of the field surprise. Steve Carell’s BAFTA nod here threw many of us in the loop so let’s see if SPC can pull this trick off. I’d say they get close, but not totally good enough.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
• Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood”
• Jessica Chastain, “A Most Violent Year”
• Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game”
• Emma Stone, “Birdman”
• Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods”

SPOILER: Renee Russo, “Nightcrawler”

Patricia, Keira, and Emma have garnered precursors one after the other that they’re names are expected to show up already. Meryl missed the BAFTA (like last year for August: Osage County) but who cares? It’s the Oscars we’re talking about here so hello nod #19. The last spot is between Globe nominee Jessica Chastain who’s hot on the heels of Oscar getting nominated twice in the last three years, and BAFTA nominee Renee Russo. It does seem logical that Nightcrawler is the stronger performer between that and A Most Violent Year, but Chastain is the more known of the two, and I don’t expect Nightcrawler to really hit it big with the Oscars despite great precursor run. I keep going back and forth, but I think I give Chastain a hair-like edge in this race.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
• Alejandro González Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Armando Bo,
Alexander Dinelaris, Jr., “Birdman“
• Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”
• Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
• Mike Leigh, “Mr. Turner”
• Dan Gilroy, “Nightcrawler”

SPOILER: E. Max Frye, Dan Futterman, “Foxcatcher”

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
• Jason Hall, “American Sniper”
• Gillian Flynn, “Gone Girl”
• Graham Moore, “The Imitation Game”
• Anthony McCarten, “The Theory of Everything”
• Damien Chazelle, “Whiplash”

SPOILER: Nick Hornby, “Wild”

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
• Force Majeure (Sweden)
• Ida (Poland)
• Leviathan (Russia)
• Tangerines (Estonia)
• Wild Tales (Argentina)

SPOILER: Timbuktu (Mauritania)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
• Big Hero 6
• The Boxtrolls
• How to Train Your Dragon 2
• The LEGO Movie
• The Tale of Princess Kaguya

SPOLER: Song of the Sea

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
• Citizenfour
• Finding Vivien Maier
• Life Itself
• The Overnighters
• Virunga

SPOILER: Last Days in Vietnam

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
• Birdman (Emmanuel Lubezki)
• The Grand Budapest Hotel (Robert Yeoman)
• Ida (Ryszard Lenczewski and Lukasz Zal)
• Mr. Turner (Dick Pope)
• Unbroken (Roger Deakins)

SPOILER: Interstellar (Hoyte van Hoytema)

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
• The Grand Budapest Hotel (Milena Canonero)
• The Imitation Game (Sammy Sheldon Differ)
• Into the Woods (Colleen Atwood)
• Mr. Turner (Jacqueline Durran)
• Selma (Ruth E. Carter)

SPOILER: Belle (Anushia Nieradzik)

BEST EDITING
• Birdman (Douglas Crise and Stephen Mirrione)
• Boyhood (Sandra Adair)
• The Grand Budapest Hotel (Barney Pilling)
• The Imitation Game (William Goldenberg)
• Whiplash (Tom Cross)

SPOILER: American Sniper (Joel Cox and Gary Roach)

BEST HAIRSTYLING & MAKE UP
• The Grand Budapest Hotel
• Guardians of the Galaxy
• The Theory of Everything

SPOILER: Foxcatcher

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
• Gone Girl (Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross)
• The Grand Budapest Hotel (Alexandre Desplat)
• The Imitation Game (Alexandre Desplat)
• Interstellar (Hans Zimmer)
• The Theory of Everything (Jóhann Jóhannsson)

SPOILER: Nightcrawler (James Newton Howard)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
• Everything Is Awesome (The LEGO Movie)
• Glory (Selma)
• I’m Not Gonna Miss You (Glen Campbell: I’ll Be Me)
• Lost Stars (Begin Again)
• Opportunity (Annie)

SPOILER: Split the Difference (Boyhood)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
• The Grand Budapest Hotel (Adam Stockhausen)
• The Imitation Game (Maria Djurkovic)
• Interstellar (Nathan Crowley)
• Into the Woods (Dennis Gasner)
• Mr. Turner (Suzie Davis)

SPOILER: Unbroken (Jon Hutman)

BEST SOUND EDITING
• American Sniper
• Guardians of the Galaxy
• The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
• Interstellar
• Unbroken

SPOILER: Fury

BEST SOUND MIXING
• American Sniper
• Birdman
• Into the Woods
• Unbroken
• Whiplash

SPOILER: Gone Girl

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
• Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
• Godzilla
• Guardians of the Galaxy
• The Hobbit: the Battle of the Five Armies
• Interstellar

SPOILER: X-Men: Days of Future Past

NOMINATION TALLY (only of ym predicted Best Picture nominees)

The Grand Budapest Hotel – 10
Birdman
– 9
The Imitation Game – 8
Boyhood, The Theory of Everything –  6
Selma, American Sniper, Whiplash – 5
Gone Girl – 4

Personally I’m rooting for Jennifer Aniston just to make this season go crazier and more fun. Launching my prayer circle in a few!

Talk about this with me on Twitter: @nikowl

72nd Golden Globe Awards Winner Predictions   2 comments

And we have officially hit awards season! On Sunday night (Monday morning to us here in The Philippines), the Hollywood Foreign Press Association will steamroll the televised awards season derby when they hand out the trophies for the 72nd Golden Globe Awards. The Golden Globes remains to be the biggest Hollywood party every year with booze and Godiva chocolates flowing, as stars of both film and television rub elbows with one another (which translates to movie stars in front and TV stars onn the back) at the Beverly Hilton Hotel. The fantastic duo of Tina Fey and Amy Poehler will host the show for the third consecutive year, and with the Sony hacking and the Amy Adams/Today Show controversy, plus George Clooney now present to receive the Cecil B. DeMille award, we bet he’ll make a reference to that infamous Gravity joke last year. And since the Globes are still about handing recognition, I’ll go on and predict the winners in all 25 categories on who will win (and not who I think should win).

FILM:

drama pic

Best Picture, Drama

“Boyhood”
“Foxcatcher”
“The Imitation Game”
“Selma”
“The Theory of Everything”

PREDICTION: Boyhood. While the Globes try to do their own thing every once in a while, this seems an undeniable frontrunner that its biggest hurdle was if it will get some nomination love. Once it did, it’s Globe Drama Picture win was already signed with a ribbon.

ALTERNATE: Selma. The film is still making some last minute traction, and if there’s one thing the Globes love to honor, it’s a celebration of unity that this seems fitting as an alternate choice for the top prize.

drama lead actor

Best Actor, Drama
Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher”
Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game”
Jake Gyllenhaal, “Nightcrawler”
David Oyelowo, “Selma”
Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything”

PREDICTION: Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything.” Eddie played Stephen Hawking, staying true to his method acting. But his biggest advantage is he has campaigned the most appearing literally everywhere. I’m certain the Globes would bite.

ALTERNATE: Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game.”  Welp it will certainly end up with a relatively young Brit. Let’s see if Harvey had his way with this one.

drama lead actress

Best Actress, Drama
Jennifer Aniston, “Cake”
Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything”
Julianne Moore, “Still Alice”
Rosamund Pike, “Gone Girl”
Reese Witherspoon, “Wild”

PREDICTION: Julianne Moore, “Still Alice.” Sure she ended up having zero wins from the Big 3 critics, but it’s the televised precursors that count, and her double acting nominations this year indicate strong support if anything else.

ALTERNATE: Jennifer Aniston, “Cake.” This would be such a Globe-sy pick to happen. I mean if they bit the “cake”, then might as well go all the way, right HFPA?

musical comedy pic

Best Picture, Musical or Comedy
“Birdman”
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“Into the Woods”
“Pride”
“St. Vincent”

PREDICTION: Birdman. Sure Budapest is slowly catching up and while Birdman’s buzz sizzled a bit, it has been rewarded with multiple nominations to squeak out a win here.

ALTERNATE: The Grand Budapest Hotel. In any other year. I’m certain Into the Woods would have factored in. But with two stronger comedy films in the mix, Budapest seems likelier to unseat Birdman in the event that actually happens.

musical comedy lead actor

Best Actor, Musical or Comedy:
Ralph Fiennes, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Michael Keaton, “Birdman”
Bill Murray, “St. Vincent”
Joaquin Phoenix, “Inherent Vice”
Christoph Waltz, “Big Eyes”

PREDICTION: Michael Keaton, “Birdman.” The HFPA won’t pass up a chance to give a comeback moment to this previous Batman playing a washed up actor in his own film. That’s too meta that the Globes are already creaming in their pants.

ALTERNATE: Ralph Fiennes, “The Grand Budapest Hotel.” Fiennes is one who the Globes love to nominate (remember his double nods in 2009?), though he, along with his film, suffers with competing directly against Birdman.

musical comedy lead actress

Best Actress, Musical or Comedy:
Amy Adams, “Big Eyes”
Emily Blunt, “Into the Woods”
Helen Mirren, “The Hundred-Foot Journey”
Julianne Moore, “Maps to the Stars”
Quvenzhané Wallis, “Annie”

PREDICTION: Emily Blunt, “Into the Woods.” If the Globes nominated you for a film entitled “Salmon Fishing in the Yemen”, you pretty much can pencil in that they love you. Plus, Blunt is a previous winner (albeit for TV), and this could be the place where they can reward Into the Woods.

ALTERNATE: Amy Adams, “Big Eyes.” HFPA voters be like “Screw it, I can’t choose let’s just go with one who’s probably still campaigning for the Oscar.”

film supp actor

Best Supporting Actor
Robert Duvall, “The Judge”
Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood”
Edward Norton, “Birdman”
Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher”
J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash”

PREDICTION: J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash.” He’s the overwhelming favorite for this tour-de-force performance that I’d say he’s pretty much safe in this category…

ALTERNATE: Edward Norton, “Birdman.” …unless they go with one of their usual favorites. Norton has won this category almost two decades ago. I won’t be surprised if there’s some reunion coronation that tips his favor.

film supp actress

Best Supporting Actress
Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood”
Jessica Chastain, “A Most Violent Year”
Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game”
Emma Stone, “Birdman”
Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods”

PREDICTION: Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood.” Another overwhelming favorite, Arquette better prepare her speech for the rest of the season with the sweep that she’s gonna bring.

ALTERNATE: Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods.” The Golden Globes have nominated and awarded Meryl Streep more times than any other actor ever. If that didn’t indicate support, then I don’t know what did.

film director

Best Director
Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Ava DuVernay, “Selma”
David Fincher, “Gone Girl”
Alejandro G. Iñárritu, “Birdman”
Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”

PREDICTION: Richard Linklater, “Boyhood.” Alongside his actress Patricia Arquette, this is an overdue and deserving wait, so let him bask in the spotlight for the rest of the season.

ALTERNATE: Ava Duvernay, “Selma.” This would be a historic win in the making. I don’t think we can easily count her out yet. Both she and the film have the passion to pull off a competition.

film screenplay

Best Screenplay
Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Nicolas Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo, “Birdman”
Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”
Gillian Flynn, “Gone Girl”
Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Graham Moore, “The Imitation Game”

PREDICTION: Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel.” And this is the place where Budapest finally gets it due.

ALTERNATE: Gillian Flynn, “Gone Girl.” Translating your own novel to film is no easy feat, and Flynn makes it much more impressive since hers received great reviews.

foreign language film

Best Foreign Language Film
“Force Majeure,” Sweden
“Gett: The Trial of Viviane Amsalem Gett,” Israel
“Ida,” Poland/Denmark
“Leviathan,” Russia
“Tangerines (Mandariinid),” Estonia

PREDICTION: Ida. For what its worth, it’s also the Oscar frontrunner so just go with the flow.

ALTERNATE: Force Majeuere. This one has been showing up solidly in precursors and critics list. If the HFPA tries to go to a different direction, this would likely be it.

animated film

Best Animated Feature
“Big Hero 6”
“The Book of Life”
“The Boxtrolls”
“How to Train Your Dragon 2”
“The Lego Movie”

PREDICTION: The LEGO Movie. The one two punch of critical and commercial appeal would make this the easy frontrunner in this category.

ALTERNATE: Big Hero 6. While its buzz is still there, it really didn’t hold up string enough to make it at least a competitive race.

Best Original Score
Alexandre Desplat, “The Imitation Game”
Johann Johannsson, “The Theory of Everything”
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, “Gone Girl”
Antonio Sanchez, “Birdman”
Hans Zimmer, “Interstellar”

PREDICTION: Alexandre Desplat, “The Imitation Game.” And this is the place where I can see Imitation Game getting its due. Oh, plus Harvey’s obligatory annual token win.

ALTERNATE: Johann Johannsson, “The Theory of Everything.” Unless they really go in love with Theory  which is the likelier Oscar winner of the two.

Best Original Song
“Big Eyes,” “Big Eyes”
“Glory,” “Selma”
“Mercy Is,” “Noah”
“Opportunity,” “Annie”
“Yellow Flicker Beat,” “The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1″

PREDICTION: “Glory,” “Selma.” This is the place where they could reward Selma a Golden Globe win. Plus, the song’s own merit is universal that it’s right up HFPA’s alley. See U2’s upset here last year over Let It Go.

ALTERNATE: “Big Eyes,” “Big Eyes.” Well when you have three other non-factor nominated songs, this makes it an easy alternate pick. Oh, and let’s not forget that this can also be a part of Harvey Weinstein’s power (See again: U2’s upset here last year over Let It Go.)

TELEVISION:

tv drama

Best Drama Series
“The Affair” (Showtime)
“Downton Abbey” (PBS)
“Game of Thrones” (HBO)
“The Good Wife” (CBS)
“House of Cards” (Netflix)

PREDICTION: The Affair. The lack of multiple new shows here is totally new for the Globes, so I guess let’s just stick with the sole freshman debut series in the line up.

ALTERNATE: House of Cards. And of course we’d also go with the second newest show when it comes to alternates.

tv drama actor

Best Actor, Drama
Clive Owen, “The Knick”
Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan”
Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards”
James Spader, “The Blacklist”
Dominic West, “The Affair”

PREDICTION: Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards.”Despite winning two Oscars and lots of other trophies in his career, Spacey still hasn’t won a Golden Globe. This weak competition can finally change that.

ALTERNATE: Clive Owen, “The Knick.”Oscar nominated actor making his TV transitions? That sounds like an impending Globe win.

tv drama actress

Best Actress, Drama
Claire Danes, “Homeland”
Viola Davis, “How to Get Away With Murder”
Julianna Margulies, “The Good Wife”
Ruth Wilson, “The Affair”
Robin Wright, “House of Cards”

PREDICTION: Viola Davis, “How to Get Away with Murder.” Like really, they should be shipping the trophy at her doorstep already. Besides, Danes, Wright, and Margulies have won already.

ALTERNATE: Ruth Wilson, “The Affair.” Lol even I’m not convinced an alternate exists.

tv comedy

Best Comedy Series
“Girls” (HBO)
“Jane the Virgin” (CW)
“Orange Is the New Black” (Netflix)
“Silicon Valley” (HBO)
“Transparent” (Amazon)

PREDICTION: Orange is the New Black. It’s the critical pop culture staple hit of the bunch. The Globes are dying to reward this new “it”show.

ALTERNATE: Transparent. Welp I think they’re done with rewarding Girls, and Silicon Valley has no other nomination. Maybe they’d go with Jane the Virgin, but this one seems like more alienating.

tv comedy actor

Best Actor, Comedy
Louis C.K., “Louie”
Don Cheadle, “House of Lies”
Ricky Gervais, “Derek”
William H. Macy, “Shameless”
Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent”

PREDICTION:Ricky Gervais, “Derek.” Gervais is a past winner and a notorious Globes name. This smells like an easy win to me.

ALTERNATE: Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent.” Meanwhile, Jeffrey Tambor is the veteran here doing a really challenging gender bender role. That and his show being nominated in series, I think he at least has a chance.

tv comedy actress

Best Actress, Comedy
Lena Dunham, “Girls”
Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie”
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
Gina Rodriguez, “Jane the Virgin”
Taylor Schilling, “Orange Is the New Black”

PREDICTION: Julia Louis Dreyfus, “Veep.” In a surprising twist last year and despite being nominated twice, she still hasn’t won a Globe for this performance. With no Amy Poehler in the mix, this is the perfect scenario for a catch-up win.

ALTERNATE: Gina Rodriguez, “Jane the Virgin.” Sure you’re probably going “whaaaattt” right now but young, hot it girl is a staple for the Globes.

tv movie miniseries

Best Television Movie or Miniseries
“Fargo” (FX)
“The Missing” (Starz)
“The Normal Heart” (HBO)
“Olive Kitteridge”(HBO)
“True Detective” (HBO)

PREDICTION: The Normal Heart. Welp this seems like an HBO dominated one, even if Julia Roberts missed a nod, but the theme of the show will probably make it a bit ahead of the win.

ALTERNATE: True Detective. While this has felt a bit stale already, there’s no denying the impact of the first season, casting coup of the second one be damned.

longform actor

Best Actor, Television Movie or Miniseries
Martin Freeman, “Fargo”
Woody Harrelson, “True Detective”
Matthew McConaughey, “True Detective”
Mark Ruffalo, “The Normal Heart”
Billy Bob Thornton, “Fargo”

PREDICTION:Matthew McConaughey. “True Detective.”Alright alright alright. This is a packed category, but their current Best Actor winner seems like he has the upperhand.

ALTERNATE: Mark Ruffalo, “The Normal Heart.” Between his two nominations, they might throw him a bone especially for this performance.

longform actress

Best Actress, Television Movie or Miniseries
Maggie Gyllenhaal, “The Honorable Woman”
Jessica Lange, “American Horror Story: Freak Show”
Frances McDormand, “Olive Kitteridge”
Frances O’Connor, “The Missing”
Allison Tolman, “Fargo”

PREDICTION: Frances McDormand, “Olive Kitteridge.” Remember when she lost to Madonna for Evita in 1996 only to end up with the actual Oscar? The Globes might play a two-decade catch up. Oh and of course, she was fantastic in the show.

ALTERNATE: Maggie Gyllenhaal, “The Honourable Woman.” This is such a juicy role in the vein of a Claire Danes in Homeland plus she’s an Oscar nominated actress, so that might do the trick.

tv supp actor

Best Supporting Actor, Television
Matt Bomer, “The Normal Heart”
Alan Cumming, “The Good Wife”
Colin Hanks, “Fargo”
Bill Murray, “Olive Kitteridge”
Jon Voight, “Ray Donovan”

PREDICTION: Matt Bomer, “The Normal Heart.” Good looking actor that gives a career-best performance in a role close to his heart? consider all boxes checked.

ALTERNATE: Bill Murray, “Olive Kitteridge.” His is a scene-stealing performance plus he’s double nominated this year as well so might spread the wealth.

tv supp actress

Best Supporting Actress
Uzo Aduba, “Orange Is the New Black”
Kathy Bates, “American Horror Story: Freak Show”
Joanne Froggatt, “Downton Abbey”
Allison Janney, “Mom”
Michelle Monaghan, “True Detective”

PREDICTION: Uzo Aduba, “Orange is the New Black.” The role! The actress! This fits right to the scene-stealer character that usually prevails in this category.

ALTERNATE: Kathy Bates. “American Horror Story: Freak Show.” Well unless they can’t resist the beard lady whose last Globe victory was back in 1998.

The 72nd Golden Globe Awards will be on Sunday, January 11 (Monday morning, January 12 here in Manila.) You can follow me on Twitter for more awards conversation: @nikowl

72nd Golden Globe Awards Nominations Predictions   Leave a comment

Still can’t get over the crazyfest that was the SAG nominations last night? Hold off your horses, because the Globes are following it up! Let’s see if the HFPA pushes their starfucker tags aside (which they’ve been quite doing well since Tourist-gate), but this year is tempting for them. Let’s take a look at my predictions in 25 categories.

FILM CATEGORIES:

01

FILM DRAMA
“Boyhood“
“The Imitation Game“
“Selma“
“The Theory of Everything“
“Unbroken“

NEXT IN LINE: “Gone Girl“; “Foxcatcher“; “American Sniper“; “Interstellar

FILM ACTOR, DRAMA
Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher
Bradley Cooper, “American Sniper
Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game
David Oyelowo, “Selma
Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything

NEXT IN LINE: Jake Gyllenhaal, “Nightcrawler“; Ben Affleck, “Gone Girl“; Matthew McConaughey, “Interstellar“; Oscar Isaac, “A Most Violent Year“; Jack O’Connell, “Unbroken

FILM ACTRESS, DRAMA
Jennifer Aniston, “Cake
Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything
Julianne Moore, “Still Alice
Rosamund Pike, “Gone Girl
Reese Witherspoon, “Wild

NEXT IN LINE: Marion Cotillard, “Two Days, One Night“; Hilary Swank, “The Homesman“; Shailene Wooldey, “The Fault in Our Stars

02

PICTURE: MUSICAL/COMEDY
“Birdman“
“The Grand Budapest Hotel“
“Into the Woods“
“St. Vincent”
“Top Five“

NEXT IN LINE: “Begin Again“; “Big Eyes“; “Jersey Boys“; “Inherent Vice

FILM ACTOR, MUSICAL/COMEDY
Ralph Fiennes, “The Grand Budapest Hotel
Michael Keaton, “Birdman
Bill Murray, “St. Vincent
Joaquin Phoenix, “Inherent Vice
Christoph Waltz, “Big Eyes

NEXT IN LINE: Mark Ruffalo, “Begin Again” ; Chris Rock, “Top Five“; Channing Tatum, “22 Jump Street“; Bill Hader, “The Skeleton Twins

FILM ACTRESS, MUSICAL/COMEDY
Amy Adams, “Big Eyes
Emily Blunt, “Into the Woods
Angelina Jolie, “Maleficent
Jenny Slate, “Obvious Child
Kristen Wiig, “The Skeleton Twins

NEXT IN LINE: Julianne Moore, “Maps to the Stars“; Keira Knightley, “Begin Again“; Helen Mirren, “The Hundred Foot Journey“; Emma Stone, “Magic in the Moonlight

03

FILM SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood
Logan Lerman, “Fury
Edward Norton, “Birdman
Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash

NEXT IN LINE: Josh Brolin, “Inherent Vice“; Chris Pine, “Into the Woods“; Miyavi, “Unbroken

FILM SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood
Jessica Chastain, “A Most Violent Year
Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game
Emma Stone, “Birdman
Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods

NEXT IN LINE: Naomi Watts, “St. Vincent“; Laura Dern, “Wild“; Carmen Ejogo, “Selma“; Anna Kendrick, “Into the Woods

FILM DIRECTING
Ava Duvernay, “Selma
Clint Eastwood, “American Sniper
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, “Birdman
Angelina Jolie, “Unbroken
Richard Linklater, “Boyhood

NEXT IN LINE: David Fincher, “Gone Girl“; Morten Tyldum, “The Imitation Game“; Rob Marshall, “Into the Woods“; Christopher Nolan, “Interstellar

FILM SCREENPLAY:
Birdman
Boyhood
Gone Girl
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game

NEXT IN LINE: Interstellar“, “Selma“, “Inherent Vice“, “Top Five

04

ANIMATED FEATURE:
“Big Hero 6“
“How to Train Your Dragon 2“
“The LEGO Movie“

NEXT IN LINE:The Tale of Princess Kaguya“; “The Boxtrolls“; “Penguins of Madagascar

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
Force Majeure” (Sweden)
Ida” (Poland/Denmark)
Leviathan” (Russia)
Two Days, One Night” (Belgium)
Wild Tales” (Argentina)

NEXT IN LINE:Coming Home” (China); “Winter Sleep” (Turkey); “Venus in Fur” (France); “Mommy” (Canada)

FILM SCORE:
Birdman” (Antonio Sanchez)
Gone Girl” (Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross)
Interstellar” (Hans Zimmer)
The Theory of Everything“ (Johann Johansson)
Unbroken” (Alexander Desplat)

NEXT IN LINE:Big Eyes“; “The Imitation Game”; “Fury“; ”Noah

FILM SONG:
Everything is Awesome” (The LEGO Movie)
Glory” (Selma)
The Last Goodbye” (The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies)
Lost Stars” (Begin Again)
Miracles” (Unbroken)

NEXT IN LINE:Opportunity” (Annie), “Yellow Flicker Beat” (The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1); ”Boom Clap” (The Fault in Our Stars)

TELEVISION:

05

TV DRAMA SERIES
“Game of Thrones”
“House of Cards”
“How to Get Away with Murder”
“The Leftovers”
“Masters of Sex“

NEXT IN LINE:The Affair“; “The Knick”; “Downton Abbey“; “The Good Wife

TV DRAMA ACTOR
Clive Owen, “The Knick
Michael Sheen, “Masters of Sex
Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards
Justin Theroux, “The Leftovers
Dominic West, “The Affair

NEXT IN LINE: Jeff Daniels, “The Newsroom“; Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan“; James Spader, “The Blacklist

TV DRAMA ACTRESS
Viola Davis, “How to Get Away with Murder
Julianna Margulies, “The Good Wife
Tatiana Maslany, “Orphan Black
Kerry Washington, “Scandal
Robin Wright, “House of Cards

NEXT IN LINE: Claire Danes, “Homeland“; Caitriona Balfe, “Outlander“; Lizzy Caplan, “Masters of Sex“; Ruth Wilson, “The Affair

06

TV COMEDY SERIES
The Big Bang Theory
Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Modern Family
Orange is the New Black
Veep

NEXT IN LINE:Transparent“; “Black-ish“; “Silicon Valley“; “The Comeback

TV COMEDY ACTOR
Louis C.K., “Louie
Ricky Gervais, “Derek
Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory
Andy Samberg, “Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent

NEXT IN LINE: Matt Leblanc, “Episodes“; Thomas Middleditch, “Silicon Valley“; Ian McKellen, “Vicious“; Anthony Anderson, “Black-ish

TV COMEDY ACTRESS
Lena Dunham “Girls
Lisa Kudrow, “The Comeback
Julia Louis Dreyfus, “Veep
Amy Poehler, “Parks and Recreation
Taylor Schilling, “Orange is the New Black

NEXT IN LINE: Gina Rodriguez, “Jane the Virgin“; Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie“; Anna Faris, “Mom

07

TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES
“American Horror Story: Freak Show”
“Fargo”
“The Normal Heart”
“Olive Kitteridge”
“True Detective”

NEXT IN LINE:The Honorable Woman“; “Sherlock

TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES ACTOR
Benedict Cumberbatch, “Sherlock
Matthew McConaughey, “True Detective
Woody Harrelson, “True Detective
Mark Ruffalo, “The Normal Heart
Billy Bob Thornton, “Fargo

NEXT IN LINE: Richard Jenkins, “Olive Kitteridge“; Martin Freeman, “Fargo“; Adrien Brody, “Houdini

TV MOVIE/MINISERIES ACTRESS
Maggie Gyllenhaal, “The Honourable Woman
Jessica Lange, “American Horror Story: Freak Show
Frances McDormand, “Olive Kitteridge
Sarah Paulson, “American Horror Story: Freak Show
Cicely Tyson, “The Trip to Bountiful

NEXT IN LINE: Minnie Driver, “Return to Zero“; Allison Williams, “Peter Pan Live!“; Kristen Wiig, “The Spoils of
Babylon

08

TV SUPPORTING ACTOR
Matt Bomer, “The Normal Heart
Andre Braugher, “Brooklyn Nine Nine
Peter Dinklage, “Game of Thrones
Martin Freeman, “Sherlock
Jon Voight, “Ray Donovan

NEXT IN LINE: Bill Murray, “Olive Kitteridge“; Ty Burrell, “Modern Family“; Colin Hanks, “Fargo“; Christopher Walken, “Peter Pan Live

TV SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Uzo Aduba, “Orange is the New Black
Kathy Bates, “American Horror Story: Freak Show
Carrie Coon, “The Leftovers
Kate Mulgrew, “Orange is the New Black
Julia Roberts, “The Normal Heart

NEXT IN LINE: Alison Tollman, “Fargo“; Allison Janney, “Mom“; Sofia Vergara, “Modern Family”; Bellamy Young, “Scandal

The Golden Globe nominations will be announced tonight in Manila time by Jeremy Piven, Kate Beckinsale, Peter Krause, and Paula Patton.

You can follow me on Twitter: @nikowl

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